Carlos Guillermo Bozzoli

• PhD in Economics, Princeton University
• Economist at Bunge & Born Foundation

This study examines the efficacy of the Leo Leo program, a digital early literacy intervention designed to develop foundational reading skills in children aged 5 to 8. Conducted in Monteros, Tucumán, Argentina, with a sample of 368 students, the research employed pre- and post-test assessments using the Phonological Skills Screening Test (TFB). Fin...

In this paper, we experimentally evaluate a cognitive training tool that aims to improve children's mathematical ability through the use of technology in rural primary schools in Argentina. We conducted a large cluster randomized trial: schools in the treatment group used an app to train mathematical skills, while those in the control group receive...

Calculating the consequences of global public bads such as climate change or pandemics helps uncover the scale, distribution and structure of their economic burdens. As violent conflict affects billions of people worldwide, whether directly or indirectly, this article sets out to estimate its global macroeconomic repercussions. Using a novel method...

In this paper, we experimentally evaluate a cognitive training tool that aims to improve children's mathematical ability through the use of technology in rural primary schools in Argentina. We conducted a large cluster randomized trial: schools in the treatment group used an app to train mathematical skills, while those in the control group receive...

In this paper, we experimentally evaluate a cognitive training tool that aims to improve children’s mathematical ability through technology in rural primary schools in Argentina. We conducted a large cluster-randomized trial: schools in the treatment group used an app to train mathematical skills, while schools in the control group received a liter...

A map of potential prevalence of Chagas disease (ChD) with high spatial disaggregation is presented. It aims to detect areas outside the Gran Chaco ecoregion (hyperendemic for the ChD), characterized by high affinity with ChD and high health vulnerability. To quantify potential prevalence, we developed several indicators: an Affinity Index which qu...

A map of potential prevalence of Chagas disease (ChD) with high spatial disaggregation is presented. It aims to detect areas outside the Gran Chaco ecoregion (hyperendemic for the ChD), characterized by high affinity with ChD and high health vulnerability. To quantify potential prevalence, we developed several indicators: an Affinity Index which qu...

In this paper, we analyze the relationship between adult height and early-life disease environment, proxied by the infant mortality rate (IMR) in the first year of life, using cohort-region level data for Chile for 1960-1989. IMRs show a remarkable reduction of 100 points per thousand over this thirty-year period, declining from 119.4 to 21.0 per t...

Se presenta en este documento un Mapa de Prevalencia Potencial de la Enfermedad de Chagas (ECh) de alta desagregación espacial. El mismo tiene como objetivo la detección de zonas fuera de la ecoregión del Gran Chaco (hiperendémica para la ECh), caracterizadas por una alta afinidad con ésta última y por una elevada vulnerabilidad sanitaria. Se desar...

In this paper we analyze the relationship between adult height and early-life disease environment, proxied by the infant mortality rate (IMR) in the first year of life, using cohort-region level data for Chile for 1960-1989. Health statistics relative to IMRs show a remarkable reduction of 100 points per thousand over this thirty-year period, going...

I study the relation between orphanhood and fertility patterns in young adults using a longitudinal survey from the city of Cape Town, South Africa. The data set combines two survey waves with a year-by-year life history calendar that records key outcomes (e.g. schooling, work,fertility).It also provides information on so-called ‘parental investmen...

We investigate how prenatal economic fluctuations affected birth weight in Argentina during the period from January 2000 to December 2005, and document its procyclicality. We finnd evidence that the birth weight of children born to low-educated (less than high-school) mothers is sensitive to macroeconomic fluctuations during both the finrst and thi...

Many Colombians are confronted with the ongoing conflict that influences their decision making in everyday life, including their behavior in labor markets. This study focuses on the impact of violent conflict on self-employment, enlarging the usual determinants with a set of conflict variables. Our estimation strategy compares three different estim...

The paper explores factors that influence the household decision to leave internal displacement camps in the immediate aftermath of violent conflict. Our analysis is based on two sources of information: household survey data collected in northern Uganda for households that were displaced by the civil conflict, and geo-referenced data on armed confl...

