Dong Jiang

• Ph.D.
• Professor (Full) at Chinese Academy of Sciences

Understanding the risk of armed conflict is essential for promoting peace. Although the relationship between climate variability and armed conflict has been studied by the research community for decades with quantitative and qualitative methods at different spatial and temporal scales, causal linkages at a global scale remain poorly understood. Her...

Scrub typhus is a climate-sensitive and life-threatening vector-borne disease that poses a growing public health threat. Although the climate-epidemic associations of many vector-borne diseases have been studied for decades, the impacts of climate on scrub typhus remain poorly understood, especially in the context of global warming. Here we incorpo...

Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is an emerging infectious disease with increasing incidence and geographic extent. The extent to which global climate change affects the incidence of SFTS disease remains obscure. We use an integrated multi-model, multi-scenario framework to assess the impact of global climate change on SFTS diseas...

Food workers have frequent contact with unprocessed foods, but their carriage of Salmonella and potential influence on public health have not been comprehensively assessed. We investigated Salmonella carriage among food workers compared with non-food workers based on occupational health screening of 260,315 asymptomatic workers over an 8-year surve...

Coal mining subsidence (CMS) alters surface water–groundwater interactions, increasing the complexity and uncertainty of the water cycle. Here, we propose an integrated model for simulating the water system in coal mining subsidence areas (CMSAs).Using the major coal-rich sub-basins in the Yellow River Basin of China as the study area, we identi...

Inter-state cyberattacks are increasingly becoming a major hidden threat to national security and global order. However, current prediction models are often constrained by single-source data due to insufficient consideration of complex influencing factors, resulting in limitations in understanding and predicting cyberattacks. To address this issue,...

The effect of climate variability on armed conflict has been discussed widely, yet their links remain unclear. To address this issue, we use a Structural Equation Model (SEM) to explore the direct and indirect effects of climate variability on armed conflict. In this protocol, we describe the process for building the conceptual SEM and providing pr...

The COVID-19 pandemic profoundly altered socio-economic activities, human behaviors, and crime patterns. However, less is known about how the pandemic and associated restrictions affected cyber-enabled and traditional fraud. Here, we conducted a retrospective analysis using police-recorded crime data in the UK to examine the impact of COVID-19 rest...

The assessment of evapotranspiration and crop coefficients is essential for agricultural water resource management. Previous studies were limited to specific crops. The evapotranspiration and single crop coefficients (Kc) values of 22 crops were assessed based on eddy covariance measurements at 50 flux sites. The logarithmic and exponential complem...

Cybercrime is a complex human behavior and social phenomenon. The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly altered socioeconomic activities, potentially causing changes in crime patterns. However, there has been limited research on how the interaction between the pandemic and socioeconomic factors affects cybercrime. Here we explore the spatiotemporal p...

The potential impacts of climate change on violent conflict are high on the agenda of scholars and policy makers. This article reviews existing literature to clarify the relationship between climate change and conflict risk, focusing on the roles of temperature and precipitation. While some debate remains, substantial evidence shows that climate ch...

With global armed conflicts reaching a 30-year high in 2023, understanding their impact on the progress of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) is crucial. Here, we used the propensity score matching method to assess the specific impacts of armed conflict on achieving the 17 SDGs in affected countries from 2000 to 2021. The results indicate that, c...

It is important to obtain the soil heat flux at a specific depth (Gz) and at the ground’s surface (G0) to understand the surface energy balance and climate change. However, previous evaluations of Gz and G0 simulations based on multiple sites have been relatively insufficient. We evaluated the accuracy of using physical mechanism-based gradient and...

The impact of Borrelia miyamotoi on human health, facilitated by the expanding geographical distribution and increasing population of Ixodes ticks, remains obscure in the context of global climate change. We employed multiple models to evaluate the effect of global climate change on the risk of B. miyamotoi worldwide across various scenarios. The h...

