Ivan Djuric

Ivan Djuric
Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies | IAMO · Department of Agricultural Markets, Marketing and World Agricultural Trade

Dr. agr.

About

39
Publications
7,455
Reads
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183
Citations
Citations since 2016
24 Research Items
174 Citations
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20162017201820192020202120220102030405060
20162017201820192020202120220102030405060
20162017201820192020202120220102030405060
Additional affiliations
January 2014 - present
Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies
Position
  • Senior Researcher
Description
  • project planning and coordination, price transmission, trade policy, agricultural policy measures, and supply chain competitiveness.
September 2012 - September 2014
Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies
Position
  • Global food security and the grain markets of Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan
Description
  • price transmission and agricultural policy analysis.
January 2012 - December 2013
Leibniz-Institute of Agricultural Development in Central and Easter Europe
Position
  • Research collaboration with Serbia 2012/2013
Description
  • project planning and coordination, price transmission analysis, and agricultural policy analysis.
Education
February 2009 - January 2014
Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg
Field of study
  • Agricultural Economics
October 2005 - October 2006
L’Institut Supérieur d’Agriculture de Lille – ISA
Field of study
  • Agricultural and rural development
October 2000 - June 2005
Faculty of Agriculture
Field of study
  • Agricultural economics

Publications

Publications (39)
Article
Full-text available
This study investigates price relationships along the Norwegian salmon value chains in France, the EU’s leading consumption market for salmon, and Poland, the EU’s largest “processing hub.” Using a vector error correction model framework, our results indicate that the salmon price determination is a supplier-driven process, with the export prices i...
Article
Full-text available
The war in Ukraine has aggravated existing tensions on the agricultural commodities market. Since late 2021, prices for commodities such as grains and vegetable oils have reached record highs, surpassing even the levels of the global food price crises of more than a decade ago. Now, the invasion of Russian forces in Ukraine has sent prices soaring...
Technical Report
Full-text available
The war in Ukraine has aggravated existing tensions on the agricultural commodities market. Since late 2021, prices for commodities such as grains and vegetable oils have reached record highs, surpassing even the levels of the global food price crises of more than a decade ago. Now, the invasion of Russian forces in Ukraine has sent prices soaring...
Technical Report
Full-text available
Der Ukrainekrieg offenbart angespannte Versorgungslagen auf Weltagrarmärkten: Gefordert sind wettbewerblich agierende globale Handelsstrukturen zur Krisen-bewältigung¹ Der Krieg in der Ukraine hat die seit zwei Jahren bestehende an-gespannte Versorgungslage auf den internationalen Agrarroh-stoffmärkten nochmals verstärkt. Die Preise für Agrarrohsto...
Technical Report
Full-text available
Task 5.4 Persistence of supply chain relations (M24-34) Lead partner: IAMO; Task members: All partners leading a case study This task focuses on chain relation histories in order to analyse persistence, and thus sustainability and its determinants of business/trade relationships along the selected food supply chains. The market entry and exit of a...
Article
Full-text available
Trade agreements with the European Union (EU) and Central European Free Trade Agreement (CEFTA) significantly influenced the liberalisation of agri-food products in Western Balkan (WB) countries. In all Western Balkan countries, there has been an intensification of the trade of agri-food products and a partial change in the regional and commodity s...
Article
Full-text available
Over the last two decades, three countries in the Black Sea Region—Russia, Ukraine, and Kazakhstan—became global leaders in grain production and trade, and replaced the USA and France as the most previous largest wheat exporting countries. In this study we investigate world wheat price linkages and identify the current “price leaders” of the global...
Article
Full-text available
Although the concept of self-sufficiency has been accepted both in developed and developing countries, alternated with periods of its rejections, the food crisis from 2007/08 and COVID-19 pandemic returned focus to the availability of countries to be self-sufficient in food production. Considering the concerns over ensuring food security in many co...
Article
Full-text available
Trust in information originating from a company is becoming essential, as consumer preferences are increasingly versatile and oriented towards credence attributes. Social media, which emerged as a dominant means of online communication, might help increase consumers’ trust in companies. The paper empirically investigates a conceptual trust-building...
Technical Report
Full-text available
The aim of this report is to provide insights into price dynamics and power relationships between actors of selected Food Value Chains (FVC). Following the main focus of the VALUMICS project, provided analysis refers to salmon, tomato, dairy and wheat case studies in selected EU and non-EU countries. The analysis presented in this deliverable great...
Article
Full-text available
The causes of food price spikes are complex, and their impact on different countries varies depending on production levels and the varied policies in place. Countries in Central Asia and the Caucasus (CAC) region have implemented a wide range of reforms that vary in form and speed. The existing scientific literature reports about the consequences o...
Article
Full-text available
With the implementation of the Russian import ban as a countermeasure to the EU sanctions in the context of the Ukrainian crisis, trade relations between the EU and Russia reached their lowest level in 2014. In this paper, we model several trade policy scenarios and assess their effects on domestic agricultural production and trade in Russia, the E...
Article
Full-text available
We investigated wheat price relationships between the import-dependent countries in Central Asia and the South Caucasus and the Black Sea wheat exporters to assess wheat market efficiency. This is crucial for ensuring availability and access to wheat and for reducing food insecurity. Results from linear and threshold error correction models suggest...
Chapter
Full-text available
This is a part of following VALUMICS report: Barling, D., Sharpe, R., Gresham, J., Mylona, K. (2018). Characterisation framework of key policy, regulatory and governance dynamics and impacts upon European food value chains: Fairer trading practices, food integrity, and sustainability collaborations. The VALUMICS project “Understanding Food Value Ch...
