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  • Jaime Ribalaygua
Jaime Ribalaygua

Jaime Ribalaygua
  • President at Fundación para la Investigación del Clima

About

40
Publications
17,192
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1,438
Citations
Current institution
Fundación para la Investigación del Clima
Current position
  • President

Publications

Publications (40)
Article
Full-text available
Wildfires pose an increasing threat to society, requiring appropriate approaches to understand the components of risk to design effective mitigation strategies. Under this premise, we present a comprehensive methodology to assess the probability of ignition of human-caused wildfires, one of the key drivers of risk. Our approach combines historical...
Experiment Findings
Full-text available
HiDALGO2 focuses on the development of high-fidelity simulations to address critical global challenges. This document builds on the foundations of D5.3 [1] by highlighting the research advances achieved within the HiDALGO2 project between M11 and M23 across the five pilot applications: Urban Air Project (UAP), Urban Buildings (UB), Renewable Energy...
Article
Full-text available
The climate over Europe has been recorded to be hotter, drier, and more fire-prone over the last decade than ever before, leading to concerns about how climate change will alter fire weather in the future. A typical measure to estimate fire weather severity based on climate is the Canadian fire weather index (FWI). In this study, we used high-resol...
Experiment Findings
Full-text available
In pursuit of addressing global challenges and to provide stakeholders and decision makers tools that allow to mitigate tragic consequences, HiDALGO2 has embarked on a mission to integrate, implement, and optimize selected environmental use cases using advanced simulation systems. These endeavours, owing to their intricacy, require the utilization...
Article
Full-text available
Climate change effects on subdaily rainfall (from 5 min to a few hours) can hardly be measured in mid‐latitude climates due to the high natural variability of the precipitation patterns and their effects on local topography. The goal of this study was to obtain change projections of intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curves, for up to 2‐h precipita...
Article
Full-text available
Background Lightning is the most common origin of natural fires, being strongly linked to specific synoptic conditions associated with atmospheric instability, such as dry thunderstorms; dry fuels are required for ignition to take place and for subsequent propagation. Aims The aim was to predict the daily probability of ignition by exploiting a la...
Chapter
Full-text available
O período entre 2018 e 2022 mostrou-nos que o problema dos incêndios à escala global não está a diminuir, antes pelo contrário. Parece que as consequências das alterações climáticas já estão a afectar a ocorrência de incêndios florestais em várias partes do Mundo, de uma forma que só esperaríamos que acontecesse vários anos mais tarde. Em muitos pa...
Article
Full-text available
A detailed analysis of distribution shifts in Pinus hartwegii Lindl. is provided across time for Izta-Popo National Park (México). Combining satellite images, species distribution models, and connectivity analysis we disentangled the effect of climate change and anthropogenic land use on the habitat availability. Twenty-four Maxent habitat suitabil...
Presentation
Full-text available
Presentation made during the UHINAK IV the Cross-border conference on climate and coastal change that took place in Irún (Spain) during the days 4-5 of November 2020. The abstract works on a comparative study between the ECCLIPSE and CRISI-ADAPT II European projects regarding their respective local future climate scenarios in the Port of Valencia....
Article
Full-text available
Dynamical climate models present an initialization problem due to the poor availability of deep oceanic data, which is required for the model assimilation process. In this sense, teleconnection indices, defined from spatial and temporal patterns of climatic variables, are conceived as useful tools to complement them. In this work, the near‐term cli...
Article
Full-text available
The spatial dependence of meteorological variables is crucial for many impacts, for example, droughts, floods, river flows, energy demand, and crop yield. There is thus a need to understand how well it is represented in downscaling (DS) products. Within the COST Action VALUE, we have conducted a comprehensive analysis of spatial variability in the...
Article
Full-text available
A two-step statistical downscaling method has been reviewed and adapted to simulate twenty-first-century climate projections for the Gulf of Fonseca (Central America, Pacific Coast) using Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) climate models. The downscaling methodology is adjusted after looking for good predictor fields for this area (where...
Article
Full-text available
VALUE is an open European collaboration to intercompare downscaling approaches for climate change research, focusing on different validation aspects (marginal, temporal, extremes, spatial, process‐based, etc.). Here we describe the participating methods and first results from the first experiment, using “perfect” reanalysis (and reanalysis‐driven r...
Research
Supplement containing the detailed results from the simulations: expected relative seasonal changes in daily absolute precipitation (mm/day) and daily mean temperature (ºC) throughout the XXI century per meteorological station and each of the climate change studied scenarios, predicted daily mean air temperature; predicted daily mean streamflow, an...
Article
Full-text available
Climate changes affect aquatic ecosystems by altering temperatures and precipitation patterns, and the rear edges of the distributions of cold-water species are especially sensitive to these effects. The main goal of this study was to predict in detail how changes in air temperature and precipitation will affect streamflow, the thermal habitat of a...
Article
Full-text available
