Jose Maria Arranz

• PhD in Economics
• Professor (Full) at University of Alcalá

Purpose This article aims to analyse the impact of overeducation on the wage level and wage growth of young workers. Design/methodology/approach The study uses data from individual administrative records of young people who are entering the labour market for the first time in Spain. Wage-level equations and wage-dynamics equations considering job...

The objective of the article is to analyse the degree of persistence of overeducation in the initial stages of the professional career of young workers and the relationship between both the incidence and the persistence of overeducation and the business cycle. We use longitudinal data from administrative records (the ‘Continuous Sample of Working L...

This article assesses the impact of a subsidy for public transport prices in the Madrid Region for the elderly on PT and automotive household expenditures. Data from the Spanish Household Budget Survey and a discontinuity regression model are used to analyse this PT policy from an equity and efficiency point of view. The results show that as a cons...

The objectives of this research are to evaluate the impact of a health policy (the Strategy for Normal Birth Care, EAPN) on caesarean rates and perinatal mortality in Spanish public hospitals belonging to the National Health System (NHS) and to assess the related cost savings. Data from the Spanish Ministry of Health for the period 2002−2011 and qu...

The abundant empirical studies on the relationship between land tenure security and investment remain inconclusive. This work sheds light on this issue, estimating a simultaneous equation model of 9 different types of land investments and land tenure security using data from the Peruvian agrarian census. This study analyzed the case of the Peruvian...

This study analyses the effect of a representative low-emission zone (LEZ) in Madrid on shifting vehicle registrations towards alternative fuel technologies and its effectiveness for reducing vehicle fleet CO2 emissions. Vehicle registration data is combined with real life fuel consumption values on individual vehicle model level, and the impact of...

This study analyses the actual effect of a representative low-emission zone (LEZ) in terms of shifting vehicle registrations towards alternative fuel technologies and its effectiveness for reducing vehicle fleet CO2 emissions. Vehicle registration data is combined with real life fuel consumption values on individual vehicle model level, and the imp...

This article investigates the efficiency of the university education using two linked databases (Saber Pro and Saber 11) from the Colombian Institute for Evaluation of Education (ICFES) corresponding to 2014. We use a non-parametric frontier approach that combines the “order m” technique with the concept of a meta-frontier to disaggregate students’...

Purpose This paper investigates whether short-time work (STW) schemes were successful in their objective of maintaining employment and keeping workers employed within the same firms after the onset of the financial and economic crisis in 2008. Design/methodology/approach Spanish longitudinal administrative data has been used, making it possible to...

This article investigates the efficiency of the university education using two linked databases (Saber Pro and Saber 11) from the Colombian Institute for Evaluation of Education (ICFES) corresponding to 2014. We use a non-parametric frontier approach that combines the “order m” technique with the concept of a meta-frontier to disaggregate students’...

This paper uses data from the European Survey on Income and Living Conditions to offer new empirical evidence on how wage differentials are influenced by the changing economic conditions, that is, before and after the 2008-2010 recession, and shaped by the different institutional frameworks of European Union countries. We examine whether wage chang...

One of the greatest peculiarities of the Spanish system of minimum income benefits is its complex organisation. There is a wide variety of specific means‐tested benefits whose management and financing depend on the central government. They are designed to protect different contingencies, providing very different levels of protection. On the other h...

This article examines whether changes in the potential duration of unemployment benefits influence the entry of older workers into unemployment insurance. The analysis is based on a law change to the benefit rules which occurred in Spain in July 2012, when the eligible age for an extended benefit to older workers was raised from 52 to 55, and on da...

We compare non-wage aspects of job quality of younger and older workers across European countries and relate the differences between them to the prevailing institutional settings. Microdata from the European Union Labour Force Survey are used to carry out the measurement of a job quality index during the period 2005–2015, while aggregate indicators...

