Frans VAN Poppel

Frans VAN Poppel
Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute | NIDI · social demography

PhD

About

212
Publications
21,915
Reads
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3,666
Citations
Citations since 2016
26 Research Items
1567 Citations
2016201720182019202020212022050100150200250
2016201720182019202020212022050100150200250
2016201720182019202020212022050100150200250
2016201720182019202020212022050100150200250
Additional affiliations
January 1992 - December 2013
January 1976 - December 2016
Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute
Position
  • Research fellow; Special full professor

Publications

Publications (212)
Article
Full-text available
Background Weight for height has been used in the past as an indicator of obesity to report that prenatal exposure to the Dutch famine of 1944–1945 determined subsequent obesity. Further evaluation is needed as unresolved questions remain about the possible impact of social class differences in fertility decline during the famine and because being...
Article
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Research on mothers of twins suggests they have a more robust phenotype compared to singleton only mothers. Historical demographic microdata can be of additional value in studying differences in reproductive behaviour and survival of their offspring between multiple birth mothers and singleton only mothers. However, the number of such studies in hi...
Article
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Aim Growing evidence suggests an association between parental longevity and lifespan of subsequent generations. We aimed to reproduce earlier findings, showing a positive association between parental longevity and offspring's longevity. Additionally, we investigated whether this is mainly driven by the maternal or paternal germline in male and fema...
Data
Maps of war-related excess mortality among civilians in the Netherlands during the end of World War II by month from September 1944 to May 1945 showing: - Estimated numbers of excess deaths by municipality - Estimated excess mortality ratios by municipality
Article
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National estimates exist for war-and famine-related deaths in the Netherlands during the last stages of World War II, but no such estimates are available at the local level. To fill this information gap, this article aims at mapping and visualizing the timing of war-and famine-related excess mortality by municipality among the civilian population w...
Conference Paper
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In this paper, we study the long-term causal effects of the Dutch Famine on labor market and health behavior later in life (55-70). To acknowledge the dynamic nature of labor market changes we focus on the impact of the famine on the timing of becoming disabled or retired. To acknowledge the dynamic nature of health behavior, medication use and hea...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
There is a vast literature on the health effects of in utero malnutrition, with the Dutch famine of 1944-1945 being among the most frequently studied adverse shocks. In this paper, we revisit the results of the highly influential 1970s studies of Stein et al. (1972) and Ravelli et al. (1976) who use male military recruits data to study the effects...
Conference Paper
Background: In 1976, researchers reported that young men are more likely to be obese after famine exposure in utero. The findings were based on examinations at military induction of men in the Netherlands who had been exposed to the Dutch famine of 1944-1945. We had the opportunity to re-examine the relation between prenatal famine exposure and hei...
Article
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This study uses a unique historical GIS dataset compiled from birth, death, and population register records for infants born in the city of Amsterdam in 1851 linked to micro‐level spatial data on housing, infrastructure, and health care. Cox's proportional hazards models and the concept of egocentric neighbourhoods were used to analyse the effects...
Article
Objectives The aim of this study was to prospectively assess the relationship between several reproductive factors in women and the likelihood of reaching the age of 90 years (achieving longevity). Study design For this study, data from the oldest birth cohort (1916-17) of the prospective Netherlands Cohort Study (NLCS) were used. These participan...
Article
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Although the incidence of dementia increases exponentially with age, some individuals reach more than 100 years with fully retained cognitive abilities. To identify the characteristics associated with the escape or delay of cognitive decline, we initiated the 100-plus Study (www.100plus.nl). The 100-plus Study is an on-going prospective cohort stud...
Chapter
Full-text available
In this chapter we study the temporal, regional and social variation in the seasonal patterns of infant and early childhood death in the Netherlands. We use a very large data set from three of the eleven Dutch provinces, containing information on the mortality of children born between 1812 and 1912. We use information like the social position of th...
Preprint
Full-text available
RATIONALE Although the incidence of dementia increases exponentially with age, some individuals reach >100 years with fully retained cognitive abilities. To identify the characteristics associated with the escape or delay of cognitive decline, we initiated the 100-plus Study ( www.100plus.nl ). DESIGN The 100-plus Study is an on-going prospective...
Data
Here you find a release of the standardized and coded values of 134,964 different occupational titles found in the sources used by the HSN until the 1st of July 2018. All these occupational titles have been coded into HISCO, HISCLASS, HISCAM, OCC1950 and SOCPO classifications. The process of coding of the occupational titles followed three stages:...
