Bernd Bischl

Ludwig-Maximilians-University of Munich | LMU · Institut für Statistik

The performance of a machine learning model degrades when it is applied to data from a similar but different domain than the data it has initially been trained on. To mitigate this domain shift problem, domain adaptation (DA) techniques search for an optimal transformation that converts the (current) input data from a source domain to a target doma...

Interpretable machine learning has become a very active area of research due to the rising popularity of machine learning algorithms and their inherently challenging interpretability. Most work in this area has been focused on the interpretation of single features in a model. However, for researchers and practitioners, it is often equally important...

For many applications, analyzing the uncertainty of a machine learning model is indispensable. While research of uncertainty quantification (UQ) techniques is very advanced for computer vision applications, UQ methods for spatio-temporal data are less studied. In this paper, we focus on models for online handwriting recognition, one particular type...

Hyperparameter optimization constitutes a large part of typical modern machine learning workflows. This arises from the fact that machine learning methods and corresponding preprocessing steps often only yield optimal performance when hyperparameters are properly tuned. But in many applications, we are not only interested in optimizing ML pipelines...

Despite all the benefits of automated hyperparameter optimization (HPO), most modern HPO algorithms are black-boxes themselves. This makes it difficult to understand the decision process which lead to the selected configuration, reduces trust in HPO, and thus hinders its broad adoption. Here, we study the combination of HPO with interpretable machi...

The ability to estimate epistemic uncertainty is often crucial when deploying machine learning in the real world, but modern methods often produce overconfident, uncalibrated uncertainty predictions. A common approach to quantify epistemic uncertainty, usable across a wide class of prediction models, is to train a model ensemble. In a naive impleme...

Recommender Systems (RS) pervade many aspects of our everyday digital life. Proposed to work at scale, state-of-the-art RS allow the modeling of thousands of interactions and facilitate highly individualized recommendations. Conceptually, many RS can be viewed as instances of statistical regression models that incorporate complex feature effects an...

A growing body of literature in fairness-aware ML (fairML) aspires to mitigate machine learning (ML)-related unfairness in automated decision making (ADM) by defining metrics that measure fairness of an ML model and by proposing methods that ensure that trained ML models achieve low values in those measures. However, the underlying concept of fairn...

Survival analysis (SA) is an active field of research that is concerned with time-to-event outcomes and is prevalent in many domains, particularly biomedical applications. Despite its importance, SA remains challenging due to small-scale data sets and complex outcome distributions, concealed by truncation and censoring processes. The piecewise expo...

Recent years have witnessed tremendously improved efficiency of Automated Machine Learning (AutoML), especially Automated Deep Learning (AutoDL) systems, but recent work focuses on tabular, image, or NLP tasks. So far, little attention has been paid to general AutoDL frameworks for time series forecasting, despite the enormous success in applying d...

The goal of Quality Diversity Optimization is to generate a collection of diverse yet high-performing solutions to a given problem at hand. Typical benchmark problems are, for example, finding a repertoire of robot arm configurations or a collection of game playing strategies. In this paper, we propose a set of Quality Diversity Optimization proble...

The performance of a machine learning model degrades when it is applied to data from a similar but different domain than the data it has initially been trained on. To mitigate this domain shift problem, domain adaptation (DA) techniques search for an optimal transformation that converts the (current) input data from a source domain to a target doma...

One challenging property lurking in medical datasets is the imbalanced data distribution, where the frequency of the samples between the different classes is not balanced. Training a model on an imbalanced dataset can introduce unique challenges to the learning problem where a model is biased towards the highly frequent class. Many methods are prop...

Background: Distributed statistical analyses provide a promising approach for privacy protection when analyzing data distributed over several databases. This approach brings the analysis to the data, rather than the data to the analysis. Instead of directly operating on data, the analyst receives anonymous summary statistics, which are combined int...

Since most machine learning (ML) algorithms are designed for numerical inputs, efficiently encoding categorical variables is a crucial aspect in data analysis. A common problem are high cardinality features, i.e. unordered categorical predictor variables with a high number of levels. We study techniques that yield numeric representations of categor...

Cross-modal representation learning learns a shared embedding between two or more modalities to improve performance in a given task compared to using only one of the modalities. Cross-modal representation learning from different data types -- such as images and time-series data (e.g., audio or text data) -- requires a deep metric learning loss that...

Machine learning models can automatically learn complex relationships, such as non-linear and interaction effects. Interpretable machine learning methods such as partial dependence plots visualize marginal feature effects but may lead to misleading interpretations when feature interactions are present. Hence, employing additional methods that can d...

