Kieran Donaghy

Cornell University | CU · Department of City and Regional Planning

This chapter reviews developments associated with globalization—among them, dramatic changes in patterns of trade and the location of economic activities—and how these developments have affected the environmental footprints of cities and states or regions in which cities are located. It also discusses ways in which urban environmental footprints ca...

Some interregional commodity-flow models, developed in the tradition of interregional input–output modeling, take on detailed characterizations of transportation networks to extend their explanatory reach, whereas others, developed in the tradition of spatial-interaction modeling, assume detailed characterizations of production. This chapter demons...

This chapter presents the operationalization and econometric estimation of a modified version of the dynamic continuous-time structural-equation model of commodity flows elaborated in the previous chapter. The objectives of this exercise are threefold: (1) to estimate an empirically based dynamic model that can accommodate the stylized facts of glo...

This chapter presents and demonstrates a methodology for generating spatial time series on interregional (interstate) inter-industry sales (or commodity flows). The methodology embodies an approach to benchmarking and estimating a dynamic multiregional econometric input–output model (or REIM) with annual data, backing out annual interregional inter...

This chapter summarizes the book-length argument developed in the preceding chapters and suggests new directions in which research addressing the coevolution of commodity flows, economic geography, and atmospheric emissions might be pursued.

The previous chapter of this volume discussed the generation of spatial time-series data on interstate inter-industry trade flows for the Midwestern and Northeastern states of the United States and the rest of the country over the period of 1977 to 2007. This chapter provides an analysis of these data and detailed commentary on changes in aggregate...

This chapter presents a framework for estimating black carbon (BC) emissions from heavy-duty diesel vehicles (HDDV) and trains engaged in transporting freight in the Midwestern and Northeastern United States between 1977 and 2007. The estimates produced are comparable to other existing emissions inventories. This framework is employed in attempting...

This book presents extensions to current commodity-flow models to analyze the economic and environmental impacts of recent structural changes, such as fragmentation of production and lengthening supply chains. The extensions enable augmented commodity-flow models to analyze the vulnerability of supply chains and regions to climate change and extrem...

This paper analyzes the interdependency across two critical infrastructures of transportation and motor fueling supply chains, and investigates how vulnerability to climatic extremes in a fueling infrastructure hampers the resilience of a transportation system. The proposed model features both a bi-stage mathematical program and an extension to an...

We extend the concept of a critical infrastructure (CI) network's vulnerability and advance a methodological approach for identifying the vulnerability of a CI extended over a large expanse of space - Manhattan's motor fuel supply chain - in the face of extreme weather events. In the methodological approach, we search for the network's disrupted co...

The wellbeing of a nation is conditioned on an optimal distribution of commodity-flow. The freight transportation system, however, is exposed, and highly vulnerable, to climatic hazards. This becomes more problematic in the long term when climate change is projected to continue or worsen. Studying the long-term climate vulnerability of interregiona...

An integrated alternative planning can control climate change drivers and mitigate or neutralize the adverse impacts of the changing climate on the transportation energy sector. In this article, we introduced an infrastructure of alternative fuel as a synergistic approach to climate-adaptation and -mitigation, and advanced a quantitative method to...

Motivated by both the need to model recent structural economic changes and the need to understand better the nature of environmental–economic interactions, this paper introduces a continuous-time regional econometric input–output model for the Chicago economy that can be used to analyze, at disaggregated sectoral and temporal levels, the economic a...

Two major extreme-weather events occurred in New York State between 2011 and 2012. Each with the odds of a 100-year occurrence suggesting that such extreme events are the region’s “new normal.” City and state policy-makers, in response, are studying how to develop a network of robust, resilient critical infrastructure facilities. These studies, how...

Some interregional commodity-flow models, developed in the tradition of interregional input-output modeling, take on detailed characterizations of transportation networks to extend their explanatory reach, whereas others, developed in the tradition of spatial-interaction modeling, assume detailed characterizations of production. This chapter demons...

We have developed a framework to estimate BC emissions from heavy-duty diesel trucks and trains engaged in transporting freight in the Midwestern and Northeastern United States (MNUS) from 1977 – 2007. We first expand on a previous development of a regional econometric input-output model (REIM) that has been used to estimate commodity flows between...

Sustainable transport commonly considers either the interaction between built and natural environments or the interface between transportation and interdependent critical infrastructure. Although considering each of these key dimensions is a crucial task for achieving sustainable transport, the dimensions are infrequently considered together. When...

Toward the end of his life, a shift occurred in Walter Isard's thinking about how graduate study in regional science should proceed. This shift and its implications for the discipline itself have led me to problematize Walter's sense of the scientific in regional science. In this article, I offer a highly stylized characterization of what Walter th...

Infrastructure systems are widely acknowledged to have influenced the evolution of urban spatial structure. Interurban infrastructure systems also make possible commerce, travel, the sharing of resources (e.g., electrical power and information), and collaboration between residents of far flung cities. This article, specifically deals with the probl...

