Jens Schippl

• Karlsruhe Institute of Technology

This systematic literature review inquires into the role of socio-technical experiments for autonomous driving and their potential to shape mobility transitions towards sustainability. As an emerging technology in an early stage of transition, AVs are increasingly being tested in different spatial contexts with diverse actor constellations in order...

Many experts assume that increasing automation will lead to far-reaching changes in the mobility system. The pace and direction of this transition are a matter of great social interest. Therefore, the inclusion of citizens’ perspectives is called for. However, similar as with other research approaches in technology assessment, there are two major c...

Sociotechnical development is often described as an evolutionary process of a series of connected changes in different domains, including technology, the economy, institutions, innovation policies, behavior, culture, ecology, and belief systems. Many experts point to the great transformative potential of automated vehicles in the mobility sector, a...

It is widely acknowledged that social acceptance of automated vehicles (AVs) is a crucial factor for the future development and deployment of the technology in mobility systems. In general, mobility systems are sociotechnical systems. Their design and development depend on a multitude of technical and non-technical factors, including aspects of pub...

This systematic literature review inquires into the role of socio-technical experiments for autonomous driving and their potential to shape mobility transitions towards sustainability. As an emerging technology in an early stage of transition, AVs are increasingly being tested in different spatial contexts with diverse actor constellations in order...

It is often assumed, at least implicitly, that responsible governance of automated vehicles (AVs) requires more knowledge about the future development of the innovation and its potential consequences. In this context, technology assessment (TA) studies often refer to the so-called Collingridge-dilemma. This paper argues that, at least in the German...

Wir stellen Ergebnisse einer repräsentativen Bevölkerungsumfrage (N = 1.507) vor, die wir 2022 in Deutschland durchgeführt haben. Dabei konzentrieren wir uns auf ein Fragenset, das sich den Einstellungen zu restriktiven Maßnahmen im Bereich individueller Pkw-Mobilität widmet.

Zusammenfassung In Kap. 3 wird zunächst aufgezeigt, welche verkehrlichen Folgen und Risiken mit avF einhergehen können und wie diese von der Nutzungsform und der Regulierung automatisierter Fahrzeuge abhängen. Weiter behandelt werden die Anforderungen von avF an Infrastrukturen wie Straßen, Parkraum, aber auch an die digitale Verkehrsinfrastruktur,...

Social acceptance is seen as an important prerequisite for a successful adoption and diffusion of automated driving technologies and services. The paper presents a proposal about how social acceptance could be conceptualized and argues that expectations and promises regarding the role of autonomous driving in future mobility systems should play an...

Most experts agree that automated vehicles (AV) will be commercialized sooner or later and that this will lead to far-reaching changes in the mobility system. However, it is still open whether these developments will lead to more sustainable transport systems. AVs may render private car ownership more attractive and therefore intensify car-oriented...

Viele ExpertInnen gehen davon, dass automatisiertes Fahren (AF) in den nächsten Jahrzehnten zu tiefgreifenden Änderungen des Mobilitätssystems führen kann. Soziale Akzeptanz wird oft als wichtiger Einflussfaktor dafür gesehen, wie schnell und in welcher Form sich automatisierte Fahrtechnologien und -dienste verbreiten. Angesichts der ihr zugeschri...

Viele ExpertInnen gehen davon, dass automatisiertes Fahren (AF) in den nächsten Jahrzehnten zu tiefgreifendenÄnderungen des Mobilitätssystems führen kann. Soziale Akzeptanz wird oft als wichtiger Einflussfaktor dafür gesehen,wie schnell und in welcher Form sich automatisierte Fahrtechnologien und -dienste verbreiten. Angesichtsder ihr zugeschrieben...

Automated driving is widely assumed to play a major role in future mobility. In this paper, we focus on “high driving automation” (SAE level 4) and analyze potentials in terms of more efficient traffic flows, travel times, and user benefits as well as potential impacts on urban neighborhoods and potentials for sustainable urban development. Along s...

The current rapid development of online car-hailing services creates a serious challenge to the existing paradigm of market governance and antitrust policy. However, the debate on the market structure of the car-hailing platform requires more empirical evidence to uncover its functions. This research adopts an interdisciplinary methodology based on...

Policy documents as well the scientific discourse on automated driving regularly make reference to ‘social acceptance’ as an important prerequisite for the successful adoption and diffusion of this technology. At the same time, this term is surprisingly underconceptualized. In this paper, we discuss various perspectives on the acceptance of AD, pro...