The enormous potential of the photovoltaic (PV) sector has aided in the faster attainment of China's “dual-carbon” aim. However, due to a scarcity of land resources and intermittent fluctuations in solar energy, it has been difficult to build large-scale PV bases, and existing PV systems also suffer from unstable power generation and seasonal fluct...

Maximizing the development of renewable energy plays a critical role in mitigating the climate crisis. Marginal land provides space for the development of biomass energy; however, it remains unclear how the amount and spatial distribution of marginal land that is suitable for energy crop development will change in the future. Here, we project energ...

High-resolution imagery and deep learning models have gained increasing importance in land-use mapping. In recent years, several new deep learning network modeling methods have surfaced. However, there has been a lack of a clear understanding of the performance of these models. In this study, we applied four well-established and robust deep learnin...

Bio-liquid fuel is one of the effective ways to alleviate energy shortages and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Sweet sorghum, as an energy crop used in fuel ethanol production, has enormous potential for development. However, due to seasonality, vulnerability, and logistical scheduling costs during transportation, the sweet sorghum ethanol supply...

Land use cannot be simply understood as land cover. The same land may carry different functions, such as production, living, and ecological applications; the dominant function of land will affect and restrict other uses. Disorderly urbanization and industrialization have led to an intensification of conflicts among the production, living, and ecolo...

Sub-Saharan Africa has suffered frequent outbreaks of armed conflict since the end of the Cold War. Although several efforts have been made to understand the underlying causes of armed conflict and establish an early warning mechanism, there is still a lack of a comprehensive assessment approach to model the incidence risk of armed conflict well. B...

The demand for energy plants is foreseen to grow as worldwide energy and climate policies promote the use of bioenergy for climate change mitigation. To avoid competing with food production, it’s critical to assess future changes in marginal land availability for energy plant development. Using a machine learning method, boosted regression tree, th...

Global production-living-ecology space closely corresponds with sustainable development’s economic, social and ecological elements. The dataset of global production–living–ecological space in this paper was generated by combining the global land cover obtained using GlobeLand30 and the population density supplied by NASA’s Socioeconomic Data and Ap...

Human security is threatened by terrorism in the 21st century. A rapidly growing field of study aims to understand terrorist attack patterns for counter-terrorism policies. Existing research aimed at predicting terrorism from a single perspective, typically employing only background contextual information or past attacks of terrorist groups, has re...

H umans have become one of the primary forces shaping our planet, altering climatic, geological and biological systems at an unprecedented pace. A whole new geological period has been proposed, the Anthropocene, which highlights just how much of a priority the reduction and management of anthro-pogenic pressures are becoming globally. Within the to...

Objectives: Understand whether and how the COVID-19 pandemic affects the risk of different types of conflict worldwide in the context of climate change. Methodology: Based on the database of armed conflict, COVID-19, detailed climate, and non-climate data covering the period 2020–2021, we applied Structural Equation Modeling specifically to reorga...

Background Human cystic and alveolar echinococcosis are neglected tropical diseases that WHO has prioritized for control in recent years. Both diseases impose substantial burdens on public health and the socio-economy in China. In this study, which is based on the national echinococcosis survey from 2012 to 2016, we aim to describe the spatial prev...

To reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, biomass has been increasingly developed as a renewable and clean alternative to fossil fuels because of its carbon-neutral characteristics. China has been investigating the rational development and use of bioenergy for developing its clean energy and achieving carbon neutrality. Substituting fossil fuels wi...

Cybercrime is wreaking havoc on the global economy, national security, social stability, and individual interests. The current efforts to mitigate cybercrime threats are primarily focused on technical measures. This study considers cybercrime as a social phenomenon and constructs a theoretical framework that integrates the social, economic, politic...

The “dual carbon” goal proposes new requirements for urban development, and the contradiction between high-speed urban development and environmental problems is becoming increasingly critical. The path of green and low-carbon development urgently needs to be investigated. In this paper, a simulation system of urban carbon emission based on system d...

