Jesus Palomo

King Juan Carlos University | URJC · Departamento de Economía de la Empresa

The problem of calibrating computer models that produce multivariate output is considered, with a particular emphasis on the situation where the model is computationally demanding. The proposed methodology builds on Gaussian process-based response-surface approximations to each of the components of the output of the computer model to produce an emu...

We consider different models combining opinions of two experts given at specific time points when forecasting with dynamic models. We describe a Bayesian approach for inference and prediction in such situations, using both historical data and current expert's opinions. We consider cooperation cases in which experts' opinions are merged into a class...

Information overload is one of the main challenges in the current educational context. The European Space for Higher Education (ESHE) demands autonomous student's work and that the theoretical concepts introduced in class are contextualized into the current socio-economic situation. In this paper we present iCollege, a new educational platform that...

In order to fully understand the situation of women in the armed forces of NATO members, this paper sets out the various actions taken by the 28 NATO members with regards to gender integration in the armed forces. NATO members implement a range of measures to increase and enhance the participation and retention of women in the armed forces.

Throughout the text, it is emphasised that the cross-border organised crime’s main objective is financial gain. The innovation of the Directive 2014/42/ EU is to explicitly recommend that institutions advocate for the social/public interest reuse of confiscated assets. To this end, it is suggested that the authorities be provided with the necessary...

One of the biggest challenges currently facing the EU and threatening the future of many young Europeans is the increase in organised crime cases in Europe and the impact they have on citizens, business, institutions and the European economy. Among the European institutions, a sense of urgency for this problem has fortunately been growing in recent...

We aimed to evaluate the impact of sustainable tourism indicators on destination competitiveness with reference to the European Tourism Indicator System (ETIS), a scheme funded by the European Commission to address the evidence gap in tourism policy making. To do this, we evaluate the absorptive capacity of destination management organisations (DMO...

This article first outlines the conditions in which the media could contribute to creating and maintaining an atmosphere that discourages corruption practices. Second, based on the content analysis of 4361 online news articles, it demonstrates that these conditions are not present in the media coverage of corruption in Spain. The Spanish media do n...

This article first outlines the conditions in which the media could contribute to creating and maintaining an atmosphere that discourages corruption practices. Second, based on the content analysis of 4361 online news articles, it demonstrates that these conditions are not present in the media coverage of corruption in Spain. The Spanish media do n...

Private to private corruption is a global phenomenon, affecting developing and developed countries, that has been largely under-addressed, especially when comparing with public corruption and it gained the attention of academy recently. The lacking existing research on private to private corruption makes necessary the development of instruments and...

Private to private corruption is a global phenomenon, affecting developing and developed countries, that has been largely under-addressed, especially when comparing with public corruption and it gained the attention of academy recently. The lacking existing research on private to private corruption makes necessary the development of instruments and...

The involvement of competences in the teaching-learning planning process in Higher Education is essential for their success in the European Higher Education Area. This study presents a participatory multi-criteria model based on Voting Analytic Hierarchy Process (VAHP) analysis, focusing on the attainment of competences that permits consensus betwe...

La pandemia del COVID-19 es una crisis sanitaria con impactos catastróficos para el sector turístico a nivel mundial. Este capítulo identifica, en primer lugar, las crisis previas que han afectado a la evolución del turismo, destacándose la capacidad de resiliencia de los destinos. En segundo lugar, se analiza el efecto de esta pandemia en el compo...

Objectives: The main objective of this paper is to present a critical accounting of the corpus of tourism gender research in order to provoke debate about its status and about the health of tourism research in general, concentrating on whether this research area has finally ignited in 2012. This objective is based on the conclusions of a previous a...

La pandemia del COVID-19 es una crisis sanitaria con impactos catastróficos para el sector turístico a nivel mundial. Este capítulo identifica, en primer lugar, las crisis previas que han afectado a la evolución del turismo, destacándose la capacidad de resiliencia de los destinos. En segundo lugar, se analiza el efecto de esta pandemia en el compo...

The evolution of the Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs) continues generating paradigm-shifts in the tourism industry, and the incorporation of gender diversity in the managing bodies of hospitality and tourism firms can become a factor of critical success. Nevertheless, women’s under-representation on decision-making positions in ICT...

Purpose The purpose of this study is to examine Airbnb research using bibliometric methods. Using research performance analysis, this study highlights and provides an updated overview of Airbnb research by revealing patterns in journals, papers and most influential authors and countries. Furthermore, it graphically illustrates how research themes h...

The relevance and future prospects of blockchain technology in the tourism industry are not backed up by an important research corpus. Furthermore, the concept of blockchain is still blurred, not fully understood, and there is limited information around the knowledge and implementation level of blockchain in the hospitality industry. Consequently,...

El desarrollo tecnológico afecta sobremanera al sector turístico, cuyas empresas deben estar en continua adaptación para su supervivencia. La tecnología blockchain se presenta como una revolución del sector y es considerada como una de las principales tendencias emergente para el sector turístico. Dicha tecnología promete cambiar la forma en la que...

