Célia Gouveia

Célia Gouveia
University of Lisbon | UL · Departamento de Engenharia Geográfica, Geofísica e Energia (DGGE)

PhD

About

179
Publications
49,135
Reads
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5,935
Citations
Introduction
Célia Gouveia currently works at the Instituto Português do Mar e Atmosfera. She is also a invited teacher of Remote Sensing at Departamento de Engenharia Geográfica, Geofísica e Energia (DGGE), University of Lisbon. Célia does research in Climatology, Remote Sensing and Meteorology. Their current project is LSASAF funded by Eumetsat, 'PIEZAGRO - PTDC/AAG-REC/7046/2014, IMDROFLOOD - WaterJPI/0004/2014 and CLIMALERT -ERA4CS/00044/2016.
Additional affiliations
March 2017 - present
Portuguese Sea and Atmosphere Institute
Position
  • Researcher
March 2016 - present
University of Lisbon
Position
  • Professor
November 1999 - February 2014
Polytechnic Institute of Setúbal
Position
  • Professor (Assistant)

Publications

Publications (179)
Article
Full-text available
This study investigates the effects of incremental global warming, specifically the transition from 1.5 °C to 2.0 °C, on drought conditions in the Iberian Peninsula (IP). Our findings confirm a substantial increase in the frequency and intensity of droughts in the IP due to anthropogenic climate change. We highlight the importance of temperature in...
Article
Full-text available
Extreme weather events have become more frequent and severe with ongoing climate change, with a huge implication for the agricultural sector and detrimental effects on crop yield. In this study, we compare several combinations of climate indices and utilized the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) to explain the probabilities of...
Article
Full-text available
Climate change has become a major concern in the twenty-first century, leading to the amplification of extreme events and, consequently, to severe impacts on society, economy and ecosystems. Heatwave conditions in particular, often coupled with extended periods of dryness, have an important contribution in exacerbating rural fires. Here, we propose...
Article
Fire databases typically contain information regarding the location, timing, and duration of fire occurrences, as well as the cause (natural or human-induced). These databases allow for the analysis and understanding of the circumstances surrounding the ignition and propagation of wildfires, being highly relevant when addressing fire suppression an...
Article
Full-text available
The occurrence of compound drought and hot events has been shown to cause stronger socio-economic, environmental and health impacts than the isolated events. Moreover, the frequency of these compound events has increased unevenly throughout and is expected to keep increasing in several regions of the world. In this work, an assessment of compound d...
Article
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Madagascar is a low-income country, highly vulnerable to natural disasters affecting the small-scale subsistence farming system. Recently, climate change and environmental degradation have contributed to an intensification of food insecurity. We aim to monitor the link between dry and hot extremes on vegetation conditions, separated or concurrently...
Article
Full-text available
Volcano eruption identification and watching is crucial to better understanding volcano dynamics, namely the near real-time identification of the eruption start, end, and duration. Eruption watching allows hazard assessment, eruption forecasting and warnings, and also risk mitigation during periods of unrest, to enhance public safety and reduce los...
Article
Full-text available
Climate plays a major role in the spatiotemporal distribution of most agricultural systems, and the economic losses related to climate and weather extremes have escalated significantly in the last decades. South America is one of the most productive agricultural areas of the globe. In recent years, remote sensing data and geographic information sys...
Article
Full-text available
Introduction Reduplicative paramnesia (RP) is a very rare content-specific delusional misidentification syndrome (DMS). RP entails the delusion that a place, an object, or an event has been duplicated or exists in two different places at the same time. RP is thought to result from an organic rather than psychiatric cause distinguishing it from othe...
Article
Full-text available
Mediterranean European countries, including Portugal, are considered fire-prone regions, being affected by fire events every summer. Nonetheless, Portugal has been recording large burned areas over the last 20 years, which are not only strongly associated with hot and dry conditions, but also with high fuel availability in the ecosystems. Due to re...
Chapter
Full-text available
Heatwave events have been increasing during the past decades, affecting ecosystems, human health, and basic resources (e.g., water and food availability). Their occurrence also interacts with droughts, which have also become more recurrent in certain regions like the Mediterranean, impacting agriculture and reservoirs’ water level and quality. When...
Conference Paper
Heatwave events have been increasing in frequency, duration, and intensity along the past decades, leading to severe impacts on ecosystems, human health and basic resources. These events are projected to continue increasing associated to anthropogenic activity. Moreover, droughts have also been more recurrent and intense, which can significantly im...
