Jiahai Yuan

• PhD
• Professor (Full) at North China Electric Power University

In this paper we expand the IRSP (integrated resource strategic planning) model by including the external cost of TPPs (traditional power plants) and popularization cost of EPPs (efficiency power plants) with nonlinear functions. Case studies for power planning in China during 2011–2021 are conducted to show the efficacy of the model. Scenarios are...

This paper studies the transition to low carbon power systems in China. The methodology is built on the newly developed multi-level perspective (MLP) transitions, as well as literature on innovation systems. Three lines of thought on the transition process are integrated to probe the possible transition pathways in China's power sector. Five transi...

This paper applies the cointegration theory to examine the causal relationship between electricity consumption and real GDP (Gross Demostic Product) for China during 1978–2004. Our estimation results indicate that real GDP and electricity consumption for China are cointegrated and there is only unidirectional Granger causality running from electric...

Using a neo-classical aggregate production model where capital, labor and energy are treated as separate inputs, this paper tests for the existence and direction of causality between output growth and energy use in China at both aggregated total energy and disaggregated levels as coal, oil and electricity consumption. Using the Johansen cointegrati...

In this study, we assessed the impacts of the benchmark designs of emissions allowance allocation in China’s national carbon emissions trading system with plant-level data and further estimated the marginal clearing price and power supply cost in Guangdong power market under electricity-carbon market coupling with unit commitment and economic dispa...

This study examines the dynamic connection between green energy, employment, fossil fuel energy, and human development index including additional variables such as education, life expectancy, and poverty in panel data of 30 developing countries from 1990–2017. Previous studies analyzed the total energy consumption on the human development index, wh...

Under the 2060 carbon neutrality commitment, China's power system will integrate high-share renewable energy and deploy disruptive technologies. We improved the integrated resource strategic planning model by considering cross-region power transmission and disruptive technologies (IRSP-cptdt), to reveal the coupling effects on fossil energy phase-d...

China’s target to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060 entails the phase-out of high-emissions coal power. However, a just transition policy must be implemented, given that coal power and its upstream coal mining industry provide many employment opportunities. Leveraging a bottom-up tabular analysis, we assessed the impact on employment of coal-fired...

Battery storage is widely regarded as an indispensable solution to the large-scale integration of intermittent renewable energy into the power grid. Being still too expensive by itself, battery storage is currently promoted in China for utility-scale grid-parity wind/solar projects with compulsive technical standards or voluntary allocation require...

This present study is the first attempt to analyze the synergy between primary energy consumption, economic growth, natural resources, quality of government, financial development, and gross capital formation in the panel data of 30 developing countries from 1990 to 2017. For this purpose, the study employed pooled regression, fixed effects, random...

The integration cost of large-scale variable renewable energy (VRE) in China’s coal-dominated inflexible power systems is of significant concern when studying the generation cost of VRE. One key component of studies about integration cost is the question of how to estimate the impact of large-scale VRE integrated into power systems on the operation...

With the periodic goals of reaching carbon emission peak before 2030 and achieving carbon neutrality before 2060 (“dual carbon” goals), China shows its unprecedented determination to coal power phaseout. This research takes Jilin Province to showcase possible pathways of coal power units’ phaseout on provincial level. We set up four different coal...

The global warming phenomena arise from the subject of climate change, which draws intellectuals’ attention toward replacing polluting energy sources with clean energy sources by continued deployment of innovations. Also, global warming problems put large pressure on governments, individuals, and policymakers. Therefore, for reliable energy supply...

The power sector needs to take the lead in decarbonizing to support China's carbon neutrality goal. It is urgent to explore the potential and pathways of decarbonization of China's power sector. The United Kingdom (UK) has achieved significant greenhouse gas reductions in the power sector through a series of long-term initiatives. Firstly, this pap...

China has suffered overcapacity in coal power since 2016. With growing electricity demand and an economic crisis due to the Covid-19 pandemic, China faces a dilemma between easing restrictive policies for short-term growth in coal-fired power production and keeping restrictions in place for long-term sustainability. In this paper, we measure the ri...

In the era of globalization, the incidence of global warming emerges from the issue of climate change, which attracts the attention of several scholars to attain sustainability with respect to ensuring sufficient energy access and diminishing environmental adversities. However, in view of these circumstances, this study examines the heterogenous im...

The relevance of information and communication technology to long-lasting human improvement cannot be disregarded in this modern world. From this perspective, this study analyzed the association between information and communication technologies, renewable energy, economic growth, and human development indices considering CO 2 emissions and remitta...