We aim to contribute to a better understanding of the role that occupations played in recent trends in wage inequality in some European countries. Using EU-SILC data, we observe that most of the changes in wage inequality between 2005 and 2014 were the result of changes in the distribution of wages within occupations. A longer term approximation us...

We study whether part-time work acts as a bridge towards full-time work for unemployed workers in Spain. We consider a time period when firms were encouraged to create part-time jobs by cutting employers’ social security contributions. We follow the timing-of-event approach and estimate the causal effect of part-time work on the exit rate to full-t...

This paper analyses the distributive and individual welfare implications on households of an urban demand transport policy with a high subsidisation of Public Transport (PT) fares for young users. This measure came into force in October 2015 in the Madrid Metropolitan Area. The fares of the travel-pass for young users were reduced by 56.8% on avera...

The aim of this article is to build and measure an employment quality index that meets four conditions: it is simple and understandable; it enables measurement over a long time period; it can be updated on an annual basis; it is comparable between groups of workers. Our index is quantified for different workers depending on the type of contract the...

El objetivo de este artículo es presentar un Indicador de Calidad del Empleo (ICE) que puede medirse para un periodo temporal largo, actualizarse periódicamente y comparar colectivos de trabajadores. Este indicador está formado por tres dimensiones y se ha construido y medido a partir de la información individual de la Muestra Continua de Vidas Lab...

We explore differences in resort to short-time work schemes between the recessions in the early 1990s and the late 2000s in Spain and Italy and explore how far these are associated with differences in employees’ personal and job-related characteristics. We use individual data from national Labour Force Surveys and perform a multivariate detailed de...

The aim of this article is to identify the more representative labour trajectories of foreign women workers who are living in Spain, during the economic crisis, between 2007-2013 years. More specifically the article analyses how gender is shaping contract and professional labour trajectories of workers, using the Continuous Work History Sample for...

This paper investigates whether short-time work (STW) programmes achieve their stated goal of being devices intended to preserve jobs and keep workers employed in times of crisis. Our identification strategy exploits a change in the financial incentives provided to employers and employees for the temporary suspension of work contracts or the reduct...

In 2016, somewhat later than in other developed economies, the EU recovered all the net employment losses sustained since the global financial crisis. Employment growth since 2013 has been only modestly skewed towards well-paid jobs; growth has been robust in low-paid and mid-paid jobs too. Newer jobs are increasingly likely to be full time rather...

We study the transitions out of unemployment of the recipients of insurance benefits, focusing on whether or not they are recalled to their previous employment. Specifically, a split population duration model (SPDM) for the recall decision by employers is compared with a standard duration model (SDM). We find significant differences between the SPD...

Este artículo estudia la desigualdad en el mercado de trabajo que se produce entre quienes están ocupados y que tiene que ver con el hecho de que los ingresos laborales difieren entre las personas ocupadas. En particular, se analizan los factores que pueden explicar el grado de desigualdad salarial y la incidencia del empleo de bajos salarios y se...

This paper shows how it works and examines some of its advantages and disadvantages, bearing in mind the more general issue of the distribution of the costs associated with labour turnover. It also analyses two problems associated with incomplete or partial "experience rating": the excessive number of temporary layoffs and the existence of cross-su...

Using an administrative dataset, we document the importance of recalls in labour market transitions and in compensated unemployment in Spain and examine the interplay between the unemployment compensation system, the widespread use of fixed-term contracts and the layoff-rehire process. We estimate a discrete-time duration model with competing risks...

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the wage distribution in Spain, its evolution in recent years and the implications for increased wage dispersion. Accordingly, its attention focuses on the following issues: first, the paper investigates how personal, job and firm attributes affect the wages distribution and examine earnings differe...

Using administrative data for the period 2005–2010, we test for the existence of segmentation in the pool of the unemployed receiving benefits and investigate the factors associated with the duration and recurrence of the receipt of unemployment benefits in Spain. The results suggest the existence of (at least) three groups of individuals, each wit...