As the core engine of the Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macao Greater Bay Area, Shenzhen plays a typical representative and leading role in the process of China's realization of the “double carbon” strategic goal, i.e., achieving peak carbon dioxide emissions by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060. Starting from an urban complex ecosystem, the aim of this stu...

Sustainable land use is an important part of sustainable development. China is the largest developing country and has made significant achievements in economic development. However, in the process of development, there are also problems such as tightening resource constraints and intensifying land use conflicts. With mainland China as the research...

The African coconut beetle Oryctes monoceros and Asiatic rhinoceros beetle O. rhinoceros have been associated with economic losses to plantations worldwide. Despite the amount of effort put in determining the potential geographic extent of these pests, their environmental suitability maps have not yet been well established. Using MaxEnt model, the...

Ecological space (ES), including forest ecological space (FES) and grassland ecological space (GES) in this study, is the land with natural attributes and the main functions of providing ecological services, which has a huge potential capacity for carbon sink (CS). The interannual fluctuation of the CS in ES is severe, which is affected by factors...

Production space, living space, and ecological space (PLES) increasingly restrict and influence each other, and the urban PLES conflict significantly affects the sustainable development of a city. This study extracts multi-dimensional features from high-resolution remote sensing images, building vectors, points of interest (POI), and nighttime ligh...

Although numerous studies have examined the effects of climate variability on armed conflict, the complexity of these linkages requires deeper understanding to assess the causes and effects. Here, we assembled an extensive database of armed conflict, climate, and non-climate data for South Asia. We used structural equation modeling to quantify both...

Energy crises, water shortages, and rising carbon emissions are constantly posing new demands and challenges to global economic development. Considering the problem of high emissions and high water consumption in the process of energy production and transformation in resourcebased cities, this study established the LEAP-Jincheng model based on the...

Industrialization and urbanization have resulted in a series of problems such as an excessive intensity of land utilization and an unbalanced structure of land use. Contradictions and conflicts regarding different uses of land are becoming increasingly problematic. The question of how to coordinate the competition among the driving factors of land...

Given that armed conflict has been seriously impeding sustainable development, reducing the frequency and intensity of armed conflicts has become an explicit goal and a common theme of the 2030 Sustainable Development Goals. Determining the factors shaping armed conflict risks in different regions could support formulating region-specific strategie...

Coordinating urban development, food security, and ecological protection is a prerequisite for sustainable development. However, with a large population and rapid urbanization, there are still many challenges to optimize the urban-agricultural-ecological space. Here, taking China as a case in point, we explored the dynamic pattern of urban-agricult...

The sustainable development level, coordinated among three subsystems in the economy, society, and environment , has changed globally or regionally. The key factors and mechanisms driving these changes remain uncharacterized due to the lack of a systematic method. Here, within the production-living-ecological framework , this study quantified China...

With the increase in global carbon dioxide emissions, China has put forward the goals of a carbon peak and carbon neutrality (double carbon) and formulated an action plan to consolidate and enhance the carbon sink capacity of the ecosystem. The Chinese grassland ecosystem (CGE) is widely distributed and is the key link for China to achieve the doub...

As a significant threat to agriculture, pests have caused a great disservice to crop production and food security. Understanding the mechanisms of pests’ outbreaks and invasion is critical in giving sound suggestions on their control and prevention strategies. The African rhinoceros beetle, Oryctes monoceros (Olivier), as the most damaging pest of...

Global climate change, expected to be one of the most severe challenges that human beings have ever encountered, has had far-reaching impacts on ecosystems and humans, among which the potentially increasing chance of violent conflict has raised attention recently. However, several years of research have produced no consensus regarding whether clima...

African swine fever (ASF) has spread to many countries in Africa, Europe and Asia in the past decades. However, the potential geographic extent of ASF infection is unknown. Here we combined a modeling framework with the assembled contemporary records of ASF cases and multiple covariates to predict the risk distribution of ASF at a global scale. Loc...