The relevance of information and communication technology to long-lasting human improvement cannot be disregarded in this modern world. From this perspective, this study analyzed the association between information and communication technologies, renewable energy, economic growth, and human development indices considering CO2 emissions and remittan...

China has emerged as a significant contributor to the extension of the global economy, which is progressively distressed about carbon emissions discharges resulting from massive energy use in recent years. As energy consumption, clean energy sources are getting immense attention among researchers and policymakers. However, the use of clean energy i...

Coal-fired power plays a critical role in China’s compliance with the Paris Agreement. This research quantifies China’s stranded coal assets under different coal capacity expansion scenarios with an integrated approach and high-precision coal-fired power database. From a top-down perspective, firstly, the pathway of China’s coal-fired power capacit...

China is the largest carbon dioxide emitter in the world. Over the past decades, China has made great efforts to retard the carbon emission growth. This paper aims to quantify the driving forces of stagewise provincial carbon emission changes and expound the bottom-up provincial efforts aligned with China’s carbon abatement targets. During 2007–201...

As the country with the world’s largest coal power capacity, China is launching a national carbon market. How the carbon pricing may contribute to phasing out China’s coal power is a great concern. We collect full-sample dataset of China’s 4540 operating coal plant units, and develop a stochastic Monte-Carlo financial model to assess the financial...

This study analyzes the impact of renewable electricity consumption on economic growth for the panel of 10 newly industrialized countries from 1990 to 2015. For this, panel unit root tests, panel heterogeneous co-integration method, panel Fully Modified Ordinary Least Square and the Granger causality method are employed. The primary outcomes of thi...

During the 21st century, humans are facing a major challenge of environmental degradation, including air pollutions and heatwaves; however, we need to concern about how to achieve sustainable economic development. Therefore, the scope of this study is to analyze the impact of renewable electricity consumption on economic growth and CO2 emissions in...

Achieving reliable energy supply and environment sustainability whereby mitigating CO2 emissions and promoting sustainable development has become a global effort. Thus, the current study intends to verify the non-linear influence effects of natural gas, nuclear energy, renewable energy and information and communication technology trade on economic...

This study examines the short- and long-run of the causal correlation between economic growth (G.R.) and renewable electricity generation sources for a panel of 25 developing nations over the period 1990–2017. To do so, second-generation cross-sectional dependence (C.D.) test Im, K.S., Pesaran and Augmented Dickey-Fuller panel unit root test, panel...

This article has been retracted: please see Elsevier Policy on Article Withdrawal (https://www.elsevier.com/about/our-business/policies/article-withdrawal). This article has been retracted at the request of the Authors with the agreement of the Senior Editor. The article shows substantial overlap with an article submitted and published earlier in R...

Concomitant with the changes in power generation mix and power load profile, the power load characteristics have continued to deteriorate, and structural conflicts have occurred between power i.e., ample power generation capacity coupled with short in peaking resources. At the same time, the peak load gap appears. Under these, traditional practice...

China's coal‐fired power industry is undergoing a fundamental transformation. From a historical perspective, we conducted a comprehensive assessment of the coal power sector in China, to understand the cause of the transition and where its future lies. Through the interactions among landscape, regime and niches, China's coal‐fired power industry ha...

The building sector consumed a total of 580 million tons-coal equivalent (Mtce) terminal energy in China in 2018 including 1,888 terawatt-hours (TWh) electricity, accounting for 20.2% of total terminal energy consumption in this country. As the capital of China, Beijing is striving to improve the air quality while ensuring power and heat supply due...

The developing countries and emerging economies are crucially contributing to global economic development, energy transition, and climate governance. This paper employs panel cointegration technique to investigate the long-run relationship between carbon emissions and five impacting factors (per capita GDP, primary energy consumption, international...

The new round of reforms in power system gradually liberalizes the wholesale market for power generation, but the current average dispatch model does not support the new market system. We use Guangdong Province as a case study to analyze the cost of new entry (CONE) and net revenue of new and old coal power plants. We find that the real CONE of low...

The scope of this study is to analyze the carbon emissions intensity of electricity generation in “Belt and Road Initiative” (BRI) countries. The total CO2 emissions from electricity generation in BRI nations increases from 4232.34 Mt in 2013 to 4402.38 Mt in 2015, accounting for 34.45% of global CO2 emissions from electricity generation. Logarithm...

The purpose of this study is to estimate the relationships between electricity consumption and economic growth in 45 BRI countries during 1990–2015. The empirical results indicate that there are unidirectional short-run and long-run causality relationships running from economic growth to electricity consumption in all-countries and low and medium-i...