The Oxford Handbook of Urban Economics and Planning embodies a problem-driven and theoretically informed approach to bridging frontier research in urban economics and urban/regional planning. The articles focus on the interface between these two subdisciplines that have historically had an uneasy relationship. Although economists were among the ear...

While cities continue to cast a large environmental imprint on their regionally proximate environments, they are also exerting a stronger influence on the natural systems of more remote locations because of their growing interconnectedness and interdependence with other cities—in a word, globalization. This paper reviews some of the characteristic...

In the literatures of regional science, urban economics, and urban development planning, a working assumption is that individuals respond to incentives and regulations, given their preferences. Models for planning and policy analyses are used to consider what might occur if the incentives or regulations were different. In these models, however, pre...

In this paper we examine differences in Spain's regional economies and how these differences might be taken into account in designing policies to reduce regional inequality. Toward this end, we first set out a basic model of regional economic growth and develop time series corresponding to the theoretical variables of this model. We estimate from t...

From 1970 to 2000, U.S. economic output doubled but emissions of four criteria pollutants from economic activity—CO, NOx, VOC, and SO2—decreased by 20%. Understanding what factors have contributed to this pollution reduction in the U.S. as a whole, as well as in various regions within the country, has important policy implications. A recently devel...

The spatial economy has increasingly come to be viewed, in the felicitous phrase of Manuel Castells (2000), as a space of flows. The mental picture we have of this economy is a motion picture, not a still shot. Moving along the links of various networks are ever greater quantities of people, goods, material, money, and information. Settlements, in...

This paper presents the development of an econometric-emission model to formulate future anthropogenic emission inventories for different societal and climate change scenarios. Our approach is to formulate the emission projections for a given scenario into growth factors that can be used to project forward the 1999 National Emission Inventory (NEI9...

Discrete-time econometric input-output models of regional economies, such as Regional Econometric Input-Output Models (REIMs), have been used to examine the impacts over time of unexpected (and usually extreme) events. Analyses carried out with such models have been limited, in part, because of their temporal orientation and their somewhat a-theore...

This paper presents an innovative approach to the study of regional economic dynamics within a nonlinear continuous-time econometric framework—a generalized specification of the Lotka–Volterra system of equations. This specification, which accounts for interdependent behavior of three industrial sectors and spillover effects of activities in neighb...

On May 1, 2004, the European Union (EU) expanded from 15 member states (EU15) to 25 member states. Both the EU15, as a single entity, and most of the new member states, individually, are signatory parties to the Kyoto Protocol with different levels of greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction targets to be achieved by 2012. While the emissions of the...

For the philosopher of history, G.W.F. Hegel, the fundamental challenge for any student of societal evolution is to apprehend in thought the spirit of the age (or the zeitgeist)—i.e., to understand the motive force of change while it is still at work (Lauer, 1974). Catching the zeitgeist ‘in the act,’ so to speak, is a matter of practical importanc...

Globalization is affecting regional economies in a broad spectrum of aspects, from labor market conditions and development policies to climate change. To understand better how this works, we need both conceptual and methodological contributions. We need new schemes to organize our thinking, direct our attention, and frame thought experiments on the...

Mandelbaum argued against the possibility of a complete general theory of planning set out along the lines of a generalist, a priori, covering-law model. In this article we draw on Miller and Hurley to elaborate a coherentist approach to planning theories that achieves some of the aspirations Mandelbaum sought for a general theory. We argue that th...

This contribution describes the work of Focus Group three of the European Union network Sustainable Transport in Europe and Links and Liaisons to America (STELLA). It examines especially social and behavioural aspects of sustainable transport from a transatlantic perspective. Significant societal trends (e.g. the ageing of societies) are surveyed a...

The term 'option value' was originally introduced as shorthand for the value of delaying an irreversible decision, say, to develop a parcel of land or exploit an exhaustible resource. We might think of it more generally as the value of preserving an option to decide at a later date, when perhaps more information pertinent to a decision may become a...

Regional sc ience anal yses impor tan t issues surrounding the growt h an d develop men t of urban and regiona l systems an d is em erg ing as a major soc ial scien ce disc ipline. Thi s series provides an inval uable foru m for the publicat ion of high qualit y schola rly wo rk on urban and regiona l studies , indust rial location economics. tran...

"... a welcome addition to both the climate change and regional science literature... a resource for researchers in the field who are working to bridge the gap between climate research and the needs of local and regional decision makers who will design adaptive strategies in response to climate change... having some of the best regional climate imp...

The publication in 1979 of Isard and Liossatos's \textit{Spatial Dynamics and Optimal Space-Time Development} marked the culmination of a progression of papers in which the authors explored parallels between processes modeled in theoretical physics and the spatial development of social systems. While providing a rigorous, incisive and exhaustive tr...

The purpose of this chapter is to examine the ‘new economic geography’ (NEG) in terms of how well it explains urban and regional agglomeration. The chapter reviews Krugman's core–periphery model of regional agglomeration with an eye toward what motivates the analysis and how the model accomplishes its ends. It then proceeds to an examination of how...

