Alexander Kirpich

Georgia State University | GSU · Department of Population Health Sciences

The 2022–2023 mpox outbreak exhibited an uneven global distribution. While countries such as the UK, Brazil, and the USA were most heavily affected in 2022, many Asian countries, specifically China, Japan, South Korea, and Thailand, experienced the outbreak later, in 2023, with significantly fewer reported cases relative to their populations. This...

During the 2022–2023 unprecedented mpox epidemic, near real-time short-term forecasts of the epidemic’s trajectory were essential in intervention implementation and guiding policy. However, as case levels have significantly decreased, evaluating model performance is vital to advancing the field of epidemic forecasting. Using laboratory-confirmed mp...

(1) Background: Bacillus cereus biovar anthracis (Bcbva) was the causative agent of an anthrax-like fatal disease among wild chimpanzees in 2001 in Côte d’Ivoire. Before this, there had not been any description of an anthrax-like disease caused by typically avirulent Bacillus cereus. Genetic analysis found that B. cereus had acquired two anthrax-li...

In May 2022, public health officials noted an unprecedented surge in Mpox cases in non-endemic countries worldwide. As the epidemic accelerated, multi-model forecasts of the epidemic’s trajectory were critical in guiding the implementation of public health interventions, and in determining policy. As the case levels have significantly decreased as...

Since the discovery of Legionnaires’ disease (LD), limited progress has been made in understanding the epidemiology of sporadic cases of LD. Outbreaks have confirmed that air conditioning and potable water systems can be sources of community-acquired LD. However, studying the association between water quality and LD incidence has been challenging d...

In this work, the COVID-19 pandemic burden in Ukraine is investigated retrospectively using the excess mortality measures during 2020–2021. In particular, the epidemic impact on the Ukrainian population is studied via the standardized both all-cause and cause-specific mortality scores before and during the epidemic. The excess mortality counts duri...

The Bacillus anthracis exosporium nap is the outermost portion of spore that interacts with the environment and host systems. Changes to this layer have the potential to impact wide-ranging physiological and immunological processes. The unique sugar, anthrose, normally coats the exosporium nap at its most distal points. We previously identified add...

Background This work presents a novel computational multi-reference poly-conformational algorithm for design, optimization, and repositioning of pharmaceutical compounds. Methods The algorithm searches for candidates by comparing similarities between conformers of the same compound and identifies target compounds, whose conformers are collectively...

In addition to general challenges in drug discovery such as the identification of lead compounds in time- and cost-effective ways, specific challenges also exist. Particularly, it is necessary to develop pharmacological inhibitors that effectively discriminate between closely related molecular targets. DYRK1B kinase is considered a valuable target...

In this study, we propose a two-stage workflow used for the segmentation and scoring of lung diseases. The workflow inherits quantification, qualification, and visual assessment of lung diseases on X-ray images estimated by radiologists and clinicians. It requires the fulfillment of two core stages devoted to lung and disease segmentation as well a...

Public health intervention to contain the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic significantly differed by country since the SARS-CoV-2 spread varied regionally in time and in scale. Since vaccinations were not available until the end of 2020 non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) remained the only strategies to mitigate the pandemic spread at that time. Belar...

Colombia announced the first case of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 on March 6, 2020. Since then, the country has reported a total of 5,002,387 cases and 127,258 deaths as of October 31, 2021. The aggressive transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 motivate an investigation of COVID-19 at the national and regional levels in Colombia. We...

The novel coronavirus 19 (COVID-19) continues to have a devastating effect around the globe, leading many scientists and clinicians to actively seek to develop new techniques to assist with the tackling of this disease. Modern machine learning methods have shown promise in their adoption to assist the healthcare industry through their data and anal...

Background The association of hemagglutination inhibition (HAI) antibodies with protection from influenza among healthcare personnel (HCP) with occupational exposure to influenza viruses has not been well-described. Methods The Respiratory Protection Effectiveness Clinical Trial was a cluster-randomized, multi-site study that compared medical mask...

Background Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) have been implemented worldwide to curb COVID-19 spread. Belarus is a rare case of a country with a relatively modern healthcare system, where highly limited NPIs have been enacted. Thus, investigation of Belarusian COVID-19 dynamics is essential for the local and global assessment of the impact of...

The novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 was first detected in China in December 2019 and has rapidly spread around the globe. The World Health Organization declared COVID-19 a pandemic in March 2020 just three months after the introduction of the virus. Individual nations have implemented and enforced a variety of social distancing interventions to slow t...

Colombia announced the first case of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 on March 6, 2020. Since then, the country has reported a total of 4,240,982 cases and 106,544 deaths as of June 30, 2021. This motivates an investigation of the SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics at the national and regional level using case incidence data. Mathemati...

Mexico has experienced one of the highest COVID-19 mortality rates in the world. A delayed implementation of social distancing interventions in late March 2020 and a phased reopening of the country in June 2020 has facilitated sustained disease transmission in the region. In this study we systematically generate and compare 30-day ahead forecasts u...

Since the emergence of COVID-19, a series of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) has been implemented by governments and public health authorities worldwide to control and curb the ongoing pandemic spread. From that perspective, Belarus is one of a few countries with a relatively modern healthcare system, where much narrower NPIs have been put...

The novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 was first detected in China in December 2019 and has rapidly spread around the globe. The World Health Organization declared COVID-19 a pandemic in March 2020 just three months after the introduction of the virus. Individual nations have implemented and enforced a variety of social distancing interventions to slow t...

Since its discovery in the Hubei province of China, the global spread of the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 has resulted in millions of COVID-19 cases and hundreds of thousands of deaths. The spread throughout Asia, Europe, and the Americas has presented one of the greatest infectious disease threats in recent history and has tested the capacity of g...

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pbio.3001052.].

The COVID-19 epidemic, SARS-CoV-2, that began in December of 2019 has drastically altered the aspects of daily life across the global society. Time-effective treatment of those infected has since become a major goal with multiple treatment strategies having been designed to prevent the progression of the disease into severe pneumonia. To date, no d...

In this work a novel computational multi-reference poly-conformational algorithm is presented for design, optimization, and repositioning of pharmaceutical compounds. The algorithm searches for candidates by comparing similarities between conformers of the same compound and identifies target compounds whose conformers are simultaneously “close” to...

With the novel coronavirus 19 (COVID-19) continually having a devastating effect around the globe, many scientists and clinicians are actively seeking to develop new techniques to assist with the tackling of this disease. Modern machine learning methods have shown promise in their adoption to assist the health care industry through their data and a...

The ongoing coronavirus pandemic reached Mexico in late February 2020. Since then Mexico has observed a sustained elevation in the number of COVID-19 deaths. Mexicos delayed response to the COVID-19 pandemic until late March 2020 hastened the spread of the virus in the following months. However, the government followed a phased reopening of the cou...

Bacillus anthracis, a spore-forming gram-positive bacterium, causes anthrax. The external surface of the exosporium is coated with glycosylated proteins. The sugar additions are capped with the unique monosaccharide anthrose. The West African Group (WAG) B. anthracis have mutations rendering them anthrose deficient. Through genome sequencing, we id...

The COVID-19 epidemic, SARS-CoV-2, that began in December of 2019 has drastically altered the aspects of daily life across the global society. Time-effective treatment of those infected has since become a major goal with multiple treatment strategies having been designed to prevent the progression of the disease into severe pneumonia. To date, no d...

Objectives Human breast milk is the ideal nutrition source for infant development during the first year of life. Epidemiological data demonstrates that bovine whole milk is often substituted for human milk during the first 12-months of life and may be associated with adverse infant outcomes. The goal of this project is to interrogate the human and...

Since its discovery in the Hubei province of China, the global spread of the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 has resulted in millions of COVID-19 cases and hundreds of thousands of deaths. The spread throughout Asia, Europe, and the Americas has presented one of the greatest infectious disease threats in recent history and has tested the capacity of g...

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is straining health systems around the world. Although the Chinese government implemented a number of severe restrictions on people's movement in an attempt to contain its local and international spread, the virus had already reached many ar...

