Giulio Zuccaro

• University of Naples Federico II

This paper investigates the seismic risk of the building stock in the Agios Dometios municipality of Nicosia, Cyprus, a region predominantly characterized by structures built prior to 1974, comparing two well established methodologies developed and applied recently in Europe. The site has been selected given the outdated seismic regulations under w...

The paper presents a mechanical-based framework for the evaluation of local-scale seismic fragility curves. The approach is oriented to a seismic vulnerability assessment of unreinforced masonry buildings and makes use of basic exposure data easily obtained from survey or available in existing database. An efficient finite element model and static...

Conference presentation for COV11 Conference - Cities on Volcanoes. Session S3.10 - Volcanic risk analysis as a tool for crisis management.

Over the past 20 years, our understanding of volcanic eruption impacts on the built environment has transformed from being primarily observational with small datasets to one grounded in field investigations, laboratory experiments, and quantitative modeling, with an emphasis on stakeholder collaboration and co-creation. Here, we summarize key advan...

The numerical modeling of compressible multiphase flows is of high interest for several engineering applications. In this work, we focus on the study of pyroclastic flows arising from volcanic eruptive events. An accurate evaluation of the effects of this multiphase flow is of crucial importance for the Civil Protection for the preservation of urba...

Climate services are emerging worldwide as an essential tool to bridge the advancement in climate science and meteo/earth observations with a variety of operational fields in the domains of Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) and Climate Change Adaptation (CCA). It is multidisciplinary study area with promising applications in the field of urban microcli...

Italy is a country with high seismic hazard, however since the delay in the seismic classification of the national territory, most of the existing building heritage does not comply with the current technical standards for buildings. The seismic events that have hit different Italian regions in recent years have highlighted the complexity of the cha...

La recurrencia de los desastres naturales en las últimas décadas en Chile y en todo el mundo, exacerbados por los patrones urbanos actuales, requieren estrategias integrales para promover acciones a largo plazo hacia la resiliencia a nivel local y nacional. Chile tiene una experiencia ampliamente reconocida en la reducción del riesgo de desastres,...

This research work provides a stability study for a double masonry dome during its construction process and, a consideration of the possible effects that the procedure followed for building the structure has on its current mechanical behaviour. In particular, the analysis is carried out on the Baroque dome of Santa Maria alla Sanità in Naples, a re...

In the framework of the emergency management in the case of seismic events, the evaluation of the expected damage represents a basic requirement for risk informed planning. Seismic risk is defined by the probability to reach a level of damage on given exposed elements caused by seismic events occurring in a fixed period and in a fixed area. To this...

The last National Risk Assessment NRA for Italy was developed at the end of 2018 by the Department of Civil Protection (DPC) in response to the specific requirement of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030 to periodically adjourn the assessment of disaster risk. The methodology adopted to perform seismic risk assessment and bui...

The assessment of the equilibrium and the safety of masonry vaults is of high relevance for the conservation and restoration of historical heritage. In the literature many approaches have been proposed for this tasks, starting from the 17th century. In this work we focus on the Membrane Equilibrium Analysis, developed under the Heyman’s theory of L...

Masonry domes constitute a large part of the international architectural heritage. The issue of its conservation has long been a challenge both for architects and engineers. To limit any problems related to degradation, arising from structural damage or external factors, historical buildings are continuously restored and strengthened. Reliable tool...

Masonry domes constitute a large part of the international architectural heritage. The issue of its conservation has long been a challenge both for architects and engineers. To limit any problems related to degradation, arising from structural damage or external factors, historical buildings are continuously restored and strengthened. Reliable tool...

In recent years, the representation of climate information in a way to support decision making has been gaining momentum. Worldwide, these so-called climate services are emerging as an essential tool to connect the advances in climate science with the domains of climate change adaptation. The methodology developed within the CLARITY project (funded...

The resilience of communities in their built environment facing natural and human-made hazards is consolidating worldwide as a critical requirement in the field of urban planning and design. Current studies and measures in this regard open an array of opportunities for articulating beyond sectorial and scale boundaries by emphasizing an integrated,...

