Emma Gaitán Fernandez

Climate Research Foundation · Meteorology /climatology

Climate change effects on subdaily rainfall (from 5 min to a few hours) can hardly be measured in mid‐latitude climates due to the high natural variability of the precipitation patterns and their effects on local topography. The goal of this study was to obtain change projections of intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curves, for up to 2‐h precipita...

Grapevine cultivation is an ancestral practice in Mediterranean regions such as Spain. The current climatic characteristics of this region make it a particularly optimal area for its cultivation, and the climatic changes expected in the coming decades may jeopardise this climatic suitability. Therefore, accurate studies of future projections at a l...

Synergies among researches are supporting stakeholders and decision makers to reduce climate change impacts on the hydrological cycle thanks to climate services implemented in the Mediterranean area. For instance, CRISI-ADAPT-II project is monitoring adaptation planning through a real-time implementation and validation according to seasonal range f...

The Mediterranean region is a climate change hotspot, especially concerning issues of hydrological planning and urban water supply systems. In this context, the Jucar River Basin (Spain) presents an increase of frequency, intensity and duration of extreme meteorological phenomena, such as torrential rains, droughts or heat waves, which directly aff...

Presentation made during the UHINAK IV the Cross-border conference on climate and coastal change that took place in Irún (Spain) during the days 4-5 of November 2020. The abstract works on a comparative study between the ECCLIPSE and CRISI-ADAPT II European projects regarding their respective local future climate scenarios in the Port of Valencia....

Dynamical climate models present an initialization problem due to the poor availability of deep oceanic data, which is required for the model assimilation process. In this sense, teleconnection indices, defined from spatial and temporal patterns of climatic variables, are conceived as useful tools to complement them. In this work, the near‐term cli...

Heat- and cold-wave scenarios and temperature scenarios during the 21st century were obtained for Aragón (Spain), using, for the first time, nine Earth System Models (ESM) and two Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios – RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 - belonging to the 5th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). Local climate heat-wave sce...

A two-step statistical downscaling method has been reviewed and adapted to simulate twenty-first-century climate projections for the Gulf of Fonseca (Central America, Pacific Coast) using Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) climate models. The downscaling methodology is adjusted after looking for good predictor fields for this area (where...

The Mediterranean coast of Spain often experiences intense rainfall, sometimes reaching remarkable amounts of more than 400 mm in one day. The aim of this work is to study possible changes of extreme precipitation in Spain for this century, simulated from several Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) climate models. Eighteen climate...

This study describes a two-step analogue statistical downscaling method for daily temperature and precipitation. The first step is an analogue approach: the “n” days most similar to the day to be downscaled are selected. In the second step, a multiple regression analysis using the “n” most analogous days is performed for temperature, whereas for pr...

By applying a two-step statistical downscaling technique to four climate models under different future emission scenarios, we produced future projections of the daily precipitation and the maximum and minimum temperatures over the Spanish region of Aragón. The reliability of the downscaling technique was assessed by a verification process involving...

1) Fundación para la Investigación del Clima, Madrid, , (3) Facultad de Ciencias. Universidad San Jorge. Zaragoza, Spain Climate and soil are two of the most important limiting factors for agricultural production. Nowadays climate change has been documented in many geographical locations affecting different cropping systems. The General Circulation...

2) Fundación para la Investigación del Clima, Madrid, (3) Universidad de Cantabria, Spain Central American region is continuously affected by negative climatologically events. These events have great impact in the agricultural production and especially in the regions more vulnerable originating food insecurity and lack of nutritional status. One of...