Henk Hilderink

Henk Hilderink
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency

About

25
Publications
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865
Citations

Publications

Publications (25)
Article
Full-text available
Food production is key to achieving food security in the drylands of sub-Saharan Africa. Since agricultural productivity is limited, however, due to inherent agro-ecological constraints and land degradation, sustainable agricultural intensification has been widely discussed as an opportunity for improving food security and reducing vulnerability. Y...
Article
Full-text available
Food production is key to achieving food security in the drylands of sub-Saharan Africa. Since agricultural productivity is limited, however, due to inherent agro-ecological constraints and land degradation, sustainable agricultural intensification has been widely discussed as an opportunity for improving food security and reducing vulnerability. Y...
Article
Full-text available
Food production is key to achieving food security in African drylands. Agricultural productivity is however limited due to low and variable water supply and soil fertility while climate variability, inequitable trade conditions and social exclusion frequently exacerbate the already pronounced constraints on on agricultural productivity. Vulnerabili...
Book
Full-text available
A methodology to assess future development in patterns of vulnerability is presented which can support the assessment of global policies with regard to their impacts on specific vulnerabilities on the regional or local scale. Patterns of vulnerability, formalized by vulnerability profiles (e.g. for the livelihoods of dryland smallholder farmers) we...
Article
Global environmental change scenarios typically distinguish between about 10–20 global regions. However, various studies need scenario information at a higher level of spatial detail. This paper presents a set of algorithms that aim to fill this gap by providing downscaled scenario data for population, gross domestic product (GDP) and emissions at...
Chapter
This chapter examines the current and projected impacts on human health of four key environmental factors – air pollution (focusing on premature deaths from exposure to outdoor airborne particulate matter, or PM, and ground-level ozone as well as indoor air pollution), unsafe water supply and poor sanitation (including in the context of the relevan...
Chapter
Full-text available
Around the world, cities, farmers, industries, energy suppliers, and ecosystems are increasingly competing for their daily water needs. Without proper water management, the costs of this situation can be high – not just financially, but also in terms of lost opportunities, compromised health and environmental damage. Without major policy changes an...
Book
Full-text available
This report analyses how combinations of technological measures and changes in consumption patterns could contribute to achieving a set of sustainability objectives, taking into account the interlinkages between them. The full report and supporting material are available at: ww.pbl.nl/en/publications/2012/roads-from-rio20
Article
Full-text available
Scenarios are used to explore the consequences of different adaptation and mitigation strategies under uncertainty. In this paper, two scenarios are used to explore developments with (1) no mitigation leading to an increase of global mean temperature of 4 °C by 2100 and (2) an ambitious mitigation strategy leading to 2 °C increase by 2100. For the...
Article
Full-text available
Scenarios are used to explore the consequences of different adaptation and mitigation strategies under uncertainty. In this paper, two scenarios are used to explore developments with (1) no mitigation leading to an increase of global mean temperature of 4 degrees C by 2100 and (2) an ambitious mitigation strategy leading to 2 degrees C increase by...
Article
Full-text available
To compare the cost-effectiveness of interventions to reduce pneumonia mortality through risk reduction, immunization and case management. Country-specific pneumonia burden estimates and intervention costs from WHO were used to review estimates of pneumonia risk in children under 5 years of age and the efficacy of interventions (case management, pn...
Article
Full-text available
OBJECTIVE: To compare the cost-effectiveness of interventions to reduce pneumonia mortality through risk reduction, immunization and case management. METHODS: Country-specific pneumonia burden estimates and intervention costs from WHO were used to review estimates of pneumonia risk in children under 5 years of age and the efficacy of interventions...
Article
Full-text available
In the last decades, there have been large demographic and economic changes in India, a country where one out of every six people in the world live. The major long-term trends identified in this and other reports project an increasing role for India in the global economy and, correspondingly, in resource use and emissions. However, the tools to exp...
Article
Full-text available
This paper describes a conceptual framework for the health implications of globalization. The framework is developed by first identifying the main determinants of population health and the main features of the globalization process. The resulting conceptual model explicitly visualises that globalization affects the institutional, economic, social-c...
Article
Full-text available
Aan de hand van vier scenario’s wordt in dit artikel beschreven hoe de Nederlandse bevolking zich in de toekomst kan ontwikkelen. De scenario’s zijn gebaseerd op vier toekomstbeelden van mogelijke economische en sociaal-culturele ontwikkelingen. De vier scenario’s zijn Global Economy, Strong Europe, Transatlantic Market en Regional Communities. In...
Article
Full-text available
Changes in global labor shares are often exogenously linked to changes in global population in (recursive) dynamic general equilibrium models (CGE). In many cases, these models carry a simplification or even misspecification for e.g. demographic behavior concerning fertility and mortality, and with that of the changing age structure of the populati...

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Project (1)
Project
Archetypes depict representative patterns, i.e. similarities and differences, in socio-ecological interactions. With this generalisation, archetype analysis supports the scaling and transfer of knowledge from one place to another in a systematic way. The underlying assumption is that similarities in social-ecological conditions link to similarities in sustainability interventions. Archetype analysis in sustainability research has been used to understand factors and processes that repeatedly determine the (un)sustainability of social-ecological systems. This includes development drivers and outcomes related to livelihood vulnerability, land use, economic development, food security, and climate adaptation, among others. Archetypes are useful to understand functional similarities and differences in a broader perspective and inform decisions that need to be made across diverse spatial scales, linking local realities with global change processes. Future Earth`s GLP Working Group "Archetype Analysis in Sustainability and Land Governance Research" https://glp.earth/how-we-work/working-groups/archetype-analysis-sustainability-and-land-governance-research