Article
Objective: To examine if, over a period of centuries, the Dutch medical establishment enjoyed a survival advantage over a population group with a comparable social background and level of education. Design: Retrospective database research. Method: We used documents which provided data on the births and deaths of 15,649 male and 659 female medi...
Article
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In de collectieve herinneringen aan de Nederlandse slachtoffers van de Duitse bezetting tijdens de Tweede Wereldoorlog staan vooral twee gebeurtenissen centraal: de gruwelijke vervolging van de Joodse bevolking en de beruchte hongerwinter. Hoewel de hongerwinter zich voornamelijk beperkte tot het verstedelijkte westen van Nederland, is het een over...
Article
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Despite there being several estimates for famine-related deaths in the west of The Netherlands during the last stage of World War II, no such information exists for war-related excess mortality among the civilian population from other areas of the country. Previously unavailable data files from Statistics Netherlands allow researchers to estimate t...
Article
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We use a set of linked reproductive histories taken from Sweden, the Netherlands, and Spain for the period 1871–1960 to address key issues regarding how reproductive change was linked specifically to mortality and survivorship and more generally to individual agency. Using event-history analysis, this study investigates how the propensity to have a...
Article
‘Resource dilution’ has been invoked as a possible mechanism to explain the inverse relation between sibship size and sibling heights in European populations (Öberg, 2015). Alternative explanations include confounding of the relation by other measured or unmeasured family characteristics including socio-economic position or birth order. It is diffi...
Article
Mounting evidence suggests that early-life conditions have an enduring effect on an individual’s mortality risks as an adult. The contribution of improvements in early-life conditions to the overall decline in adult mortality, however, remains a debated issue. We provide an estimate of the contribution of improvements in early-life conditions to mo...
Article
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De winter van 1944-1945 staat in Nederland bekend als de Hongerwinter. De onmiddellijke effecten van de blootstelling aan de Hongerwinter zijn overduidelijk. Door de honger waren veel vrouwen niet meer vruchtbaar; het aantal verwekte kinderen in die periode daalde dan ook dramatisch. De verstoorde groei in de baarmoeder leidde tot een sterke daling...
Article
Rising life expectancy has been suggested as a determining factor behind the start of modern economic growth. On the basis of information relating to elite groups, economic historians have thus questioned the idea, prevalent among most demographers, that life expectancy remained quite stable until around 1800. There still is a scarcity of data on t...
Article
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Several hypotheses have been put forward to explain the relationship between women’s fertility and their post-reproductive longevity. In this study, we focus on the disposable soma theory, which posits that a negative relationship between women’s fertility and longevity can be understood as an evolutionary trade-off between reproduction and surviva...
Article
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Background - Many studies show large differences in life expectancy across the range of education, intelligence, and socio-economic status. As educational attainment, intelligence, and socio-economic status are highly interrelated, appropriate methods are required to disentangle their separate effects. The aim of this paper is to present a novel me...
Article
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We examine in depth the effect of differences in the smoking adoption patterns of men and women on the mortality gender gap in Netherlands, employing a historical perspective. Using an indirect estimation technique based on observed lung cancer mortality from 1931 to 2012, we estimated lifetime smoking prevalence and smoking-attributable mortality....
Article
Aan de hand van de levensloop van achttienjarige rekruten uit de periode 1961-1965 wordt onderzoek verricht naar de gevolgen van de Hongerwinter. De collectie persoonskaarten van het CBG speelt daarbij een belangrijke rol.
Article
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Nutritional conditions in early life may affect adult health, but prior studies of mortality have been limited to small samples. We evaluated the relationship between pre-/perinatal famine exposure during the Dutch Hunger Winter of 1944–1945 and mortality through age 63 years among 41,096 men born in 1944–1947 and examined at age 18 years for unive...
Article
Adult height is associated with a variety of familial and socio-economic factors and large, well-defined populations are needed for a reliable assessment of their relative contributions. We therefore analyzed recorded heights from the military health examinations of 18-year conscripts in the Netherlands born between 1944 and 1947 and observed large...
Article
To quantify the relation between prenatal famine exposure and adult mortality, taking into account mediating effects of intermediary life conditions. Historical follow-up study. The Dutch famine (Hunger Winter) of 1944-1945 which occurred towards the end of WWII in occupied Netherlands. From 408,015 Dutch male births born 1944-1947, examined for mi...
