Ahmed Elkouk

• Michigan State University

The intensification of soil moisture drought events is an expected consequence of anthropogenic global warming. However, the implication of 1.5–3 °C global warming on these events remains unknown over North Africa and the Sahel region, where soil moisture plays a crucial role in food security that largely depends on rainfed agriculture. Here, using...

Climate change is expected to exacerbate drought conditions over many global regions. However, the future risk posed by droughts depends not only on the climate-induced changes but also on the changes in societal exposure and vulnerability to droughts. Here we illustrate how the consideration of human vulnerability alters global drought risk associ...

The intensification of drought conditions across NorthWestern Africa is one of the most expected consequences of anthropogenic global warming. However, the effects of 1.5-3°C policy-relevant global warming on soil moisture drought events remain unknown at the catchment scale. This study provides a comprehensive assessment of these events across fou...

Crucial to the assessment of future water security is how the land model component of Earth System Models partition precipitation into evapotranspiration and runoff, and the sensitivity of this partitioning to climate. This sensitivity is not explicitly constrained in land models nor the model parameters important for this sensitivity identified. H...

The semi-arid to arid area of the Souss basin is vulnerable to flood. This natural phenomenon whose intensity is becoming increasingly alarming. Indeed, the susceptibility of the basin to floods disasters is accentuated by its rapid demographic evolution, uncontrolled land cover, anthropogenic actions and other physical factors. The land cover map...