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Understanding and predicting the state of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is key to forecasting the weather in the United Kingdom (UK). It has been shown that particular phases of the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) act as precursors to either NAO+ or NAO− events. We assess the ability of the UK Met Office coupled climate model (HadGEM3‐GC3.1‐...
It is known that the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) excites a response in the behaviour of many extratropical weather regimes at lag times of one to two weeks, acting as a key predictor in weather forecasting. Less well understood, however, is the robustness of these responses over long time scales. We begin by taking a statistical approach to ass...