The actuality of the double gender gap, that confirms the under-representation in both decision-making and technological positions, has been hardly analysed in the tourism industry. Therefore, the aim of this paper is to identify women’s position in top management positions in some of the most important tourism-high technological organisations and...

Information overload is one of the main challenges in the current educational context, where the Internet has become a major source of information. According to the European Space for Higher Education, students must now be more autonomous and creative, with lecturers being required to provide guidance and supervision. Guiding students to search and...

The double gender gap, that shows the under-representation in both decision-making and technological positions, has not be analysed in the tourism industry, while the combination of tourism and technology is a key issue in the development of this industry. Consequently, the aim of this paper is to identify the positioning of women in top management...

The study of private corruption in Spain has been characterised by a large formal and regulatory approach of the phenomenon. Taking for granted the existence of corruption in the Spanish private sector, the majority of studies have addressed the issue from two perspectives: ethical and legal. From the point of view of ethics, analyses have been ori...

Private-to-private corruption has become an agenda-topping issue over the past twenty years because of the increasing role played by the private sector in providing public services and in controlling key sectors of the economy (Argandoña, 2003). Despite growing awareness of its extent and problematic nature, this phenomenon is still poorly defined...

Gaussian stochastic process (GaSP) emulation is a powerful tool for approximating computationally intensive computer models. However, estimation of parameters in the GaSP emulator is a challenging task. No closed-form estimator is available and many numerical problems arise with standard estimates, e.g., the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE). In t...

To the best of our knowledge, there is no work that has focused on analysing the development of the scientific production on women, peace and security. The main objective of this paper is to cover this research gap through a bibliometric analysis, that covers 95 years (1918–2013), of articles published in peer-reviewed journals extracted from the S...

This paper aims to analyze how reading news through ICT can motivate students to improve learning. In this study, almost 200 students in Finance and Marketing courses, participated in a three-month guided reading activity program. Motivation levels were evaluated both at the beginning and the end of the program through online surveys. In addition,...

Tourism is an information intensive sector and consequently decision-making entails managing and analysing an increasing quantity of information. Tourists generate incredible amounts of information, before, during and after their trips. Consequently, all kinds of tourism organizations are working to try to adapt new data techniques and methodologie...

In 2014, Spain’s Rey Juan Carlos University and the Austral- ian Human Rights Commission (AHRC), in collaboration with the Australian Chief of Defence, launched the NATO-SPS project «UNSCR 1325 Reload: An Analysis of Annual National Reports to the NATO Committee on Gender Perspectives from 1999-2013: Policies, Re- cruitment, Retention & Operations»...

En este trabajo se presenta un análisis sobre el seguimiento de la actualidad que realizan los alumnos para, a continuación, presentar una herramienta de aprendizaje que mejore dicho seguimiento y aumente el interés de los alumnos hacia dicha actualidad. La propuesta se basa en un tipo de enseñanza en el que se combine la metodología tradicional de...

The evaluation of skills is the basis for the European Higher Education Area model. Therefore, the achievement of competencies by students is a key indicator to evaluate university degrees. In recent years, the rapid rise of e-learning platforms urgently requires methodologies adapted to the European model for assessing the acquisition of competenc...

The evaluation of skills is the basis for the European Higher Education Area model. Therefore, the achievement of competencies by students is a key indicator to evaluate university degrees. In recent years, the rapid rise of e-learning platforms urgently requires methodologies adapted to the European model for assessing the acquisition of competenc...

Based on the evidence presented in this Chapter, Spain is one of the main destinations of criminal investments. Criminal activities seem to be more intense near the Spanish coastal areas with infiltration mostly in real estate, bars and restaurants, and wholesale and retail trade businesses. This chapter aims at shedding some light on organised cri...

This paper introduces the R package SAVE which implements statistical methodology for the analysis of computer models. Namely, the package includes routines that perform emulation, calibration and validation of this type of models. The methodology is Bayesian and is essentially that of Bayarri, Berger, Paulo, Sacks, Cafeo, Cavendish, Lin, and Tu (2...

The research is focused on the factors that underlie criminal activity, based on macro and micro opportunities, and that drive organized crime to/from a region or market. The correlation between tax havens and illegal trafficking routes, the impact of corruption and the rule of law, and the instruments to tackle organized crime is also addressed. A...

Illegal markets in Spain are important sources of proceeds for the economy of the organised crime groups active in the country, and a significant matter of concern for Spanish society. The presence of organised crime in Spain is not limited to recent decades, since gangs and organised smugglers have operated in the country throughout history. But S...

According to the available evidence, Spain is emerging as a major location for investments in the legitimate economy by a wide number and range of criminal groups. This phenomenon seems to be of significant importance in the Spanish public debate and on the political agenda, and aligned with the international concern regarding the increasing threat...