This contribution introduces the work of the European Union network Sustainable Transport in Europe and Links and Liaisons to America (STELLA) in the first section and examines especially social and behavioural aspects of sustainable transport from a transatlantic perspective in the second section. One of the most significant societal trends, the a...

EJTIR, 6, no. 1 (2006), pp. 61-76 This contribution describes the work of Focus Group three of the European Union network Sustainable Transport in Europe and Links and Liaisons to America (STELLA). It examines especially social and behavioural aspects of sustainable transport from a transatlantic perspective. Significant societal trends (e.g. the a...

. This article presents a collection of regional science books that long-standing members of the Regional Science Association International (RSAI) identified as path-breaking books. The most frequently nominated books include the “classics” by Isard, the seminal books in urban economics by Alonso, Muth and Mills, methods books by Miernyk, Wilson, A...

In this paper we examine differences in Spain’s regional economies and how these differences might be taken into account in designing policies to reduce regional inequality. Toward this end, we first set out a basic model of regional economic growth and develop time series corresponding to the theoretical variables of this model. We estimate from t...

The publication in 1979 of Isard and Liossatos's \textit{Spatial Dynamics and Optimal Space-Time Development} marked the culmination of a progression of papers in which the authors explored parallels between processes modeled in theoretical physics and the spatial development of social systems. While providing a rigorous, incisive and exhaustive tr...

Most recent theoretical research on endogenous economic growth has been conducted with continuous-time models that embody the assumption of an intertemporally optimizing representative agent. Yet virtually none of these models has been confronted with empirical data. In this paper we make use of a model of an open economy recently developed by Turn...

This paper presents and demonstrates a general approach to solving spatial dynamic models in continuous space and continuous time that characterize the behaviour of intertemporally and interspatially optimizing agents and estimating from discrete data the parameters of such models. The approach involves the use of a projection method to solve the m...

The introduction of biotechnology products has been a source of much controversy in large part because of the moral and ethical issues that development and distribution of these products raises. In view of the burgeoning volume of activity in biotechnology research and development and the far-reaching consequences that biotechnology products may ha...

The issue of the costs of economic instability relative to the costs of reduced growth is one which has created considerable controversy both politically and amongst the ranks of economists. The publication of Lucas’s (1987) calculations, which claimed to show an enormous relative welfare benefit in favor of promoting growth rather than stability,...

In the study of dynamic systems, modellers have usually enquired after the existence, uniqueness, and stability of equilibrium solutions (Casti 1985). Unless a systems model hails from a non-equilibrium tradition, establishing the existence of an equilibrium solution (usually long-term) has been deemed important for finding states in which system c...

In this paper we introduce a general model of property tax increment financed redevelopment. The model illustrates how expenditures on public infrastructure and housing induce private capital investment and growth in property values. It can be used to frame the problem of how best to manage a tax increment financing (or TIF) fund to realize redevel...

Although state and local growth management programs vary widely, nearly all such programs include one common feature: they require local governments to plan. While there has been extensive research on the effects of growth management in general and on specific policy instruments to manage urban growth there has been little research on the effects o...

In the literature on stagflation, various supply-side incomes policies have been suggested as short-run stabilizing responses to imported materials price shocks of the kind experienced in the 1970s and 1980s. This study exploits recent developments in non-linear continuous-time econometrics to revisit the issue in three ways. First, it examines how...

This paper presents a dynamic model that characterizes the changing states of traffic volumes, design capacities, and pavement conditions in a transportation network’s major commuting arteries. It also portrays the evolution of two system-wide effects—total vehicle miles travelled (VMT) and volatile organic compound (VOC) emissions—and accounts for...

In the research reported on in this paper, a hybrid continuous-time model of the U.S. macroeconomy and the arms race between the U.S. and the Soviet Union is formed from two previously developed structural models and fitted with data from the 1960s and 1970s for the purpose of analyzing how changes in arms race dynamics might have influenced develo...

Development of the model presented in this chapter was begun in the Spring of 1985. At that time most of the world’s industrialized market economies were emerging from a decade of poor macroeconomic performance whose distinguishing feature was the simultaneous occurrence of stagnant growth in productivity and output and price inflation, or stagflat...

This chapter reports on research in which four systems of demand equations and a generalized partial adjustment mechanism are examined empirically within the context of a continuous-time model of international currency substitution. The models are fitted by what are believed to be state-of-the-art estimators for applied continuous-time modelling. I...

This research note presents the results of a preliminary study in which census tract data have been used to (1) identify the nature of structural relationships existing between changes in the social, physical, and economic attributes of the neighborhoods of Wilmington, Delaware, and (2) determine how the effects of industrial restructuring have bee...

Developments in transportation and communications technologies have enabled firms to exploit economies of scale by fragmenting production processes and dispersing activities to least-cost locations. Production of most goods worldwide now takes place in a distributed pattern over many locations in which semi-finished goods are shipped from one speci...