Bartosz Kozicki

• Professor
• Researcher at Military University of Technology

Objectives The article presents the original multidimensional comparative analysis of the number of students in terms of their population in Poland with the view to the demographic crisis and its impact on the acceptable level of social security. The demographic low in Poland is one of the largest in the European Union and the largest after the Sec...

Artificial intelligence (AI) is used in many aspects of life, from personal voice assistants to product recommendations in online stores to advanced diagnostic systems in medicine. All these applications show how AI technology is becoming an increasingly integral part of everyday life. Understanding the basics of AI is key to recognizing its role i...

W artykule przeanalizowano i oceniono szeregi czasowe wydatków poniesionych w związku z badanym obiektem od stycznia 2016 r. do grudnia 2023 r. Badania koncentrowały się na rozkładzie analizowanych danych. Wykryto trzy prawidłowości: trend, sezonowość i czynnik losowy. W danych nie zaobserwowano wartości odstających ani ekstremalnych. Rozkład anali...

Cel badań i hipotezy/pytania badawcze W artykule sformułowano następujący problem badawczy: jak zmieni się populacja emerytów (od 65. roku życia) w roku 2050 w porównaniu do roku 2024 w Polsce i w Niemczech? Celem badań jest próba wykonania wielowymiarowej analizy porównawczej danych dotyczących populacji ludzi w Polsce i w Niemczech między rokiem...

Cel badań i hipotezy/pytania badawcze Celem artykułu jest analiza i ocena danych dotyczących liczby pasażerów przewiezionych pasażerskim transportem lotniczym w 28 państwach Europy w latach 2019-2024. Dla tak przyjętych problemu badawczego i celu pracy postawiono hipotezę badawczą: przypuszcza się, że w większości państw z 28 rozpatrywanych państw...

A multidimensional comparative analysis of population changes in five European Union countries with the largest populations was conducted in the study. Mainly, two dependent variables of births and deaths dynamically have the greatest impact on the number of people. Additionally, the situation of population in European Union countries is influenced...

Problem badawczy dotyczy głównych dylematów współczesnych przedsiębiorstw, którymi jest dostosowanie się do odpowiedniej struktury kapitałowej, aby jak najlepiej wykorzystać mechanizm operacji dźwigniowych i jednocześnie nie ponosić nadmiernego ryzyka finansowego. Kolejnym problemem, przed którym stają analitycy finansowi, jest dokonanie wyboru naj...

Purpose: This paper examines the asymmetry between the air protection policies of the central government and local authorities in Poland, using the city of Kraków as a case study. Methodology: The study employs a comparative method to contrast the Polish state's coal policy with the air protection efforts of the Kraków local government. A systems a...

The article examines the relationship between three dependent variables: the quantity of accidents on roads in Poland and the quantities of those hurt and killed as a result. Data were obtained from police websites between 2016 and 2021. Multidimensional comparative analyses were used for the research, which, by grouping data and compiling them dyn...

The article examines the impact of refugees from Ukraine, from the moment of the beginning of the full-scale invasion of the Russian Federation into Ukraine, i.e. from January 2022 to October 2023, on the change in the dynamics of the number of crimes committed in Poland during this period. For this purpose, the arrivals from Ukraine in the Republi...

Crime has been a common phenomenon for a long time, but its scope and operation are changing, and this is largely dependent on technological progress. We dealt with the development of crime and its negative effects in Poland during the political transformation process that took place after 1989. At that time, law enforcement agencies were not fully...

The multidimensional comparative analyzes of transportation of people by rail were used in the article. The time series was analyzed and evaluated in order to detect the following phenomena: trend, seasonality and random factor. The initial time series was divided into parts in order to remove data that, due to the impact of a random phenomenon suc...

In the study, the authors conducted a multidimensional data analysis on the decrease in the number of passengers transported by air in Poland and Germany caused by the COVID-19 pandemic between 2020-2022. Forecasts of the number of passengers transported by air in Poland and Germany obtained after applying the Holt-Winters exponential smoothing met...

