Kerry Vandell

University of California, Irvine | UCI · Department of Finance

This article examines the characteristics of the supply side of the housing market - the production of housing stock over time through new construction, renovation, or redevelopment. Housing supply is as important as housing demand in determining house prices and rents, availability, quality, and location. The forces of the marketplace operate to a...

This paper proposes and develops a replication method for estimating property values, in which optimal weights of comparable property attributes that best duplicate the subject property are determined. In a setting where the number of comparables is large compared to the number of attributes, replication weakly outperforms traditional general least...

The cause of the “housing bubble” associated with the sharp rise and then drop in home prices over the period 1998–2008 has been the focus of significant policy and research attention. The dramatic increase in subprime lending during this period has been broadly blamed for these market dynamics. In this paper we empirically investigate the validity...

A b s t r a c t This paper proposes and develops a replication method for estimating property values, in which optimal weights of comparable property attributes that best duplicate the subject property are determined. In a setting where the number of comparables is large compared to the number of attributes, replication weakly outperforms tradition...

The cause of the "housing bubble" associated with the sharp rise and then drop in home prices over the period 1998-2008 has been the focus of significant policy and research attention. The dramatic increase in subprime lending during this period has been broadly blamed for these market dynamics. In this paper we empirically investigate the validity...

This paper develops a formal theory of store location within shopping centers based on bid rent theory. The bid rent model is fully speci?ed and solved with the objective function of pro?t maximization in the presence of comparative, multipurpose and impulse shopping behavior. Several hypotheses result about the optimal relationships between store...

Much of the literature on pricing commercial mortgages and commercial mortgage-backed securities has assumed homogeneity in prepayment penalty structure. In this paper, we provide evidence that such an assumption is inappropriate and examine the effect of penalty structures observed in actual contracts. After conducting preliminary simulations, we...

A number of studies have postulated that the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 (ERTA 1981) was responsible for the dramatic overbuilding that occurred between 1981 and 1986, primarily because returns became less sensitive to "real" demand. While there has been much research on how equilibrium or "natural" vacancy rates in the real estate market are...

All production functions in commercial real estate are directly influenced by technology, which increases the efficiency of the factors of production. This is reflected in the application of technology to the construction and operation of real estate. Six key manifestations of technology in real estate have been highlighted - the development of new...

The concept of highest and best use (HBU) is fundamental to the estimation of market value in appraisal. For James A. Graaskamp this concept was in need of revision for both theoretical and practical reasons. Theoretically, HBU had to be interpreted in the context of most probable or most fitting use, consistent with definitions of the time. Graask...

This study examines the return characteristics of a large, well-diversified commercial mortgage portfolio. Mortgage-specific cash-flow histories are constructed for 2,480 loans originated over the period 1974 through 1990, and a contingent-claims approach to pricing risky debt is used to estimate inter-temporal market values. Quarterly holding-peri...

hose who study the nation's capital markets have come to acknowledge the important role development of secondary markets can have in enhancing capital market efficiency. The ability of originators to sell off their interests in debt instruments to third-party holders or issuers of securities backed by the debt obligations can enhance their liquidit...

This article evaluates problems of the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) under its current structure, develops criteria for judging alternative structures, and suggests one alternative—an assigned risk pool—that encourages efficiency in the insurance function while still promoting low‐ and moderate‐income housing. A historical introduction expla...

This paper is the text of the 1992 Presidential Address for the American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association. A comparative evaluation of mortgage default research finds that both the residential and commercial markets evolved from informal underwriting rules, to formalized (though unvalidated) ratios and rules of thumb, to early risk ratin...

This study has two objectives: (1) it directly evaluates the relationship between commercial mortgage default incidence and characteristics of the mortgage, borrower, property, market, and general economic conditions, and (2) it uses this relationship to predict the exposure of life insurers to future mortgage defaults and to examine the relative i...

Most research and writing in the area of retail store location and market analysis has been undertaken by marketing researchers and urban geographers. The purposes of this review are to present this eclectic area of study as a unified body of knowledge, to encourage real estate researchers to become more involved in this area, and to indicate where...

A sound strategy for real estate asset disposition is of paramount importance to the Resolution Trust Corporation (RTC) in its efforts to maximize costs resulting from the savings and loan bailout. A popular current approach to this problem is to employ expeditious sales structures such as auctions. Although auctions clearly speed up the dispositio...

This paper formalizes certain aspects of the sales comparison approach to valuation that heretofore have been quite ad hoc. Specifically, it applies statistical theory to decisions about how many comparables to select, what the criteria for comparable selection should be, and how the proper weights for each adjusted value estimate can be determined...

This article examines the critical question of whether disposition activity of the Resolution Trust Corporation (RTC) will disrupt local real estate markets by driving values down and encouraging additional defaults. The question is approached by identifying key characteristics of local economies and real estate markets that could be associated wit...

This paper makes a preliminary attempt to evaluate empirically the nature of the contribution of architectural quality to the value of buildings. An economic model is postulated that predicts equilibrium rent and vacancy behavior as a function of both design and non-design characteristics. Vacancies are created in equilibrium as a result of search...

This paper addresses, theoretically and empirically, the structure of influences affecting the default option in mortgage contracts. A formal theoretical model recognizes that a number of loan and non-loan related effects beyond equity in the unit could influence the default decision. These include 1) payment levels relative to income, which could...

This study investigates the impact that school desegregation can have on the market values of affected residential properties. It improves upon previous studies in that it is able to estimate not only the "racial enrollment" effect but also "other" desegregation-related effects correlated with white perceptions of school quality, etc. Through the u...

This paper takes an initial step toward the development of an empirically-based model of default risk assessment in the commercial mortgage market. A review of existing empirical studies of residential mortgage and commercial loan default provides evidence for appropriate model specification and estimation. A simple default risk model for commercia...

The Jaffee and Russell [1976] model of credit rationing under imperfect information and uncertainty suggests that a single-contract equilibrium will tend to occur at a point of rationing and that a multiple-contract equilibrium will likely be unstable. This paper respecifies and extends the Jaffee-Russell model to incorporate default expectations o...

Many urban policies and programs have been designed to combat neighborhood decline and abandonment, but few have enjoyed significant success. The thesis of this study is that this lack of success is attributable in part to the failure to develop an adequate theory of neighborhood decline. In fact, at least three competing theories exist - the ortho...

This study investigates the extent to which, under segmented housing market conditions, neighbourhood racial composition has a significant influence on the rate of neighbourhood succession. Using Houston and St Louis census tract data, pooled and stratified regression estimates are developed which predict succession as proxied by income changes. Qu...

Government support of the arts consists of a familiar direct portion (including the appropriations to such agencies as the National Endowment for the Arts) and a less-well known indirect portion, including what Surrey has called tax expenditures. The tax expenditure that flows through individual deductions of charitable contributions to arts instit...

One of the major factors hindering the introduction of alternative mortgage instruments is the possibility of adverse consequences to certain groups of households seeking to obtain credit for homeownership. This study examines this issue through an analysis of cross-sectional household data obtained from the 1970 Survey of Consumer Finances. Using...

This article examines the efficiency of multifamily finance in supplying capital to all segments of the multifamily rental market. Four issues of importance are identified: data availability, the efficiency of the small loan market, multifamily prepayment and default risk, and the potential role of the mortgage real estate investment trusts in mult...

Abstract This paper develops a Replication method for estimating property val- ues. Under this method, an appraiser's assignment is to estimate an optimal weight vector that can best replicate the property attributes of a subject property using comparable properties. Once the weights are determined, the value of the subject property is simply a lin...