Aldo Zollo

University of Naples Federico II | UNINA · Dept of Physics E. Pancini

When accompanied by appropriate training and preparedness of a population, Earthquake Early Warning Systems (EEWS) are effective and viable tools for the real-time reduction of societal exposure to seismic events in metropolitan areas. The Italian Accelerometric Network, RAN, which consists of about five hundred stations installed over all the acti...

A new strategy for a P-wave based, on-site earthquake early warning system has been developed and tested on Japanese strong motion data. The key elements are the real-time, continuous measurement of three peak amplitude parameters and their empirical combination to predict the ensuing peak ground velocity. The observed parameters are compared to th...

Campi Flegrei is a densely populated volcanic area in Italy. Its inner caldera periodically experiences uplift and subsidence, known as bradyseism, also accompanied by seismic activity. In the last decade, with uplift rates up to 2 cm/month, about nine-thousand earthquakes were recorded. Upon request of the local administration, the most updated da...

Pump-probe experiments investigate the strain sensitivity of crustal elastic properties, showing nonlinear variations during the strain cycle. In the laboratory, pre-seismic reductions in seismic velocity indicate that asperity contacts within the fault zone begin to fail before the macroscopic frictional sliding. The recognition of such effects in...

Rupture velocity affects the shaking damage potential of an earthquake, but it is hard to estimate. Here we track the rupture front of the first 25 s of the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake using the P-wave polarization vector vs time as measured by the dense three-component accelerometer network surrounding the slipping fault. We find a coherent incr...

The rapid and accurate prediction of earthquake Strong-Shaking Zone (SSZ) is crucial for issuing precise early warnings to regions at high risk of strong ground shaking. Generally, the SSZ is derived from the real-time spatial distribution of observed ground motions. However, during the initial stages of large earthquakes, the SSZ is often underest...

In the past two decades, the central portion of Campi Flegrei caldera has experienced grounduplift up to 15 mm/month, with an increase of rate, magnitude and extent of the seismicity. In this work, weperform multi‐scale precise earthquake relocation of the 2014–2024 seismicity, mapping in detail activated faultzones. We relate the geometry, extent,...

Recently developed earthquake early warning systems rely on the idea of combining the measured ground motion and the source parameter estimate to issue an alert based on the ground shaking prediction at sites where high potential damage is expected. Here we apply a P-wave, shaking-forecast method that can track and alert in real-time the area where...

The P‐wave peak distribution in azimuth and takeoff angles, corrected for the distance through empirical attenuation laws, can reveal the radiation pattern amplitude of the source (Tarantino et al., 2019). This piece of information, jointly combined with the available polarities and S‐wave peak amplitudes, can provide the full focal mechanism, cons...

The Irpinia region is one of the most seismically active areas of Italy due to ongoing, late-orogenic extension in the axial zone of the Apennines mountain belt. However, the 3D architecture and the nature of the faults that drive this extension are still uncertain, posing challenges to seismic hazard assessment. Here, we address these uncertaintie...

Neglecting fault segmentation in hazard assessments leads to underestimated potential hazard. Moreover, integrating the temporal evolution of fault segments activations in hazard assessment improve scenario’s reliability. In this view, enhanced seismic catalogs have potential in revealing previously neglected fault complexities. Past efforts were r...

Pump-probe experiments investigate the strain sensitivity of crustal elastic properties, showing nonlinear variations during the strain cycle. In the laboratory, pre-seismic reductions in seismic velocity indicate that asperity contacts within the fault zone begin to fail before macroscopic frictional sliding. The recognition of such effects in nat...

Earthquakes are among the most destructive natural hazards. The energy released by an earthquake can be quantified by its magnitude. However, predicting how much energy the earthquake will release before the end of its rupture process represents a challenging question in geohazards. The way earthquake ruptures grow and arrest determines the final e...

