
Francois PelletierStatistics Canada | STATCAN · Centre for Demography
Francois Pelletier
Master of Science
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18
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Publications (18)
Goals and pathways to achieve sustainable urban development have multiple interlinkages with human health and wellbeing. However, these interlinkages have not been examined in depth in recent discussions on urban sustainability and global urban science. This paper fills that gap by elaborating in detail the multiple links between urban sustainabili...
Goals and pathways to achieve sustainable urban development have multiple interlinkages with human health and wellbeing. However, these interlinkages have not been examined in depth in recent discussions on urban sustainability and global urban science. This paper fills that gap by elaborating in detail the multiple links between urban sustainabili...
Objective:
To compare the 2016 United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) modelled estimates of adult mortality in sub-Saharan Africa to empirical estimates.
Design:
Age-specific mortality rates were obtained from nationally representative sibling survival data, recent household deaths and vital registration, and directly compared with UNAIDS...
List of countries and years analyzed.
(DOC)
Background:
The under-five mortality rate (the probability of dying between birth and age 5 y, also denoted in the literature as U5MR and (5)q(0)) is a key indicator of child health, but it conceals important information about how this mortality is distributed by age. One important distinction is what amount of the under-five mortality occurs belo...
Estimating the total fertility rate is challenging for many developing countries because of limited data and varying data quality. A standardized, reproducible approach to produce estimates that include an uncertainty assessment is desired.
We develop a method to estimate and assess uncertainty in the total fertility rate over time, based on multip...
- Objective: To propose a first set of consistent time-series of under-five mortality estimates for Sudan and South Sudan from the 1950s up to today.
- Methods: Following the estimation procedure of the United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (IGME), a local weighted regression is fitted on empirical under-five mortality e...
We describe a Bayesian projection model to produce country-specific projections of the total fertility rate (TFR) for all countries. The model decomposes the evolution of TFR into three phases: pre-transition high fertility, the fertility transition, and post-transition low fertility. The model for the fertility decline builds on the United Nations...
This chapter reviews the evolution of the HIV/AIDS epidemic and provides estimates of past trends and future projections of AIDS mortality indicators, including numbers of AIDS deaths, the proportion of all deaths that are due to AIDS, and life expectancy. In 2007, a total of 2.0 million men, women, and children died of AIDS worldwide. The death to...
This paper reviews the evolution of the HIV/AIDS epidemic and provides estimates of past trends and future projections of AIDS mortality indicators, including numbers of AIDS deaths, the proportion of all deaths that are due to AIDS, and life expectancy. In 2007, a total of 2.0 million men, women, and children died of AIDS worldwide. The death toll...
We develop a new methodology for estimating and assessing the uncertainty of the total fertility rate over time. The estimates are based on multiple imperfect estimates from dif-ferent data sources, including surveys and censuses, and different methods, both direct and indirect. We take account of measurement error by decomposing it into two source...
We describe a methodology for producing probabilistic projections of the total fertility rate (TFR) for all the countries of the world, as a rst step towards the production of fully probabilistic population projections. The methodology is built on the current deterministic UN methodology for producing the World Population Prospects. It models the e...
This study reviews the highly diverse regional and country patterns of HIV epidemics and discusses possible causes of the geographic variation in epidemic sizes. Past trends and projections of the epidemics are presented and the peak years of epidemics are estimated. The potential future impact of new prevention technologies is briefly assessed. A...
The increased attention to tracking progress towards the Millennium Development Goals (MDG), including Goal 4 of reducing child mortality, has drawn attention to a number of interrelated technical, operational and political challenges and to the underlying weaknesses of country health information systems upon which reliable monitoring depends. Asse...
The aim of this paper is to explore mortality in Quebec during the nineteenth century from a demographic perspective. During the nineteenth century, there was excess urban mortality in various countries; in order to identify such mortality differentials, we compared mortality indicators for the province of Quebec and then for the urban areas of Mon...
Cigarette smoking is the No. 1 cause of premature death among Canadians. However, tobacco consumption dropped by 35% in Canada during the 1980s.
Using data collected during a Quebec health survey, we evaluated the prevalences of tobacco use by birth cohort. Since mortality has been decreasing for both sexes, we computed gender-specific cohort morta...
This paper examines recent levels and trends in adult mortality from all causes of death and without AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa. After a review of the existing
literature, it consolidates existing estimates and builds on community studies and biomedical cohort data to infer national levels and trends in background adult mortality (i.e., from other...