This article provides an in-depth analysis of duration statistics based on cross-sectional information and compares these statistics with others based on longitudinal data. The objective is to challenge the vision conveyed by conventional data on the incomplete duration of spells of unemployment. We interpret our results as indicating that this sor...

Using aggregate panel data on Spain’s 17 regions for the period 1987– 2010, the authors present a macroeconomic assessment of a variety of active labour market policies, including employment subsidies for permanent contracts, job-creation schemes and vocational training programmes. Their results suggest that employment subsidies for permanent contr...

Using administrative data, this article measures the ‘effective’ duration of unemployment benefit recipiency. Our results suggest that this duration varies considerably when we use spells instead of data on individuals. The exit hazard rate from unemployment using spells is overestimated when compared to the one obtained with data on individuals an...

Este artículo ofrece una panorámica de la literatura que estudia la relación entre el ciclo económico y la desigualdad salarial, por un lado, y un análisis de la evolución de la desigualdad salarial en España en el periodo 2004-2010, por otro lado. Utilizando datos de la Muestra Continua de Vidas Laborales, los resultados indican que la dispersión...

Resumen Este artículo presenta una evaluación macroeconómica de algunas políticas activas del mercado de trabajo en España (en particular, los subsidios a la contratación indefinida) utilizando un panel agregado de datos de las comunidades autónomas (regiones) para el periodo 1987–2010. Los resultados sugieren que los subsidios a la contratación in...

Résumé Les auteurs proposent une évaluation macroéconomique de certaines politiques actives du marché du travail en Espagne (notamment les aides aux contrats de durée indéterminée) à partir de données de panel sur les communautés autonomes (régions) pour la période 1987–2010. Les résultats indiquent que le subventionnement des contrats de durée ind...

El presente trabajo analiza la evolución de los diferenciales salariales según diversas variables relacionadas con el capital humano y las cualificaciones en España en el período 2005-2010. A partir de los datos de la Muestra Continua de Vidas Laborales, se estiman modelos por Mínimos Cuadrados Ordinarios y por Regresiones Cuantílicas, lo que permi...

This article studies transitions out of unemployment for benefit recipients in Spain. We analyse the duration of unemployment, distinguishing between spells that end in recall (workers returning to the previous employer) and spells that end in exit to a new job. This distinction allows us to find that the recall hazard rate increases around the tim...

Accounting for the time individuals spend below the poverty line is an important dimension in order to design social policies to fight against poverty. The literature is currently aiming to construct a consistent aggregate measure of poverty over time that takes into account individual income lifetime profiles. It is however, far from clear which a...

This paper aims to estimate the impact of different labour market transitions on wages by applying recent panel data methods designed to address problems of sample selectivity, unobserved heterogeneity and endogeneity to longitudinal data on individual workers from six European countries for the period 1995-2001. In particular, we examine whether j...

As a consequence of the rapid growth of temporary agency employment in Germany, the debate on the remuneration of temporary agency workers has intensified recently. The study finds that the earnings gap of temporary help workers in Germany is indeed large and increased during the past decade. Decomposition reveals that the widening gap mainly is dr...

The analysis of poverty dynamics yields important insights about the expected effectiveness of alternative social policies on poverty reduction. This paper analyses the effect of spell recurrence on poverty dynamics taking into account multiple poverty and non-poverty spells. Using longitudinal data for Spain we obtain that the poverty exit and re-...

The main goal of this article is to analyse the relationship existing among prices of alcoholic beverages, alcohol consumption and traffic fatalities for the Spanish Autonomous Communities during the time interval 1998 to 2002. Among the main results, we highlight a positive correlation between alcohol consumption and traffic mortality rate. Basica...

El objetivo de este artículo es analizar la relación existente entre la situación de pobreza y ciertas características relacionadas con la situación laboral de los individuos. Para ello, se utilizan los datos españoles de la Encuesta de Condiciones de Vida (ECV) para el año 2005. Entre los principales resultados de la investigación se obtiene que e...