This paper intends to show basic strategies and technical solutions that may reduce the consequence of a volcanic eruption on buildings. One of the most dangerous eruptive phenomena is pyroclastic flow, a gas-solid mixture which can flow slope down up to reach considerable distances from the point of emission, with a speed that can easily exceed 10...

Hazard events threaten the population’s housing and habitat, and the main consequence is displacement of people. This affects globally about 25 million people each year. It works on various spatio-temporal scales, from temporary relocation (e.g. short evacuation for heavy rain expected), through semi-permanent relocation (long evacuation because of...

The purpose of the "Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030"is to provide the guidelines for the management of multi-hazard risks, in order to substantially decrease the losses of human lives, livelihoods, as well as of economic, physical, social, cultural and environmental assets of persons, businesses, communities and countries. Wi...

While climate change impacts affect cities globally, adaptation measures need to be identified and designed locally, since the specific settlement and microclimate conditions determined by the characteristics of built and natural environment play a crucial role in aggravating (or reducing) the intensity of extreme weather events, such as heat waves...

Disasters disrupt normalcy and present challenges for development policies. The impacts of any disaster–whether triggered by climate change, natural hazards or other man-made events–can be compounded by decisions that intentionally or unintentionally amplify rather than reduce damage. Disasters have impacts across all sectors, necessitating multi-...

Disasters disrupt normalcy and present challenges for development policies. The impacts of any disaster–whether triggered by climate change, natural hazards or other man-made events–can be compounded by decisions that intentionally or unintentionally amplify rather than reduce damage. Disasters have impacts across all sectors, necessitating multi-...

Disaster risk reduction and climate change adaption involve a variety of different stakeholders from various professional backgrounds, with often divergent concerns, and sometimes competing agendas. Their activities may also be carried out within different organizational frameworks, which in turn would vary from country to country. Such complexity...

The emergency planning of areas subjected to volcanic risk requires the evaluation of impact induced on different element exposed (people, buildings, infrastructures, economy, etc.) by different volcanic phenomena (precursor earthquakes, ash fall, pyroclastic flows, lahars, tsunami, ballistics, landslides, etc.). In this paper, we describe the...

In this work an automatic procedure for evaluating the axial force-biaxial bending yield surface of reinforced concrete sections in fire is proposed. It provides an accurate time-dependent expression of the yield condition by a section analysis carried out once and for all, accounting for the strength reduction of the materials, which is a function...

The ESPREssO Vision Paper is one of the key outcomes of the project. Its aim is to support the preparation of the Horizon Europe Framework Programme 2021-2030 by identifying some future research challenges in the field of natural hazards and disaster risk management, in relation to the priorities defined by the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Re...

As a final product, the ESPREssO project has compiled a comprehensive set of guidelines, synthesizing the findings from the many, and diverse, activities of the consortium. The guidelines are based on best practices identified in the Action Data Base; on recommendations identified in literature as well as in our national reports; and on the many us...

Dieser Bericht stellt den Beitrag des ESPREssO-Projekts „Enhancing Synergies for Disaster Prevention in the European Union“ zu einer neuen strategischen Vision für DRR und CCA in Europa und zur Förderung neuer Ideen für die Ausrichtung und Zielsetzung der Naturgefahrenforschung und Politik der nächsten zehn Jahre dar. Im Rahmen des Projekts wurden...

Le document d’orientation ESPREssO vise à soutenir la préparation du Programme-cadre Horizon Europe en identifiant les futurs défis de la recherche dans le domaine des risques naturels et de la gestion des risques, en relation avec les priorités définies par le Cadre d'action de Sendai pour la réduction des risques de catastrophe et le plan d'actio...

Ces recommandations combinées au document d’Orientation ESPREssO (délivrable D5.5 « ESPREssO Vision Paper ») forment les conclusions du projet ESPREssO - « Enhancing synergies for disaster prevention in the European Union » (Améliorer les synergies pour la prévention des catastrophes au sein de l‘Union européenne), une mesure de coordination et de...