Trade-offs and conflicts among different sectors of production, living, and ecology have become important issues in regional sustainable development planning due to both the versatility and limitation of land resources, especially in poverty-stricken mountainous areas. This study builds an optimization model to assist policymakers in simulating lan...

The 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China put forward the optimization of territorial space development patterns as the primary measure of ecological civilization construction, and put forward the goal of “promoting intensive and efficient production space, livable and moderate living space, and beautiful (picturesque scenery) ecol...

The integration and optimization of protected areas is an important part of the construction of a protected areas system centered around national parks. How to best integrate and optimize protected areas is the most urgent problem in the reform. This paper analyzes the spatial overlap and continuity of protected areas in China on a national scale a...

Developing biomass energy, seen as the most important renewable energy, is becoming a prospective solution in attempting to deal with the world’s sustainability-related challenges, such as climate change, energy crisis, and carbon emission reduction. As one of the most promising second-generation energy crops, giant silvergrass (Miscanthus × gigant...

As a typical cybercrime, cyber fraud poses severe threats to civilians’ property safety and social stability. Traditional criminological theories such as routine activity theory focus mainly on the effects of individual characteristics on cybercrime victimization and ignore the impacts of macro-level environmental factors. This study aims at explor...

Gentiana dahurica Fisch. is a characteristic medicinal plant found in Inner Mongolia, China. To meet the increase in market demand and promote the development of medicinal plant science, we explored the influence of the environment on its distribution and the quantity of its active compounds (loganic acid and 6’-O-β-D-glucosylgentiopicroside) to fi...

In this work, based on the concept of collaborative water–energy development, a multi-scenario system dynamics simulation model of a water–energy coupling system was constructed by using the system dynamics modeling method. The model was composed of four subsystems: society, economic, water resources, and energy. Taking Ningbo City as the research...

Visceral leishmaniasis (VL) is an important vector-borne zoonosis caused by Leishmania spp. that has been spreading in China. It has been posing a significant risk to public health in central China due to its recurrence in recent decades. Yet, the spatiotemporal patterns and the driving factors of VL in central China remain unclear at present. The...

Landslides represent some of the most important geological disasters and not only pose a threat to human beings but also have a serious destructive impact on the environment and property. Delimiting the potential distribution of landslide risk zones is of great significance for reducing casualties and economic losses and promoting sustainable devel...

Bioethanol will play a significant role in energy structure adjustment and greenhouse gas mitigation in the future, especially in the transport sector. As bioethanol production with grain crops may become obsolete due to food security concerns, the Chinese government has advocated the development of non-grain bioethanol. According to the current ac...

Echinococcosis, caused by genus Echinococcus, is the most pathogenic zoonotic parasitic disease in the world. In Tibet of the People’s Republic of China, echinococcosis refers principally to two types of severe zoonosis, cystic echinococcosis (CE) and alveolar echinococcosis (AE), which place a serious burden on public health and economy in the loc...

Discriminating water inrush sources efficiently and accurately is necessary to control water in coal mines. We combined the improved genetic algorithm (IGA) and extreme learning machine (ELM) methods and applied this new method to the Zhaogezhuang mining area. The IGA-ELM method effectively solved the complex non-linear problems encountered in iden...

Production–living–ecological space (PLES) basically covers the scope of spatial activities in people’s material production and spiritual life and is the basic carrier of human social development and economic activities. The coordinated development of PLES is an effective method to mitigate land-use conflicts to achieve balanced and coordinated deve...

The problem of extracting meaningful data through graph analysis spans a range of different fields, such as social networks, knowledge graphs, citation networks, the World Wide Web, and so on. As increasingly structured data become available, the importance of being able to effectively mine and learn from such data continues to grow. In this paper,...

The coinfection of swine influenza (SI) strains and avian/human-source influenza strains in piggeries can contribute to the evolution of new influenza viruses with pandemic potential. This study analyzed surveillance data on SI in south China and explored the spatial predictor variables associated with different influenza infection scenarios in cou...

