Aykut Kibritçioğlu

Aykut Kibritçioğlu
Turkish-German University | TAU · Department of Economics

Prof. Dr. sc. pol. habil.
http://aykut.kibritcioglu.com

About

50
Publications
45,854
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525
Citations
Citations since 2016
2 Research Items
222 Citations
2016201720182019202020212022010203040
2016201720182019202020212022010203040
2016201720182019202020212022010203040
2016201720182019202020212022010203040
Introduction
Chronic inflation, which has been Turkey's most important economic problem for decades, has started to accelerate again in recent months for various reasons, after falling to single digits in 2004-2005. Therefore, I started to work again in the last weeks in this field, where I did not do much new research after 2004. In my new studies, I especially focus on the inflationary effects of exchange-rate and gasoline price increases in Turkey. (2022/01/14)
Additional affiliations
June 2018 - January 2021
Turkish-German University, Istanbul
Position
  • Head of Department
October 2016 - October 2016
Türk-Alman Üniversitesi (Turkish-German University)
Position
  • Prof. Dr., Acting Dean (Dekan Vekili)
February 2011 - May 2011
Ankara University
Position
  • Dünya Ekonomisi (= World Economy)
Description
  • http://kibritcioglu.com/iktisat/de-bahar2011.html
Education
June 1989 - November 1993
Christian Albrecht University at Kiel
Field of study
  • Economics
October 1985 - September 1988
Ankara University
Field of study
  • Economics
September 1981 - June 1985
Ankara University
Field of study
  • Economics