The ongoing COVID-19 epidemic continues to spread within and outside of China, despite several social distancing measures implemented by the Chinese government. Limited epidemiological data are available, and recent changes in case definition and reporting further complicate our understanding of the impact of the epidemic, particularly in the epide...

The initial cluster of severe pneumonia cases that triggered the COVID-19 epidemic was identified in Wuhan, China in December 2019. While early cases of the disease were linked to a wet market, human-to-human transmission has driven the rapid spread of the virus throughout China. The Chinese government has implemented containment strategies of city...

The initial cluster of severe pneumonia cases that triggered the 2019-nCoV epidemic was identified in Wuhan, China in December 2019. While early cases of the disease were linked to a wet market, human-to-human transmission has driven the rapid spread of the virus throughout China. The ongoing outbreak presents a challenge for modelers, as limited d...

Background Influenza (flu) and other respiratory viruses circulate regularly throughout healthcare systems, often placing healthcare personnel (HCP) at high risk for illness. Hemagglutination inhibition (HAI) titers are associated with protection from flu illness, though few studies have characterized HAI in HCP. The Respiratory Protection Effectiv...

Hyperpolarized carbon-13 magnetic resonance (HP-MR) is a new metabolic imaging method the does not use ionizing radiation. Due to the inherent chemical specificity of MR, not only tracer uptake but also downstream metabolism of the agent is detected in a straightforward manner. HP [2-¹³C]dihydroxyacetone (DHA) is a promising new agent that directly...

In omics experiments, variable selection involves a large number of metabolites/ genes and a small number of samples (the n < p problem). The ultimate goal is often the identification of one, or a few features that are different among conditions- a biomarker. Complicating biomarker identification, the p variables often contain a correlation structu...

The code for the simulations. (R)

The supplementary material contains tables and figures of the result summaries for the simulated and real data analysis that were not included in the main text due to the manuscript size limitations. (PDF)

Background: Metabolomics has the promise to transform the area of personalized medicine with the rapid development of high throughput technology for untargeted analysis of metabolites. Open access, easy to use, analytic tools that are broadly accessible to the biological community need to be developed. While technology used in metabolomics varies,...

The emergence of infections caused by antimicrobial resistant microorganisms (ARMs) is currently one of the most important challenges to public health and medicine. Though speculated to originate at least partially from the overuse of antibiotics during food animal production, we hypothesized that cattle are exposed to ARMs in the environment. In t...

Antibiotic susceptibility of the isolates.

Introduction Untargeted metabolomics workflows include numerous points where variance and systematic errors can be introduced. Due to the diversity of the lipidome, manual peak picking and quantitation using molecule specific internal standards is unrealistic, and therefore quality peak picking algorithms and further feature processing and normaliz...

Following the 2010 cholera outbreak in Haiti, a plan was initiated to provide massive improvements to the sanitation and drinking water infrastructure in order to eliminate cholera from the island of Hispaniola by 2023. Six years and a half billion dollars later, there is little evidence that any substantial improvements have been implemented; with...

The heart oxidizes fatty acids, carbohydrates and ketone bodies inside the citric acid cycle (CAC) to generate the reducing equivalents needed for ATP production. Competition between these substrates makes it difficult to estimate the extent of pyruvate oxidation. Previously, hyperpolarized pyruvate detected propionate mediated activation of carboh...

Model details. Additional information about the data used, model fitting and outputs. (PDF)

Background: Uncontrolled hazardous wastes sites have the potential to adversely impact human health and damage or disrupt ecological systems and the greater environment. Four decades have passed since the Superfund law was enacted, allowing increased exposure time to these potential health hazards while also allowing advancement of analysis techniq...

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004153.].

In the current study, a comprehensive, data driven, mathematical model for cholera transmission in Haiti is presented. Along with the inclusion of short cycle human-to-human transmission and long cycle human-to-environment and environment-to-human transmission, this novel dynamic model incorporates both the reported cholera incidence and remote sen...

Purpose The aim of this study was to characterize the pathogenesis of low bone mineral density in glycogen storage disease type Ia and Ib. Methods A retrospective chart review performed at the University of Florida Glycogen Storage Disease Program included patients with glycogen storage disease type Ia and Ib for whom dual-energy X-ray absorptiome...