Background The key problem of non-grain energy plants’ scale development is how to estimate the potential of GHG emission reduction accurately and scientifically. This study presents a method coupled DSSAT (the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer) and the life cycle assessment (LCA) method to simulate the spatial distribution of swe...

With the rapid development of biofuels, doubts about their sustainability have also been raised. To explore the answer to this question, researchers have paid considerable attention to the assessment of the benefits of biofuels, especially to their energy benefits and carbon reduction potential. This paper presents a comprehensive review assessing...

As one of the most notorious invasive species, the red imported fire ant (Solenopsis invicta Buren) has many adverse impacts on biodiversity, environment, agriculture, and human health. Mapping the potential global distribution of S. invicta becomes increasingly important for the prevention and control of its invasion. By combining the most compreh...

Visceral leishmaniasis (VL) is a neglected disease caused by trypanosomatid protozoa in the genus Leishmania, which is transmitted by phlebotomine sandflies. Although this vector-borne disease has been eliminated in several regions of China during the last century, the reported human VL cases have rebounded in Western and Central China in recent de...

Switchgrass (Panicum virgatum L.) with its advantages of low maintenance and massive distribution in temperate zones, has long been regarded as a suitable biofuel feedstock with a promising prospect. Currently, there is no validated assessment of marginal land for switchgrass growth on a global scale. Although, on both regional and national scale t...

Cystic echinococcosis (CE), which is caused by Echinococcus granulosus, is a worldwide helminthozoonosis that is highly endemic in the Tibet Autonomous Region of China and has important public health and economic impacts. However, the spatial epidemiological characteristics of CE in Tibet are still unclear. Based on recorded human CE cases and the...

Research on the development of plants grown for energy purposes is important for ensuring the global energy supply and reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and simulation is an important method to study its potential. This paper evaluated the marginal land that could be used to grow sugarcane in the Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region. Based on the mete...

H1N1 subtype influenza A viruses are the most common type of influenza A virus to infect humans. The two major outbreaks of the virus in 1918 and 2009 had a great impact both on human health and social development. Though data on their complete genome sequences have recently been obtained, the evolution and mutation of A/H1N1 viruses remain unknown...

Digital signage is an important outdoor advertising medium in cities. However, advertising on digital signage often lacks pertinence. Thus, it is important to introduce an accurate digital signage audience classification method to facilitate targeted advertising. In this study, a multi-label classification model based on a backpropagation (BP) neur...

With the extensive use of digital signage, precise site selection is an urgent issue for digital signage enterprises and management agencies. This research aims to provide an accurate digital signage site-selection model that integrates the spatial characteristics of geographical location and multisource factor data and combines empirical location...

This article identifies marginal land technically available for the production of energy crops in China, compares three models of yield prediction for Miscanthus × giganteus, Panicum virgatum L. (switchgrass) and Jatropha, and estimates their spatially‐specific yields and technical potential for 2017. Geographic Information System (GIS) analysis of...

This article analyzes the linkages between the economy and armed conflict in India using annual frequency data for the period 1989–2016, the maximum time period for which consistent data are available for the country. An adequate set of economic indicators was established to fully reflect the economic condition. Long short‐term memory (LSTM), which...

Production–living–ecological space (PLES) is a recent research hotspot on land planning and regional sustainable development in China. Taking the Yangtze River Delta agglomerations as a case study, this paper establishes a spatial-conflict index to identify the PLES conflicts, and then builds a cellular-automaton (CA) Markov model to simulate the P...

Spatially explicit farm‐gate production costs and the economic potential of three types of energy crop grown on available marginal land in China for 2017 and 2040 were investigated using a spatial accounting method and construction of cost–supply curves. The average farm‐gate cost from all available marginal land was calculated as 32.9 CNY GJ‐1 for...

Production–living–ecological (PLE) space is the basic site of all human activities. The coordinated development of these three spaces is an important prerequisite for achieving sustainable development goals. However, a quantitative assessment of the overall coordination among these three spaces is limited in current research. This paper built an in...