Handwriting is one of the most frequently occurring patterns in everyday life and with it come challenging applications such as handwriting recognition (HWR), writer identification, and signature verification. In contrast to offline HWR that only uses spatial information (i.e., images), online HWR (OnHWR) uses richer spatio-temporal information (i....

Survival analysis (SA) is an active field of research that is concerned with time-to-event outcomes and is prevalent in many domains, particularly biomedical applications. Despite its importance, SA remains challenging due to small-scale data sets and complex outcome distributions, concealed by truncation and censoring processes. The piecewise expo...

Pseudo-labeling solutions for positive-unlabeled (PU) learning have the potential to result in higher performance compared to cost-sensitive learning but are vulnerable to incorrectly estimated pseudo-labels. In this paper, we provide a theoretical analysis of a risk estimator that combines risk on PU and pseudo-labeled data. Furthermore, we show a...

Beta coefficients for linear regression models represent the ideal form of an interpretable feature effect. However, for non-linear models and especially generalized linear models, the estimated coefficients cannot be interpreted as a direct feature effect on the predicted outcome. Hence, marginal effects are typically used as approximations for fe...

Multivariate Time Series (MTS) classification is important in various applications such as signature verification, person identification, and motion recognition. In deep learning these classification tasks are usually learned using the cross-entropy loss. A related yet different task is predicting trajectories observed as MTS. Important use cases i...

An increasing number of model-agnostic interpretation techniques for machine learning (ML) models such as partial dependence plots (PDP), permutation feature importance (PFI) and Shapley values provide insightful model interpretations, but can lead to wrong conclusions if applied incorrectly. We highlight many general pitfalls of ML model interpret...

The use of machine learning (ML) allows us to automate and scale the decision-making processes. The key to this automation is the development of ML models that generalize training data toward unseen data. Such models can become extremely versatile and powerful, which makes democratization of artificial intelligence (AI) possible, that is, providing...

Automated hyperparameter optimization (HPO) has gained great popularity and is an important ingredient of most automated machine learning frameworks. The process of designing HPO algorithms, however, is still an unsystematic and manual process: Limitations of prior work are identified and the improvements proposed are -- even though guided by exper...

This study analyzed highly correlated, feature-rich datasets from hyperspectral remote sensing data using multiple statistical and machine-learning methods. The effect of filter-based feature selection methods on predictive performance was compared. In addition, the effect of multiple expert-based and data-driven feature sets, derived from the refl...

Automated hyperparameter optimization (HPO) can support practitioners to obtain peak performance in machine learning models. However, there is often a lack of valuable insights into the effects of different hyperparameters on the final model performance. This lack of explainability makes it difficult to trust and understand the automated HPO proces...

Dynamics of many classical physics systems are described in terms of Hamilton’s equations. Commonly, initial conditions are only imperfectly known. The associated volume in phase space is preserved over time due to the symplecticity of the Hamiltonian flow. Here we study the propagation of uncertain initial conditions through dynamical systems usin...

Deep learning excels in the analysis of unstructured data and recent advancements allow to extend these techniques to survival analysis. In the context of clinical radiology, this enables, e.g., to relate unstructured volumetric images to a risk score or a prognosis of life expectancy and support clinical decision making. Medical applications are,...

The application of deep learning in survival analysis (SA) gives the opportunity to utilize unstructured and high-dimensional data types uncommon in traditional survival methods. This allows to advance methods in fields such as digital health, predictive maintenance and churn analysis, but often yields less interpretable and intuitively understanda...

Componentwise boosting (CWB), also known as model-based boosting, is a variant of gradient boosting that builds on additive models as base learners to ensure interpretability. CWB is thus often used in research areas where models are employed as tools to explain relationships in data. One downside of CWB is its computational complexity in terms of...

Machine learning (ML) provides a powerful framework for the analysis of high‐dimensional datasets by modelling complex relationships, often encountered in modern data with many variables, cases and potentially non‐linear effects. The impact of ML methods on research and practical applications in the educational sciences is still limited, but contin...

We propose a Deep Variational Clustering (DVC) framework for unsupervised representation learning and clustering of large-scale medical images. DVC simultaneously learns the multivariate Gaussian posterior through the probabilistic convolutional encoder and the likelihood distribution with the probabilistic convolutional decoder; and optimizes clus...

Deep Bregman divergence measures divergence of data points using neural networks which is beyond Euclidean distance and capable of capturing divergence over distributions. In this paper, we propose deep Bregman divergences for contrastive learning of visual representation and we aim to enhance contrastive loss used in self-supervised learning by tr...

