Antonio Fernández-Morales- PhD Economics
- Professor (Full) at University of Malaga
Antonio Fernández-Morales
- PhD Economics
- Professor (Full) at University of Malaga
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168
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Introduction
Current institution
Publications
Publications (168)
This paper analyzes seasonality in the United Kingdom, specifically the English regions in relation to tourists' place of origin and main travel motivation. The method used is a decomposition of the Gini index, which provides relative marginal effects that facilitate the identification of market segments open to counter-seasonal marketing efforts....
The present paper analyses the seasonal concentration on the Andalusian coastline, a Spanish Mediterranean coastal destination characterised by its high seasonality in the summer months. The analyses were conducted by separating tourists according to their main travel motivation, and distinguishing sun and sand tourists from cultural and other segm...
A large number of studies have been carried out on the social carrying capacity of tourists regions. Most of these studies have examined protected natural areas, the best known being Shelby and Heberlein’s study. The research aim of this paper is to adapt the social carrying capacity model to a mature coastal destination, Costa del Sol. The empiric...
Costa del Sol is a mature Mediterranean destination in the South of Spain with a degree of seasonality that has shown little variation during the last 20 years. In this paper, we apply the decomposition of the Gini index of seasonal concentration by nationalities. The main outcome of this decomposition is the estimation of relative contributions to...
The main purpose of this article is to analyze seasonal concentration in tourism demand series in three Spanish Mediterranean destinations by means of the Gini index, decomposing it into inequality between and within seasons. This method is applied to the monthly series of hotel nights, covering the period 1980–2001. The results suggest that the “b...
Unpredictable external shocks exacerbate the negative effects usually attributed to cyclical seasonality. Two such recent shocks, the Global Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, shifted debates from crisis management toward concerns for greater resilience in visitor economies. Social tourism is an effective stimulus to destination economies...
This study assesses the relative contributions that different demand segments make to a reduction in seasonality at tourism destinations. Specifically, we ask which types of markets are the most effective for counter-balancing seasonality in high seasonality-prone coastal destinations? This is particularly important where there is a significant pre...
Unpredictable external shocks exacerbate the negative effects usually attributed to cyclical seasonality. Two such recent shocks, the Global Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, shifted debates from crisis management towards concerns for greater resilience in visitor economies. Social tourism is an effective stimulus to destination economies...
Even though there is a growing body of literature dealing with several aspects of tourism seasonality, causes, impacts, etc., the research on seasonality measurement is still relatively scarce. The role of markets in the configuration of seasonality in tourism destinations adds an additional problem to the measurement of seasonal concentration, sin...
Se presenta en este volumen un grupo variado de casos de estudio y cuestiones prácticas de gran utilidad para el desarrollo de competencias técnicas y profesionales relativos a las técnicas cuantitativas aplicadas al turismo.
Los contenidos que se contemplan en esta propuesta recorren diversas temáticas que comienzan en cuestiones relativas a las...
El contenido de este volumen está dedicado a una serie de aplicaciones, cuestiones y casos de estudio de carácter práctico en el ámbito de los métodos cuantitativos aplicados en la investigación en el área del turismo.
http://www.revistaestudiosregionales.com/articulosPendientes/ver/id/171
This article analyzes cruise tourism seasonality in Southern Europe, assessing the seasonal concentration levels by means of the Gini index. The additive decomposition of this index is used to evaluate the contribution of each port to the global seasonal concentration in the regions where they are located. It also allows the estimation of marginal...
Los rankings de hoteles ejercen gran influencia sobre los turistas a la hora de elegir un hotel. Los hoteleros también se esfuerzan por aparecer en lo más alto de la clasificación. Sin embargo, la evolución de estos rankings a lo largo del tiempo ha sido poco estudiada, por lo que es necesario profundizar en su análisis debido a las importantes imp...
El ranking de hoteles de TripAdvisor, ha sido analizado desde múltiples perspectivas, pero son pocos los investigadores que han estudiado su evolución temporal. Este artículo presenta uno de los primeros trabajos sobre la movilidad en los rankings de hoteles. Dis¬tinguimos entre rankings líquidos, y sólidos, definimos la Movilidad de un ranking, di...
This research develops a model to predict the effect of advertising a socially responsible activity on perceived corporate social responsibility (CSR) and its influence on consumer loyalty. It examines the relationships between company-cause congruence, corporate credibility, altruism attribution and perceived CSR, and CSR with consumer loyalty, an...