In this research, we define three kinds of subsidy to coal power under the existing institutional structure in China. They are an environmental subsidy, a squeezing-out renewable subsidy, and a price-protection subsidy. Based on a practical account framework, solid dataset, and reasonable assumptions, we estimate a total subsidy of 263.7 billion Ch...

This article conducts the first provincial case study on the effect of environment-related risks on coal-fired power plants in Jilin, China, which creates “stranded assets”. Using power capacity expansion model and project evaluation model, the article first quantifies the rational coal power capacity during 2016–2020. Then, we calculate the value...

Nowadays, listed companies around the world are shifting from short-term goals of maximizing profits to long-term sustainable environmental, social, and governance (ESG) goals. People have come to realize that ESG has become an important source of the corporate risk and may affect the company’s financial performance and profitability. Recent resear...

The development of China’s coal power industry is accompanied by various environmental risks. In this paper, typical coal power enterprises are taken as examples to establish a tool for environmental cost internalization and environmental risk analysis under the risk constraints of energy efficiency standards, environmental protection tax, national...

In this paper, by adopting the levelized cost of electricity model and the financial appraisal method, we provide an economic interpretation for China's recent coal power bubble under weak demand growth. The study surveys the economics of a typical 600 MW newly-built pure condensing coal-fired power plant in six case provinces (Shanxi, Inner Mongol...

Abatement of Greenhouse gas emissions is the top concern of global climate change policy. On November 4, 2016, the day when the Paris Agreements took effect officially, the State Council of China issued the Work Plan for the Control of Greenhouse Gas Emissions during the 13th Five-Year Period as its national policy for climate change. An important...

The Chinese government recently released the 13th FYP (five-year plan) power development plan and proposed a capacity installation target of 1100 GW for coal power. Considering the weak demand growth of coal power since 2014, continuous decline in the annual utilisation hour and the coming market competition, such a planning target is unwelcome and...

The fast economic growth of China has been fueled by prodigious coal consumption. In 2013, coal consumption of China is equivalent to 2943 million tons standard coal (Mtce), accounting for more than half of global total. However, year 2014 and 2015 witnessed consecutive decrease in coal consumption in China. China’s coal use dropped to 4120 million...

Coal power holds the king position in China's generation mix and has resulted in ever-increasing ecological and environmental issues; hence, the development of the electric power sector is confronted with a series of new challenges. China has recently adopted a new economic principle of the “new economic normal,” which has a large effect on the pro...

Assess the rational capacity of coal power in China by 2020. The number is within 960 GW under the 15% non-fossil primary energy target. All EIA approved projects built, the capacity would reach 1150 GW by 2020. 200 GW excess of coal power will bring forth disastrous consequences for China. a b s t r a c t Electricity consumption growth in China ha...

Persistent and significant curtailment has cast concern over the prospects of wind power in China. A comprehensive assessment of the production of energy from wind has identified grid-integrated wind generation potential at 11.9–14% of China's projected energy demand by 2030.

This article estimated the cost of onshore wind power in China by employing levelized cost of the electricity model. The analytical framework has enough precision for appraising the effectiveness of feed-in tariff (FIT) policy. Results show that the existing FIT policy is attractive to investors, but serious curtailment and turbine quality issues c...

http://www.greenpeace.org/eastasia/Global/eastasia/publications/reports/climate-energy/2016/Study%20on%20Economics%20of%20Coal-fired%20Power%20Generation%20Projects%20in%20China%20Report.pdf

This chapter addresses the progress and prospective of energy efficiency (EE) and conservation in China’s power sector. To better understand China’s successes and failures in EE in the power sector, the institutional characteristics of the sector are first briefly analysed. Then key EE drivers and the achievements in the past years are summarised....

This paper discusses energy conservation and emissions reduction (ECER) in China’s power sector. To better understand China’s successes and failures on energy conservation in the electricity industry, first it is important to know the status of China’s power sector, and the key energy conservation actions, as well as the achievements in the past ye...

Energy conservation has been a critical argument in China's development agenda for decades. China had 8 billion tons of greenhouse gas ( GHG ) emission in 2012 (shared 27% of total global GHG emission), which received attention from researchers at home and abroad. This paper summarizes China's major policy development pathway on energy efficiency s...

In this paper, we address the energy scheduling issue in a hybrid energy micro grid, which consists of photovoltaic (PV), wind power, combined heat and power (CHP), energy storage and electric vehicles (EVs). The optimal scheduling model of these power sources is presented with consideration of the demand response. The objective function is minimum...

