Juan Manuel Sayol

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University of Alicante | UA · Departamento de Matemática Aplicada

This study presents a novel methodology to accurately estimate the impact of local sea level rise and extreme surges and waves in coastal areas under climate change scenarios. The methodology is applied to the Ebro Delta, a valuable and vulnerable low-lying wetland located in the northwestern Mediterranean Sea. Projections of local sea level accoun...

This work quantifies the magnitude, spatial structure and temporal evolution of the cold wake left by North Atlantic hurricanes. To this end we composited the Sea Surface Temperature anomalies (SSTA) induced by hurricane observations from 2002 to 2018 derived from the International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS). Cold wake cha...

The Tumaco multivariate index (TMI) is a multidecadal monthly index constructed with unique time series of sea surface temperature, surface air temperature and rain measured at Tumaco bay, in the southern Pacific coast of Colombia, and available since 1961. In this work, this index is re‐evaluated after the addition of in situ sea level data, and i...

The Mediterranean-Black Sea system consists of two semi-enclosed basins connected by the Turkish Straits. In turn, the Mediterranean Sea is connected to the Atlantic Ocean through the narrow Strait of Gibraltar. The hydrological cycle of the system is driven by fresh water exchanges between the atmosphere, continents and oceans, and by salty water...

The Arabian Gulf, a semi-enclosed basin in the Middle East, connects to the Indian Ocean through the Strait of Hormuz and is surrounded by seven arid countries. This study examines the water cycle of the Gulf and its surrounding areas using data from the GRACE and GRACE Follow-On missions, along with ERA5 atmospheric reanalysis data, from 05/2002 t...

The overturning streamfunction is a widely used metric to monitor ocean circulation changes in the North Atlantic Ocean. Analogously, it is known that an overturning circulation develops in the Mediterranean Sea, although substantially weaker and smaller than in the Atlantic. In this work we use monthly mean fields from a high-resolution ocean rean...

The spatial distribution, the monthly and seasonal variability of mesoscale eddy-observations derived from the AVISO eddy atlas are assessed in the Caribbean Sea for the period between 1993 and 2019 (both included). The average lifetime for the whole set of eddies is 61.8±37.1days, mean amplitude of 7.4 ± 4.2 cm for ciclonic and 6.7 ± 3.7 cm for an...

Mean wave energy flux (hereinafter WEF) is assessed in the Caribbean Sea from a 60-year (1958–2017) wave hindcast. We use a novel approach, based on neural networks, to identify coherent regions of WEF and their association with different climate patterns. This method allows for a better evaluation of the underlying dynamics behind seasonal and int...

As many other regions worldwide, the Bolivian Altiplano has to cope with water scarcity during dry periods, which in turn impacts on crop production as flood irrigation is overwhelmingly extended in the region. Since farming is the main income in the Altiplano for most families, the availability of greenhouses with water harvesting systems may repr...

The water cycle of the Baltic Sea has been estimated from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and the GRACE Follow-On satellite time-variable gravity measurements, and precipitation and evaporation from ERA5 atmospheric reanalysis data for the periods 06/2002 to 06/2017 and 06/2018 to 11/2021. On average, the Baltic Sea evaporates 1...

The spatial distribution, the monthly and seasonal variability of mesoscale eddy-observations derived from the AVISO eddy atlas are assessed in the Caribbean Sea for the period between 1993 and 2019 (both included). The average lifetime for the whole set of eddies is 61.8±37.1days, mean amplitude of 7.4 ± 4.2 cm for ciclonic and 6.7 ± 3.7 cm for an...

Wave energy flux (WEF) is assessed in the Caribbean Sea from a 60-year (1958--2017) wave hindcast. We use a novel approach, based on neural networks, to identify coherent regions of similar WEF and their association with different climate patterns. This method allows for a better evaluation of the underlying dynamics behind seasonal and inter-annua...

The Mediterranean-Black Sea system consists of two semi-enclosed basins connected by the Turkish Straits. In turn, the Mediterranean Sea is connected to the Atlantic Ocean through the narrow Strait of Gibraltar. The hydrological cycle of the system is driven by fresh water exchanges between the atmosphere, continents and oceans, and by salty water...

The variability of La Guajira upwelling system, in the south-central Caribbean Sea, is strongly influenced by the intensity and location of the atmospheric Caribbean Low-Level Jet (CLLJ), a near-surface branch of the easterlies, as well as by the regional ocean circulation. During favorable conditions (i.e., strong easterlies blowing almost paralle...

The dense waters formed by wintertime convection in the Labrador Sea play a key role in setting the properties of the deep Atlantic Ocean. To understand how variability in their production might affect the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) variability, it is essential to determine pathways and associated timescales of their export....

The water masses exiting the Labrador Sea, and in particular the dense water mass formed by convection (i.e. Labrador Sea Water, LSW), are important components of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). Several studies have questioned the connection of the LSW production to the AMOC variability. This is partly due to the limited und...

This work analyzes the coastal impacts of the combined effect of extreme waves and sea level extremes, including surges and projected mean sea level rise in Bocagrande, Cartagena (Colombia). Extreme waves are assessed from a wave reanalysis that are propagated from deep waters to the beach considering the hydrodynamic processes and taking into acco...