Climate change affects aquatic ecosystems altering temperature and precipitation patterns, and the rear edge of the distribution of cold-water species is especially sensitive to them. The main goal was to predict in detail how change in air temperature and precipitation will affect streamflow, the thermal habitat of a cold-water fish (brown trout,...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
RESUMEN La eficiencia en el uso de los recursos naturales es una prioridad para garantizar la sostenibilidad económica y ambiental de la agricultura. El proyecto Riego-Asesor analiza las relaciones entre la variabilidad climática y las necesidades requeridas en la gestión hídrica agrícola para así diseñar una batería de buenas prácticas de riego en...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
Streamflow and temperature regimes are well-known to influence on the availability of suitable physical habitat for instream biological communities. General Circulation Models (GCMs) have predicted significant changes in timing and geographic distribution of precipitation and atmospheric temperature for the ongoing century. However, differences in...
Article
Full-text available
This paper addresses the determination of the realized thermal niche and the effects of climate change on the range distribution of two brown trout populations inhabiting two streams in the Duero River basin (Iberian Peninsula) at the edge of the natural distribution area of this species. For reaching these goals, new methodological developments we...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
This study is aimed at forecasting the changes in the suitability of brown trout habitat (Salmo trutta L.), caused by alterations in the stream temperature and the flow regime under climate change scenarios. The stream temperature and instantaneous flow in several streams in Central Spain were modelled from daily temperature and precipitation data....
Technical Report
Full-text available
Análisis de la vulnerabilidad al cambio climático de bosques de montaña en Latinoamérica: un punto de partida para su gestión adaptativa
Article
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The Mediterranean coast of Spain often experiences intense rainfall, sometimes reaching remarkable amounts of more than 400 mm in one day. The aim of this work is to study possible changes of extreme precipitation in Spain for this century, simulated from several Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) climate models. Eighteen climate...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
Water temperature is a central issue in freshwater ecology because it influences on physical, chemical and biological processes and, therefore, on organisms that live all the time or part of this in water. Therefore, climate change might drive the availability of suitable habitat for many fish species including brown trout. This paper deals with th...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
Water temperature is a central issue in freshwater ecology because it influences on physical, chemical and biological processes and, therefore, on organisms that live all the time or part of this in water. Therefore, climate change might drive the availability of suitable habitat for many fish species including brown trout. This paper deals with th...
Article
The evaluation of the possible climate change influence on extreme precipitation is very interesting in the Mediterranean area due to the usual and characteristic high intensities of its rainfall pattern. This analysis is also very important in urban zones, especially those densely populated with complex sewer systems, generally vulnerable to torre...
Article
Full-text available
This study describes a two-step analogue statistical downscaling method for daily temperature and precipitation. The first step is an analogue approach: the “n” days most similar to the day to be downscaled are selected. In the second step, a multiple regression analysis using the “n” most analogous days is performed for temperature, whereas for pr...
Article
By applying a two-step statistical downscaling technique to four climate models under different future emission scenarios, we produced future projections of the daily precipitation and the maximum and minimum temperatures over the Spanish region of Aragón. The reliability of the downscaling technique was assessed by a verification process involving...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
1) Fundación para la Investigación del Clima, Madrid, , (3) Facultad de Ciencias. Universidad San Jorge. Zaragoza, Spain Climate and soil are two of the most important limiting factors for agricultural production. Nowadays climate change has been documented in many geographical locations affecting different cropping systems. The General Circulation...
Article
Full-text available
The Climatic Research Unit (CRU) is widely recognised as one of the world's leading institutions concerned with the study of natural and anthropogenic climate change. CRU is part of the School of Environmental Sciences at the University of East Anglia in Norwich. The aim of the Climatic Research Unit is to improve scientific understanding in three...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
Tenerife, the largest of the seven Canary Islands, has the highest elevation of Spain, the Teide volcano (3.718 m. – the third largest volcano in the world from its base). Its climate is hard influenced both for its tropical latitude and for its exposition to the Trade Winds (alisios), which blow from the northeast for almost the whole year. These...
Article
Heavy and sudden rainfalls regularly affect the Mediterranean area, so a great number of people and buildings are exposed to the risk of rain-generated floods. Climate change is expected to modify this risk and, in the case that extreme rainfalls increase in frequencies and intensity, this could result in important damages, particularly in urban ar...
Article
Full-text available
1] This paper compares six statistical downscaling models (SDMs) and three regional climate models (RCMs) in their ability to downscale daily precipitation statistics in a region of complex topography. The six SDMs include regression methods, weather typing methods, a conditional weather generator, and a bias correction and spatial disaggregation a...

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