Publications

Publications (50)
Article
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In The Economist dated June 8, 2013, it was stated that "Turkey's GDP per person had tripled in the past ten years". In the following issue, however, the editors corrected this information and wrote that "this was true only in nominal terms. In real terms, GDP per person has risen by just 43%." This statement of correction triggered a hot and long-...
Article
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"A Comparison of Macroeconomic Performances of Governments in Turkey, 1987-2007" In this paper, a macroeconomic performance index (MEP10) which consists of selected ten indicators is proposed to evaluate the relative performance of Turkish governments by using monthly data for the period of December 1987 – April 2007. According to the multi-staged...
Article
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We study output and inflation in Turkey in the last two decades using a dynamic aggregate supply and aggregate demand model with imperfect capital mobility and structural Vector Autoregressions (VAR). Empirical results show terms of trade, monetary, and balance of payments shocks figure prominently in the inflationary process. Output is mostly driv...
Article
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Hükümetlerin ekonomi politikaları, ekonomik değişkenler ve ekonomik yapı üzerinde “dolaysız” ve “dolaylı” biçimde az veya çok etkiler yaratır. Bu etkiler çoğu kez zamana yayılarak ve değişen derecelerde ortaya çıkar, yani ille de derhal ve bir seferde gerçekleşmezler. Üstelik bu etkilerin bir kısmı olumlu, diğer kısmı ise olumsuzdur. Bu süreçte, ek...
Presentation
Full-text available
5. Türkiye Sermaye Piyasaları Kongresi, Panel 7, İstanbul, 16 Kasım 2021, 14:40 – 15:40, Program: https://sermayepiyasalarikongresi.org.tr/program-2021/, Sunum (Türkçe): https://youtu.be/PcOGtfEJYwo, Sunum (İngilizce): https://youtu.be/VmvxRz9GaKc
Chapter
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Ekonomik krizler; herhangi bir mal, hizmet, uretim faktoru veya doviz piyasasindaki fiyat ve/veya miktarlarda, kabul edilebilir bir degisme sinirinin otesinde gerceklesen siddetli dalgalanmalar olarak tanimlanabilir. Soz konusu krizlerin ortaya cikisi ve olasi sonuclarinin bir ulkedeki politik istikrarsizlikla yakindan iliskili oldugu genelde kabul...
Article
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Makale hakkında bilgi: http://kibritcioglu.com/iktisat/blog/?p=3981
Article
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PDF (2012): http://researchturkey.org/wp/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/ResearchTurkey_The-Present-and-Future-of-G20-From-the-Perspective-of-the-Global-Economy-and-Turkey_Prof.Dr_.Aykut-Kibritcioglu.pdf
Article
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PDF (2012): http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/56616/1/MPRA_paper_56616.pdf
Chapter
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The Effects of the Global Financial Crisis on Turkey Following the US financial crisis of 2006-2007, the global economy suffered from negative spillover effects of it since fall 2008. In this study, the effects of global financial crsis on Turkish economy (2008-2010) and the macroeconomic performance of the Turkish government (before and) during t...
Article
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The Components and Complexity of the Global Economic Crisis of 2006-2011 In this short paper, it is mainly argued that the current global economic crisis (2006-2011) consists not only of the US financial crisis of 2006-2007 which has been globalized since fall 2008. The world economy has also been hit by the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis, rising...
Chapter
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Ausgehend von dem makroökonomischen Hintergrund in der Türkei soll versucht werden, den Blick auf die Auswirkungen der aktuellen globalen Finanzkrise, die diese besonders in den Jahren 2008-2009 auf die türkische Wirtschaft hatten, zu lenken. Mit dieser Zielsetzung soll in der Arbeit zuerst (in Abschnitt 2) die in den USA in den Jahren 2006-2007 en...
Presentation
Avrupa’daki (geçmişi en azından 1950’lere dek uzanan) “siyasi birlik” oluşturmaya yönelik bütünleşme süreci planlı, çok uzun, dinamik / değişgen, çok aşamalı, çok boyutlu ve giderek daha fazla sayıda ülkeyi ilgilendirmeye başlayan siyasi, ekonomik, toplumsal ve kültürel bir ortak projenin ürünü olarak görülmelidir. 1999-2002 yıllarında nihai biçimi...
Technical Report
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This paper is concerned with the causes, timing and effects of banking sector restructuring and financial crisis in Turkey. The main focus of the study, however, is on labour market implications of the banking crisis and banking reform in recent years. The paper is organised as follows. Section 2 presents a brief summary of the macroeconomic backgr...
Article
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In Turkey, the financial sector is traditionally dominated by banking activities, and the banking sector experienced several systemic crises since late 1970s. This paper reviews and summarizes the major banking sector problems in the country. It also outlines the latest regulations and reform attempts in Turkey, with particular reference to Turkey'...
Book