Recently developed earthquake early warning systems rely on the idea of combining the measured ground motion and the source parameter estimate to issue an alert based on the ground shaking prediction at sites where high potential damage is expected. Here we apply a P-wave, shaking-forecast method that can track and alert in real-time the area where...

In the past two decades, the central portion of Campi Flegrei caldera has experienced ground uplift of up to 15 mm/month, and a consequent increase in the rate, magnitudes and extent of seismicity, especially in the past two years. We use a new method for multi-scale precise earthquake location to relocate the 2014-2023 seismicity and map in detail...

The rupture process of the recent moderate-to-large earthquakes in the Zagros area along the Iran plateau is investigated by analysing the strong motion data provided by the Iranian Building and Housing Research Centre (BHRC). The selected dataset includes the largest and deadliest 2017 Mw 7.3, Iran-Iraq (Ezgeleh) earthquake. The earthquake source...

Here we propose a methodology for Earthquake Early Warning (EEW) able to issue the alert based on the real‐time estimation of the epicentral area where a peak ground Intensity measure is expected to exceed a user‐set ground shaking level. The method provides in output a P‐wave‐based, time‐evolutive “early” shake map. It combines the peak ground vel...

Abstract The rupture process of the recent moderate-to-large earthquakes in the Zagros area along the Iran plateau is investigated by analysing the strong motion data provided by the Iranian Building and Housing Research Centre (BHRC). The selected dataset includes the largest and deadliest 2017 Mw 7.3, Iran-Iraq (Ezgeleh) earthquake. The earthqua...

A modern digital seismic network, with many stations optimally distributed on the earthquake causative seismic zone, enables detection of very low magnitude earthquakes and determination of their source parameters. It is essential to associate to such kind of networks procedures to analyze the huge amount of continuously recorded data for monitorin...

Water injection in geothermal areas is the preferential strategy to sustain the natural production of geothermal resources. In this context, monitoring microearthquakes is a fundamental tool to track changes in the reservoirs in terms of soil composition, response to injections, and resource exploitation with space and time. Therefore, refined sour...

We developed a MATLAB package, to rapidly obtain the apparent EArthquake SOurce time function using the Average of near-source P-wave displacement records (EASOt-AP) and to estimate the source parameters of the seismic moment, the rupture radius, and the average static stress drop. The algorithm implemented in this package is based on a rapid and s...

This paper reports the first results obtained thanks to the installation of a dedicated one‐km fiber‐optic cable, integrated within the Irpinia Near Fault Observatory regional network in Southern Italy. The cable was installed in a dry lake, located near the active faults responsible for the M6.9 earthquake that occurred in 1980. A distributed acou...

My oral presentation at the GNGTS conference held in Trieste (Italy), June 27-28-29, 2022.

The imaging of volcanic systems is a challenging topic that attracts the scientific community’s attention. The characterization of structures and rock properties by means of seismic active methods is becoming fundamental for providing ultra-high-resolution images of the structures of interest. The Solfatara Volcano is a quiescent volcano in the Cam...

Earthquake early warning systems are able to issue an alert just after the start of the seismic rupture on the fault plane, but before the ground shaking reaches the sites to be protected. The available lead-time for security actions is very short (seconds to several dozens of seconds), requiring fast and robust methods to make these systems operat...

The imaging of volcanic structures by means of seismic techniques is aimed at the structural characterization and monitoring purposes. The quiescent volcano of the Solfatara belong to the caldera of the Campi Flegrei Italy, a resurgent nested caldera that has been extensively investigated through active seismic investigation. The fumaroles of Bocca...

We present a comprehensive review of seismic and gravity observations and tomographic models produced over the past four decades in order to understand the structure of the crust beneath the Campi Flegrei caldera. We describe the main lithological and structural discontinuities defined through these observations, illustrate their geophysical respon...

Several studies have monitored crustal seismic velocity changes and attempted to relate them to the stress state and physical properties in volume embedding fault systems. The aim is to provide constraints on fault system dynamics and earthquake triggering mechanisms. Here, we reconstruct the spatiotemporal (4D) seismic velocity images of volume em...