Previous studies have indicated that most of the net sinking associated with the downward branch of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) must occur near the subpolar North Atlantic boundaries. In this work we have used monthly mean fields of a high-resolution ocean model (0.1∘ at the Equator) to quantify this sinking. To this end...

Previous studies have indicated that most of the net sinking associated with the downward branch of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) must occur near the subpolar North Atlantic boundaries. In this work we have used monthly mean fields of a high-resolution ocean model (0.1 deg at the equator) to quantify this sinking. To this e...

This study analyses the distribution of ocean wind waves in response to extratropical cyclones over the western Mediterranean Sea. To this end we use an ERA40‐based database of atmospheric cyclones and a 3‐hourly wind wave hindcast with high horizontal resolution (1/6°) based on an ERA40 downscaled forcing for the region of study. The imprint of wi...

This work introduces a new method for ocean eddy detection that applies concepts from stationary dynamical systems theory. The method is composed of three steps: first, the centers of eddies are obtained from fixed points and their linear stability analysis; second, the size of the eddies is estimated from the vorticity between the eddy center and...

Wind-wave interaction in the Western Mediterranean Sea is analyzed using 16 years of model data. The mass transport and energy distribution due to wind and waves are integrated through the Ekman-Stokes layer and then spatially and seasonally analyzed. The Stokes drift is estimated from an empirical parameterization accounting for local surface win...

On 9 September 2014, an intensive drifter deployment was carried out in the Strait of Gibraltar. In the frame of the EU MED Program MEDESS-4MS, the MEDESS-GIB experiment consisted of the deployment of 35 satellite tracked drifters, mostly of CODE-type, equipped with temperature sensor sampling at a rate of 30 min. Drifters were distributed along an...

We study the capabilities of four existing Operational Forecasting Systems to forecast the trajectories of a hypothetical surface oil spill in a region of the Western Mediterranean Sea, the Balearic sub-basin. Two of the systems operate at basin scale (MyO-GLOBAL and MED-MFC) and the other two at regional scale (IBI-MFC and WMOP). The model assessm...

High-frequency (HF) coastal radars measure current velocity at the ocean surface with a 30–100 km range and 1–3 km resolution, every 0.25–1 h. HF radars are well suited to many applications, such as search and rescue (SaR), oil-spill mitigation and ecosystem management. Here we present a first organized core of 12 HF radars installed in five sites...

On 9 September 2014, an intensive drifter deployment was carried out in the Strait of Gibraltar. In the frame of the EU MED Program MEDESS-4MS, the MEDESS-GIB experiment consisted of the deployment of 35 satellite tracked drifters, mostly of CODE-type, equipped with temperature sensor sampling at a rate of 30 min. Drifters were distributed along an...

The last 20 years of ocean research have allowed a description of the state of the large scales ocean circulation directly related to the development of two successful inter- national initiatives that lead to new remote and in situ observing systems; the T/P satellite altimetry missions and the Argo in situ programme. As a result, we have concentra...

Quantifying uncertainties in real-time operational oil spill forecasts remains an outstanding problem, but one that should be solvable with present science and technology. Uncertainties arise from the salient characteristics of oil spill models, hydrodynamic models, and wind forecast systems, which are affected by choices of modelling parameters. P...

In this chapter, we present a state-of-the-art system developed to manage oil spills crisis and Search and Rescue Operations at the coastal areas of the Balearic Islands Archipelago. Specifically, we introduce a first version of an Integrated Decision Sup- port System (IDSS) to response against oil spill emergencies which combines a nu- merical tool...

We study the sea surface transport in the Western Mediterranean Sea from a Lagrangian point of view, in particular the Alboran and the North-Western subbasins. The study is carried out through the analysis of 3 years of surface velocity model data through Finite Size Lyapunov Exponents, Residence Time, and virtual particle trajectories complementin...

Development of science based ocean-forecasting systems at global, regional, sub-regional and local scales is needed to increase our understanding of ocean processes and to support knowledge based management of the marine environment. In this context, WMOP (Western Mediterranean sea /Balearic OPerational system) is the forecasting subsystem componen...

Satellite altimetry is a key component of the global observing system and plays a major role in the study of the mesoscale processes that drive most of the ocean circulation variability at middle and high latitudes. However, satellite altimetry alone provides only surface information at a limited spatio-temporal resolution. To address these limitat...

New monitoring technologies are key components of ocean observatories, also called marine research infrastructures being implemented in the worlds oceans. As a result, new capabilities to characterise, in quasi-real time, the ocean state and its variability at small scales exist today. The challenge is the integration of theses multiplatform observ...

New monitoring technologies are being progressively implemented in open-ocean and coastal observatories. The Mediterranean Sea is a well-known, reduced-scale ocean, an ideal natural laboratory to study global ocean processes, in particular those associated with meso- and submesoscale variability, interactions with mean flows and associated ecosyste...

The International Conference on Coastal Engineering (ICCE) is a biennial conference held under the auspices of the Coastal Engineering Research Council of the COPRI (Coasts, Oceans, Ports, Rivers Institute) of the American Society of Civil Engineers. The Proceedings of the ICCE are provided here, with papers covering a wide range of topics includin...

We study the horizontal surface mixing and the transport induced by waves, using local Lyapunov exponents and high resolution data from numerical simulations of waves and currents. By choosing the proper spatial (temporal) parameters we compute the Finite Size and Finite Time Lyapunov exponents (FSLE and FTLE) focussing on the local stirring and di...