Article
Full-text available
Over the last decade, Lithuanian pork sector faced dramatic changes, where trade relations with Russia had an important role. The research problem is defined as follows: how does the trade ban of Russia, imposed towards live pigs and pork originating from Lithuania, affect price changes on domestic Lithuanian pork market? The research aims at estim...
Article
Our approach combines price transmission and gross margin analysis at different stages of the wheat-to-bread supply chain. Results suggest that the effects of export restrictions on the end consumer prices for bread, and thus food price inflation, heavily depend on the price behavior of the intermediates. In contrast to theory, consumers in Serbia...
Article
We build on the price transmission framework to identify domestic wheat price effects of wheat export controls. We explicitly take into account that a harvest failure causes domestic price effects. Moreover, the analysis at the regional level provides further evidence of the functioning of export controls in a large country. Results suggest a prono...
Presentation
Full-text available
The aim of this paper is to investigate the extent to which selected CIS agricultural markets are integrated on the regional level, with the EU, and selected international markets. We use several econometric models ranging from linear vector error-correction to non-linear threshold autoregressive models. Our results show that all selected CIS marke...
Technical Report
Full-text available
This report represents the third stage of investigating the performance of selected supply chains in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) under Working Package 4 of the AGRICISTRADE project. In this report we aim at investigating how fast and to which extent price changes are transmitted along the selected supply chains in selected CIS coun...
Technical Report
Full-text available
Significant changes in the geopolitical focus of the former Soviet Union countries contributes to their stronger economic and trade relations with the European Union (EU). Some of the reasons for further integration between the EU and its eastern neighbors can be found in the following trade developments: negotiations about free trade agreements be...
Article
Full-text available
Die russischen Interventionen auf der Krim im März 2014 und in der Ostukraine hatten deutliche Konsequenzen für die Agrarwirtschaft der Ukraine. Der Ausfall der von Russland annektierten Autonomen Republik Krim und der von den Separatisten kontrollierten sechs von 18 Rayons im Gebiet Luhansk sowie fünf von 18 Rayons im Gebiet Donezk haben zu spürba...
Article
Kazakhstan, Russia and Ukraine (KRU) are among the grain-exporting countries that implemented wheat export restrictions between 2007 and 2011 during the global commodity price peaks. This chapter provides an overview on the price effects induced by wheat export controls in the KRU region. It becomes evident that the domestic price effects of export...
Article
This article analyzes how the market interventions of the Serbian government, among them an export ban, affected the domestic wheat market during the global commodity price peak in 2007–2008. We choose a flexible Markov-switching error-correction model as the framework for our price transmission analysis. The results show that the price transmissio...
Article
Full-text available
Der Kornkammer des Ostens, namentlich Russland, der Ukraine und Kasachstan, wird aufgrund riesiger Flächen- und Ertragspotenziale eine zunehmende Bedeutung für die Weltgetreidemärkte zugesprochen. Allerdings blockieren widersinnige Markt- und Handelspolitiken, anhaltende betriebliche Produktivitätslücken sowie Defizite in der Vermarktungsinfrastruk...
Thesis
The aim of this study is to analyze the impact of governmental market interventions in Serbia, among them a wheat export ban, on the country’s integration into the international wheat market and the domestic wheat-to-bread supply chain during the global commodity price peaks in 2007/08 and 2010/11. By applying two regime-dependent price transmissio...
Article
Full-text available
Are Eastern European agricultural markets working? Beware of state-prescribed market interventions! Substantial danger exists that politically prescribed market inter-ventions, designed to counter a supposed failure of the markets, will leave markets functioning worse rather than better. This is particularly true of Eastern European transition coun...
Article
Full-text available
Many countries restricted their exports to world agricultural markets during the most recent price peaks in order to insulate their domestic agricultural prices from price developments in international markets. Their ultimate aim was countering the rise in food price inflation and protecting consumers from high food expenses. This Policy Brief revi...
Article
Full-text available
We analyze how the governmental market interventions during the commodity price peaks 2007/2008 and 2010/2011 have affected the transmission of price changes along the wheat-to-bread supply chain in Serbia. We aim to investigate if consumers benefitted from the wheat and flour export restrictions, which were supplemented by governmental wheat purch...
Article
We analyze how the governmental market interventions during the commodity price peaks 2007/2008 and 2010/2011 have affected the transmission of price changes along the wheat-to-bread supply chain in Serbia. We aim to investigate if consumers benefitted from the wheat and flour export restrictions or if other members along the supply chain were able...
Article
This paper analyzes how the market interventions of the Serbian government during the food crisis 2007/2008, inter alia a de facto export ban, have affected domestic wheat market. Besides a comprehensive description of the crisis policy and its effects on the Serbian wheat market, we investigate how it influences the equilibrium and stability of th...
Article
Full-text available
This paper analyzes how the market interventions of the Serbian government during the food crisis 2007/2008, inter alia a de facto export ban, have affected domestic wheat markets. Besides a comprehensive description of the crisis policy and its effects on the Serbian wheat market, we investigate how it influences the equilibrium and stability of t...
Article
Full-text available
During the food crisis in 2007/2008 the government of Serbia restricted the export of wheat to ensure that wheat supply on the domestic market is sufficient thereby dampening the increase in consumer food prices. This study investigates the effects of the export restriction on the integration, equilibrium and stability of its domestic wheat market....

