Julio Bastos

• doctor
• Fluminense Federal University

This study investigates the effects of monetary policy credibility and the open economy trilemma on monetary policy efficiency in developing countries. Based on a sample of 28 developing countries, the findings reveal that monetary policy credibility increases monetary policy efficiency. The results also show that central banks in developing countr...

Abstrat: The study examines the effect of fiscal transparency on government spending on education for a total of 75 countries, 15 developed countries and 60 developing countries, for the period between 2006 and 2016. The analysis is made through fixed effects and dynamic panel by the systemic generalized moments method. As an analysis of robustness...

The global financial crisis and the debt crisis of the EU countries revealed serious weaknesses in fiscal reporting. As a consequence, uncertainties regarding the real situation of the public accounts of the countries raised doubts in relation to the effectiveness of government policies. Since then, countries are undertaking reforms in order to imp...

The global financial crisis and the debt crisis of the EU countries revealed serious weaknesses in fiscal reporting. As a consequence, uncertainties regarding the real situation of the public accounts of the countries raised doubts in relation to the effectiveness of government policies. Since then, countries are undertaking reforms in order to...

O objetivo deste trabalho é investigar empiricamente o impacto da política monetária na oferta de crédito nas regiões, partindo da hipótese de que este impacto será diferenciado pois depende da estratégia de gestão de ativos da firma bancária em cada região. Desta forma, este trabalho investiga primeiramente as diferentes reações das firmas bancári...

The stabilization of inflation was conquered in the mid-1990s, but since then the Brazilian economy has not shown a stable growth trend. This article discusses how the maintenance of a high interest rate in Brazil has affected growth through its impact on investment decision. In a macroeconomic environment with a relatively high degree of uncertain...

Resumo O objetivo deste artigo é apresentar um estudo empírico sobre o comportamento do crédito bancário para pessoa jurídica em termos regionais no período 2000-2011 utilizando-se um modelo de dados em painel. Com as estatísticas do banco de dados Estatísticas Bancárias por Municípios - Estban e doSistema Gerenciador de Séries Temporais do Banco C...

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to make an empirical analysis concerning time-inconsistency problem (TIP) based on a sample of 12 countries for the period from 1993 to 2011. Design/methodology/approach – The existence of TIP only makes sense if there is a trade-off between inflation and unemployment and when there is a causal relationship i...

This paper investigates the dynamic relationships among income distribution, debt ratio and capital accumulation in the Brazilian economy in the 1990s and 2000s. One explanation for the relatively slow growth of the Brazilian economy is the relatively low rate of investment. The paper presents an econometric model, based on Nishi, to investigate th...

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate that both the reputation of the monetary authority and the credibility of the regime of inflation targeting are important to reduce the inflation bias and the effort of the monetary authority in an emerging economy. Design/methodology/approach – The paper develops a model which shows that the g...

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to analyze the influence of macroeconomic variables and economic policies on expectations and confidence of entrepreneurs. It provides an econometric analysis of the expectation transmission channel under inflation targeting in Brazil, emphasizing the effect of inflation targeting credibility on the business con...

Under inflation targeting, monetary policy conduction is strongly related with the credibility of the regime. As far as is known, there are no empirical studies that measure the influence of the credibility of the inflation targeting regime on long term interest rate. Hence, based on the assumption that greater credibility reduces the interest rate...

Resumo Sob o regime de metas de inflação (RMI), a condução da política monetária encontra-se fortemente relacionada com a credibilidade da própria estratégia de metas de inflação. Até onde se saiba, não há, para o caso brasileiro, nenhum estudo empírico que trate de mensurar e validar a influência da credibilidade do regime de metas de inflação sob...