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TURKIYE'DE UZUN-DONEM REEL DOVIZ KURU DENGESIZLIGI, 1987-2003. Cari reel doviz kurunun uzun-donem denge reel doviz kurundan sapma derecesi, son yillarda iktisatcilar ve politika yapicilar tarafindan giderek daha cok olculmeye, izlenmeye ve aciklanmaya calisilmaktadir. Bu calismada, once farkli cari reel doviz kuru tanimlari uzerinde durulup uzun-do...
Chapter
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After experiencing high and persistent inflation for more than two decades, Turkey is entering a period of single-digit inflation again. Following a summary of the macroeconomic developments occurred since early 1970s, this paper attempts to survey the empirical literature both on the dynamics of chronic inflation and on the possible effects of dis...
Book
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Türkiye ekonomisinin son yirmi beş yıllık performansının özellikle Uzak Doğu’daki yeni gelişen ekonomiler referans alındığında göreli olarak daha zayıf kaldığı gözlenmektedir. Bununla birlikte, orta ve uzun vadeli büyümeye odaklanan iktisat politikalarının oluşturulması halinde, genç nüfusumuz, bölgesel konumumuz, endüstriyel altyapımız ve tarihsel...
Article
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In the financial crisis literature, it is usually argued that, contrary to the case of currency crises, building a time series index to identify banking crisis episodes is highly difficult, particularly because of the lack of reliable data on banking sector variables (non-performing loans, etc.). Accordingly, existing methods applied to pinpoint ba...
Article
Full-text available
In the financial crisis literature, it is usually argued that, contrary to the case of currency crises, construction of a time series index to identify banking crisis episodes is highly difficult, particularly because of the lack of reliable data on banking sector variables such as the level of non-performing loans. Accordingly, existing methods us...
Data
The related paper is downloadable at: http://128.118.178.162/eps/mac/papers/0206/0206004.pdf
Book
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Based on its outward-oriented development strategy, respectable growth, increased integration into world trade and financial markets, and imperfect though vibrant and wide-based democracy, Turkey is often cited as a development model for other countries in the region and elsewhere. Countering this positive picture of the Turkish economy over the la...
Chapter
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Turkey has experienced high and persistent inflation for more than twenty years. This chapter attempts firstly to survey the extremely broad literature on theories of inflation, in order to be able to classify, understand and discuss the dynamics of inflation more carefully. In this chapter, it is mainly argued that inflation may be interpreted as...
Article
PDF (2002): http://www.accessecon.com/pubs/EB/2002/volume2/EB-02B00001A.pdf Adam Smith (1776) is generally ignored as an international trade theorist in textbooks and surveys because of the common belief that he only confirmed the rule of absolute advantages to explain structure of foreign trade. On the other hand, many textbooks and surveys on gro...
Article
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Introduction to the Special Issue on "Special Issue on Financial Markets, Disinflation Policies and Economic Restructuring in Turkey", Russian and East European Finance and Trade, vol. 37, no. 6, November–December 2001, pp. 3–5. (https://www.jstor.org/stable/i27749594)
Data
Bu MS Excel dosyasındaki veriler, aşağıda künyesi belirtilen makaledeki Şekil 6 ve 8'in çizilmesinde kullanılan ve ilgili makalede belirtilen yöntem ve tanımlara göre hesaplanmış olan verilerdir. Verileri, adı geçen makaleyi (aşağıdaki künyeye uygun biçimde) ve verileri temin ettiğiniz bu internet sayfasını kaynak göstermek kaydıyla kendi öğretim,...
Article
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Economic growth and development is a complicated process that falls into the domain of many disciplines in social sciences and humanities. It is natural then to study fundamental aspects of economic growth synthesizing research in relevant fields. In this short paper, we argue that this has rarely been the case in the economic growth literature. We...
Article
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Knowledge, Technology & Policy, Vol. 13, pages 133–134. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/BF02693994
Article
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2000 yýlýnda dünya ham petrol fiyatlarý 21 $/varil ile 35 $/varil arasýnda dalgalanýr, TL/Dolar kuru ise % 24.4 kadar yükselirken akaryakýt ürünlerinin fiyatlarýna yýl boyunca ortalama olarak sadece % 8.0 kadar zam yapýlmýþtýr. 57. TC Hükümetinin 2000-2002 enflasyonla mücadele programý ilk yýlda enflasyonu % 60’lardan % 30’lara dek düþürmesine raðm...
Article
PDF (2001): http://128.118.178.162/eps/mac/papers/0107/0107003.pdf This paper surveys and examines the sources of fluctuations in inflation and output in Turkey. Using a dynamic open economy aggregate supply - aggregate demand model with imperfect capital mobility and structural vector-autoregressions, the authors consider real oil price, supply, b...
Chapter
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As a result of the macroeconomic convergence process in the light of the 1991 Maastricht Treaty, the monetary union between most of the EU countries started on January 1, 1999. Meanwhile, ten formerly eastern block countries and the Southern Section of Cyprus are preparing their economy for a full-membership to the EU while Turkey, as an associate-...