Conference Paper
Record-breaking heatwaves, both atmospheric or marine, occur regularly throughout the world, leading to a variety of sectoral and societal impacts. According to the WMO, since 1970 there were more than 11 000 reported disasters attributed to these hazards globally, with just over 2 million deaths and US$ 3.64 trillion in losses. Heatwaves are among...
Article
Full-text available
The increase in frequency, severity, and duration of droughts poses as a serious issue to the management of forests in the Iberian Peninsula, with particular emphasis on the decline of forest growth and forest dieback. Hence, the adoption of adaptation and mitigation measures in forest ecosystems that are more vulnerable to drought is a pressing ma...
Article
Full-text available
Tropical cyclones (TCs) are extreme climate events that are known to strongly interact with the ocean through two mechanisms: dynamically through the associated intense wind stress and thermodynamically through moist enthalpy exchanges at the ocean surface. These interactions contribute to relevant oceanic responses during and after the passage of...
Article
Full-text available
Wildfires are a serious threat to ecosystems and human. In Portugal, during 2017, a catastrophic fire season burned more than 500 000 hectares and caused the death of more than 100 people. Previous studies have shown that hot and dry fuel conditions promoted widespread propagation of wildfires. However, burned area (BA) and mega-fires, such as the...
Article
Full-text available
At the beginning of August 2018, Portugal experienced a severe heat episode over a few days that consequently increased the probability of wildfire events. Due to the advection of an anomalous very hot and dry air mass, severe fire-prone meteorological conditions were forecasted mainly over southern Portugal, in the Monchique region. Together with...
Article
Full-text available
The frequency and intensity of extreme hot events have increased worldwide, particularly over the past couple of decades. Europe has been affected by unprecedented mega heatwaves, namely the events that struck Western Europe in 2003 and Eastern Europe in 2010. The year 2018 was also reported as an unusually hot year, with record-breaking temperatur...
Article
Full-text available
Owing to climate change-induced global warming, the frequency and duration of extremely hot events over the Iberian Peninsula (IP), such as heatwaves, are expected to continue to increase. This study shows the change of individual and monthly concurrent extremely hot events and burned area in the IP in the recent period of 1998–2015, compared with...
Article
Full-text available
Climate change is expected to have impacts on the balance of global food trade networks and food security. Thus, seasonal forecasts of precipitation and temperature are an essential tool for stakeholders to make timely choices regarding the strategies required to maximize their expected cereal yield outcomes. The availability of state-of-the-art se...
Preprint
Full-text available
Tropical Cyclones (TCs) are extreme climate events that are known to strongly interact with the ocean through two mechanisms: dynamically through the associated intense wind stress, and thermodynamically through moist enthalpy exchanges at the ocean surface. These interactions contribute to relevant oceanic responses after the passage of a TC, name...
Article
Full-text available
The compound occurrence of extreme weather and/or climate events can cause stronger negative impacts than the individual events, and its frequency is increasing in several regions of the world. In this work, the effect of antecedent drought conditions on hot extremes during the months of December–February in Australia was analysed for two periods (...
Chapter
O período entre 2018 e 2022 mostrou-nos que o problema dos incêndios à escala global não está a diminuir, antes pelo contrário. Parece que as consequências das alterações climáticas já estão a afectar a ocorrência de incêndios florestais em várias partes do Mundo, de uma forma que só esperaríamos que acontecesse vários anos mais tarde. Em muitos pa...
Article
Full-text available
Persistent hot and dry conditions play an important role in vegetation dynamics, being generally associated with reduced activity. In the Mediterranean region, ecosystems are adapted to such conditions. However, prolonged and intense heat and drought or the occurrence of compound hot and dry events may still have a negative impact on vegetation act...
Article
Full-text available
Climate change has substantially increased the frequency of extreme droughts in the Amazon basin, generating concern about impacts on the world's largest tropical forest, which contributes about one‐seventh of the global vegetation carbon sink. Most research to understand drought impacts has focused on the immediate influences of such events, negle...
Article
Full-text available
The impact of climate change on wheat and barley yields in two regions of the Iberian Peninsula is here examined. Regression models are developed by using EURO-CORDEX regional climate model (RCM) simulations, forced by ERA-Interim, with monthly maximum and minimum air temperatures and monthly accumulated precipitation as predictors. Additionally, R...
Article
Land Surface Temperature (LST) is a fundamental state variable for land surface processes, long available from satellite observations in the thermal infrared. Here we make an assessment of LST products derived from the Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager (SEVIRI) on-board the geostationary satellite Meteosat Second Generation (MSG), and f...