Diese Leitlinien stellen gemeinsam mit dem ESPREssO Visionspapier (Arbeitsergebnis D5.5 „ESPREssO Visionspapier“) das Endergebnis des ESPREssO-Projekts „Enhancing Synergies for Disaster Prevention in the European Union“ dar, einer Koordinations- und Unterstützungsmaßnahme, die im Rahmen des Programms H2020 von DG RESEARCH finanziert wurde. Das ESPr...

This video displays the results of the ESPREssP Vision paper and the ESPREssO Guidelines. Watch the video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HzlRkZH7BnE

This paper describes a knowledge-based decision support system (KB-DSS) to improve the preparedness of crisis situations induced by natural and technological hazards. The proposed KB-DSS aims to manage the potential cascading effects generated by a triggering hazard assessing the possible event time histories based on interconnected probabilistic s...

In case of exceptional events of natural or anthropogenic type, the elements at risk (people, buildings, infrastructures, economy, etc.) are often hit by sequences of ‘cascading events’, function of time and space, caused by the triggering event (earthquake, landslide, volcanic eruption, fire, electric failure, etc.). Generally, sequences of events...

In this paper, the BINC procedure (Building Inventory at National scale based on Census data) is proposed. It is a quick methodology to assess the building inventory needed to seismic exposure assessment at regional and national scale. Vulnerability classes map for the whole Italian region is proposed. BINC procedure, developed at the PLINIVS Study...

We derive the analytical expression of the Eshelby tensor field for inclusions of arbitrary polyhedral shape. The formula contributed in the paper is directly expressed as function of the coordinates defining the vertices of the polyhedron thus avoiding the use of complex variables and anomalies exploited in previous contributions on the subject. I...

In recent years, considerable attention has been paid to research and development methods able to assess the seismic energy propagation on the territory. The seismic energy propagation is strongly related to the complexity of the source and it is affected by the attenuation and the scattering effects along the path. Thus, the effect of the earthqua...

In the framework of risk assessment at national and regional scale, the analysis of collapse mechanisms induced by seismic accelerations constitutes a useful tool to understand the behaviour of masonry structures and to plane mitigation strategies and rehabilitation interventions. In this perspective, the objective of the present study is the ident...

This study concerns the mechanical response of an innovative energy dissipation device. Using this device, beam–column frames can be easily and safely strengthened at many predefined levels according to the seismic load demands of technical standards. The energy dissipation mechanism of the superimposed blades functions via both steel yielding and...

The main value of studying buildings in the aftermath of eruptions is that their damaged or destroyed remains preserve the record of the fleeting destructive forces involved. Forensic investigation of any tragic human victims can add importantly to the evidence. Using these insights from some recent major eruptions, computer modeling has advanced e...

In northern regions, society can be seriously interrupted by a prolonged electricity network blackout due to a winter storm that cuts off power, communication and road networks. Due to hard winter weather it is essential to enhance the resilience of society to avoid danger to life. This can be achieved by developing new models to enhance preparedne...

KEY WORDS: Esposizione sismica, rischio sismico, rischio vulcanico, rischio idrogeologico. INTRODUZIONE Le analisi di rischio a larga scala (nazionale e regionale) nei riguardi di fenomeni naturali quali eventi sismici, vulcanici ed idrogeologici necessitano della valutazione qualitativa e quantitativa degli elementi esposti (popolazione, edifici,...

“CRISMA - Modelling crisis management for improved action and preparedness”, a collaborative research and development project co-funded by the European Community (2011-2015) developed a generic framework for implementation of simulation-based decision support systems in different domains of the natural or industrial risk (floods, snowstorms, earthq...

The focus of this study is an analysis of building vulnerability through investigating impacts from the 8 February 2013 flash flood event along the Avenida Venezuela channel in the city of Arequipa, Peru. On this day, 124.5 mm of rain fell within 3 h (monthly mean: 29.3 mm) triggering a flash flood that inundated at least 0.4 km2 of urban settlemen...

In the context of the CRISMA FP7 project we have developed a seamless decision support concept to connect simulated crisis scenarios and aggregated performance indicators of impact scenarios with state of the art Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) methods. To prove the practicality of the approach we have developed a decision support tool real...