Chapter
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Kibritçioğlu, A. (2000), "Euro'nun Türkiye Ekonomisi Üzerindeki Etkileri Hakkında". Euro El Kitabi. Ankara: TCMB İnsan Kaynakları Müdürlüğü, s. 315-328. On the Effects of the Introduction of Euro on Turkish Economy This paper briefly discusses the possible effects of the introduction of the Euro on Turkish economy. It is mainly based on the anal...
Article
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Ham petrol ithal fiyatlarindaki degismeler dolayisiyla akaryakit urunlerinin yurtici fiyatlarinda meydana gelen degismelerin Turkiye'deki olasi enflasyonist ve/veya deflasyonist etkileri, Kibritcioglu ve Kibritcioglu (1999) tarafindan kuramsal ve olgusal bilgiler isiginda sematik ve ampirik olarak incelenmistir. Soz konusu calismada, Turkiye’deki s...
Book
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Ham petrol fiyatlarindaki artislarin petrol ithalatcisi ulkelerdeki olasi enflasyonist etkileri, ozellikle 1970’li yillarda Dunya’da yasanan iki buyuk petrol krizinden bu yana tartisilir olmustur. Bir ham petrol ithalatcisi olan Turkiye’de de, enflasyonun onemli kaynaklarindan birinin ham petrol ithal fiyatlarindaki artislar oldugu sik sik gundeme...
Chapter
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This paper summarizes new developments in world trade, technological changes worldwide and their implications for recent theoretical studies in economics. After defining the economic globalization and schematizing its relations with international trade, economic growth and technological change, dramatic increases in world trade in goods, services a...
Article
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Bu makalede, yeni/içsel büyüme modellerinin beşeri sermayeye dayalı türleri özetlenmekte ve değerlendirmektedir. https://doi.org/10.1501/SBFder_0000001947
Article
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On the Meaning and Importance of Firm and Product Quality
Article
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Porter's Approach of Competitive Advantages and the Theory of Economics
Article
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http://www.liberaldusunce.com.tr/liberal-dusunce-sayi-6-bahar-1997-ozgur-toplum-turkiyede-demokrasi-ve-cesitlilik/ http://www.libertedownload.com/LD/arsiv/06/09-aykut-kibritcioglu-serbest-bolgelerin-olasi-makroekonomik-etkileri-ve-dusundurdukleri-.pdf
Chapter
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Kibritçioğlu, A. (1997): “Free Zones in Turkey and Their Macroeconomic Effects”. In: Y. S. Tezel (ed.) (1997), Concepts and Instruments of the Economic Development in Turkey: A Model for Palestine?, Ankara: Friedrich-Naumann-Stiftung, s. 41-61 (ISBN-975-721806-5). In this paper, the author presents a simple theoretical framework to discuss the pot...
Article
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A Conceptual Approach to International Competitiveness
Thesis
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Published PhD thesis (= veröffentlichte Dissertation): The International Competitiveness of the Turkish Manufacturing Industry Dieses Buch können Sie vielleicht in einer der zu Ihnen naehesten Bibliotheken finden: http://www.worldcat.org/title/internationale-wettbewerbsfahigkeit-der-turkischen-verarbeitenden-industrie/oclc/38976994&referer=brief_r...
Article
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Bu çalışmada, Adam Smith'in uluslararası iktisat literatürüne pek çok iktisatçı tarafından görmezden gelinen katkıları incelenip tartışılmaktadır.
Article
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Kibritçioğlu, A. (1994) “Türkiye’nin Toplam Dışsatım Verilerinin Güvenilirliği Açısından Eksik ve Fazla Bildirim” [= Under- and Overinvoicing from the Perspective of Reliability of Turkish Exports Data ]. İstanbul İhracatçılar Birliği – Birlik Dergisi, 4/5: 9-12. Türkiye'nin ihracat verileri ile karşı ülkelerin Türkiye'den ithalat verileri arasınd...
Article
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Kibritçioğl, A. (1993): “Bebek Endüstrilerin Korunmasıyla İlgili Argümanlar: Friedrich List’inki ve Diğerleri”. Hazine ve Dış Ticaret Dergisi, 16: 67-95. Friedrich List's Infant Industry Argument After presenting a broad review of Friedrich List's infant industry argument (Erziehungszollargument) departing from collected works of List, this study...
Thesis
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Ankara Üniversitesi SBE, yayınlanmamış iktisat yüksek lisans tezi. (The Problematic of Effectiveness of Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Open Developing Economies and the Case of Turkey)
Article
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'Acik Ekonomi Makroiktisadi'nin Oncusu Olarak Fleming-Mundell Modeli. [Yayinlandigi yer: Iktisat Dergisi, 1987, 275: 31-38] ("Fleming-Mundell Modell as a Pioneer of 'Open Economy Macroeconomics'")
Chapter
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Bu metin, Güz 1986 yarıyılında Ankara Üniversitesi SBF İktisat Bölümünde okutulan İktisadi Büyüme dersinde öğrencilere yardımcı olması için hazırlanmış ve Y. S. Tezel'in (1987) "Klasik ve Çağdaş İktisadi Analizde Büyüme Sorunu" adlı ders kitabında yayınlanmıştır. Metin, Haim Barkai'nin (1969) "A Formal Outline of a Smtihian Growth Model" (Quarterly...

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