Purpose: The main purpose of this paper is to investigate the safety of unmanned transport in armed conflicts, with a particular focus on the Russo-Ukrainian war. Methodology: The authors employ a multidimensional comparative analysis of selected Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) used for reconnaissance, combat, and transport tasks. Various sources s...

War is theoretically subject to the laws of armed conflict but, in practice, it brings in its wake war crimes, crimes against humanity, genocide, and the crime of aggression. The parties to an armed conflict are unable and/or unwilling to hold the perpetrators of these crimes (oftentimes their own citizens) to account. Part of the rationale for est...

The article presents a multidimensional comparative analysis of the number of passengers transported by air in Europe between 2019-2022 in terms of economic security. Data for the study was taken from Eurostat and categorized line and bar graphs were used. The conducted research shows that in 2021, in each of the considered European countries, an a...

Pojęcie grupy kapitałowej jest określeniem zarazem prostym i złożonym. Mając na względzie literalne brzmienie definicji tego pojęcia, można przychylić się do tezy, że grupa kapitałowa to proste posiadanie władztwa przez jednego przedsiębiorcę nad innymi przedsiębiorcami. Jeżeli jednak zajdzie konieczność rozważania konkretnych przypadków pozostawia...

The study attempts to forecast the total costs of a company in Poland. The first stage of the research was analyzing and evaluating the time series of total costs. It detected: trends, seasonality and a random factor. This became a premise for the application of two methods for forecasting: Holt-Winters’ multiplicative and additive. The research sh...

The research includes a multidimensional comparative analysis of electricity prices in 28 European countries for non-household consumers. The highest energy prices in the first half of 2022 were also ranked in the respective analyzed countries. Increases in electricity prices for non-household consumers were examined in terms of percentage and valu...

The article presents research on the impact of the financial crisis between 2007-2009 and the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 on the freight and passenger rail transport sector. Multidimensional comparative analyses were used in the study. The data obtained for the research were grouped. They were, then, compiled on categorized line and bar charts. The r...

A multidimensional analysis of one of main macroeconomic indicators, specifically, unemployment, in the United States was conducted and presented in the article. The research covered several groups of dependent variables, such as: the number of unemployed people in total in the United States monthly, along with unemployment rates, CPI indices, and...

The mass influx of refugees from Ukraine to Poland, caused by Russia’s aggression on February 24, 2022, has resulted in the application of solutions in the field of refugee law on a massive, unprecedented scale. Previously developed Polish regulations regarding the rules for granting protection to this category of people turned out to be insufficie...

The study presents a multidimensional comparative analysis of two dependent variables: the number of passengers transported by air in 28 European countries and the price of one barrel of crude oil in dollars. The conducted analysis shows that in the historical data concerning the identical periods (months) in both tested series, dependencies can be...

The study comprises a multidimensional comparative analysis of the number of passengers transported by rail in twelve European countries between 2019-2021; the considered data were grouped and analyzed. The dynamics indices with a constant base were used in the study. The aim of the article was a comparative analysis of the number of passengers tra...

Economic security of any state is multifaceted. Affordability of basics, required for living serves are precondition for economic security of any state. The study presents a multidimensional comparative analysis of apartment sales in respective voivodships in Poland. The following dependent variables concerning apartments in sixteen voivodships wer...

The multidimensional comparative analysis and the forecasting of minimum salaries in 21 European countries were conducted in the study. The research began with the ranking of the data, the amount of salary rates taken as a basis, the rise expressed in euro and the values of dynamics indices on a constant base. Then the data was aggregated. The time...

The article presents a multidimensional comparative analysis of the impact of crude oil and liquefied petroleum gasses (LPG) prices on the housing price index in 28 European countries. Research shows that the COVID-19 pandemic and the attack of Russia on Ukraine have led to similar large fluctuations in crude oil and LPG prices. This, in turn, cont...