Improving the knowledge of seismogenic faults requires the integration of geological, seismological, and geophysical information. Among several analyses, the definition of earthquake focal mechanisms plays an essential role in providing information about the geometry of individual faults and the stress regime acting in a region. Fault plane solutio...

Fault zones are major sources of hazard for many populated regions around the world. Earthquakes still occur unanticipated, and research has started to observe fault properties with increasing spatial and temporal resolution, having the goal of detecting signs of stress accumulation and strength weakening that may anticipate the rupture. The common...

The reliable determination of earthquake source parameters is a relevant task of seismological investigations which ground nowadays on high quality seismic waveforms collected by near-source dense arrays of ground motion sensors. Here we propose a parametric modelling technique which analyzes the time-domain P-wave signal recorded in the near-sourc...

In this study we implemented and tested the Earthquake Early Warning system PRESTo (PRobabilistic and Evolutionary early warning System, Satriano et al., 2011) on the Greek Ionian islands of Lefkada, Zakynthos and Kefalonia. PRESTo is a free and open source platform for regional Earthquake Early Warning developed at the University of Naples Federic...

With the aim to investigate the rupture complexity and the radiated wave field of the 2017, Mw 3.9, Ischia earthquake, south-west of Naples (Italy), we used finite-fault modeling to invert the near-source (<1-km epicentral distance) horizontal-component velocity records of the accelerometric station (IOCA) and searched for the best-fit kinematic ru...

The performance of an earthquake early warning system (EEWS) for southern Iberia during the period of 2016–2019 is analyzed. The software PRESTo (PRobabilistic and Evolutionary early warning SysTem; the University of Naples Federico II, Italy) operating at the Universidad Complutense de Madrid has detected 728 events (2 < Mw < 6.3), with 680 earthq...

Improving the knowledge of seismogenic faults requires the integration of geological, seismological, and geophysical information. Among several analyses, the definition of earthquake focal mechanisms plays an essential role in providing information about the geometry of individual faults and the stress regime acting in a region. Fault plane solutio...

Machine learning techniques combined with multi-seismic attributes and well logs datasets have been successfully used in reducing the risk of drilling operations and petroleum exploration by providing precise petrophysical and seismic information extracted from the hydrocarbon reservoir rocks. For this purpose, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) wor...

The reliable determination of earthquake source parameters is a relevant task of seismological investigations which ground nowadays on high quality seismic waveforms collected by near-source dense arrays of ground motion sensors. Here we propose a parametric modelling technique which analyzes the time-domain P-wave signal recorded in the near-sourc...

The reliable determination of earthquake source parameters is a relevant task of seismological investigations which ground nowadays on high quality seismic waveforms collected by near-source dense arrays of ground motion sensors. Here we propose a parametric modelling technique which analyzes the time-domain P-wave signal recorded in the near-sourc...

In this work we propose and apply a straightforward methodology for the automatic characterization of the extended earthquake source, based on the progressive measurement of the P-wave displacement amplitude at the available stations deployed around the source. Specifically, we averaged the P-wave peak displacement measurements among all the availa...

A primary task of a network‐based, earthquake early warning system is the prompt event detection and location, needed to assess the magnitude of the event and its potential damage through the predicted peak ground shaking amplitude using empirical attenuation relationships. Most of real‐time, automatic earthquake location methods ground on the prog...

Seismic sequences are a powerful tool to locally infer geometrical and mechanical properties of faults and fault systems. In this study, we provided detailed location and characterization of events of the 3–7 July 2020 Irpinia sequence (southern Italy) that occurred at the northern tip of the main segment that ruptured during the 1980 Irpinia earth...

https://edu.inaf.it/approfondimenti/scoperte/terremoti-e-collasso-sociale/

The monitoring of rock volume where offshore exploitation activities take place is crucial to assess the corresponding seismic hazard. Fluid injection/extraction operations generate a pore fluid pressure perturbation into the volume hosting the reservoir which, in turn, may trigger new failures and induce changes in the elastic properties of rocks....

