Каролина Вячеславовна Кетова

A technique is proposed that allows you to analyze and construct a scheme for optimizing public transport routes. The calculations are carried out using the example of the city of Izhevsk in the Udmurt Republic. Intellectual processing of statistical data of the road transport system and characteristics of the functioning of public transport is car...

The article presents an analysis and information system, containing a database of the road transport system indicators of the region (location of roads on the terrain, roads characteristics, topography and characteristics of traffic lights, location of intersections), an analytical subsystem in which mathematical models of analysis and forecast of...

A method for calculating the reliability of a regional heat supply system has been proposed. The issue of improving the reliability of the heat supply system in the region was studied using the algorithm for the optimal distribution of investments in activities that contribute to increasing this indicator. The initial management task statement was...

The article is proposed a technology for analyzing and predicting road accidents in the region, consisting of three blocks: a block of cluster analysis of the region’s territories for various emergency situations, a block for modeling accident rates from factors and predicting road accidents and the severity of their consequences in the region. The...

The article discusses the solution to the problem of the integrated use of renewable fuels in order to minimize ecological damage to the environment. A mathematical model has been developed that operates with averaged values of stocks of raw materials and fuel requirements. It allows you to determine the optimal number of enterprises for the produc...

The article provides a solution to the problem of logistics planning to implement the possibility of using biotechnology in the energy sector. The technology used is the production of biogas from animal wastes. Objects participating in the biogas production process are animal husbandry enterprises that are a source of raw materials, biogas complexe...

Работа посвящена изучению проблемы построения математических оценок культурной составляющей человеческого капитала региональной социально-экономической системы. Рассмотрена структура социума с точки зрения отношений индивида с судебно-правовой системой государства. Построена математическая модель определения численности осужденных в замкнутой демог...

В работе представлен подход к моделированию транспортных потоков в условиях светофорного регулирования. Разработана компьютерная имитационная мультиагентная модель транспортных потоков, которая включает три основных агента: автомобиль, светофор, генератор. Разработан расчетный имитационный алгоритм движения автомобилей по дорожным полосам и имитаци...

The paper is presented an effective adaptive forecasting system based on combining mathematical modeling tools, including neural networks and genetic algorithm. The construction of the neural network structure that is best relative to the selected criterion makes it possible to improve the procedure for finding a solution to the problem in terms of...

Purpose of the research. Human capital in the modern world is the primary factor in ensuring the progressive development of society. The most important component of human capital is the component of health, which affects the quality of labor resources and labor productivity in the region. The purpose of this research is to study the development tre...

This work presents solution to the problem of optimal financial assets management and an escrow account usage in building company productiveness in the Russian Federation. A mathematical model of financial assets management process is made to increase implementation cost-effectiveness of a housing construction project. The model enables us to calcu...

В работе решена задача кластеризации регионов Российской Федерации по социально-экономическому развитию с учетом отраслевой структуры валового регионального продукта. Инструментом решения задачи кластеризации являются классические методы машинного обучения. Исходная база данных включает реальные статистические данные по социально-экономическому раз...

In the paper, a problem of socio-economic system management, as exemplified by one of the regions of the Russian Federation, is solved. An algorithm of an optimal control using an index method for building a transitional period and with an ability to take into account growth rates in the engineering and social fields is created. Terms of reference...

Представлена задача оптимального использования финансовых средств в производственной деятельности строительной организации при применении эскроу-счетов в РФ. Построена математическая модель организации процесса управления финансовыми средствами с целью повышения доходности производственной деятельности в строительной отрасли при реализации проекта...

The problem of social clustering being studied in the paper is one of the main subtasks; its solution is an integral part of analysis and prognosis of socio-economic processes. Analysis and systematization of knowledge in the field of applying neural network modelling to regional system social clustering problem solving are implemented. It was demo...

In the paper, a problem of regional socio-economic system management is solved, as exemplified by one of Russia’s regions. An optimal management algorithm is created, with an effective capacity of the workforce taken into account. The statement of the problem is implemented based on a regional economic system macro model, with an effective capacity...

Целью данной работы является применение нейросетевого моделирования и адаптация его алгоритмов для прогнозирования величины, структуры и динамики человеческого капитала региона. Статистической базой служат данные по демографии, объемам инвестирования в человеческий капитал региональной системы, а также индикаторы направлений социально-экономическог...

In the conditions of the development of modern economy, human capital is one of the main factors of economic growth. The formation of human capital begins with the birth of a person and continues throughout life, so the value of human capital is inseparable from its carriers, which in turn makes it difficult to account for this factor. This has led...

The technique for solving the logistic task of fuel supply in the region, including the interconnected tasks of routing, clustering, optimal distribution of resources and stock control is proposed. The complex algorithm for solving the routing task contains Astar method, Yen method, as well as the genetic algorithm adapted for the task being solved...

A mathematical model of regional economic system taking in account both the material and human capital is presented. An algorithm of identification of model unknown parameters on the basis of a genetic algorithm with material coding and the Hook-Zeeves method is constructed. Identification and forecast calculations are done on an example of the Udm...

A mathematical economic model of measuring a worker’s potential and cost-of-living is proposed. Two aspects of the problem of untimely loss of an average statistical demographic element are considered: loss of profit for the regional business system as a whole and the lost value for the family. An attempt is made to estimate the real age density di...