Instituto Federal Fluminense
Discussion
Started 10 April 2020
What will be the World Sustainable Development policy after COVID 19 Pandemic?
Again, the economy has been the central part of the discussion regarding COVID 19, but we ignoring the Environment and human health once more. Reports and news suggest that air pollution has dramatically been reduced during lockdown due to COVID 19 worldwide.
What should Scholars think about the economy, environment, and humanity pragmatically? (English is not my native language, but hope you understand it)
Most recent answer
I make my words the answer of Darlusz Prokopowicz. But exist Biggest problem. The Financial Capitalism in this moment passing a transformation in the growing Capitalist Funds. We pass in the Production Mode. Stiglitz , Nobel Econmist, and worked in FMI. The Neoliberalism in this moment stay in crisis, in this moment, are a New Teory Morden Coin. All the observation of Prokopowicz are correct, but are necessery to channel the Speculative Money to sustainable development goals. The case of Ambiental tragedy of Haiti are de biggst Problem, in this momento for Humanitarian soluctions. A Think for Real Change, are to Operate a International Program for a Sustainable Reconstion of Haiti. The foccus are the Regions in the world are in the deep crisis, and Make what the Marshall Plan make in the Europe and Japan after IIWW.
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Popular replies (1)
Independent Academician
I don't know where we have learnt a lession from Covid19 for maintaining Ecological harmony -https://www.researchgate.net/post/Do_We_belive_that_spreading_death_of_people_by_Covid_19_is_due_to_severe_damage_of_Environmental_Sustainibility
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All replies (95)
University of Kelaniya
... sustainable development is considered a key concept and solution in creating a promising and prosperous future for human societies. Nevertheless, there are some predicted and unpredicted problems that epidemic diseases are real and complex problems. Hence, in this research work, a serious challenge in the sustainable development process was investigated using the classification of confirmed cases of COVID-19...
Pirouz, B., Shaffiee Haghshenas, S., Shaffiee Haghshenas, S., & Piro, P. (2020). Investigating a Serious Challenge in the Sustainable Development Process: Analysis of Confirmed cases of COVID-19 (New Type of Coronavirus) Through a Binary Classification Using Artificial Intelligence and Regression Analysis. Sustainability, 12(6), 2427.
3 Recommendations
University of Kelaniya
… Most countries in Sub Saharan Africa continue to fall short of achieving the core capacities of IHR...
Paintsil, E. (2020). COVID-19 threatens health systems in sub-Saharan Africa: the eye of the crocodile. The Journal of Clinical Investigation.
4 Recommendations
My guess is that much like the climate change discussion and concerns, there will be a vocal minority of highly educated, but also highly opinionated individuals who deny climate change, may also push political views of development and sustainability further than would be supportable by facts and data. Unfortunately not all scholars agree or come to the same conclusion. One would hope that science and reason wins out. But unfortunately, we are human, and when leaders for example in the past told followers the earth is flat, the fake news was believed as fact. Eventually, this was challenged and overturned. But we still live in a world when powerful leaders can deny science if they so choose, and scholars and scientists are removed, defunded, or out-talked, and unfortunately sometimes worse. In this struggle between economy, greed and sustainable wage, food, Healthcare, etc., and the environment and health of the planet and conservation of our land and resources, who will win, who will loose? Maybe the virus, as bad as it is, will bring us back to realize we are all in this and stronger when we work together.
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National Institute for Policy and Strategic Studies
I think in this COVID 19, Environment is gaining. So, after the pandemic, there is tendency for the world to take scientific forecasts/predictions seriously. Remember pandemic and it's solutions is science related. I think what environmental scientist, managers shld do is to let the scientific recommendations be more related to humans. How it could affect, implications on humans. With this incidence, human ll be more cautious to environmental hazards.
Thank you @ Gayan Nayanajith for your prompt contribution in the discussion. Of course, epidemic diseases are complex, and further research is needed. Again thank you for sharing insights.
Thank you @ William F. Hansen, very appreciated and logical insights you presented. It touched me- In this struggle between economy, greed and sustainable wage, food, Healthcare, etc., and the environment and health of the planet and conservation of our land and resources, who will win, who will loose? Maybe the virus, as bad as it is, will bring us back to realize we are all in this and stronger when we work together.
Later or sooner, leaders and decision-makers must come to the meeting point of economy, environment and health.