Special issue of Resources, Conservation and Recycling Deadline for full paper submission: March 31, 2016 Deadline for final decision notification: October 30, 2016 Estimated date for publication: December 31, 2016

In 2009, the implementation of feed-in tariff (FIT) and attractive public subsidies for onshore wind farms aroused great investment enthusiasm and spurred remarkable development of wind power in China. Meanwhile, rapid learning-by-doing has significantly cut down the cost of wind turbines and the capital cost of wind farms as well. Therefore, it is...

Spurred by the increasingly serious air pollution problem, the Chinese government has launched a series of policies to put forward specific measures of power structure adjustment and the control objectives of air pollution and coal consumption. Other policies pointed out that the coal resources regional blockades will be broken by improving transpo...

Currently, 58% of coal-fired power generation capacity is located in eastern China, where the demand for electricity is strong. Serious air pollution in China, in eastern regions in particular, has compelled the Chinese government to impose a ban on the new construction of pulverized coal power plants in eastern regions. Meanwhile, rapid economic g...

The paper examines the long-run relationship among per capita income, energy consumption, and carbon emissions in China during 1953-2008. We employ the TodaYamamoto procedure to test the Granger causality in a vector autoregressive (VAR) model with levels. We find strong evidence of bilateral Granger causality running between income and energy cons...

Smart grid is the direction of power system development and it has aroused wide attention. It is also the physical infrastructure to integrate renewable energy into the power system. In China power grid companies are the pioneer in developing smart grids. Propelled by strong demand, China has made encouraging progress in smart grid development, esp...

China is an energy-dependent country and its rapid economic growth in the past 30 years is accompanied by tremendous energy consumption. Constrained by resource endowment, most of the primary energy consumed in China is coal, which leads to serious global, regional and local environmental issues. To ensure sustainable development, China has formula...

This chapter adopts the framework of socio-technical systems transition to discuss the development of smart grid (SG) in China. Multi-level perspective (MLP) analysis, namely landscape, regime, and niches, is presented to set the institutional background of China's power sector. Then, a scenario of power supply and demand is compiled, and its main...

China has proposed its 2020 clean energy target together with the climate change target of reducing CO2 intensity of the economy by 40-45% below the 2005 level. This article investigates the feasibility of these targets by testing their consistency under possible economic development scenarios. We analyse these targets from two perspectives: consis...

Carbon capture and storage (CCS) is the only technology available to mitigate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from large-scale fossil fuel usage. U.S. and China are the world’s largest GHG emitters. Collaboration between the two nations, therefore, offers the greatest opportunity for achieving meaningful reductions in global GHG emissions. Two count...

This research studies the low carbon transition of the electric power sector in China using a multi-level perspective (MLP) of niches, socio-technical regime, and landscape, as well as literature on innovation systems. Three lines of thought on transition process are integrated in the paper to probe the possible transition pathways in China. A MLP...

China has pledged to reduce its CO2 emissions per unit of GDP by 40–45% by 2020 as of 2005 level. This research examines China's 2020 carbon intensity target and its interdependence with the overarching national economic and social development goals. The results show that, with annual GDP growth rate at 7% during the 12th Five-Year-Plan (FYP) perio...

We present an alternative decomposition technique to identify the factors which contribute to the change of aggregate CO2 emissions by using distance functions to model the joint production of desirable and undesirable outputs. The key feature of the proposed approach is the introduction of inputs/outputs factor efficiencies, specified as distance...

Energy conservation (EC) has been taken as basic state policy in China for more than 20 years and China achieves 3.9% annual energy saving from 1980 to 2005. In 2006 China Central Government firstly set up a binding target of reducing GDP energy intensity by 20% in its 11th Five-Year-Plan (FYP). At the end of 2010, 19.1% reduction in energy intensi...

This paper studies the management and policy design for low carbon transition of electricity system in China. Based on the discussion of innovation theory, the paper firstly proposes an interactive management framework for transition management in China. The top-down line of the framework is as "vision-strategy planning-implementation plan", the bo...

Low carbon electricity is essential for China's low carbon development. In the paper low carbon electricity is defined as an economy body manages to realize its potential economic growth fueled by less electricity consumption, which can be characterized by indexes of GDP electricity intensity and CO2 emissions per unit electricity generation. IRSP...

Energy conservation has been taken as basic state policy in China for more than twenty years and China achieves great success of annual energy saving. In 2006 China Central Government firstly set up a binding target of reducing GDP energy intensity in its 11th Five-Year-Plan. With two decades of continuous efforts, for the recent 6 years from 2004,...

