Dmitrii Bogdanov

Lappeenranta – Lahti University of Technology LUT · Department of Energy

Transitioning to renewables is critical to address the Caribbean's vulnerability to imported fossil fuel price volatility and concerns about climate change. This study presents a first‐of‐its‐kind comprehensive analysis of 17 illustrative pathways varying the impact of e‐fuel imports, grid interconnections and an accelerated energy transition towar...

Solar photovoltaics, especially rooftop systems also called distributed solar photovoltaics, are crucial in the ongoing energy transition. Modelling these systems is vital to understanding their role in a decentralised energy system. While ground-mounted photovoltaic power plants are easier to model, generalising yield profiles for rooftop systems...

As research in 100% renewable energy systems progresses, closing remaining research gaps, such as quantifying inter-annual balancing requirements, is necessary. For this study, inter-annual variations of wind power yield and the resulting balancing requirements are analysed for the energy transition towards 100% renewable energy of the United Kingd...

Estimation of rooftop solar PV yield based on fixed-tilted ground-mounted power plants for global energy system transition modelling including rooftop PV and/or prosumers.

To successfully transition towards fully renewable energy systems, energy sectors that today are primarily autonomous should be closely integrated to increase system flexibility and maximise synergy from effective sector coupling. Heat pumps are one of the sector coupling technologies which enable a mutual integration of power and heat sectors. Hea...

Climate change is driving the adoption of sustainable energy, with low-cost solar photovoltaics and wind power at the forefront. However, land-constrained regions and islands have a limited onshore renewable energy potential. Wave power may prove useful for such regions, supported by growing literature in the field. This study delves into wave powe...

With the growth of solar photovoltaics (PV) in recent years as the largest power source by capacity added, the energy-industry transition towards high sustainability is accelerating. However, the energy-industry systems of the Americas are largely lagging as fossil fuels still dominate the electricity generation mix and the system as a whole. Energ...

This paper aims to introduce and investigate the role of a wider array of solar PV technologies on the transition of a fully sector-coupled Iberian energy system towards 100% renewable energy (RE) by 2050. The approach used in this research consists of the following: i) reviewing existing highly RE system studies on Spain and Portugal and the respe...

This study presents a novel approach to analysing the Japanese energy system transition from a mostly fossil fuels‐based system as of today, to a sustainable renewable energy‐based system by 2050. This research uses a novel technology‐rich, multi‐regional, multi‐sectoral, and cost‐optimal energy system model for the analysis, describing pathways to...

The British Isles, consisting of the United Kingdom and the Republic of Ireland, were investigated for a sustainable energy system transition towards 100% renewable energy in 2050. Under given framework conditions, three pathways comprising the entire energy system were investigated in 5‐year time steps and hourly resolution applying an advanced en...

Traditional biomass is responsible for about 500,000 premature deaths of Africans yearly; thus, a sustainable solution is needed. In this study, the LUT Energy System Transition Model and a comprehensive bioenergy estimation method are used to investigate biomass utilisation for power and viable bioenergy technology options in a 100% renewable powe...

Appropriate climate change mitigation requires solutions for all actors of the energy system. The residential sector is a major part of the energy system and solutions for the implementation of a seasonal hydrogen storage system in residential houses has been increasingly discussed. A global analysis of prosumer systems including seasonal hydrogen...

The cost-optimal pathway for moving from the current fossil-fuel based energy system to 100% renewables is still an open question. This work presents the first study that analyses the transition towards a 100% renewable energy system under different spatial resolutions (1-node, 6-nodes electrically isolated and interconnected) and various coupling...

As the European Union intensifies its response to the climate emergency, increased focus has been placed on the hard-to-abate energy-intensive industries. Primary among these is the steel industry, a cornerstone of the European economy and industry. With the emergence of new hydrogen-based steelmaking options, particularly through hydrogen direct r...

Multiple energy-related crises require a fast transition towards a sustainable energy system. The European Green Deal aims for zero CO 2 emission by 2050, while accelerating climate change impacts obligate a faster phase-out of fossil fuels. Energy transition studies for Europe at and near 100% renewable energy are used as a benchmark for two newly...