The study focuses on the generalization of the methodology of transport planning with the use of the LOGFAS IT system. The main activities that must be performed in order to plan the transport correctly in the IT software were presented. This process requires a lot of experience and work in many program modules and the implementation of a lot of di...

The article presents a multidimensional comparative analysis of the number of employees in the enterprise sector in Poland on a quarterly basis between 2010-2021 and new and withdrawn jobs dynamically in terms of economic security. The volume of employment and salary for work in Poland in the enterprise sector by type of activity was analyzed. The...

The article presents a multidimensional comparative analysis of the number of employees in the enterprise sector in Poland on a quarterly basis between 2010-2021 and new and withdrawn jobs dynamically in terms of economic security. The volume of employment and salary for work in Poland in the enterprise sector by type of activity was analyzed. The...

The article presents a multidimensional comparative analysis of the exchange rates of five currencies: dollar, euro, franc, pound and ruble in zlotys and crude oil in dollars per barrel from 2005 to 2022. The research was conducted in terms of the identification of contemporary challenges for the economic security of enterprises in Poland. Grouping...

The study concerned a multidimensional comparative analysis of the number of deaths in 30 European countries between 2018-2021, also by age groups and type of vaccination in Poland in 2021 in terms of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and economic security. The data for the research was obtained from the websites of Eurostat and the Central Stati...

The article presents a multidimensional comparative analysis of apartment prices in seventeen cities in Poland from the first quarter of 2017 to the first quarter of 2021 in terms of the maintenance of economic security. Prices were analyzed in two aspects: value and dynamics of changes, referring to the first period under consideration in spatial...

W opracowaniu przeprowadzono analizę i ocenę szeregu czasowego wydatków podmiotu badań. Zbadano rozkład rozpatrywanych danych, wykorzystując wykresy w postaci: histogramu, normalności oraz test Shapiro–Wilka. Następnie poszukiwano istnienie wartości odstających i ekstremalnych poprzez zastosowanie wy-kresu ramka-wąsy. Następnie zastosowano Twarze C...

W instytucjach o strukturze hierarchicznej ogromną rolę odgrywa poprawne zarządzanie. Zarządzanie to zbiór działań zmierzających do osiągnięcia określonego celu w następującej sekwencji: planowanie, organizowanie, motywowanie i kontrolowanie (Encyklopedia PWN, 2022). Jednym z rodzajów planowania wykonywanych w podmiocie badań jest planowanie potrze...

The study attempts to forecast military expenditure in Saudi Arabia for 2020. The research began with a comparative analysis of military expenditure in Saudi Arabia and Russia between 2000–2019. For this purpose, bar charts were used on which the calculated values of the dynamics indices with a fixed (2000) and movable (previous year) base of the c...

The study concerns forecasting the number of soldiers in the Saudi Arabian army based on information obtained from the website: https://data.worldbank.org (The World Bank, 9.03.2020). The research began with a comparative analysis of the number of soldiers in the armies of Saudi Arabia and Russia. The idea for a comparative analysis of the number o...

The purpose of the study is to forecast the number of passengers transported by air in the United States for 2021-2022. The forecast is preceded by a multidimensional comparative analysis of the number of passengers transported by air in the United States from 1 January 2019 to 2 November 2021. To achieve this goal, the data were grouped as depende...

Bezpieczeństwo to pojęcie obejmujące rożne aspekty funkcjonowania państwa i życia społecznego, ulega ciągłemu rozszerzaniu wraz z zmianami dokonującymi się w państwie i jego otoczeniu. Utożsamiane jest z pewnością istnienia, przetrwania, stanu posiadania oraz funkcjonowania i rozwoju podmiotu . W literaturze można znaleźć rożne jego podziały i inte...