In the last decades much effort has been devoted to the development of methodologies for landslide hazard and risk assessment. Although there are a few available glossaries, a review of the literature published in international journals and conferences show that the terminologies used differ greatly or are unclear. In 2011, the Joint Technical Comm...

In the context of the CRISMA FP7 project we have developed a seamless decision support concept to connect simulated crisis scenarios and aggregated performance indicators of impact scenarios with state of the art Multi- Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) methods. To prove the practicality of the approach we have developed a decision support tool rea...

A crisis situation may be due to the occurrence of a single hazard event with large impacts or due to several hazard events occurring simultaneously. Hazard events occurring at the same time may have independent causes or may result from a sequence of triggering effects. The outcome of a situation for which an adverse event triggers one or more seq...

The geophysical research community is currently focusing on operational earthquake forecasting (OEF) for the estimation and the update of seismicity based on continuous ground motion recording by seismic networks. OEF may provide results also in the short term, for example, in terms of weekly rate of events exceeding a certain magnitude threshold i...

http://www.crismaproject.eu/deliverables/CRISMA_D432_public_print.pdf

Seismic fragility curves play a critical role in risk assessment because they represent the probability of attaining different damage states given the ground motion intensity. However, in case of repeated earthquakes, the seismic vulnerability of buildings varies due to damage and this shall be properly considered for the realistic estimate of evol...

Extreme winter storms in northern regions bring heavy snowfall, strong winds and cold weather. Winter storms accumulate snow on power lines, causing damage, power outages and communication breakdowns. They may disrupt society’s normal interactions, especially in sparsely populated areas, due to snow-blocked roads, isolating people and preventing re...

The assessment of economic impacts of crises and risk reduction generated by different mitigation measures is a multidimensional problem and often a challenging task. A major issue hindering the process is a lack of structured information. In particular, intangible losses are difficult to evaluate monetarily. Furthermore, the uncertainty related to...

The paper outlines some of the results of SPeeD project, funded by EU, Campania Region and National Department of Civil Protection. The research is aimed at the definition of impact scenarios resulting from the eruption of Vesuvius and Campi Flegrei and the development of strategies to reduce the damage on the built environment. The issues related...

The methodologies available for the analytical quantification of the vulnerability of buildings which are subject to actions resulting from slope instabilities and landslides are relatively limited in comparison with other components of quantitative landslide risk assessment. This paper provides a general methodology for calculating the vulnerabili...

The CRISMA project is a European Union funded project focusing on the simulation of multi-sectoral large scale crisis scenarios that have multi-dimensional effects on society and people. The project aims at the development of a framework to build user centred tools which will allow decision-makers to cross-examine dynamic crisis scenario evolutions...

PLINIVS Study Centre of University of Naples Federico II has developed a methodology that aims to estimate, in probabilistic terms, the direct and the indirect economic impacts of a Sub-Plinian I or Strombolian type eruption of Vesuvius. The economic model has been implemented as a complementary tool of the Volcanic Impact Simulation Model, a tool...

The volcanic eruptions have produced death and devastation along the ages; the victims caused by the documented events are about 260,000. Today, people subjected to volcanic risk are 500 million. They live predominantly in large conurbations, such as Tokyo, Mexico City, Seattle and Naples, which are located in the proximity of volcanoes with a high...

The safety of the territory and the environment is a theme much discussed, but often not in organic and competent way. PLINIVS study centre has been studying for several years the impact of potentially disastrous events on the territory and has produced analysis models and scenery simulation of main natural risks regarding Campania territory (seism...

Seismic behavior of damaged buildings may be expressed as a function of their REsidual Capacity (REC). The residual capacity RECSa is defined as the minimum spectral acceleration (at the period Teq of the equivalent SDOF) corresponding to building collapse. When referring to peak ground acceleration ag as damaging intensity parameter, RECag is defi...

In this abstract we illustrate the various temporal aspects to be considered in a multi-hazard crisis scenario set up as pilot study in the EU-FP7 Integrated Project CRISMA. In the framework of CRISMA a simulation-based decision support system for crisis management is developed facilitating the modeling of realistic crisis scenarios, related pre-ev...

