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Fabrizio Coricelli

Fabrizio Coricelli

Ph.D. in Economics

About

138
Publications
15,474
Reads
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3,140
Citations
Citations since 2017
12 Research Items
722 Citations
2017201820192020202120222023020406080100120
2017201820192020202120222023020406080100120
2017201820192020202120222023020406080100120
2017201820192020202120222023020406080100120
Additional affiliations
September 2018 - present
Università degli Studi di Siena
Position
  • Professor
September 2008 - present
September 2008 - September 2018
Université de Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne
Position
  • Professor
Education
September 1982 - October 1988
University of Pennsylvania
Field of study
  • Economics
October 1975 - December 1979

Publications

Publications (138)
Article
Full-text available
This paper studies the productivity effects of integration deepening. The identification strategy exploits the 1995 European Union (EU) enlargement, when all candidate countries joined the Single Market but one — Norway — did not join the EU. Our synthetic difference-in-differences estimates on sectoral and regional data suggest had Norway chosen d...
Article
This paper studies the productivity effects of integration deepening. The identification strategy exploits the 1995 European Union (EU) enlargement, when all candidate countries joined the Single Market but one — Norway — did not join the EU. Our synthetic difference-in-differences estimates on sectoral and regional data suggest had Norway chosen d...
Chapter
Central Eastern European Countries (CEECs) went through a process of deep financial integration with advanced European countries, spurred by the entry in the European Union. Financial integration took place through an unprecedented entry of foreign banks in local banking markets, which led to a rapid expansion of credit and often credit booms. The...
Article
Small and medium‐sized enterprises (SMEs) suffered a sharp contraction in their borrowing from banks during the Great Recession. Analyzing a large firm‐level database for European countries, the paper shows that trade credit amplified the liquidity squeeze on SMEs, with adverse effects on their real activity. SMEs sharply increased their net trade...
Article
Full-text available
The literature on the growth effects of European integration remains inconclusive. This is due to severe methodological difficulties mostly driven by country heterogeneity. This paper addresses these concerns using the synthetic control method. It constructs counterfactuals for countries that joined the European Union (EU)from 1973 to 2004. We find...
Chapter
We find that European SMEs significantly increased their net trade credit to sales ratio during the Great Recession. For the aggregate of SMEs, trade credit did not provide any buffer to the contraction in bank loans. In fact, through increased net trade credit, SMEs suffered a squeeze in their liquidity and this phenomenon reflects the weak bargai...
Chapter
A defining feature of the British performance is its relative decline: After 1945, the six founding members of the European Union grew faster than (and some effectively overtook) the UK, yet there is a turning point when this relative decline stops (although it does not revert). The conventional view is that this occurs in the mid-1980s and the rea...
Book
“The UK-EU economic relationship has never been more important but also more uncertain. For anyone seeking perspective, this book is the essential guide.” Barry Eichengreen, George C. Pardee and Helen N. Pardee, Professor of Economics at the University of California, Berkeley “Brexit is an earthquake for the UK and EU. This timely book helps us un...
Article
Full-text available
This paper presents a dissonant view on post-war British economic performance. A defining feature is the decline of the UK relative to the six founding members of the European Union after 1945. However, this relative decline stopped. The conventional view is that a turning point occurs in the mid-1980s when Mrs Thatcher implements far-reaching stru...
Chapter
Before the financial crisis, fiscal policy often played a secondary role to monetary policy, with the manipulation of interest rates to hit inflation targets being the main instrument of macroeconomic management. However, after the financial crisis and the subsequent euro crisis, fiscal policy has been brought back to the fore. In the past, the lim...
Article
We characterize the behavior of disaggregate manufacturing sectors for a large set of developed and emerging markets around recession dates. We uncover some relevant stylized facts. The dispersion in value added (VA) growth rates in developed economies is counter-cyclical, whereas for emerging countries it is pro-cyclical. Recoveries are more produ...
Book
This collection offers a stimulating and insightful overview of the main issues affecting long-term economic growth. The novelty of this book is that it brings together two strands of economic literature, growth and development theories. The communication between different approaches is crucial as it is increasingly understood that growth hinges up...