En este trabajo se desarrolla una metodología para el análisis de la estacionalidad del turismo de cruceros. Mediante el uso de varias técnicas estadísticas multivariantes, análisis factorial de componentes principales y cluster, se facilita la obtención de agrupaciones de los destinos, según las características estac¬ionales de la distribución men...
En este estudio se analiza la influencia de la responsabilidad social corporativa (RSC) en la intención de compra. Los datos se recogieron mediante una encuesta personal realizada a 235 personas y fueron analizados mediante un modelo de ecuaciones estructurales. Los resultados muestran relaciones positivas entre las dimensiones económica y social c...
The objective of this study is to analyze how the media used to communicate a socially responsible activity influences the perception of Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR). To do this, an empirical study was conducted with two samples of consumers who were shown an advertisement about a socially responsible activity inserted in either a newspape...
Recent policy from the European Union has attempted to justify social tourism initiatives on the basis that they lead to a more sustainable tourism industry. However, the majority of latest research in the field has been focused on the benefits for participants, with the addition of some evidence on the economic impacts of such programmes on destin...
Los conceptos básicos de la Teoría de la Probabilidad y sus aplicaciones son el objeto de los casos de estudio contenidos en esta obra, enfocados a la práctica profesional y la investigación en el ámbito del turismo. Mediante casos contextualizados se desarrollan los principales conceptos relacionados con el cálculo de probabilidad, necesarios para...
Los conceptos básicos de la Teoría de la Probabilidad y sus aplicaciones son el objeto de los casos de estudio contenidos en esta obra, enfocados a la práctica profesional y la investigación en el ámbito del turismo. Mediante casos contextualizados se desarrollan los principales conceptos relacionados con el cálculo de probabilidad, necesarios para...
Resumen En este trabajo se presenta una colección de recursos didácticos ela-borados en formato de actividades cuyo objetivo es el apoyo a la docencia presencial de asignaturas relacionadas con la Estadística Avanzada para Finanzas. Palabras clave— Finanzas, modelos de probabilidad, valores extremos, procesos estocásticos. Clasificación JEL— C12, C...
The aim of this paper is to explore the possibilities that online interactive animations offer to enhance the statistics learning experience in the field of actuarial education. A particular type of animation, based on the D3.js JavaScript library, has been chosen due to its powerful visualisation components and natural treatment of transitions. Th...
This research delves into analyzing the seasonality of cruise tourism in the Mediterranean by using the Gini index as a measure of the annual seasonal concentration. In addition, the decomposition of this index is used in the field of cruise tourism for the first time in literature. This study specifically used the decomposition to evaluate the con...
Introduction There are barely any studies that examine the presence of seasonality in Argentina tourism demand, and in them, only time series methods are used to evaluate the seasonality tourism causes in the country. Also, in the tourism planning instruments of Argentina, the calculation of seasonal factors for overnight stays in hotel establishme...
En este trabajo se analiza la concentración estacional de la demanda hotelera en Argentina y sus regiones turísticas. La metodología empleada, que incluye la descomposición aditiva del índice de Gini y el cálculo de efectos relativos marginales, se propone como una herramienta útil para los gestores del turismo interesados en reducir la estacionali...
Hotel booking decisions are increasingly influenced by consumer
feedback available on social media sites. Using data submitted by
customers on TripAdvisor, this study analyzes the customer
satisfaction ratings posted for 2,211 hotels. The study provides four
key contributions to our knowledge on this subject. Firstly, a
comparative analysis was con...
Hotel booking decisions are increasingly influenced by consumer feedback available on social media sites. Using data submitted by customers on TripAdvisor, this study analyzes the customer satisfaction ratings posted for 2,211 hotels. The study provides four key contributions to our knowledge on this subject. Firstly, a comparative analysis was con...
En este trabajo se presenta la aplicación de procedimientos de obtención de probabilidades de fallecimiento, mediante hoja de cálculo, para generaciones y an ̃os de calendario futuros, basadas en la información contenida en tablas de mortalidad dinámicas, desde el punto de vista actuarial.
RIUMA: http://hdl.handle.net/10630/10922#sthash.5Zueo4PU.d...
The objectives of this chapter are: (i) to present a methodology for analysing seasonal concentration in tourism, designed as a control and monitoring measure which tourism planners and managers may use in destinations with a high seasonal concentration (by estimating the Gini index, applying an additive decomposition over tourism segments and esti...