Gewalttätige Konflikte sind vor allem in notleidenden Regionen der Welt verbreitet, es ist aber wenig darüber bekannt, wie die Wirklichkeit der betroffenen Menschen aussieht und welche Entscheidungen sie zu fällen haben. In diesem Bericht untersuchen wir, wie Individuen während des Wiederaufbaus nach dem Bürgerkrieg in Nord-Uganda zurechtkommen. In...

We study the effect of living in an internally displaced people's (IDP) camp on economic activity choices in post war northern Uganda. As the decision to relocate from a camp is voluntary, camp residents may be different from returnees. We merge household data with micro-level conflict data to control for endogeneity (selection of households out fr...

We present new evidence concerning the evolution of adult height across Spanish regions for the 1950-1980 male and female birth cohorts, using the augmented sample of the European Community Household Panel (ECHP) for Spain. This augmented sample, available only for the year 2000, contains self-reported height data representative at the Autonomous C...

We study the effect of living in an internally displaced people's (IDP) camp on economic activity choices in post war northern Uganda. As the decision to relocate from a camp is voluntary, camp residents may be different from returnees. We merge household data with micro-level conflict data to control for endogeneity (selection of households out fr...

This paper presents new evidence concerning the relationship between environmental conditions in the year of birth (as reflected in the infant mortality rate (IMR) and gross domestic product per capita) and adult health (adult height). We perform an analysis across Spanish regions for cohorts born between 1961 and 1980, a period when the country un...

We analyse the role of mass violent conflict in influencing individual expectations. We hypothesise that individuals are likely to report negative expectations if they were exposed to conflict events in the past. We combine individual and household level data from the Northern Uganda Livelihood Survey of 2007 with a disaggregated conflict exposure...

Many Colombians are confronted with the ongoing conflict that influences their decision making in everyday life, including their behavior in labor markets. This study focuses on the impact of violent conflict on self-employment, enlarging the usual determinants with a set of conflict variables. In order to estimate the effect of conflict on self-em...

Despite the widespread prevalence of violent conflict in most destitute regions of the world, little is known about the realities of individuals affected and the difficult decisions they have to take. In this report we address this issue by providing an insight into how individuals cope during post-conflict recovery in Northern Uganda. We particula...

Recently, Conditional Cash Transfer Programs (CCT) became increasingly popular in developing countries due to their positive outcomes on health and education. In this paper, we are particularly interested in testing if children participating in CCT (treated) in conflict affected regions benefit more (or less) than their counterparts in peaceful are...

We analyse the effect of mass violent conflict on individual expectations in Northern Uganda. We find that the expectations of the future economic situation are negatively affected by recent conflict while the effect on broadly defined welfare is less robust.

Transnational terrorism in Western countries has raised questions about security measures that constrain civil liberties. This is the first paper that uses a terrorist attack, that in the London 7/7/2005, as an exogenous source of variation to study the dynamics of risk perception and the effect on the readiness to trade off civil liberties for enh...

In search of a more satisfactory approach to assess the performance of the Argentine economy over the last century and a half, this chapter considers the outcomes of monetary and fiscal policymaking and the reaction of the public, as well as the constraints thereon. In particular, we place new emphasis on the so-called transversality condition – th...

More than 2 million South African children under age 17 have lost one or both of their parents. Previous research has established that parental death has a negative effect in terms of school enrollment and grade progression, but the relation between orphanhood and socioeconomic outcomes in young adults has been largely ignored in the literature. In...

This paper is the first study that analyzes the drivers of political protest using longitudinal data from a critical revolution that changed – at least temporarily – the political landscape in a transition country. We make use of a rich dataset consisting of panel data collected before and after the so called “Orange” revolution in Ukraine. Our emp...

Conflict related displacement affects millions of families throughout the world. Very little is known about the determinants of health outcomes in the period immediately after a cease-fire is agreed, in which currently displaced people living in camps consider returning to their place of origin. In this paper, we study the effects of war and displa...