Recent events like heatwaves and abnormal rainfall are a glimpse of the devastating effects of human induced climate change. No country is immune to its effects, but a developing country like India is particularly vulnerable. This research, for the individual states of India, explores the technical feasibility and economic viability of a renewable...

While the detrimental impacts of climate change are unraveling around the world, a geopolitical crisis at the heart of Europe has brought to the forefront another dimension to the complexities of the energy transition. Energy security and energy independence have preceded to shape future energy decisions, not only in Europe but across the world. Eu...

Defossilisation of the current fossil fuels dominated global energy system is one of the key goals in the upcoming decades to mitigate climate change. Sharp reduction in the costs of solar photovoltaics, wind power, and battery technologies enables a rapid transition of the power and some segments of the transport sectors to sustainable energy reso...

Faced with interrelated challenges of climate change and energy crises, Africa’s future energy system orientation could be steered toward sustainable development. In this study, we contextualized diverging fossil fuels-dominated and renewable energy-based pathways toward sustainable development in Africa. A novel and sophisticated techno-economic e...

As the discourse surrounding 100% renewable energy systems has evolved, several energy system modelling tools have been developed to demonstrate the technical feasibility and economic viability of fully sustainable, sector coupled energy systems. While the characteristics of these tools vary among each other, their purpose remains consistent in int...

The transition away from fossil fuels towards renewable energy is critical in preventing perilous climate change, and cities around the world have a significant role in enabling this transition. Cities are innately centres of human, economic and intellectual capital, also contributing to the growing energy demand around the world. This research is...

This study aims to contribute to the field of energy systems modelling with high-resolution cost-optimised onshore wind turbine configurations and an openly available hourly data of wind electricity yield on a global-local scale. It introduces a more rigorous and novel methodology to estimate the wind electricity yield for lowest cost electricity g...

This is a discussion and response to “Global 100% energy transition by 2050: A fiction in developing economies?” authored by Anthony Afful-Dadzie and published in Joule 5 (2021) 1634–1643. The preview has raised concerns around the feasibility of energy transitions towards 100% renewable energy and sustainable technologies in developing economies,...

Research on 100% renewable energy systems is a relatively recent phenomenon. It was initiated in the mid-1970s, catalyzed by skyrocketing oil prices. Since the mid-2000s, it has quickly evolved into a prominent research field encompassing an expansive and growing number of research groups and organizations across the world. The main conclusion of m...

Pakistan is currently undertaking a substantial expansion of electricity generation capacity to provide electricity for all its end-users and to satisfy a fast-growing economy. Adoption of low-cost, abundant and clean renewable energy will not only fulfil its growing electricity , heat, transportation and desalinated water demand but also help achi...

Solar photovoltaics has demonstrated the strongest long-term growth rates of all energy technologies since the 1950s. It has been recognized as the new “king” of energy markets, having emerged within the past few years as the least-cost source of electricity. Along with supporting energy system technologies, in particular batteries and electrolyzer...

The aim of this research is to analyse the impact of renewable energy (RE) technologies and sector coupling via analysing the transition pathways towards a sustainable energy system in Chile. Four energy transition scenarios for the power, heat, transport and desalination sectors were assessed using the LUT Energy System Transition model. The curre...

Driven by climate mitigation goals countries around the world are prioritising low-cost renewables for economic growth and recovery from the aftermath of the global pandemic. It is quite clear that sustainable technology choices result in broader socioeconomic benefits, as is shown by countries that have been early movers in transitioning their ene...

Transition towards sustainable energy systems is of utmost importance to avert global consequences of climate change. Within the framework of the Paris Agreement and Marrakech Communique, this study analyses an energy transition pathway utilising renewable resources for the Philippines. The transition study is performed from 2015 to 2050 on a high...

Globally, the heat sector has a major share in energy consumption and carbon emission footprint. To provide reliable mitigation options for space heating, domestic hot water, industrial process heat and biomass for cooking for the energy transition time frame up to the year 2050, energy system modeling relies on a comprehensive and detailed heat de...

Supplementary material

The Himalayan countries Nepal and Bhutan have been confronted with similar climate change and energy emergencies for quite a long time. Its influence is felt as a barrier in financial, social, infrastructural, and political development. Despite having an enormous amount of renewable energy sources, these countries are unable to fulfil their current...