Mit diesen Fragen endet die Einleitung des Abschlussberichts der Ethikkommission »Automatisiertes und vernetztes Fahren«, die vom Bundesministerium für Verkehr und Digitale Infrastruktur eingesetzt wurde. Auch wenn den 2017 veröffentlichten Ergebnissen der Kommission neben viel Anerkennung auch auf Kritik zuteil wurde, so zeigt doch bereits die Exi...

Large-scale changes are expected for urban mobility systems, triggered by digitalization and various other factors such as climate concerns or urbanization. For researchers and planners, it is therefore becoming increasingly important to understand the determinants of variability and stability of travel decisions. The motivation for the study is th...

Viele Städte zielen darauf ab, die Anzahl und Nutzung privater Pkws zu reduzieren, um mehr Raum für andere Verkehrsmittel zu schaffen sowie die Aufenthaltsqualität im öffentlichen Raum zu erhöhen. Die Digitalisierung bringt hier neue Optionen, die über Apps den Zugang zu Alternativen zum eigenen Pkw erleichtern oder neue Angebote ermöglichen (z.B....

This paper explores how the Capability Approach (CA) can enrich the concept of energy justice by assessing the impact of two cases of digitalisation in the energy sector. Digitalisation promises technical solutions to pressing challenges in the energy sector such as climate change and fossil fuel scarcity. Current academic and popular discussions o...

Der Beitrag befasst sich mit dem Verhältnis von Mobilitätsforschung und Technikfolgenabschätzung in seiner zeitlichen Entwicklung. Dabei ordnet es beide Forschungsrichtungen in das (forschungs-)politische Umfeld ein und diskutiert typische TA-Aktivitäten im Mobilitätsbereich anhand von aktuellen Beispielen. Er ist Teil des Handbuchs Technikfolgenab...

How does the spatial context shape early innovation trajectories and how will this influence the directionality of transitions? We elaborate these questions for the case of transitions in personal mobility, focusing on emerging trajectories of electric vehicles and autonomous driving. We analyze how the dynamics depend on whether innovation and tra...

Automated driving will change the Swiss transport system over the coming decades. The development will be strongly influenced by technological advances. According to most experts, the associated challenges appear to be solvable. Often, however, there is no reference to the legal and infrastructural situation, to concrete applications or the general...

It is widely acknowledged that strategies to decarbonize energy systems cannot omit the mobility sector. For several decades, particularly in urban areas, a shift from car-based mobility to more environmental-friendly modes has been high on political agendas. Progress has been made in many urban areas, but so far only in small, rather incremental s...

Personal Aerial Transportation Systems (PATS) are an emerging form of transportation that promise to combine the best of ground-based and air-based transportation and to overcome the problems associated with either of these forms of transportation. PATS are discussed as a means to reduce urban congestion by making use of free space in the air. Base...

The digital revolution of the energy system promises a new sustainable energy future, but risks security and privacy. How to balance or at least compare these risks against other values like more sustainability is far from obvious and poses severe challenges for the orientation knowledge of technology assessment (TA). This paper explores the Capabi...

Dieses Kapitel geht der Frage nach, mit welchen unterschiedlichen Wissenstypen die komplexen Transformationsdynamiken der Energiesysteme beschrieben werden können. Eingangs wird an Beispielen die Komplexität des Energiesystems beschrieben, um dann anhand der Wissenstypen System-, Orientierungs- und Gestaltungswissen jeweilige Ziele, Methoden und Gr...

Die Mobilitätsforschung erwartet, dass hoch- oder vollautomatisierte Fahrzeuge in absehbarer Zeit zugelassen werden – auch wenn in der Öffentlichkeit weiterhin Skepsis herrscht. Aber wird sich die Automatisierung des Straßenverkehrs als Fluch oder als Segen für Konzepte nachhaltiger Mobilität erweisen? Ein TATuP-Thema herausgegeben von Torsten Flei...

Dieses TATuP-Thema präsentiert erste Perspektiven, Indiziensammlungen und Diskussionsbeiträge zum Themenfeld des automatisierten Fahrens, das seit einigen Jahren ein wichtiger Gegenstand der Mobilitätsforschung geworden ist. Auch wenn in der Öffentlichkeit weiterhin verbreitet Skepsis hinsichtlich der technischen und organisatorischen Reife herrsch...

There seems to be a kind of hype around the advent of automated and maybe even driverless vehicles. It is quite obvious that fast progress is made in this field. But will further automation hamper or support transitions toward more sustainable transport? When Moshe Givoni visited the Institute for Technology Assessment and Systems Analysis at Karls...