The article presents a multidimensional data analysis on the number of human deaths in 30 analyzed European countries. The analyzed data was grouped. Then, they were compiled in identical periods in dynamic terms. For data analysis, indices such as arithmetic means, medians and standard deviations were used. The study uses categorized box plots tha...

The aim of the study is an attempt to examine the impact of oil prices on the politics of Russia and Saudi Arabia in terms of economic security. The research covers the period from 01.02.2000 to 10.03.2020. The study uses qualitative and quantitative methods to measure the effectiveness of Russia's influence in Saudi Arabia. The research began with...

Maintaining economic security requires constant analysis and evaluation of the situation on the labor market in terms of making decisions in the aspect of quick and effective counteracting of encountered problems. One of the forms of market observation is multidimensional comparative analyzes of data that reflect its condition and economic situatio...

W opracowaniu wykonano analizę ceny 1 m2 powierzchni użytkowej budynku mieszkalnego oddanego do użytkowania w Polsce w ujęciu kwartalnym od 1999 do 2020 roku. Wykryto prawidłowości w postaci trendu. Został on potwierdzony zbudowanym modelem zero-jedynkowym regresji wielorakiej złożonym z dziewięciu predyktorów. Wielokrotny R2 tego modelu wyniósł 0,...

W artykule przeprowadzono wielowymiarową analizę porównawczą liczby zgonów w 31 państwach Europy w latach 2018-2020 w aspekcie oddziaływania pandemii COVID-19 i bezpieczeństwa ekonomicznego. Dane do badań pozyskano ze strony internetowej Eurostatu. Zostały one poddane grupowaniu i porządkowaniu od największych do najmniejszych. Do realizacji celu p...

Objective: To carry out a multidimensional comparative analysis of the number of deaths in European countries during the COVID-19 pandemic in terms of economic security. Outline/Methodology/Assumption: The subject of the study is 31 European countries while the object of the study of is the number of human deaths. The study formulates the following...

The study attempts to analyze the world population and fatalities caused by air pollution from a security perspective. Multidimensional comparative analyses were used for this purpose. The primary data were grouped and separated. The data have also been ranked. The study ends with a summary and conclusions.

W opracowaniu przeprowadzono wielowymiarową analizę porównawczą spadku liczby pasażerów przewiezionych transportem lotniczym w Niemczech w 2020 roku. Zestawiono liczbę pasażerów w 2019 i 2020 roku oraz wykonaną prognozę liczby pasażerów przewiezionych w Niemczech na 2020 rok z faktycznie przewiezionymi pasażerami w tym roku. Do prognozowania wykorz...

The article uses Chernoff faces to depict air passenger losses in Australia - caused by the 2020 COVID-19 infectious disease pandemic. The research began with an analysis and evaluation of the number of passengers transported by air in Australia from January 2010 to January 2021. In order to show the economic losses, the forecast of the considere...

The article deals with the problem of analyzing and assessing the CPI inflation index of selected world economies and attempts to forecast the CPI inflation index - (Consumer Price Index) in China in terms of security. The other two indices, i.e. the GDP Deflator and PPI- (Production Price Index) will not be analyzed. The study began with the analy...

W opracowaniu zaprezentowano metodykę wielomodelowego prognozowania wydatków w aspekcie bezpieczeństwa ekonomicznego. Badania rozpoczęto od analizy literatury dotyczącej: planowania, prognozowania, wydatków, bezpieczeństwa ekonomicznego i pandemii COVID-19. W artykule przeprowadzono analizę szeregu czasowego wydatków poniesionych przez podmiot bada...

Wykonanie prognozowania potrzeb w podmiocie badań na 2021 rok. Podmiotem badań jest instytucja funkcjonująca na obszarze Rzeczypospolitej Polskiej. Przedmiotem badań są planowane potrzeby i poniesione na ich pokrycie wydatki w dziale żywnościowym w zł. Poprzez zestawienie planowanych potrzeb i poniesionych na ich pokrycie wydatków zaobserwowano ich...

