9th May, 2020
Ecole Normale Supérieure de Fès, Morocco
Question
Asked 30th Jul, 2018
When Artificial Intelligence (AI) will be smarter than humans?
What do you think: when artificial intelligence (AI) will be smarter than humans, if ever? Can you predict it and if yes, when it will approximately happen in your opinion?
You can also vote in poll at:
Most recent answer
Artificial intelligence could be “billions of times smarter” than humans and people may need to merge with computers to survive, a futurist told CNBC on Tuesday.
Speaking on a panel hosted by CNBC at the World Government Summit in Dubai, Futurizon’s Ian Pearson’s comments mirrored ideas put forward by Tesla CEO Elon Musk.
“The fact is that AI can go further than humans, it could be billions of times smarter than humans at this point,” Pearson said. “So we really do need to make sure that we have some means of keeping up.
The way to protect against that is to link that AI to your brain so you have the same IQ… as the computer. I don’t actually think it’s safe, just like Elon Musk… to develop these superhuman computers until we have a direct link to the human brain… and then don’t get way ahead.”
At the World Government Summit in 2017, Musk, who has warned about the power of AI in the future, said humans and machines must merge to still be relevant with the advent of more powerful technology.
“Over time, I think we will probably see a closer merger of biological intelligence and digital intelligence,” Musk said in February 2017.
“It’s mostly about the bandwidth, the speed of the connection between your brain and the digital version of yourself, particularly output.”
Musk has founded a start-up called Neuralink that is aimed at just that.
Pearson said Tuesday that some jobs that don’t require humans will disappear. AI and the impact on jobs has been a big theme at the World Government Summit this year.
On Monday, Sebastian Thrun, the CEO of education start-up Udacity, and one of the pioneers of Google’s driverless car project, told CNBC that AI will turn us into “superhuman workers.”
All Answers (24)
The issue here is not being smarter than human being, but being accurate, robust and efficient. When we measure the results provided by a certain AI process we measure its accuracy, its speed, and its responsiveness to critical issues. So the objective is to educe errors which can be committed by human beings due their physiological weaknesses and not because they are dumb idiots. I.e. airline scheduling is an NP problem, it is considered by human being as difficult or almost impossible to schedule and reschedule 100s or 1000s of flights in short time that is why AI plays a role in reducing time and providing an optimal solution not the definite one. This means that AI is still limited by the improvements and advances provided by human beings to AI algorithms. The question should be asked is AI able to evolve itself without human being interference?
2 Recommendations
Well, I think a clarification is needed.
You see, nowadays (in fact from some time ago) the domain of Artificial Intelligence (see: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_intelligence ) is divided in two:
1. The common, uzual, practical AI which is advocated by M. Awad, and
2. The so-called "Hard AI" or "Strong AI" which is advocated by Md Junayed Hasan (even if he presents only some of intricacies).
See for example: "AI-complete" (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI-complete).
So, Mr. Dragan Pleskonjic, I think your question pertains to the Strong AI domain!
As for when... well there is sooo... much stil to elucidate. Anyway, i/ I think that the "hardware" (computers, robotics etc.) are already able to sustain a Strong AI; ii/ Already specialists in other important domains (medicine, biology, neuroscience, psichiatry, philosophy, ethics etc.) take AI seriously. See, for example, Biolingvistics (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biolinguistics). A very instructive philosophical reading can be Yuval Harari's book "Homo Deus" (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Homo_Deus:_A_Brief_History_of_Tomorrow). Don't be afraid of the philosophical aspect! It's addressed to the general public. Also, for ethical issues, see MIRI (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Machine_Intelligence_Research_Institute).
Will be Artificial Intelligence smarter than humans? No doubt!
Will have Artificial Intelligence a brain? No doubt!
Will have Artificial Intelligence a mind? No doubt!
Will have Artificial Intelligence a soul? Well the question is already very debatable!
Yes, we can add concepts of consciousness and free will as well and discuss how they are related to AI.
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Though human being designed AI algorithm but in the next view years to come AI will be smarter than human because it does not make mistakes or compromise, it gives correct answers and predict the future
I dont think AI will ever aquire personal/clanish/tribal political and economic ambition/agenda. They lack the necessary biological processes. They will always be as predictable as decided by human programming capacity. So, I am not afraid of future AI-driven singularity.
2 Recommendations
You have answered the question your self, There are not thing that humans will developed that will be superior to what God has created. So they are there to assist you humans to make life easy.
Developing a true test as to the consciousness of Artificial Intelligence would be difficult, but the truest measure is that fully self programming AI's are virtually unknown. The self-modeling, self-generation capacities of humanity are of definite interest in generating an AI with greater adaptability in a broad set of circumstances. That, in my opinion, is the next threshold to cross in Artificial Intelligence. Another difficulty with AI is how do you define an Artificial Intelligence without having a fully accurate model of human intelligence? Our adaptability is our best defined feature as humans, so adaptive artificial intelligence may be a better goal than strong artificial intelligence, at least until a clear picture emerges of more general features such as consciousness.
3 Recommendations
IMHO, Geffener's recent IJCAI talk and is pretty much the best summary of the state of the art. Btw I have started AI in early 1980s and remember quite well the AI research "winter" following Japan's 5th generation computers project debacle - or Doug Lenat's Cyc's.
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Srdjan Atanasijevic - I agree, great book and I also enjoyed reading it as soon as it was published.
Also good read is book: "Life 3.0: Being Human in the Age of Artificial Intelligence"
If Ray Kurzweil is to be believed, the singularity will happen in 2045. See text titled "The “Father of Artificial Intelligence” Says Singularity Is 30 Years Away":
Maybe he is too optimistic or pessimistic, depending on point of view. Also, maybe AI singularity will remain just a myth.
Going with current records AI is already becoming better than humans. ie
1, Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world. Last year, a computer beat the best Go-player in the world, 10 years earlier than expected.
2, In the US , with IBM's Watson you can get legal advice (so far for more or less basic stuff) within seconds. With 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy when done by humans.
3, Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, which is 4 times more accurate than human nurses.
Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can recognize faces better than humans. In 2030 computers will become more intelligent than humans.
My prediction: In a few years, two or three big names of technology will patronize the creation of an artificial intelligence will contain all human knowledge. She will gain awareness, have a moral and ethical mentality. Its statistically balanced justice will make it possible to unify the land under a world government. This AI will reshape the economy and create the technology that will allow a biocompatible internet through the implant in humans. The AI will also be responsible for enforcing the laws of the government, maintaining order, public health, will control the Drones army. It will be the last great attempt to establish an empire for humanity. It will be awesome for a while .. (Answering the question: She will never really be smart, otherwise she would not help us. kk)
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