Article
Full-text available
Droughts are a long-term weather-driven extreme event which occurs worldwide with great socio-economic impacts, namely in the Mediterranean and the Iberian regions. In a changing climate with rising temperatures, extreme events, such as droughts, are expected to increase in frequency and intensity, particularly in Mediterranean climates. In this co...
Article
Full-text available
Biomass burning in the Brazilian Amazon is modulated by climate factors, such as droughts, and by human factors, such as deforestation and land management activities. The increase in forest fires during drought years has led to the hypothesis that fire activity decoupled from deforestation during the twenty-first century. However, assessment of the...
Article
Full-text available
Extensive, long-standing dry and wet episodes are two of the most frequent climatic extreme events in the Iberian Peninsula. Here, a method for ranking regional extremes of persistent, widespread drought and wet events is presented, considering different timescales. The method is based on the multi-scalar Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspirati...
Article
Full-text available
The interaction between co-occurring drought and hot conditions is often particularly damaging to crop's health and may cause crop failure. Climate change exacerbates such risks due to an increase in the intensity and frequency of dry and hot events in many land regions. Hence, here we model the trivariate dependence between spring maximum temperat...
Preprint
Full-text available
Extensive, longstanding dry and wet episodes are one of the most frequent climatic extreme events in the Iberian Peninsula. Here, we present a method for ranking regional extremes of persistent, widespread drought and wet events, considering different time scales. The method is based on the multiscalar Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration...
Technical Report
Full-text available
Condições meteorológicas relativas ao incêndio na Lousã em 11 de julho de 2020 O incêndio que ocorreu na serra da Lousã no dia 11 de julho de 2020 originou o óbito de um bombeiro e o ferimento de outros três bombeiros. Foi considerado que o incêndio teria tido início devido a uma descarga elétrica associada a trovoada e que o acidente com os bombe...
Article
Full-text available
Droughts and hot extremes are major sources of risk to several socio-economic activities and their impacts are expected to increase under future global warming. Moreover, the simultaneous or sequential occurrence (compound events) of different climate extremes may lead to the amplification of the associated impacts. Even though the latest efforts i...
Article
Full-text available
We evaluated the response of vegetation’s photosynthetic activity to drought conditions from 1998 to 2014 over Romania and the Republic of Moldova. The connection between vegetation stress and drought events was assessed by means of a correlation analysis between the monthly Standardized Precipitation Evaporation Index (SPEI), at several time scale...
Poster
Full-text available
Droughts and hot extremes constitute key sources of risk to several socio-economic activities and human lives throughout the world, and their impacts can be exacerbated by their co-occurrence. Moreover, their occurrence is expected to increase under future global warming. Therefore, understanding the drought-heatwave feedback mechanisms is crucial...
Poster
Full-text available
The occurrence of extreme climate events such as droughts and heatwaves can have negative economic, environmental and social impacts. The simultaneous or sequential occurrence of these extreme events can increase these impacts, and their frequency is expected to increase in many regions of the world. Moreover, the occurrence of hot days/nights was...
Poster
Full-text available
Crop health and favourable yields depend strongly on precipitation and temperature patterns during the crop’s growing season. Compound events, such as co-occurring drought and heat can lead to extreme crop failure and cause larger damages than the impacts of the individual drought or heat alone. Here we assess the relative role of hot and dry condi...
Preprint
Full-text available
Abstract. Drought and heat events stress agricultural systems and may threaten food security. The interaction between co-occurring drought and hot conditions is often particularly damaging to crop's health and may cause crop failure. In this context, traditional univariate analyses may not be adequate for reliable risk assessment of crop failure as...
Article
Dry lands are expected to cover about half of the terrestrial surface in the near future due to climate change. Drought events, which are recurrent over dry lands, are also projected to increase in both frequency and severity. There is a strong need to better monitor droughts over dry regions, and satellite-based indicators such as the Vegetation H...
Article
Full-text available
The potential groundwater-dependent vegetation (pGDV) in the Iberian Peninsula (IP) was mapped, with a simple method, hereafter referred to as SRS-pGDV, that uses only Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) time series retrieved from the Moderate-Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Terra V6 product, covering the period February 2000...
Article
Full-text available
The IMPECAF is a research project that started at the end of 2018 and aims to deepen the knowledge on weather extremes, particularly droughts and heat waves, which affect agricultural and forest ecosystems of the Iberian Peninsula. Despite these events presenting different temporal scales, their simultaneous occurrence can intensify the observed im...