This paper defines the global economic costs of conflict and suggests two key criteria, namely comprehensiveness and consistency, which are necessary for a valid calculation of such costs. A critical review of the literature reveals that most studies focus on national income losses, using counterfactual regression models, finding a negative impact...

Argentina hit world news headlines in 2002 due to the largest debt-default in history and a sudden economic collapse reminiscent of economic statistics from the Great Depression. In this article, we focus on other consequences of the crisis that are not so obvious, but that may linger for decades on. Combining macroeconomic indicators with the Arge...

The study analyses the effects of transition on the amount and patterns of alcohol consumption. We test the hypothesis of how far negative experiences induced by the collapse of the Soviet Union have led to drinking in the young generation of Ukrainians. We use data coming from the Ukrainian Longitude Monitoring Survey (ULMS) to identify both deter...

Argentina hit world news headlines in 2002 due to the largest debt-default in history and a sudden economic collapse reminiscent of economic statistics from the Great Depression. In this article, we focus on other consequences of the crisis that are not so obvious, but that may linger for decades on. Using the case of Argentina, we examine the long...

The estimation of the costs of conflict is currently receiving a lot of attention in the literature. This paper aims to give a thorough overview of the existing literature, first by addressing the history of case studies that address conflict costs and second by looking at the existing body of cross-country analyses for conflict costs. In addition...

Taller populations are typically richer populations, and taller individuals live longer and earn more. In consequence, adult height has recently become a focus in understanding the relationship between health and wealth. We investigate the childhood determinants of population adult height, focusing on the respective roles of income and of disease....

This paper investigates the determinants of household time allocation in the post-war setting of a developing country. A decade after the 1994 genocide, Rwanda still bears the demographic impact of the war, which left sex ratios to be severely unbalanced in the aftermath of the conflict. Moreover, many women had to take over roles and activities th...

This article analyzes the effects of household-level activity choices on farm household welfare in a developing country affected by mass violent armed conflict. The study uses household survey data from postwar Nampula and Cabo Delgado provinces in Northern Mozambique capturing many activity choices, including market participation, risk and activit...

The emergence of transnational terrorism in Western countries has raised the debate about security measures, some of which could constrain civil liberties. This is the first paper that uses terrorist attacks (on 7th July, 2005 in London) as an exogenous source of variation to study the dynamics of risk perceptions and its impact on the readiness to...

Las poblaciones más altas en estatura tienden a ser poblaciones más ricas, y los individuos altos viven más tiempo y ganan unos mayores salarios, quizás reflejando el hecho de que poseen mayores capacidades cognitivas. Entender los determinantes de la estatura adulta se ha convertido pues en un objetivo para entender la relación entre salud y rique...

This paper provides a critical analysis of the possible methods, data sources and the existing results of the field of 'the economic costs of mass violent conflict' by identifying strengths and weaknesses of the existing literature. The report evaluates content, methods, and data sources of the existing studies. Regarding the content, the studies o...

We investigate the childhood determinants of adult height in populations, focusing on the respective roles of income and of disease. We develop a model of selection and scarring, in which the early life burden of nutrition and disease is not only responsible for mortality in childhood but also leaves a residue of long-term health risks for survivor...

We study the extent of overcrowding amongst British urban working families in the early 1900s and find major regional differences. In particular, a much greater proportion of households in urban Scotland were overcrowded than in the rest of Britain and Ireland. We investigate the causes of this spatial distribution of overcrowding and find that pri...

This paper is the first study that analyzes the drivers of political protest using longitudinal data from a critical revolution that changed –at least temporarily-the political landscape in a transition country. We make use of a rich dataset consisting of panel data collected before and after the so called "Orange" revolution in Ukraine. Our empiri...

This paper presents new evidence on the relationship between infant mortality at the year of birth and adult stature using regional data for five cohorts in Spain, born between 1969 and 1986, a period of significant economic and social transformation. Consistent with previous studies, we find that there is a strong negative correlation between infa...