W artykule wykonano przegląd literatury związanej z planowaniem, wydatkami, potrzebami, prognozowaniem i bezpieczeństwem ekonomicznym. Przeprowadzono analizę i ocenę szeregu czasowego wydatków poniesionych w dziale zaopatrzenia w podmiocie badań. Ocena pozwoliła na dobór modelu ARIMA do prognozowania wydatków (potrzeb) na przyszłość. Uzyskane progn...

W artykule przeprowadzono wielowymiarową analizę liczby pasażerów przewiezionych transportem kolejowym w 25 państwach Europy w latach 2015-2019 w aspekcie oceny dynamiki zmian i zaobserwowania prawidłowości rządzących rozpatrywanym zjawiskiem. Wykonano prognozowanie liczby przewożonych pasażerów na lata 2020-2021. Uzyskane wyniki mogą posłużyć w pr...

Purpose: The paper analyses the literature on research in unemployment, COVID-19 pandemic, and economic security. The paper focuses on the analysis, evaluation, and forecasting of unemployment rates in Poland and the USA regarding the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and economic security. Design/Methodology/Approach: The preliminary research was ca...

This study aims to analyze primary data regarding foreign exchange rates of the following currencies: ruble, euro, dollar, and yuan (renminbi) as well as petroleum and gas prices from a dynamic perspective as it pertains to the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the economic situation in Russia. The authors have analyzed the literature concernin...

The study aims to carry out a multidimensional comparative analysis of the number of deaths in thirty-two European countries regarding COVID-19 in dynamic terms. The study's subject is thirty-two European countries, and the number of human deaths caused by COVID-19 will be the object of the study. Multidimensional comparative analyses were used for...

The rationale for undertaking the research was to observe the lack, in the literature, of multidimensional comparative analyses concerning the number of passengers transported by air before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in twenty-two European countries. The study aims to carry out a multidimensional comparative analysis of the number of passenge...

Purpose: The rationale for undertaking the research was the lack of multifaceted, comparative analyzes of the population in European countries in terms of dynamics and multifaceted analyzes of births and deaths in individual European societies during the COVID-19 period literature. Design/Methodology/Approach: The study attempts to analyze the popu...

Purpose: The study investigates the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Russia and European countries' economic security. Design/Methodology/Approach: The research began with a multifaceted analysis of oil prices before and after the COVID-19 pandemic declaration. It then examined oil demand and air passenger volumes in European countries to impact...

The article addresses the problem of forecasting the number of housing units delivered in Poland in 2010-2017 on the basis of primary data obtained from the Central Statistical Office in the context of social security. First, an analysis and evaluation of the time series in question was made. Subsequently, the analysed time series was divided into...

In the article, the author raises the issue of the forecast of volumes of foreign currency loans granted in Poland to individual entrepreneurs on the basis of original data gathered from the National Bank of Poland, in the aspects of economic security. The research was initiated with the analysis and evaluation of time series within the volumes of...

In the article the author raises an issue related to the forecasting of budget revenue in Poland after previous analysis primary data on a monthly basis from 2011-2018.. The research data was obtained from the Central Statistical Office. The research was initiated with the analysis and evaluation of data concerning budget revenue in Poland dynamica...

div class="contentJustify">W artykule został sformułowany problem badawczy dotyczący analizy, oceny i prognozowania przychodów całkowitych przedsiębiorstw JIT (Logistic Just in Time) w ujęciu miesięcznym na rok 2020. Przeprowadzono analizę literatury przedmiotu badań dotyczącą przychodów oraz prognozowania. Badania rozpoczęto od nakreślenia wykresu...

div class="contentJustify">W artykule poruszony został problem badawczy z zakresu analizy, oceny i prognozowania danych pierwotnych dotyczących zaewidencjonowanych kosztów w przedsiębiorstwie Łukplast w ujęciu dynamicznym. Przeprowadzono analizę literatury przedmiotu badań dotyczącą kosztów i ich podziału. Scharakteryzowano termin prognozowanie. Pr...