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Projects

Projects (8)
Project
The global demand for nutritious, safe, and healthy food is ever increasing. China, with scare arable land and water resources, faces a huge challenge in feeding its vast population. In recent years, China started to resort to digitalization technologies as key strategies to transform agricultural production and food value chains towards efficient, resilient, and sustainable systems. The main objective of the DITAC project is to analyze and evaluate the digitalization transition in the Chinese agricultural and food sector with regard to their impact on production, natural resource use and trade.
Project
The overall scientific goal of this project is to assess the impact of social media on relations between agri-food producers and consumers, with a special focus on what agri-food producers should consider when creating their marketing campaigns.
Project
The primary goal of the project is the further development and the stronger internationalization of the research and education landscape in Ukraine, in particular in agricultural and food economies. The project consists of four closely linked components. First a joint research group will be created forming the core of the project and dealing with questions of embedding the Ukrainian food economy into regional and international markets. In addition, the second component contains capacity building actions at the Kyiv School of Economics (KSE) in Kyiv, Ukraine. These include summer schools, various seminars and workshops that are also open to students and teachers from other Ukrainian research institutions and universities. Research activities and capacity building actions are embedded in a project office at KSE, the third component of the project. The project office coordinates the cooperation between project locations, more specifically Germany (IAMO) and Ukraine (KSE), maintains the relations to other Ukrainian universities and coordinates the fourth component, the conceptual preparation of project continuation. Establishing a chair for "International Agricultural and Food Economy" at KSE is planned within the project beyond project funding. Perspectively, a research center is intended to be developed from this chair. https://www.iamo.de/en/research/projects/details/uafoodtrade/