Article
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Iedere zomer worden we wel weer opgeschrikt door berichten over mensen die tijdens het mooie weer zijn omgekomen door verdrinking. Niet alleen kinderen die verdrinken in een recreatieplas of water rond het huis, maar ook volwassenen die bijvoorbeeld de gevaren van het zwemmen in zee hebben onderschat. Toch is het aantal verdrinkingsdoden in Nederla...
Article
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Background: Spatial inequalities in human development are of great concern to international organisations and national governments. Demographic indicators like the infant mortality rate are important measures for determining these inequalities. Using demographic indicators over long time periods at relatively high levels of geographical detail, we...
Article
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Is it possible to construct an age curve denoting the ages above which women are biologically too old to reproduce? We constructed a curve based on the distribution of female age at last birth in natural fertility populations reflecting the ages above which women have become biologically too old to have children. The median age at last birth (ALB)...
Article
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Practising arts has been linked to lowering stress, anxiety and blood pressure. These mechanisms are all known to affect the ageing process. Therefore, we examine the relation between long-term involvement in arts and life expectancy at age 50 (LE50), in a cohort of 12,159 male acoustic, literary and visual artists, who were born between 1700 and 1...
Article
Using family reconstitution data from the Dutch provinces of Groningen, Drenthe, and Zeeland, trends and risk factors of maternal death from 1846 to 1902 are studied. Findings confirm other studies of maternal mortality trends for the Netherlands in the last quarter of the nineteenth century and show that rates were already steadily decreasing in t...
Article
Studies of men and women exposed to the Dutch famine of 1944-1945 (also known as the Dutch 'Hunger winter') during different periods of life are important because they provide an opportunity to look at long-term effects of disturbances in the early life environment. For ethical and practical reasons, such studies could not otherwise be carried out...
Article
We investigated the role that urbanization and plague may have played in changes in life expectancy amongst artists in the Low Countries who were born between 1450 and 1909. Artists can be considered to be representative of a middle-class population living mostly in urban areas. The dataset was constructed using biographical information collected b...
Chapter
Many genetic disorders demonstrate mutations that can be traced to a founder, sometimes a person who can be identified. These founder mutations have generated considerable interest, because they facilitate studies of prevalence and penetrance and can be used to quantify the degree of homogeneity within a population. This paper reports on founder mu...
Article
In this article, we study temporal, regional, and social variation in infant and childhood death clustering in The Netherlands, using data from three provinces. The data relate to children born in 90,000 marriages contracted between the beginning and the last quarter of the nineteenth century. Descriptive indicators show that death clustering was m...
Article
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Since the process of assimilation of Jews coincided with a fertility transition, this study examines the relation between changes in the household structure of families of Jewish origin and the process of assimilation. Data were gathered from the Amsterdam registry for 717 Jewish descendants born in Amsterdam between 1883 and 1922. Our research sho...
Article
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BACKGROUND According to classic demographic transition theory, mortality change is the key factor that triggers a decline in fertility. Research on this topic has mostly relied on aggregate or time series data. Since fertility is based on the joint decisions of couples when confronted with specific fertility-childhood mortality outcomes, a focus on...
Chapter
div> This volume examines contrasting historical demographics in Western Europe and Asia, taking the Netherlands and Taiwan as representative populations. Both countries have witnessed steady, continuous improvements in public health, disease prevention, and medical care. The contributors compare the impact of disease and mortality on the lives of...
Article
We assess to what extent the associations between marriage and offending differ for high-risk men marrying in two distinct periods: 1930–70 and 1971–2006. Between these two periods, power relations between the sexes, laws governing marriage and in general the role and expectations attached to marriage differed. Based on these differences, we argue...
Article
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According to the classic demographic transition theory, mortality change was the key factor triggering the decline of fertility. In a recent paper Reher and Sanz-Gimeno studied the mechanisms which played a role in this process with individual longitudinal data for the Spanish town of Aranjuez. This study uses comparable data from the Netherlands f...
Article
Previous studies of the fertility decline in Europe are often limited to an earlier stage of the marital fertility decline, when the decline tended to be slower and before the large increase in earnings in the 1920s. Starting in 1860 (before the onset of the decline), this study follows marital fertility trends until 1939, when fertility reached lo...
Article
The transformation of Europe’s demographic regime over the past two centuries has led to considerable changes in the living arrangements of children. We study long-term changes, making use of three datasets covering the living arrangements of children born between 1850 and 1993 in the Netherlands: a historical national sample of children born betwe...