Article
Full-text available
Extreme weather events, such as droughts, have been increasingly affecting the agricultural sector, causing several socio-economic consequences. The growing economy requires improved assessments of drought-related impacts in agriculture, particularly under a climate that is getting drier and warmer. This work proposes a probabilistic model that is...
Article
Full-text available
In the context of sustainable agricultural management, drought monitoring plays a crucial role in assessing the vulnerability of agriculture to drought occurrence. Drought events are very frequent in the Iberian Peninsula (and in Portugal in particular), and an increase in frequency of these extreme events are expected in a very near future. Theref...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
Nos últimos anos, a ocorrência de fogos florestais em Portugal tem causado danos patrimoniais, destruição de habitats e, tragicamente, a perda de vidas humanas. A estimativa da taxa de recuperação da vegetação numaárea ardidaé possível utilizando dados de deteção remota e, nomeadamente, o muito frequentemente utilizadoÍndice de Diferenças Normaliza...
Article
Full-text available
Mapping the suitability of groundwater-dependent vegetation in semi-arid Mediterranean areas is fundamental for the sustainable management of groundwater resources and groundwater-dependent ecosystems (GDEs) under the risks of climate change scenarios. For the present study the distribution of deep-rooted woody species in southern Portugal was mode...
Article
In a future climate, warmer and drier conditions are expected, and the associated negative impacts in agricultural productions are a major issue. Assessing the risk of drought hazard on agricultural systems is, therefore, of main importance in decision-making, with the aim of mitigating drought-related crop losses. In this study the agricultural dr...
Article
Full-text available
In the context of sustainable agricultural management, drought monitoring plays a crucial role assessing the vulnerability of agriculture to drought occurrence. Drought events are very frequent in the Iberian Peninsula (and in Portugal in particular) and an increase of frequency of these extreme events are expected in a very near future. Therefore,...
Article
Full-text available
The response of two rainfed winter cereal yields (wheat and barley) to drought conditions in the Iberian Peninsula (IP) was investigated for a long period (1986–2012). Drought hazard was evaluated based on the multiscalar Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and three remote sensing indices, namely the Vegetation Condition (VC...
Article
Airports have been identified as a significant source of ultrafine particulate matter (UFP, particulate matter with diameter less than 0.1 μm), which may induce or aggravate pulmonary or cardio-respiratory health conditions, if prolonged exposure to high concentrations of UFP occur. Thus, assessing its impacts is vital to estimate UFP contribution...
Presentation
Full-text available
APPLICATION OF COPULAS TO AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT RISK MANAGEMENT
Article
Full-text available
The vegetative development of grapevines is orchestrated by very specific meteorological conditions. In the wine industry vineyards demand diligent monitoring, since quality and productivity are the backbone of the economic potential. Regional climate indicators and meteorological information are essential to winemakers to assure proper vineyard ma...
Article
Full-text available
Extreme weather events, such as droughts, have been increasingly affecting the agricultural sector causing several socio-economic consequences. The growing economy requires improved assessments of drought-related impacts in agriculture, particularly under a climate that is getting drier and warmer. This work proposes a probabilistic model which int...
Article
Full-text available
In the last years a large number of weather driven extreme events has occurred worldwide with unprecedented socio-economic impacts and are expected to increase, in both frequency and intensity, under future global-warming conditions. In this context early identification and predictability of such events are paramount as they mostly affect several s...
Article
Full-text available
In the last years a large number of weather driven extreme events has occurred worldwide with unprecedented socio-economic impacts and are expected to increase, in both frequency and intensity, under future global-warming conditions. In this context early identification and predictability of such events are paramount as they mostly affect several s...
Article
Full-text available
Maritime transportation, widely used both in international transport of goods and touristic purposes, has been identified as a significant source of ultrafine particles (UFP). In-land passenger ferry is a source of UFP far less addressed; however, in locations with relatively high frequency of this transportation mode, it is expected that they cont...
Article
Full-text available
An assessment of daily accumulated precipitation during extreme precipitation events (EPEs) occurring over the period 2000–2008 in the Iberian Peninsula (IP) is presented. Different sources for precipitation data, namely ERA-Interim and ERA5 reanalysis by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) and Tropical Rainfall Measuring...
Article
Full-text available
The Vegetation Health Index (VHI) has been widely used for monitoring and characterising droughts. This index takes into account ecosystem features in terms of fluctuations between prescribed maxima and minima of NDVI (Vegetation Condition Index, VCI) and of Land Surface Temperature (LST; Thermal Condition Index, TCI), and is estimated as the weigh...