Using a rich administrative dataset on unemployment insurance benefit recipients, the current work analyses the Spanish 1992 Reform Act implemented to reduce the generosity of the unemployment compensation system —in particular, a decrease in the level of unemployment insurance benefits and in entitlement duration. For this purpose, we compare unem...

The most important contribution of this research lies in considering the impact of wine, beer and liquors on the ratio of traffic fatalities because each kind of alcoholic beverage is characterized by different ethanol content. The data, drawn for case of Spain, validate our theoretical hypothesis. Our findings support the strategy of incrementing...

Using a rich administrative dataset on unemployment insurance benefit recipients, the current work analyses the Spanish 1992 Reform Act implemented to reduce the generosity of the unemployment compensation system —in particular, a decrease in the level of unemployment insurance benefits and in entitlement duration. For this purpose, we compare unem...

Traditional approaches to measurement conditional probabilities of leaving welfare do not deal with unemployment benefits data in a proper way leading thus to biased estimates of unemployment-employment transition probabilities. In fact, these approaches overestimate hazard rates and hence underestimate the expected welfare duration.

This study aims at analysing the evolution of job stability in the Spanish labour market during the period 1987-2003 and investigating the groups (defined by individual and job characteristics) who have experienced the greatest instability. Information comes from the Spanish Labour Force Survey (Encuesta de Poblacion Activa, EPA) microdata used as...

The analysis of poverty dynamics yields important insights about the nature of poverty and the expected effectiveness of alternative social policies in order to fight against it. The recent literature on poverty dynamics proposes various approaches to the measurement of the effects of poverty spell length and the experience of multiple-spells on po...

El objetivo de esta investigación es analizar la evolución de la estabilidad del empleo en el mercado de trabajo español a lo largo del periodo 1987-2003, así como los colectivos (definidos por características individuales y laborales) que han experimentado una mayor inestabilidad. La información procede de los microdatos de la Encuesta de Població...

As a consequence of the rapid growth of temporary agency employment in Germany, the debate on the remuneration of temporary agency workers has intensified recently. The study finds that the earnings gap of temporary help workers in Germany is indeed large and increased during the past decade. Decomposition reveals that the widening gap mainly is dr...

Despite the increasing importance of remittances in total international capital flows, the relationship between remittances and growth has not been adequately studied. This paper studies one of the links between remittances and growth, in particular how local financial sector development influences a country's capacity to take advantage of remittan...

This paper studies transitions out of unemployment in Spain distinguishing between recall to the same employer and reemployment in a new job. We use a large sample of newly unemployed workers obtained from Social Security records for Spain. These data contain information about each individual's employer identity before and after the unemployment sp...

This paper examines the PROGRESA and PROCAMPO cash transfer programs in Mexico and evaluates their impact on household food security and nutrition. These two programs differ in their targeting and design: PROGRESA is aimed at women and program conditionality is linked to current consumption and human capital investment; PROCAMPO benefits male farme...

This article analyzes the tax data from the Spanish “Continuous Sample of Working life”, which contains an overview for each fiscal year of all income tax withholdings and prepayments on earned income, economic activities and income assignments of salaried workers, pensioners and recipients of unemployment benefits. To that end, we present the char...

Pigovian taxation of externalities has limited appeal if the tortfeaser has insufficient resources to pay the damage when it occurs. To defend Pigovian taxation in the presence of judgement-proof agents, its proponents point at the many institutions extending liability to third parties. Yet little is known about the validity of Pigou's analysis in...

Using longitudinal data on individual workers from six European countries for the period 1995-2001, the authors analyse empirically the relationship between labour market transitions and wage growth; in particular, whether transitions across states in the labour market have any significant influence on wage dynamics and the size of this influence....

The objective of this paper is to investigate the causes of the recurrences of individuals in unemployment during benefit periods. So as to attain this objective, we use administrative data from the Spanish Employment Agency to estimate a duration model with multiple spells that allows for unemployment state dependence through lagged unemployment d...