W artykule zaprezentowano metodykę wielowymiarowej analizy porównawczej danych dotyczącą liczby samochodów dostawczych w trzydziestu trzech państwach Europy w latach 2013-2017. Pierwszym etapem badań było pogrupowanie danych pierwotnych. Wyodrębniono dwie grupy - państwa i lata. Obie grupy zostały poddane analizie i ocenie z wykorzystaniem wielu st...

The article deals with a research problem that focuses on the process and method of planning needs in the Polish Institution in terms of security, based on expenditure forecasting in the retrospective aspect. The study was started by comparing retrospective data on planned needs and expenses incurred to secure them in dynamic terms. The obtained re...

W artykule przedstawiono metodykę wielokryterialnej analizy stóp procentowych bezrobocia w wybranych gospodarkach światowych oraz próby przeprowadzenia prognozowania stopy bezrobocia w USA na trzy przyszłe okresy. Badania rozpoczęto od analizy wielowymiarowej zmienności stóp procentowych bezrobocia w wybranych gospodarkach światowych w ujęciu sześc...

Background: The article discusses the problem of forecasting residents killed in road accidents. The observation of data contained in the literature allows for the statement that in the last dozen years or so in Europe there is a decreasing trend of the number of people killed in road accidents. The prediction for the future is important from the p...

Background: In this article the authors raise the issue related to the multiple-dimensional analysis and evaluation of infrastructure boards in the Polish Armed Forces. The use of Chernoff's face for six explanatory variables enabled the observation of similarities and discrepancies of infrastructure boards undetectable with the analysis and evalua...

Purpose: The study investigates the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Russia and European countries' economic security. Design/Methodology/Approach: The research began with a multifaceted analysis of oil prices before and after the COVID-19 pandemic declaration. It then examined oil demand and air passenger volumes in European countries to impact...

W artykule poruszono problem badawczy dotyczący prognozowania jedną metodą trzydziestu dwóch grup zmiennych. Badania rozpoczęto od pozyskania danych pierwotnych w formie macierzy z strony internetowej Eurostatu. Dane pierwotne dotyczyły liczby lotnisk w trzydziestu dwóch państwach Europy w latach 2008-2017. Dalszym etapem było przeprowadzenie trans...

Publikacja obejmuje 9 rozdziałów. Poświęcone one zostały kluczowym zadaniom realizowanym przez elementy wojskowego systemu logistycznego. Zwrócono ponadto szczególną uwagę na współczesną istotę i wymiar systemu logistycznego SZ RP, logistykę kontraktową oraz rozwój kadr korpusu osobowego logistyki. Przyjęta struktura każdego rozdziału obejmuje trzy...

W artykule poruszony został problem z zakresu analizy i oceny danych dotyczących importu towarów do Polski w latach 2011-2018 w milionach ton oraz próba przeprowadzenia prognozowania eksportu w Polsce na czternaście przyszłych okresów modelem ARIMA. Badania rozpoczęto od analizy i oceny danych dotyczących importu towarów w milionach ton w Polsce w...

W artykule poruszony został problem z zakresu metodyki prognozowania zysku w przedsiębiorstwie. Pierwszym etapem badania była przeprowadzona analiza i ocena dotychczasowych metod prognozowania zysku w badanym podmiocie. Następnie wykonano analizę i ocenę szeregu czasowego zysku. Uzyskane wyniki z oceny posłużyły do wyboru właściwych metod prognosty...

The article describes the problem of cost forecasting in a shipping company. A number of time series of costs were analyzed and assessed. The results of the assessment were used to select a suitable forecasting method.

The article describes a process of planning needs in the ammunition and explosives procurement sections in a traditional way or by the use of Logrep. The article describes a new diagram of a needs identification sub-process based on needs planning by the use of Logrep.