Article
“Steeds minder kinderen wonen bij beide ouders” kopte het Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek vorige maand. Tegenwoordig woont bijna een op de vijf kinderen niet bij beide biologische ouders. Frans van Poppel liet in zijn oratie “De familie Doorsnee tegen het licht. Anderhalve eeuw veranderingen in de Nederlandse familiestructuur” zien dat deze situ...
Article
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De huwelijks- en relatiemarkt is in de loop der tijd wezenlijk veranderd. Tegenwoordig is online dating een belangrijke strategie geworden bij het zoeken naar een partner. Afstand vormt op internet geen belemmering. Dit is een groot verschil met de situatie die tot ver in de twintigste eeuw de norm was. Toen ging de voorkeur uit naar een partner ui...
Article
Introduction Some studies have examined long term health effects of famine exposure during pregnancy but little is known about possible effects on adult survival. Methods We selected men with prenatal exposure to the Dutch famine of 1944?1945 from military examinations records (n=408?015) for births 1944?1946 in the Netherlands. We included men ex...
Article
In the early postwar period, improvements in life expectancy in many Western countries made health authorities, health scientists and politicians believe that social differences in mortality converged. The assumption was that inequality, when measured as death rates, was on steady decline, possibly even on the brink of disappearing. The question is...
Article
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This study uses data from a random sample of births in the Netherlands during the period 1850-1922 to examine the relationships between social class, social mobility and mortality at middle and old age. Population registers and personal cards covering the period from 1850 to 2004 for all Dutch provinces were used to reconstruct individual life hist...
Article
The reform of criminals and potential digressors has been the object of politicians’ and policy makers’ concern for over a century. Interventions and preventative efforts to achieve this, are these days scrutinized by committees of learned men and women for their ‘evidence-based’ effectiveness. This article will attempt to analyse the effectiveness...
Article
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Introduction to the special issue of the Journal of Family History 36(2011)2 "From past patterns of divorce to present: new light on the divorce transition" .
Chapter
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Historical studies suggest that nineteenth- and twentieth-century processes of national integration in the countries of Western Europe fundamentally changed interactions between individuals living in different parts of those countries. These studies, however, were rarely able to provide direct evidence for this process due to a lack of sources. Thi...
Article
Beweerd wordt dat tijdens de industrialisatieperiode regionale gezondheidsverschillen in Nederland groter waren dan sociaaleconomische gezondheidsverschillen binnen regio's. Wij onderzochten sociaaleconomische sterfteverschillen in het stedelijke Roermond tijdens de bloei en neergang van de lokale industrialisatie. Met behulp van gegevens van 803 b...
Article
Beweerd wordt dat tijdens de industrialisatieperiode regionale gezondheidsverschillen in Nederland groter waren dan sociaaleconomische gezondheidsverschillen binnen regio's. Wij onderzochten sociaaleconomische sterfteverschillen in het stedelijke Roermond tijdens de bloei en neergang van de lokale industrialisatie. Met behulp van gegevens van 803 b...
Article
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To gain insight into the changing impact of cold and heat on mortality, we analyzed Dutch individual death records in relation to daily temperatures for the 1855-1950 period for four of the eleven Dutch provinces. By making use of negative binomial regression models we studied whether the effect of extreme heat and cold varied by province, age, sex...
Article
Geographical homogamy of spouses married in the Netherlands in the period 1812-1922 . People tend to choose a partner originating from their own region. However, in the course of time the geographical horizon widened. The mean geographical distance between the regions of origin of spouses in the Netherlands strongly increased during the nineteenth...
Article
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Het sterftepatroon bepaalt niet alleen hoelang iemand leeft, maar voor een deel ook met wie. Ouders, grootouders en broers en zussen vormen sleutelfiguren in het leven van kinderen. In welke mate ze aanwezig zijn wordt mede bepaald door de sterftekansen waaraan de verschillende generaties zijn onderworpen en de veranderingen die daarin optreden.We...
Article
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COABRURL101052 Colorado Agriculture Bibliography
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This article analyzes the influence of priests on the number of children among Dutch Catholics between 1935 and 1970, based on a survey held among old retired priests and priests who had abandoned the priesthood as well as their parishioners. Whereas we heard dramatic testimonies of meddlesome priests, which are popularly considered to be undispute...
Article
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Until the late 1930s, almost all European countries were characterized by excess female mortality during childhood and adolescence. Most historical research on this topic has focused on excess female mortality in a rural setting, making use of published statistical data only. In our paper we study sex differences in mortality in age groups 1-19 in...