The aim of this paper is to analyse the influence of individual’s previous labour market experiences on the duration of subsequent job matches in the Spanish labour market. The study draws on a sample of workers extracted from a Spanish administrative dataset. We find evidence on the existence of a scarring effect: the longer the time spent in non-...

El objetivo del este artículo es analizar la evolución de la seguridad del empleo en España a lo largo del periodo 1987-2003 utilizando información longitudinal y transversal de la EPA. Los resultados indican que se ha producido un aumento generalizado de la inseguridad en el empleo, a pesar de la reducción detectada a partir de mediados de los año...

This paper postulates that the effect of unemployment benefits on the hazard rates changes considerably using a traditional duration model that uses only unemployment insurance (UI) data, or deals with unemployment assistance (UA) as a mere extension of UI, instead of an extra time duration model that accounts separately for transition rates to wor...

Collateral impacts of LULUCF projects, especially those concerning social and environmental aspects, have been recognised as important by the Marrakech Accords. The same applies to the necessity of assessing and, if possible, of quantifying the magnitude of these impacts. This article aims to define, clarify and structure the relevant social, econo...

Using administrative data records from the Spanish Employment Agency we examine whether or not there is evidence of state dependence in unemployment under benefits in Spanish young workers. For this fact, we use a mixed proportional hazard model that allows for state dependence through lagged duration dependence in order to disentangle the effects...

In the last 20 years the Canary Islands fishing fleet has gone from the privileged position of enjoying abundant catches in the old "Canary Islands-Saharan" fishing grounds to the precarious situation in which it currently finds itself. This paper aims to determine what the future holds for The Canaries fishing sector. Hence, fishing rights and pol...

Se estudia el oligopolio de Cournot donde el proceso de ajuste de la producción se realiza considerando que las empresas carecen de información completa sobre el comportamiento de sus competidoras. En este contexto, suponiendo la intención cooperativa como factor fundamental, se alcanzan equilibrios cooperativos empleando sistemas dinámicos discret...

Resumen. Se utilizan las cuatro ondas de la Encuesta permanente de hogares de la Argentina (EPH) correspondientes a los años 1997 y 1998 para analizar los factores determinantes de la duración del desempleo masculino en la Argentina. La descripción de la muestra se lleva a cabo mediante la estimación de los riesgos brutos de que un individuo desocu...

Resumen El objetivo de este artículo es analizar el fenómeno del encadenamiento de episodios de empleo y de paro protegido, en el que el individuo retorna a la misma empresa tras pasar un tiempo en el sistema de protección por desempleo. Además, se analizan los determinantes que influyen en la transición desde la percepción de una prestación contri...

El objetivo de esta investigación es analizar la evolución de la estabilidad del empleo a lo largo del periodo 1987-2003, así como tratar de conocer qué colectivos son los que se encuentran más expuestos a los cambios en el mercado laboral producidos en las últimas dos décadas. Para llevar a cabo este análisis se han utilizado los microdatos de la...

This paper postulates that the effect of unemployment benefits on the hazard rates changes considerably using a traditional duration model that uses only unemployment insurance (UI) data, or deals with unemployment assistance (UA) as a mere extension of UI, instead of an extra time duration model that accounts separately for transition rates to wor...

The main objective of this paper is to investigate the determinants of unemployment duration in a competing risks framework with two destination states: employment and inactivity. In particular, we analyze labour market trajectories of job losers and workers without previous labour experience using data from the Spanish Labour Force Survey (EPA) fo...

. This work is the first attempt to analyse the existence and the magnitude of wage penalties associated with the non-employment experience of individuals in the Spanish labour market. For that, we draw on a sample of Spanish workers across the period 1987-1997 with information coming from an administrative. We find that non-employment brings an ea...

I modify the uniform-price auction rules in allowing the seller to ration bidders. This allows me to provide a strategic foundation for underpricing when the seller has an interest in ownership dispersion. Moreover, many of the so-called "collusive-seeming" equilibria disappear.