Joseph Mikael

Électricité de France (EDF) | EDF

In machine learning and particularly in topological data analysis, $\epsilon$-graphs are important tools but are generally hard to compute as the distance calculation between n points takes time O(n^2) classically. Recently, quantum approaches for calculating distances between n quantum states have been proposed, taking advantage of quantum superpo...

Four deep generative methods for time series are studied on commodity markets and compared with classical probabilistic models. The lack of data in the case of deep hedgers is a common flaw, which deep generative methods seek to address. In the specific case of commodities, it turns out that these generators can also be used to refine the price mod...

A new method for stochastic control based on neural networks and using randomisation of discrete random variables is proposed and applied to optimal stopping time problems. The method models directly the policy and does not need the derivation of a dynamic programming principle nor a backward stochastic differential equation. Unlike continuous opti...

We introduce three new generative models for time series that are based on Euler discretization of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) and Wasserstein metrics. Two of these methods rely on the adaptation of generative adversarial networks (GANs) to time series. The third algorithm, called Conditional Euler Generator (CEGEN), minimizes a dedica...

Driven by the good results obtained in computer vision, deep generative methods for time series have been the subject of particular attention in recent years, particularly from the financial industry. In this article, we focus on commodity markets and test four state-of-the-art generative methods, namely Time Series Generative Adversarial Network (...

We propose several algorithms to solve McKean-Vlasov Forward Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (FBSDEs). Our schemes rely on the approximating power of neural networks to estimate the solution or its gradient through minimization problems. As a consequence, we obtain methods able to tackle both mean-field games and mean-field control probl...

Sampling random variables following a Boltzmann distribution is an NP-hard problem involved in various applications such as training of \textit{Boltzmann machines}, a specific kind of neural network. Several attempts have been made to use a D-Wave quantum computer to sample such a distribution, as this could lead to significant speedup in these app...

Machine learning algorithms dedicated to financial time series forecasting have gained a lot of interest over the last few years. One difficulty lies in the choice between several algorithms, as their estimation accuracy may be unstable through time. In this paper, we propose to apply an online aggregation-based forecasting model combining several...

We introduce new generative models for time series based on Euler discretization that do not require any pre-stationarization procedure. Specifically, we develop two GAN based methods, relying on the adaptation of Wasserstein GANs (Arjovsky et al., 2017) and DVD GANs (Clark et al., 2019b) to time series. Alternatively, we consider a conditional Eul...

A new method for stochastic control based on neural networks and using randomisation of discrete random variables is proposed and applied to optimal stopping time problems. The method models directly the policy and does not need the derivation of a dynamic programming principle nor a backward stochastic differential equation. Unlike continuous opti...

We propose several algorithms to solve McKean-Vlasov Forward Backward Stochastic Differential Equations. Our schemes rely on the approximating power of neural networks to estimate the solution or its gradient through minimization problems. As a consequence, we obtain methods able to tackle both mean field games and mean field control problems in hi...

Recent machine learning algorithms dedicated to solving semi-linear PDEs are improved by using different neural network architectures and different parameterizations. These algorithms are compared to a new one that solves a fixed point problem by using deep learning techniques. This new algorithm appears to be competitive in terms of accuracy with...

We propose some machine-learning-based algorithms to solve hedging problems in incomplete markets. Sources of incompleteness cover illiquidity, untradable risk factors, discrete hedging dates and transaction costs. The proposed algorithms resulting strategies are compared to classical stochastic control techniques on several payoffs using a varianc...

Recent machine learning algorithms dedicated to solving semi-linear PDEs are improved by using different neural network architectures and different parameterizations. These algorithms are compared to a new one that solves a fixed point problem by using deep learning techniques. This new algorithm appears to be competitive in terms of accuracy with...