Article
The Great Recession has generated renewed interest in the phenomenon of creditless recoveries. This paper studies the mechanisms behind such phenomenon, analyzing data on industries for a large set of countries over a forty year period from 1963 to 2003. We find that during creditless recoveries there is a significant reallocation of resources away...
Article
Full-text available
This paper discusses three policy tools to mitigate jobless recoveries during financial crises: inflation, real currency depreciation, and credit-recovery policies. Using a sample of financial crises in Emerging Market economies, we document that large inflationary spikes appear to help unemployment to get back to pre-crisis levels. However, the co...
Book
This paper discusses three policy tools to mitigate jobless recoveries during financial crises: inflation, real currency depreciation, and credit-recovery policies. Using a sample of financial crises in Emerging Market economies, we document that large inflationary spikes appear to help unemployment to get back to pre-crisis levels. However, the co...
Article
Full-text available
This paper offers empirical evidence showing that, relative to "normal" recessions, financial crises hit the labor market by either enhancing the degree of joblessness and/or by further depressing the real wage – a situation that the paper labels "wageless recovery." This holds for a sample of both advanced and emerging-market economies recession e...
Article
In the wake of the global financial crisis, several macroeconomic contributions have highlighted the risks of excessive credit expansion. In particular, too much finance can have a negative impact on growth. We examine the microeconomic foundations of this argument, positing a non-monotonic relationship between leverage and firm-level productivity...
Article
Full-text available
In the wake of the global financial crisis, several macroeconomic contributions have highlighted the risks of excessive credit expansion. In particular, too much finance can have a negative impact on growth. We examine the microeconomic foundations of this argument, positing a non-monotonic relationship between leverage and firm-level productivity...
Article
What accounts for the dynamics of financial reforms? This paper identifies the political regime as one of the main factors. Focusing on democratization and financial reform, it puts forward novel evidence for a U-shaped relation, across countries and over time, for different reform measures and a wide range of estimators. Partial democracy is a mai...
Article
Full-text available
Using empirical evidence from panel analysis of current account dynamics and of bilateral trade balances, the paper argues that the large German current account surplus during the 2000s can be explained by an increasing gap between productivity growth in manufacturing vis-à-vis services. Such a gap is due not only to improvements in the manufacturi...
Article
The Great Recession has inspired renewed interest in analyzing the behaviour of the economy during recession episodes, and how these temporary events can shape the productive structure of the economy for long periods. Most of the existing literature focuses on recessions at the aggregate level. We provide evidence on the behavior of a large set of...
Chapter
Full-text available
Even though the Great Recession has been a global crisis, the performance of emerging market economies has been heterogeneous during the crisis and the recovery. Several emerging economies in Europe were hit more severely than other emerging market economies, and for many emerging European countries the dynamics of output have been more similar to...
Article
This paper investigates the role of credit in shaping economic recoveries and tries to shed some light on the phenomenon of creditless recoveries using industry-level data for a large sample of countries. We find that while a failure of the credit stock to recover to its pre-crisis level does not hamper growth, a failure of credit flows to recover...
Article
The paper provides an empirical analysis of the growth performance of transition countries in a comparative perspective, separating episodes of crises from those of growth. Performance is measured by the output response following recessions, rather than average rates of growth that aggregate periods of recessions and periods of growth. Results high...
Article
Full-text available
The paper aims to bridge the gap between the literature on optimal capital structure and the literature on finance-output-growth nexus. On the basis of the trade-off theory of capital structure, we posit a non-linear relationship between leverage and productivity growth at the firm level. We test this hypothesis using both standard and IV threshold...
Article
Full-text available
What accounts for the dynamics of financial reforms? This paper identifies the political regime as main factor. Focusing on democratization and financial reform, it puts forward novel evidence for a U-shaped relation, across countries, over time as well as in a panel setting for different reform measures and a wide range of estimators. Partial demo...
Article
Most empirical studies on price setting that use micro data focus on advanced industrial countries. In this paper we analyze the experience of an emerging economy, Slovakia, using a large micro-level dataset that accounts for a substantial part of the consumer price index (about 5 million observations). We find that market structure is an important...