This paper uses a total-factor framework to investigate energy efficiency in 23 developing countries during the period of 1980-2005. We explore the total-factor energy efficiency and change trends by applying data envelopment analysis (DEA) window, which is capable of measuring efficiency in cross-sectional and time-varying data. The empirical resu...

In the paper, we propose a novel method based on wavelet analysis to test the impact of specific frequency fluctuation of series in establishing the cointegration and Granger causality among series. The method is rather time domain oriented and can rely on the standard procedure of error correction model. Then we use the method to test for electric...

In the paper, we investigate the vector error correction model considering co-feature. The identification procedure and algorithms are overviewed briefly in line with (Hecq. A., 2004). Then a simple case study for electricity consumption and economic growth in China is given for model comparison. It is found that model considering co-feature can po...

Intelligent engineering (IE) has been proposed and many real world applications have preliminarily demonstrated its viability. The main idea of intelligent engineering is multi-space operation for complex problem solving. This paper discusses on subspace operation algorithm in subspace relation in IE. Two subspace relation algorithms of serial and...

The paper examines the long-run relationship between per capita income growth, energy consumption, and pollutant emissions in China during the period 1953–2004. We find that energy consumption, pollutant emissions and income are cointegrated in the long run. To supplement the findings of cointegrating analysis, we assess the causal relationships us...

Using an aggregate production model where capital, labor and energy are treated as separate inputs, this paper tests for the existence and direction of causality between output growth and oil consumption in China. Using the Johansen cointegration technique, the empirical findings indicate that there exists long-run cointegration among output, labor...

Intelligent engineering has been proposed and many real world applications have preliminarily demonstrated its viability. The main idea of intelligent engineering is multi-space operation for complex problem solving. This paper gives a further discussion on intelligent engineering. Particularly we introduce matter-element for system state expressio...

In 2002, China began to inspire restructuring of the electric power sector to improve its performance. Especially, with the rapid increase of electricity demand in China, there is a need for non-utility generation investment that cannot be met by government finance alone. However, a first prerequisite is that regulators and decision-makers (DMs) sh...

The paper applies the cointegration theory to examine the causal relationship between electricity consumption and real GDP (Gross Domestic Product) for China during 1978-2004. Our estimation results indicate that real GDP and electricity consumption for China are cointegrated and there is only unidirectional Granger causality running from electrici...

Intelligent Engineering is kind of method incorporating artificial intelligence Neuron Network and fuzzy system and is of superiority in solving complex system concerning multiple factors. Niche Taboo optimization algorithm is good at solving non-linear optimization problem. In the paper, Intelligent Engineering is used for description of system st...

To enhance the effectiveness of electricity time-of-use (TOU) pricing, the mechanism of customer TOU response, especially that of large customer, should be researched thoroughly. Therefore multi-agents simulation is introduced. In simulation research TOU price response is taken as a decentralized decision process of all related customers, while Pow...

With the opening up of power market Generators have to deal with capacity allocation among different markets (i.e. day-ahead spot market, contract market and ancillary service market) and competition strategy optimization simultaneously. However these two interrelated problems have been studied separately with little practical reference. The alloca...

To enhance the effectiveness of electricity time-of-use (TOU) pricing, it is necessary to thoroughly research the price response mechanism of customers, especially that of large consumers. For this purpose, the multi-agent simulation is led into this paper. In simulation process the price response is regarded as the results of dispersal decision-ma...

The generator's competition strategy has become a pressing research field since the opening of power market. In real market situation Generators have to deal with capacity allocation among different markets (i.e. day-ahead spot market, contract market and ancillary service market) and competition strategy optimization simultaneously. However these...

With the reformation of electric power industry, electricity markets gradually replace the former regulated monopolistic public utilities of electric power, and the urgent requirement to the optimizing software system for transaction strategy is put forward because the corpora of markets participate in market competition. Although there are a lot o...

Time-of-use price is one of the most important means in demand side management (DSM) and the key is to set electricity price profile reasonable. This paper introduces the method of users reaction matrix to reflect the consumers' response in terms of historical time-of -use price data, and then users satisfaction index model to integrate the electri...

With the reformation of electric power industry the former regulated monopolistic public utilities of electric power are gradually replaced by electricity markets, and the urgent requirement to the optimizing software system for transaction strategy is put forward because the corpora of markets participate in market competition. Although there are...

State Power Economic Research Center, Xuanwu District, Beijing 100761, China Recently, under the paradigm of Agent-based computational economics (ACE) a new research focus is forming and a large number of associative literatures are springing up, but there is still no the discussion on the ACE's theoretical value and insufficiency in the research o...