Dieses TATuP-Thema präsentiert erste Perspektiven, Indiziensammlungen und Diskussionsbeiträge zum Themenfeld des automatisierten Fahrens, das seit einigen Jahren ein wichtiger Gegenstand der Mobilitätsforschung geworden ist. Auch wenn in der Öffentlichkeit weiterhin verbreitet Skepsis hinsichtlich der technischen und organisatorischen Reife herrsch...

Die Helmholtz-Allianz ENERGY-TRANS1 wurde im Jahr 2011 kurz nach den Ereignissen in Fukushima und den darauf folgenden Entscheidungen über die deutsche Energiewende gegründet und endete fristgerecht in 2016. Die Allianz war von der Ausgangsdiagnose getragen, dass die Energiewende – der rasche Ausstieg aus der Kernenergie und der langfristige Aussti...

The strategy of using biogenic resources in a bioeconomy could be seen as one answer to the geopolitical challenges the world is facing in the twenty-first century. One of those challenges is the closing of the prosperity gap between rich and poor countries. However, considering the current global population growth and anthropogenically induced cli...

Sustainability transitions of sectors like energy, transport or water have become explicit goals of national policy programs in several parts of the world. The governance of associated innovation and transformation processes requires an integrated assessment on how new and seemingly superior technologies will interact with manifold societal, econom...

In Europe, the technology development of high-speed trains is increasingly exposed to societal needs, driven by ICT advancements, external to traditional design. Together with the liberalisation of the rail markets and increase pressures from other transport modes leads to an unprecedented situation where planers, operators and suppliers of high-sp...

The 2011 White Paper on Transport of the European Commission spells out a series of targets for 2030 and 2050. One of the 10 targets is explicitly related to urban transport and stipulates: “Halve the use of ‘conventionally fuelled’ cars in urban transport by 2030; phase them out in cities by 2050. Achieve essentially CO2-free city logistics in maj...

Model-based energy scenarios are a widely used tool for supporting economic and political decision makers. The results of energy modeling and the conclusions deduced therefrom, however, depend on the model input data derived from framework assumptions about future developments in the embedding society, which are deeply uncertain in the long term. T...

In Europe, the technology development of high-speed trains is increasingly exposed to societal needs, driven by ICT advancements, external to traditional design. Together with the liberalisation of the rail markets and increase pressures from other transport modes leads to an unprecedented situation where planers, operators and suppliers of high-sp...

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to illustrate and discuss how stakeholder assessment of scenarios can be used to trigger a structured and, therefore, more efficient debate amongst stakeholders about future options for achieving a more eco-efficient transport system in Europe. Particularly, it wants to explore the extent to which a distinctio...

Nach der Reaktorkatastrophe in Fukushima 2011 wurde die Helmholtz-Allianz ENERGY-TRANS gegründet, um die technisch ausgerichtete Energieforschung um eine sozialwissenschaftlich geprägte interdisziplinäre Perspektive zu ergänzen. Seit 2012 haben die Wissen-schaftler(innen) hier über ihre Projekte berichtet. ENERGY-TRANS wird fristgerecht Ende 2016 b...

In the transport sector, where change comes with inertia and investments are made with a long term perspective, decision makers need to consider how the future may look like in the very long term. The work presented in this paper is a scenario analysis focusing on the evolution of transport demand towards 2050, aiming to identify related challenges...

In its 2011 Transport Policy White Paper, the European Commission introduced ten targets to be met in order to reach a more competitive and resource efficient transport system. The following dual goal focused on urban transport and commuting: “To halve the use of ‘conventionally-fuelled’ cars in urban transport by 2030; and to phase them out by 205...

Auch für die Technikfolgenabschätzung (TA) als ein wissenschaftlicher Bewertungsansatz stellen Umweltwirkungen und deren Bewertung in der Regel ein sehr wichtiger Aspekt dar. Umweltwirkungen werden dabei aber explizit innerhalb eines breiteren Kontextes gesellschaftlicher Aspekte betrachtet. Umwelt und Ökologie sind bei der Technikfolgenabschätzung...

This paper addresses the relevance of the demand side for the achievement of sustainable transport in urban areas. The underlying thesis is that a better understanding of user habits, perceptions and attitudes with its specific dynamics is essential for a successful design of targeted transport policies. In line with this, the paper at hand is base...