Article
Full-text available
Recent studies argue that the spread-adjusted Taylor rule (STR), which includes a response to the credit spread, replicates monetary policy in the United State. We show (1) STR is a theoretically optimal monetary policy under heterogeneous loan interest rate contracts in both discretionay and commitment monetary policies, (2) however, the optimal r...
Chapter
Full-text available
There is growing empirical literature on the relationship between concentration in product markets and concentration in the banking sector. Cetorelli (2001, 2004) and Cetorelli and Strahan (2006) found that countries or regions with more concentrated banking sectors tend also to have more concentrated product markets, thus suggesting that the causa...
Article
Full-text available
I modify the uniform-price auction rules in allowing the seller to ration bidders. This allows me to provide a strategic foundation for underpricing when the seller has an interest in ownership dispersion. Moreover, many of the so-called "collusive-seeming" equilibria disappear.
Article
Full-text available
Recent studies argue that the spread-adjusted Taylor rule (STR), which includes a response to the credit spread, replicates monetary policy in the United State. We show (1) STR is a theoretically optimal monetary policy under heterogeneous loan interest rate contracts in both discretionay and commitment monetary policies, (2) however, the optimal r...
Article
Full-text available
The relationship between economic and political liberalization has received a great deal of attention lately, yet the possibility of a nonlinear relationship and the role of reversals remain largely neglected. Focusing on democratization and financial reform, this paper offers evidence for a U-shaped relationship across countries, over time as well...
Article
Full-text available
The paper provides an empirical analysis of inflation persistence in one of inflation targeting countries, the Czech Republic, using 412 detailed product-level consumer price indexes underlying the consumer basket over the period from 1994 to 2005. Subject to various sensitivity tests, our results suggest that raw goods and non-durables, followed b...
Article
Full-text available
Most empirical studies on price setting that use micro data focus on advanced industrial countries. In this paper we analyze the experience of an emerging economy, Slovakia, using a large micro-level dataset that accounts for a substantial part of the consumer price index (about 5 million observations). We find that market structure is an important...
Chapter
One of the distinguishing features of planned economies was the total irrelevance of credit and finance for the determination of output. Market reforms gave credit and finance a central role in economic activity. This chapter identifies some causes for the continuing underdevelopment of financial markets and explores the implications of such underd...
Article
This paper provides a survey on studies that analyze the macroeconomic effects of intellectual property rights (IPR). The first part of this paper introduces different patent policy instruments and reviews their effects on R&D and economic growth. This part also discusses the distortionary effects and distributional consequences of IPR protection a...
Article
Using both macro- and industry-level data this paper analyses the non-linear effects of financial development and international financial integration on economic growth in Europe. Special attention is devoted to modeling threshold effects with respect to the depth of financial markets as a measure of economies' absorption capacity. Results reveal e...
Article
Full-text available
The paper provides an empirical analysis of inflation persistence in the Czech Republic using 412 detailed product-level consumer price indexes underlying the consumer basket over the period from 1994:M1 to 2005:M12. Subject to various sensitivity tests, our results suggest that raw goods and non-durables, followed by services, display smaller infl...
Book
Collection of essays based on the outcome of CASE's 2005 international conference held in Warsaw. In this collection, several prominent economists discuss the five big challenges to the development of the European Union (EU). These are: the new European Constitution, European finances and the Euro, the need to boost economic growth, competition in...
Chapter
Where is Europe going? In this 2007 collection, several prominent European economists offer essays on the five big challenges to the development of the European Union (EU). Namely, the new European Constitution, European finances and the euro, the need to boost economic growth, competition in both new member states and countries further to the East...
Article
While in Central-Eastern Europe and in the Baltics democracy and market reform have been consolidated, culminating in entry to the European Union, in the states of the former Soviet Union democracy and economic reforms are still lagging, and in some cases we observe reversals in both political and economic reforms. The article identifies the risk o...
Article
Using both macro- and industry-level data this paper analyses the non-linear effects of financial development and international financial integration on economic growth in Europe. Special attention is devoted to modeling threshold effects with respect to the depth of financial markets as a measure of economies' absorption capacity. Results reveal e...