The West Delta Deep Marine (WDDM) concession is one of the abundant natural gas resources in the world characterized by the presence of several active gas chimneys conduit feeding pock-marks. The detection of shallow gas accumulations has been gaining importance in hazard assessments before and during offshore drilling operations, whereas there is...

The continuous monitoring of the space­time­magnitude evolution of seismicity is a crucial task to assess the geo­mechanical conditions of hydrocarbon reservoirs. It is fundamental to design optimized high sensitivity and cost effective seismic networks able to detect and locate low magnitude events with high accuracy. In Italy, after the concern f...

A coherence-based earthquake detection technique was applied to continuous (1 year) waveform data recorded along the Irpinia fault system (Southern Italy). The earthquake detection was performed using coherent P- and S-wave arrivals recorded by the dense seismic network operating in Irpinia and assuming a local velocity model. We applied a strategy...

When a seismic rupture starts, the process may evolve into multiple ways, generating different size earthquakes. Contrasting models have been proposed to describe the evolution of the rupture process while limited observations at the scale of real earthquake data are available, so that a unifying theory is still missing. Here we show that small and...

https://doi.org/10.1002/essoar.10504375.1 Key Points: 1. The rupture complexity and source geometry of the 2017 Ischia earthquake (Italy) is investigated. 2. The finite-fault model is implemented to invert the near-source velocity records. 3. The results show that the rupture mechanism is thrust-strike (right lateral) slip and propagated northwest...

Key Points: 1. The rupture complexity and source geometry of the 2017 Ischia earthquake (Italy) is investigated. 2. The finite-fault model is implemented to invert the near-source velocity records. 3. The results show that the rupture mechanism is thrust-strike (right lateral) slip and propagated northwest southeast direction.

Seismic imaging is used in this work, to reconstruct the shallow structure of the Solfatara crater, a surface marker of deep magmatic activity inside Campi Flegrei caldera (Southern Italy). We analyse the 1D orthogonal seismic arrays deployed in NNE-SSW directions for 400 m through the Solfatara crater during the recent active experiment RICEN (Rep...

The offshore part of the Nile Delta is considered one of the most prolific provinces for gas production and for future petroleum exploration. Amplitude Variation with Offset (AVO) analysis supported by composite logs considered as one of the best advanced techniques enables the interpreter to understand the seismic data. It is used to generate a ne...

In the West Delta Deep Marine (WDDM) concession many important gas reservoirs have been recently discovered. To improve the possibility of discovering new natural gas resources, an integrated prediction method approach is used in this study to identify the deep-water gas reservoirs. Post-stack seismic coloured inversion and the spectral decompositi...

The imaging of seismic reflection data provides a powerful high-resolution method for studying volcano structure and fluids presence. The shallow structure of the Solfatara crater, a surface marker of deep magmatic activity inside Campi Flegrei caldera (Southern Italy), is characterized in terms of seismic profile and attributes. The main contribut...

A fundamental feature of any earthquake early warning system is the ability of rapidly broadcast earthquake information to reach a wide audience of potential end users and stakeholders, in an intuitive, customizable way. Smartphones and other mobile devices are nowadays continuously connected to the Internet and represent the ideal tools for earthq...

Seismic attributes supported by composite logs are the best way that can enable the interpreter to understand seismic data very well and generate a new view of the output results. Detection of the reservoir zone can be enhanced by analyzing wells log data based on Gamma-ray, Resistivity, and Vp sonic logs respectively. Composite logs of Scarab-1, S...

Earthquakes have a strong impact on society, producing casualties and extended damage to buildings and infrastructures. Understanding how the earthquake machine works, from its generation, to propagation and arrest, is thus fundamental for Earth Science. Here we present the state-of-the-art knowledge about earthquakes; we move from recent technique...