The Spanish legal system has undergone major changes in relation to the aspect of confiscated assets. Prior to 2010, it was not possible to apply the civil recovery of assets to criminals. Also, there was no specialised asset recovery law designed to better tackle proceeds of criminals. The organic law 5/2010, of 22nd of June transposes the RU Coun...

Criminal asset recovery and management is implemented by different governmental institutions. The Intelligence Centre against Organised Crime (CICO) and the Special Anti-Drug Prosecution Office have been designated as the Spanish contact points for asset recovery. At present, Spain has not yet officially designated and asset recovery office. The Pl...

Illegal markets in Spain are important sources of proceeds for the economy of the organised crime groups (OCGs) active in the country, and a significant matter of concern for Spanish society (Lopez, 2012). The presence of organised crime in Spain is not limited to recent decades, since gangs and organised smugglers have operated in the country thro...

Spanish institutions have been developing new methods in order to be more efficient in terms of data management (see Section 8.6 and 10.8). The present chapter will focus on the analysis of data regarding different aspects of the confiscation of assets in Spain. Criminal assets recovery and management is implemented by different governmental instit...

RESUMEN En este trabajo se presentan los resultados obtenidos en un proyecto de innovación docente basado en el autoaprendizaje de contenidos prácticos con la utilización de la información disponible en internet y la plataforma e-learning de la Universidad Rey Juan Carlos con el objetivo de complementar la formación presencial teórica. En concreto...

Las industrias culturales y creativas se están revelando como un sector en auge cuyo potencial está aún por dirimir. Sin embargo es un sector invisible de cara al reconocimiento estatal en cuanto a su actividad económica. La idea de una Cultura no lucrativa está fuertemente arraigada en la sociedad española, lo que ha llevado a no incluir este sect...

The epidemic spreading of a disease can be described by a contact network whose nodes are persons or centers of contagion, and links are heterogeneous relations among them. We provide a procedure to identify multiple sources of an outbreak or their closer neighbors. Our methodology is based on a simple spectral technique that requires only the defi...

No cabe duda que el turismo cultural ha supuesto una importante inyección económica y favorecido la modernización de la ciudad en términos culturales, arquitectónicos, urbanísticos, laborales, así como en términos de imagen, provocando un incremento de turistas y pernoctaciones, incluso en con-textos económicos complejos. Pero para materializar esa...

The new educational context defined by the European Space for Higher Education (ESHE) encourages the student’s autonomous work, that requires new tools for enhancing the information access. In this paper we present iCollege , an educational platform that is able to recover relevant information from international breaking news and present it classif...

Los Modelos de Ecuaciones Estructurales (MEE) con variables latentes proporcionan un marco muy general para modelizar las relaciones existentes en datos multivariantes. Aunque los MEE se usan más comúnmente en estudios que contienen intrínsecamente variables latentes, como por ejemplo la satisfacción del cliente, calidad de vida o el estrés, tambié...

We describe our work in developing decision support tools to manage large international rivers. This is a complex environmental decision making problem due to the presence of multiple objectives stemming from multiple uses of the reservoirs (energy production, irrigation, flood protection, £ ¤ £ ¥ £), several sources of uncertainty (inflows, water...

We provide a brief introduction to simulation methods and tools within Industrial Statistics. We illustrate both Monte Carlo and dis- crete event simulation, within a common framework, through several motivating examples showing the relevance of simulation. We then describe random number and variate generation, and how to obtain and analyse output...

A key question in evaluation of computer models is Does the computer model adequately represent reality? A six-step process for computer model validation is set out in Bayarri et al. [Technometrics 49 (2007) 138--154] (and briefly summarized below), based on comparison of computer model runs with field data of the process being modeled. The methodo...

To ascertain the viability of a project, undertake resource allocation, take part in bidding processes, and other related decisions, modern project management requires forecasting techniques for cost, duration, and performance of a project, not only under normal circumstances, but also under external events that might abruptly change the status quo...

In the engineering and contracting sector, the on-time availability of materials is a crucial element of any project. In recent years, there has been increasing competition in the supply of such components, as a result of market globalization. This has generated customer demand for higher performance, service, and quality—and, most of all, shorter...

Structural equation models (SEMs) with latent variables are routinely used in social science research, and are of increasing importance in biomedical applications. Standard practice in implementing SEMs relies on frequentist methods. This chapter provides a simple and concise description of an alternative Bayesian approach. We provide a brief overv...

La disponibilità dei componenti d'impianto, nei tempi in cui i processi di montaggio ne necessitano, è un elemento cruciale per ogni progetto nel settore dell'impiantistica industriale. Negli ultimi anni si è assistito a un aumento della concorrenza nel settore degli approvvigionamenti della componentistica causato dalla globalizzazione e liberaliz...

Hydrology and water resources management are inherently affected by uncertainty in many of their involved processes, including inflows, rainfall, water demand, evaporation, etc. Statistics plays, therefore, an essential role in their study. We review here some recent advances within Bayesian statistics and decision analysis which will have a profou...