Article
This paper surveys recent advances in empirical studies of the monetary transmission mechanism (MTM), with special attention to Central and Eastern Europe. In particular, while laying out the functioning of the separate channels in the MTM, it explores possible interrelations between different channels and their impact on prices and the real econom...
Article
Countries that joined the European Union in 2004 have to decide when to adopt the Euro. This decision depends on the evaluation of the relative costs and benefits associated with giving up the exchange rate instrument. Recent empirical work on several new EU members has questioned the role of the exchange rate as a shock absorber, thus downplaying...
Article
Full-text available
Retail lending grew very fast in the New Europe region in the last years, prompting a debate on whether such a rapid growth can be considered sustainable. This paper investigates the main determinants of retail lending growth throughout the region. It tries to identify episodes of credit boom and analyzes the possible correlation between such booms...
Article
Recent literature on the interactions between labor unions and monetary institutions features either a supply or a demand channel of monetary policy, but not both. This leads to two opposing views about the effects of central bank conservativeness. We evaluate the relative merits of those conflicting views by developing a unified framework. We find...
Article
Full-text available
The paper analyzes the macroeconomic implications of different systems of industrial relations. After reviewing the relevant literature, and analyzing cross-country evidence, the paper focuses on the experience of centralized bargaining characterizing Spain in the period 1979-86. The paper argues, in accordance with the literature and the cross-cou...
Article
Full-text available
The paper provides an empirical analysis of price setting behaviour in Slovakia, using large micro-level dataset covering about 57% of Slovak CPI for the period 1997-2001. The novelty of the paper is the analysis of a country characterized by nearly double-digit inflation and undergoing massive changes in market structure during the process of tran...
Article
Current developments in the design and management of fiscal rules in the European Union may have negative implications for New Member States. Loosening of the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) and a growing degree of arbitrariness in its implementation reduce incentives for fiscal adjustment in New Member States, adjustment that would be crucial duri...
Article
Full-text available
This paper analyzes the implications for acceding countries of the existing EU fiscal framework, focusing on three main issues. First, the 3% ceiling on the budget deficit does not leave sufficient room to acceding countries to run counter-cyclical policies during downturns. This is due to the much higher rate of potential output growth and volatil...
Article
Full-text available
We discuss sources of volatility and vulnerability in the CEECs during the transition and leading up to EU accession. The Paper emphasizes the role of the transition shock as a source of extreme volatility on a much larger scale than the one observed during crises in emerging markets. The low degree of financial and institutional development, which...
Article
This paper analyzes the link between the choice of exchange rate regime and inflationary performance in four acceding countries to the EU: the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovenia. The results allow a clear ranking of countries according to the size of the pass-through effect and the importance of exchange rate shocks to overall inflationar...
Article
The paper analyzes the phenomenon of real exchange rate appreciation that has characterized transition economies. It is shown that the real exchange rate—measured as the relative price of tradables in terms of non-tradables—is affected by adverse initial conditions and structural reforms only in the first 5 years of the transition process. After th...
Article
Full-text available
This paper analyzes the link between the choice of exchange rate regime and inflationary performance in countries acceding to the EU. Estimation of pass-through effect of exchange rate changes to CPI inflation is complemented by I(2) cointegration analysis of stochastic nominal trends. The results allow a clear ranking of countries according to the...
Article
Full-text available
After accession to the European Union, new member countries have to decide the optimal path to the adoption of the euro. Some have argued that the euro should be adopted only when a sufficient degree of real convergence has been achieved. The idea is that real exchange rates will be affected by a real appreciation trend, which would imply higher in...
Chapter
The Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) has come under increasing pressure as the fiscal position of several European Union (EU) member countries has deteriorated with the slowdown of their economies (European Commission 2002a). Proposals for revising the fiscal rules contained in the SGP have advanced in two main aspects: first, the budget deficit lim...
Article
Full-text available
In this Paper we analyse the link between the choice of exchange rate regime and inflationary performance in four EU accession countries: the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovenia. Estimation of pass-through effect of exchange rate changes to CPI inflation is complemented by I(2) co-integration analysis of stochastic nominal trends. The resu...