Hotel booking decisions are increasingly influenced by consumer feedback available on social media sites. Using data submitted by customers on TripAdvisor, this study analyzes the customer satisfaction ratings posted for 2,211 hotels. The study provides four key contributions to our knowledge on this subject. Firstly, a comparative analysis was con...
The aim of this paper is to present the first results of an exploratory investigation of the seasonal distribution of cruise tourism in Spanish ports. The methodology used in the study consists of a combination of factor and cluster analysis, in order to identify the regularities on the monthly distributions of cruise passengers that allow a classi...
This paper describes the application of an online interactive simulator of discrete-time Markov chains to an automobile insurance model. Based on the D3.js library, an interactive visual animation depicts the dynamics of individual policyholders in a bonus-malus system of automobile insurance. A survey was conducted among MSc students who used the...
This article introduces a graphical tool that can be very useful for income mobility analysis based on panel data. It is inspired in the concept behind transition matrices but uses nonparametric kernel estimation of the conditional distributions of income to allow the continuous treatment of the income variables. The resulting tool is very flexible...
This paper aims to contribute to the scarce literature on tourism seasonality in Argentina, complementing the quantitative tools previously used for measuring seasonality with the use of the Gini index. There are significant inequalities regarding the seasonal concentration by regions, both in levels and recent evolutions. The strategies against se...
Seasonal impact and concentration of cruise tourism in Malaga
The aim of this paper is analysing the seasonal pattern of cruise tourism in the city of Málaga (Spain) and its impact over the seasonal concentration of hotel tourism in the city. One of the main results of the study is that, even though cruise tourism is more seasonally concentrated t...
The aim of this paper is to describe the main features and use of an online interactive graphical simulator that has been developed for the study of tourism seasonality by means of the Gini index and the Lorenz curve. The simulator is embedded into a microsite known as the Seasonal Concentration Lab, which includes three versions of the simulator,...
The entire Andalusian coastline must deal with the effects of seasonality. Both local and regional administrations as well as tourism business owners are currently confronting this problem by implementing remedial measures to reduce seasonal concentration with the relentless pursuit of new formulas for product diversification. This can be corrobora...
La implantación de prácticas de Responsabilidad Social Corporativa (RSC) en las empresas es un tema relevante en los últimos años. Entre las cuestiones analizadas destaca la importancia de correlacionar la
RSC con el comportamiento de los clientes por la influencia que puede tener en los beneficios de las empresas. Si bien diferentes investigacione...
En este trabajo se plantean los principales retos que la implantación obligatoria del trabajo de fin de grado en las universidades españolas supone, especialmente para el profesorado que debe tutorizarlos y supervisarlos. En este sentido, entre los aspectos que mayores esfuerzos demandan se encuentran, por un lado, la necesidad de concienciar al es...
En este trabajo se utiliza el pasajero de transporte aéreo como unidad de medida de concentración estacional. Para el análisis se ha clasificado a los pasajeros en cuatro grupos, según procedencia internacional o nacional, y según compañía aérea utilizada, de bajo coste o tradicionales. Se ha efectuado la descomposición aditiva del índice de Gini,...
The current economic situation is often compared to the events experienced in the thirties and seventies of the last century However, a careful analysis must consider not only the similarities but also differences, which could shed light on the present economic conditions The analysis of recent developments in the Euro Area can draw attention to th...
A menudo se compara la situación económica actual con los episodios vividos en los años treinta y setenta del pasado siglo. Sin embargo, se pasa por alto analizar detenidamente no sólo las semejanzas, sino también las diferencias, lo que podría arrojar luz sobre las patologías económicas que deben afrontarse. El análisis de la evolución de los acon...
The aim of this paper is to explore the potential role that collaborative projects can play in the development of creativity and innovation in higher education, looking for appropriate and efficient designs to enable students to develop the forms of creativity that are most suitable for their study and professional careers; and to illustrate it wit...
Desde la implantación de la Licenciatura en Ciencias Actuariales y Financieras (LCAF) en la Universidad de Málaga en el curso académico 1997-1998, se han licenciado 12 promociones. Con el objeto de conocer el grado de inserción laboral y profesional de los titulados en LCAF por la Universidad de Málaga, la realidad de los tipos de instituciones y e...
