
Evgeniy Borisovich KibalovInstitute of Economics and Industrial Engineering
Evgeniy Borisovich Kibalov
DSc
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33
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Introduction
Skills and Expertise
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September 1983 - present
Publications
Publications (33)
The article deals with the problems of assessing the macroeconomic efficiency of large-scale projects at the stage that is commonly called pre-investment. The necessity of taking into account the factor of radical uncertainty when evaluating large-scale railway projects is justified. The pur-pose of the study. To show that the effects generated by...
The article discusses the federal program “Ecology of the Angara-Yenisei region (AYR)”. The description of the systemic synthesis of different approaches to the assessment of the program of restoration and preservation of the natural complex of the Yenisei, as the skeletal basis of the ecological-assimilation potential of AEP is given. The necessit...
To analyze the structural reform of railway transport in Russia (a twenty-year-long, large-scale institutional project), this article synthesizes several descriptive and normative approaches. The quantitative indicators and qualitative expert assessments considered in the article show that the results of the reform are ambiguous. We conclude that R...
The article analyzes large-scale railway projects, namely Sakhalin – Mainland, Lena – Kamchatka, and Transpolar mainlines, planned in the long term to be launched in Siberia and the Far East. We apply methods of system analysis and expert-based technologies for assessing their comparative social effectiveness in order to establish projects’ priorit...
Contains practical tasks and exercises that contribute to the formation of skills in the field of evaluating large-scale railway projects using software programs.
It is intended for students studying in the profile and program "logistics and supply chain management "of the direction "Management" (bachelor's and master's degrees).
This article analyses the unsuccessful structural reform of Russia’s railway sector and cites the project developers’ initial guidelines for the reform project, which turned out to be unsound. It also cites the Ministry of Economic Development’s disputed proposals for continuing reform. In addition, it presents objections made by opponents both dur...
This article discusses strategic problems related to the further reform of Russia’s railway sector. It presents the results of a questionnaire-based survey of experts and specialists well-known for studying this sector’s economic reform. In addition, it comments on the results obtained after the survey forms were processed with special computer pro...
This article reviews the soundness of domestic rail rates and the use of freight rates to cross-subsidize passenger transportation. While taking into account the strategy to develop rail transport in the country’s East, it proposes alternatives for the correction of the rate policy.
This article provides a comprehensive analysis of the competitiveness of the Baikal-Amur Mainline (BAM)–Trans-Siberian system in an unstable world. It discusses alternatives to the Silk Road (both historical and new) and the Silk Road’s northern expansion, which is achieved by traversing Russian railroad routes. It formulates theoretical and practi...
After years of reforms, Russian Railways, which is managed by the public railway, faces a situation known as an institutional trap. The assumption that the transformation of other mechanisms of the Russian economy will be performed synchronously with this key infrastructure sector proved wrong. A territorial and organizational model of railway mana...
Based on a case study of the problem of transport support for resource extraction on Russia’s Arctic shelf, an approach is described and implemented to select an expedient strategy for solving weak structurization problems under the conditions of an uncertain scenario. To structurize the problem, a goal tree is constructed and scenarios and strateg...
The monograph examines the method developed by the authors for evaluating the public effectiveness of large-scale railway projects in a situation of uncertainty. The results of theoretical research and model experiments are presented. the method was used to evaluate projects for the modernization of the TRANS-Siberian and Baikal-Amur highways and t...
The structural reform of the rail transport in Russia in the historical, theoretical and practical aspects is considered; the reasons for its ambiguous results are analyzed. The reform has been lasting for already 17 years, since 1998, when the first official concept of reforming the Russian railways was introduced. However, the reform in its origi...
The problem of Russian railway reform is reviewed in historical terms. It is shown that long-term attempts to transform the centralist model of control of the public railways based on liberal principles did not lead to the expected results. The public efficiency of the railway transportation did not increase and the technological efficiency was red...
In its institutional aspect, structural reform of Russia's railroad transportation is in its final stage. However, the reform has not solved problems of the railroads' engineering and technological basis (although some positive steps have been taken in the proper direction). The article elaborates a possible version of continuation of the instituti...
The tutorial contains theoretical and practical materials for system analysis of the expected effectiveness of large-scale investment projects in railway transport. It is intended for studying the disciplines "investment Management", "investment project Management", "System analysis", "Investment design".
The transportation-logistics cluster in the Novosibirsk Oblast is considered in the paper as a regional fragment of Russian transportation network with its boundaries changing according to a political or economic situation and with a major transportation-logistics center which is located in Novosibirsk City and coordinates all the traffic and commo...
On the example of preinvestment researches of the Project of creation of a direct railway communication Mainland of Russia - Sakhalin island are considered the features of a comparative estimation of large transport projects in a context of development of regional, national and international transport networks . The opportunities of the scenarium a...
The study of the relationships of the Sakhalin region with the inland part of the country and with neighboring states was based on statistical materials, sociological survey and expert judgements. It has shown that the ties with the homeland are weakening while those with foreign countries are strengthening, and this leads to "creeping" estrangemen...
The authors doubt the practicality in attaching priority to the construction of new railway lines, in particular the North-Siberian line, fixed as a priority in the project Russias Transportation Strategy commissioned by the Ministry of Transportation of the Russian Federation. The authors argument against the priority of the NorthSib is that in th...
The paper analyzes the modern theoretical and applied problems concerning the assessment of the large-scale investment projects under conditions of indeterminacy. The authors consider the domestic and foreign assessment techniques and conclude that their deterministic character is a key shortcoming. Having analyzed the large-scale regional transpor...
The paper analyses the Northern Siberia Trunk-railway Concept developed by the Institute for Regional Policy. It is shown that the Concept does not contain those required provisions which could make the Concept a scientifically valid document going before the implementation of this project and allowing for an uncertainty factor as the project is of...