Article
Full-text available
Article
Countries of central eastern Europe which are candidates for accession to the European Union face fundamental challenges in the conduct of macroeconomic policies. These countries are characterized by growth rates faster than those of EU countries, along with large current account deficits and an equilibrium appreciation of the real exchange rate. I...
Article
Several observers have raised the issue of whether the process of real convergence of candidate countries to income levels of EU members is compatible with the adoption of the Euro, as Maastricht criteria impose strict constraints on nominal variables. In particular, inflation should converge to the best performers in the EU, and thus for candidate...
Chapter
Central and East European countries (CEECs) in the process of accession to the European Union (EU) face fundamental challenges to the conduct of macroeconomic policies. These countries are characterized by growth rates faster than those of EU countries and attendant large current account deficits. Fast productivity growth in the tradable sectors im...
Article
The international financial crisis manifests itself in Ireland not only as a crisis of the banking system, but also as a major fiscal crisis, aggravated by years of soft revenue policy and a housing bubble that has burst spectacularly. The severe drop in economic output results in a crisis of employment and a definitive end to the ‘Celtic Tiger’ er...
Article
The transition process that started in the Balkans some twenty years ago, and the European association process to which it has been inexorably connected, has led to a radical transformation of the Balkan economic space across local, regional, national and trans-national levels. Amongst the other effects that this have had, was the emergence of new...
Chapter
The goal of this volume is to bring a more broad-based empirical experience than has been customary to the theoretical debate on how financial systems should be managed. This is achieved not only with cross-country economic studies, but also with an account of carefully chosen and widely contrasting country cases, drawn from Europe, Latin America,...
Article
Full-text available
This Paper develops a framework for the analysis of the effects of institutions on economic performance in a monetary union in the presence of stabilization policy, unionized labour markets and monopolistically competitive price setting firms. Nominal wages are fixed contractually. In spite of full price flexibility transmission of monetary policy...
Article
The paper decomposes GDP both in terms of level per capita and growth rate, so as to identify the sources of income differences and of economic growth for all EU27 member states. This accounting approach has multiple advantages, although a number of substantial caveats should be borne in mind when interpreting the results. In particular, the detail...
Chapter
The stability of the Czech crown during the period 1991 to 1997 (during 1991 to 1993 the crown of the former Czechoslovakia) was considered an example of success in maintaining macroeconomic stability in a period of radical economic changes. The budget deficit was under control throughout the transition, monetary policy was always prudent, inflatio...
Article
This paper develops a model of the process of reallocation of resources from a declining state sector to an expanding private sector. The transition is shown to be costly in that it entails unemployment and a deterioration of the fiscal balance. The interaction of fiscal constraints with the transition process is examined. It is shown that fiscal c...
Article
The paper analyses the pressures on the pace of reform that can arise through fiscal constraints. A simple analytical framework is used to illustrate the relation between the budget deficit and the pace of restructuring, unemployment, and the relative dynamics of state and private firms. It is shown that fiscal pressures become stronger while the t...
Article
The paper presents an analytical discussion and empirical evidence on the adjustment of financial markets to the stabilization and reforms implemented in a transition economy, emphasizing the role of liquidity constraints. Different types of equilibria, associated with different financial structures, can emerge after reforms. The paper argues that...
Article
This paper presents a model of development of an economy comprised of a rural-agricultural sector and an urban-industrial sector. The interaction of investment with unemployment creates a channel for potentially divergent long-run outcomes. If the urban-industrial capital stock falls short of a threshold level, the urban-industrial sector will not...
Article
Attempts to understand the nautre and dynamics of the transition in Eastern Europe and Russia from the perspective of the labor market; organized around a set of country chapters (1-6) which provide a detailed analysis of the changes since the start of the respective transitions. The objective of these country chapters is to take a close look at th...
Article
Most stabilization programs in previously centrally planned economies (PCPEs) have relied on a sharp tightening of credit policy. In addition to — or even more important than — the objective of curbing inflation typical of stabilization programs in market economies, the tightening of credit in PCPEs was meant to foster the restructuring of the econ...