This article explores the transition to renewable energy for all purposes in developing countries. Ethiopia is chosen as a case study and is an exemplary of developing countries with comparable climatic and socioeconomic conditions. The techno-economic analysis of the transition is performed with the LUT Energy System Transition model, while the so...

Climate change threats and the necessity to achieve global Sustainable Development Goals demand unprecedented economic and social shifts around the world, including a fundamental transformation of the global energy system. An energy transition is underway in most regions, predominantly in the power sector. This research highlights the technical fea...

This chapter presents a technically feasible and economically viable energy pathway for Europe, in which the energy sector (comprised of power, heat, transport, and desalination) reaches 100% renewable energy and zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. The research highlights the transition of the transport sector, which is currently dependent on fo...

Under the Paris Climate Agreement, sustainable energy supply will largely be achieved through renewable energies. Each country will have its own unique optimal pathway to transition to a fully sustainable system. This study demonstrates two such pathways for Bolivia that are both technically feasible and cost-competitive to a scenario without prope...

The Paris Agreement within the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change aims to mitigate effects of greenhouse gas emissions to limit global warming. Turkmenistan ratified the Agreement and is a country with absolute reliance on fossil fuels and practically zero installed renewable energy capacity. This study provides potential transit...

Transition towards long-term sustainable energy systems is one of the biggest challenges faced by the global society. By 2050, not only greenhouse gas emissions have to be eliminated in all energy sectors: power, heat, transport and industry but also these sectors should be closely coupled allowing maximum synergy effects and efficiency. A tool all...

This is a corrigendum to the article Transition toward a fully renewable-based energy system in Chile by 2050 across power, heat, transport and desalination sectors published by the International Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management with DOI: http://doi.org/10.5278/ijsepm.3385

A cost-optimised transition pathway towards 100 % renewable energy was simulated for Finland. This transition was consistent with EU and international targets to achieve sstainability, while maintaining national competitiveness. Finland was divided into 7 regions that account for resource distribution and demand differences at high spatial and hour...

Powerfuels – i. e. green hydrogen and derived gaseous and liquid energy carriers and feedstocks such as synthetic kerosene, methane or ammonia – will play an important role in a carbon-neutral energy system. They will be essential for defossilising sectors that are hard to electrify such as aviation, maritime transport, and specific industrial proc...

This is a first of its kind regional analysis of cost optimal energy transition pathway towards 100% renewables across the power, heat, transport and desalination sectors of North India. The study was undertaken before the pandemic but has become even more relevant considering the global call for green recovery. The study provides a long-term strat...

An energy transition across North India with 100% renewables by 2050 in an integrated energy system covering the demand from sectors of power, heat, transport and industry. Presenting insights on role of solar PV, battery storage technology, P-to-X, synthetic fuels, GHG emissions and jobs.

This research study by LUT University and Climate Trends is a first of its kind regional analysis of cost optimal energy transition pathway towards 100% renewables across the power, heat, transport and desalination sectors of North India. The study was undertaken before the pandemic but has become even more relevant considering the global call for...

Energy security analysis is a strong tool for policy makers. It allows them to formulate policies that would enhance energy systems by targeting necessary actions. In this study, the impacts of transitioning from a fossil fuels to a renewables dominated energy system on energy security is analysed for Jordan. A Best Policy Scenario was developed fo...

SolarPower Europe and LUT University’s ground-breaking modelling demonstrates that it is possible for the EU to become fully climate neutral by 2040, complying with the ambitious 1.5°C Paris Agreement target, and without any tricks, like carbon sinks, but by implementing ambitious energy efficiency policies and going 100% renewables. In addition, t...

This research explores the feasibility of 100% renewable energy (RE) systems for the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region for assumptions of the year 2030. The demand for three sectors are taken into account: power, non-energetic industrial gas and seawater desalination. Three strategical scenarios are discussed, namely Region, Area and Integ...

Renewable energies will play a significant role in transitioning towards sustainable energy system in order to match the goal under the Paris Agreement. However, to achieve this goal, it will be necessary to find the best country pathway, with global repercussions. This study reveals that an energy system based on 100% renewable resources in Chile...