Zweifellos sind Verkehrssysteme stark von technischem Fortschritt abhängig. Die Ent-wicklung der Eisenbahn, des Automobils oder der Luftfahrt wurde erst durch techni-sche Innovationen ermöglicht – Innovatio-nen, die sich ohne Zweifel durch erhebliche gesellschaftliche Relevanz auszeichnen, wohlmerklich global und kulturübergreifend. So kann es nich...

Single policies or entire policy packages are often assessed using different methods aiming at a quantification of effects as well as the detection of undesired outcomes. The knowledge of potential impacts is essential to take informed policy actions. Hence, there is a constant need for efficient assessment approaches to support policy decision-mak...

Technology assessment (TA) is defined asproblem-oriented transdisciplinary research that aims at working out solutions for societal problems. It provides advice to those in politics, science and wider society on issues related to research, technologyand innovation. There is widespread agreement that TA should start at an early phase in order to con...

Single policies or entire policy packages are often assessed using different methods aiming at a quantification of effects as well as the detection of undesired outcomes. The knowledge of potential impacts is essential to take informed policy actions. Hence, there is a constant need for efficient assessment approaches to support policy decision-mak...

Die deutsche Energiewende erfordert veränderte Infrastrukturen der Energieversorgung. Daher fördert die Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft die Allianz ENERGY-TRANS, bestehend aus vier Helmholtz-Zentren, drei Universitäten und einer außeruniversitären Einrichtung. Ihr geht es um einen Perspektivenwechsel: Der Umbau der Energie infrastrukturen wird verstärkt von...

Purpose – As in other socio‐technical fields, future‐oriented technology analysis (FTA) methods are used in transport planning to provide knowledge for decision‐making. Potential effects of policy interventions should be assessed; risk and uncertainties should be reduced; unintended effects should be avoided. A variety of tools and methods of rathe...

This paper describes the European Commission (EC) Framework 7 funded project myCopter (2011-2014). The project is still at an early stage so the paper starts with the current transportation issues faced by developed countries and describes a means to solve them through the use of personal aerial transportation. The concept of personal air vehicles...

This paper describes the European Commission Framework 7 funded project myCopter (2011-2014). The paper starts with the current transportation issues faced by developed countries and describes a means to solve them through the use of personal aerial transportation. The concept of personal air vehicles (PAV) is briefly reviewed and how this project...

This paper describes the European Commission Framework 7 funded project myCopter (2011-2014). The paper starts with the current transportation issues faced by developed countries and describes a means to solve them through the use of personal aerial transportation. The concept of personal air vehicles (PAV) is briefly reviewed and how this project...

Despite the ongoing discussion on global warming, oil consumption and greenhouse gas emissions within the transport sector are still increasing. During the last decades, the European transport sector has been characterised by an impressive increase in overall transport volume and by exceeding growth rates in road and air transport. Policy papers an...

Current road transportation systems throughout the European Union suffer from severe congestion problems. A solution can be to move towards a Personal Aerial Transportation System, in which vehicles would also have vertical space at their disposal. In the myCopter project, funded by the European Union under the 7th Framework Programme, the viabilit...

This paper is based on parts of Deliverable 2 of the European Project OPTIC (Optimal Policies for Transport in Combination, see DLR and KIT, 2010). It focuses on the development of an inventory of tools and methods for the early detection of unintended effects. Additionally, it deals with the question of when and where integrating assessment approa...

Der effiziente Umgang mit knappen natürlichen Rohstoffen ist ein wichtiger Baustein für eine nachhaltige Weltwirtschaft. Er kann dazu beitragen, die Reichweite der Rohstoffreserven im Interesse künftiger Generationen zu verlängern, das Versorgungsrisiko zu mindern, die Kosten der Produktion zu senken und die Umwelt zu entlasten. Ausgewählte Ergebni...

Vor dem Hintergrund zahlreicher Umwelt- probleme wird die Nachfrage nach Umwelttechnologien global stark ansteigen. Ein gezielter Ausbau der Technologieentwicklung in Deutsch- land verspricht neben den positiven Umweltfolgen, wirtschaftliche Gewinne und Entwicklungsperspektiven.

Kurzfassung: Mit breiter gesellschaftlicher Unterstützung hat die Bundesregierung im Juni 2010 die Energiewende beschleunigt, die bereits im September 2010 angelegt war. Technisch geht es dabei zunächst um das Ersetzen bestimmter Energietechnologien, vornehmlich Kernkraft und ältere Kohlekraftwerke, durch andere, in erster Linie erneuerbare Energie...