In practice, machine learning (ML) workflows require various different steps, from data preprocessing, missing value imputation, model selection, to model tuning as well as model evaluation. Many of these steps rely on human ML experts. AutoML - the field of automating these ML pipelines - tries to help practitioners to apply ML off-the-shelf witho...

One of the most promising approaches for unsupervised learning is combining deep representation learning and deep clustering. Some recent works propose to simultaneously learn representation using deep neural networks and perform clustering by defining a clustering loss on top of embedded features. However, these approaches are sensitive to imbalan...

When developing and analyzing new hyperparameter optimization (HPO) methods, it is vital to empirically evaluate and compare them on well-curated benchmark suites. In this work, we list desirable properties and requirements for such benchmarks and propose a new set of challenging and relevant multifidelity HPO benchmark problems motivated by these...

Scientists and practitioners increasingly rely on machine learning to model data and draw conclusions. Compared to statistical modeling approaches, machine learning makes fewer explicit assumptions about data structures, such as linearity. However, their model parameters usually cannot be easily related to the data generating process. To learn abou...

Education should not be a privilege but a common good. It should be openly accessible to everyone, with as few barriers as possible; even more so for key technologies such as Machine Learning (ML) and Data Science (DS). Open Educational Resources (OER) are a crucial factor for greater educational equity. In this paper, we describe the specific requ...

Most machine learning algorithms are configured by one or several hyperparameters that must be carefully chosen and often considerably impact performance. To avoid a time consuming and unreproducible manual trial-and-error process to find well-performing hyperparameter configurations, various automatic hyperparameter optimization (HPO) methods, e.g...

Neural architecture search (NAS) promises to make deep learning accessible to non-experts by automating architecture engineering of deep neural networks. BANANAS is one state-of-the-art NAS method that is embedded within the Bayesian optimization framework. Recent experimental findings have demonstrated the strong performance of BANANAS on the NAS-...

Global model-agnostic feature importance measures either quantify whether features are directly used for a model's predictions (direct importance) or whether they contain prediction-relevant information (associative importance). Direct importance provides causal insight into the model's mechanism, yet it fails to expose the leakage of information f...

Hyperparameter optimization in machine learning (ML) deals with the problem of empirically learning an optimal algorithm configuration from data, usually formulated as a black-box optimization problem. In this work, we propose a zero-shot method to meta-learn symbolic default hyperparameter configurations that are expressed in terms of the properti...

We present an approach to construct structure-preserving emulators for Hamiltonian flow maps and Poincaré maps based directly on orbit data. Intended applications are in moderate-dimensional systems, in particular, long-term tracing of fast charged particles in accelerators and magnetic plasma confinement configurations. The method is based on mult...

Interpretable machine learning has become a very active area of research due to the rising popularity of machine learning algorithms and their inherently challenging interpretability. Most work in this area has been focused on the interpretation of single features in a model. However, for researchers and practitioners, it is often equally important...

As modern software-intensive systems become larger, more complex, and more customizable, it is desirable to optimize their functionality by runtime adaptations. However, in most cases it is infeasible to fully model and predict their behavior in advance, which is a classical requirement of runtime self-adaptation. To address this problem, we propos...

This paper describes the implementation of semi-structured deep distributional regression, a flexible framework to learn distributions based on a combination of additive regression models and deep neural networks. deepregression is implemented in both R and Python, using the deep learning libraries TensorFlow and PyTorch, respectively. The implemen...

Because most machine learning (ML) algorithms are designed for numerical inputs, efficiently encoding categorical variables is a crucial aspect during data analysis. An often encountered problem are high cardinality features, i.e. unordered categorical predictor variables with a high number of levels. We study techniques that yield numeric represen...

Classical statistical methods are limited in the analysis of highdimensional datasets. Machine learning (ML) provides a powerful framework for prediction by using complex relationships, often encountered in modern data with a large number of variables, cases and potentially non-linear effects. ML has turned into one of the most influential analytic...

The modeling of time-to-event data, also known as survival analysis, requires specialized methods that can deal with censoring and truncation, time-varying features and effects, and that extend to settings with multiple competing events. However, many machine learning methods for survival analysis only consider the standard setting with right-censo...

While Semi-supervised learning has gained much attention in computer vision on image data, yet limited research exists on its applicability in the time series domain. In this work, we investigate the transferability of state-of-the-art deep semi-supervised models from image to time series classification. We discuss the necessary model adaptations,...

Motivation As machine learning has become increasingly popular over the last few decades, so too has the number of machine learning interfaces for implementing these models. Whilst many R libraries exist for machine learning, very few offer extended support for survival analysis. This is problematic considering its importance in fields like medicin...