Arequipa, the second largest city in Peru with almost one million inhabitants, is exposed to various natural hazards, such as earthquakes, landslides, flash floods, and volcanic eruptions. This study focuses on the vulnerability and response of housing, infrastructure and lifelines in Arequipa to flash floods and eruption induced hazards, notably l...

This report is the output of the first step of the review of models for multi-sectorial consequences dealed with CRISMA Project. It aims at defining and then providing the necessary models for the assessment and management of hazard, vulnerability and losses, and capacities. The framework for multi-risk assessment and management is one objective de...

This paper intends to show basic strategies and technical solutions that may reduce volcanic risk on buildings and infrastructures. It points out that reduction—mitigation—of vulnerability and expected damage to existing and new buildings are possible. Eruptive phe-nomena such as earthquakes, pyroclastic flows, ash fall, and landslides can indeed b...

: In this paper,a new procedure to assess the building inventory needed to seismic vulnerabilityassessment at regional and national scale is presented. The methodology, developed at the PLINIVS Study Centre (University of Naples Federico II), is able, by using two different methods, to furnish a seismic vulnerability assessment on the basis of "poo...

This paper discusses the problem of validation of a proposed uniform European building database. It proposes a process for validation using a set of so-called "test-bed" sites in Europe in which detailed local building-by-building surveys have been made in the recent past in a variety of projects. It explains how the data from these studies has bee...

The available methodologies on the analytical quantification of the vulnerability of buildings which are subject to actions resulting from slope instabilities and landslides are relatively limited in comparison with other components of the landslide quantitative risk assessment. The aim of this paper is to provide a general methodology for the calc...

In this chapter a possible model for evaluating seismic casualties in Italy is presented. The factors influencing the evaluation are discussed and the results of the first investigations concerning their quantification are presented. The model is directly derived from the original idea of Coburn and Spence (1992); the adaptation of the model to the...

In this work we illustrate the results of some laboratory and full scale experiments which have the purposes of analysing the performance of different types of monitoring equipments in detection of damage level in masonry buildings.Such experiments involved monitoring, by means of optical fibre strain-metre and total laser station, of a selected bu...

Into the topics of the EU COSTAction C26 (“Urban Habitat Constructions under Catastrophic Events”), a case study on Vesuvius has been developed. One important activity has been the in situ survey for the seismic and volcanic vulnerability assessment on different construction typologies, such as residential and historical buildings, school buildings...

The Vesuvius Case Study was developed in the framework of the topics foreseen in the activities of Working Group 4 (‘Risk Assessment for Catastrophic Scenarios in Urban Areas’) of the EU COST Action C26 (‘Urban Habitat Constructions under Catastrophic Events’). An important activity has been the in situ survey for the volcanic vulnerability assessm...

The risk management of natural hazards is a complex issue often due to very significant potential consequences and substantial uncertainties. A framework for risk based decision making in the field of engineering is first described in this paper. This framework is then applied for the risk assessment of volcanic hazards.Towards this end, aspects re...

Today, about 500 million people are at risk from volcanic hazards. In the past 500 years, over 200,000 people have lost their lives due to volcanic eruptions. An average of 845 people died each year between 1900 and 1986 from volcanic hazards and for the next years, these numbers are predicted rising (Tilling, 1991 & 2005). The reason is not due to...

TheVesuvius Case Study was developed in the framework of Work Group 4 (‘RiskAssessment for Catastrophic Scenarios in UrbanAreas’) of the EU COSTAction C26 (‘Urban Habitat Constructions under CatastrophicEvents’).Animportantactivityhasbeentheinsitusurvey,forthevolcanicandseismicvulnerability assessment of different construction typologies, such as r...

TheVesuvius Case Study was developed in the framework of Work Group 4 (‘RiskAssessment for Catastrophic Scenarios in UrbanAreas’) of the EU COSTAction C26 (‘Urban Habitat Constructions under CatastrophicEvents’).Animportantactivityhasbeentheinsitusurvey,forthevolcanicandseismicvulnerability assessment of different construction typologies, such as r...

The main risk assessment procedures (hazard identification, hazard profile, combination of hazards scenarios, inventory assets, estimate losses, mitigation options) have been already discussed, from a general point of view, in the Section II.4.