Very insightful view in the contemporary Pandemic issue, i would share-
In recorded history, the battle between humans and microbes has essentially been a fight between reason and superstition. For centuries, human societies felt powerless in the face of pandemics, so they resorted to religious rituals to placate some supposedly irate god. When science eventually triumphed over religion, one illusion was replaced by another. We convinced ourselves that we were the gods, capable of conquering nature and the microbial world.
Cardinal Stefan Wyszyński University in Warsaw
Perhaps the global sustainable development policy will be strengthened. Occurring epidemics of this type remind us of how small he is against the forces and laws of nature. Perhaps the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus pandemic causing Covid-19 disease will also force a person to consider this issue. One of the consequences of a pandemic is that man remembers that he is only one of the millions of different life forms that have operated for millions of years on planet Earth in the balance of cooperating many species of life forms, including flora, fauna, fungi and microorganisms with natural ecosystems that have evolved over millions of years. Perhaps in the coming years man will apply the principles of sustainable, pro-ecological development to a greater extent. Maybe we don't know that yet. Everything will be explained in the future.
Greetings.
Dariusz Prokopowicz
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Thank you @ Dariusz Prokopowicz for your optimistic insights. I fully agree with your argument as that sustainable, pro-ecological development should be considered along with economic development for future generation.
Exactly @ Folusho . Hope so, but question is that the world's powers will take lesson from the present epidemic crisis or not ???
Quisqueya University
The covid-19 challenges the whole world of how it works. It may be too early to assess its various effects on knowledge, the transmission of knowledge, the economy, the social, the environment, etc. However, it seems that it is today a critical condition for achieving the Sustainable Development Goals.
National Institute for Policy and Strategic Studies
I strongly believe Governments of African countries, shld by this pandemic and its preponderance, learn, appreciate and use their political insights and will to take necessary decision in relation to SDG GOALS. Records show that most of the timelines towards achieving the goals are not yet achieved. Disease, as an example of disasters, and its management and impact it could ve, have been exemplified as it is been experienced. During this time, East Africa is also experiencing locust insect attack, while Asia is experiencing flooding/earthquakes among others. Government must prioritize environment and give it enough provisions as expected, if we all want to live peacefully.
Dagestan State Pedagogical University
The model of sustainable business after the crisis will be based on proximity to the state.
First, the extraordinary situation is illustrated by the statement of the managing Director of the IMF, Kristalina Georgieva, that more than 80 developing countries have requested financial assistance from the Fund totaling $2.5 trillion.
Second, the fall in prices for most commodities (not just oil) is more than 30% on the CRB index, one of the key ones, and returns the markets to the price levels of 20 years ago. In fairness, it should be noted that world prices for some commodities (products, especially grain) have increased by 10-15% since the beginning of the crisis, but are now returning to their previous levels.
Third, the level of interest rates in the world returned to the bottom of 2008-2009, after all the major Central banks reduced their rates to minimum values.
Fourth, the G20 countries agreed to add more than $5 trillion in monetary and fiscal stimulus to the global economy at a "virtual" meeting on March 26.
How much can the growth rate decrease as a result of the crisis?
It is too early to make forecasts for the US and Europe, but for Southeast Asia, including China, the World Bank already has an estimate - from 5.8 to 2.1%, and in a negative scenario, even to minus 0.5%.
But the main question is not how much the economy of the world or a particular country will slow down. More important is how the economy will look after the epidemic, whether it will be able to return to its original form, even if it has lost a few percent of growth.
And there is no obvious answer.
Losses and opportunities
To understand this, you should make a list of the industries that have been most affected by the self-blocking:
foreign trade;
transport (air, auto)
tourism, hotels and restaurants;
offline services and entertainment (hairdressers, fitness, sports, theater, movies, etc.).
But there are also winners:
local e-commerce, especially food and ready meals;
online entertainment;
production and sale of medical products and goods;
medicine, first of all remote;
production and sale of products.
A significant part of the financial industry can also find positive sides in today's developments.
Special mention should be made of the oil industry, which by some monstrous coincidence went into a tailspin after the failed negotiations of the OPEC+ countries and in the same days when the explosive spread of COVID-19 in Europe and the United States began.
The drop in demand by almost 20% led to a severe crisis of overproduction, filling all possible storage facilities, and total chartering of all available tankers for oil storage. Extending this situation for three to six months will lead to the forced shutdown of a large number of wells, and not only in shale. But it also threatens to freeze investment in new projects with the suspension of current ones, which can create much bigger problems than a simple oversupply of oil. As a result, many small and medium-sized companies may not survive this crisis, but those who remain will be happy to share the clearing.
But will we return to the lifestyle we led before the crisis, or will we develop new habits and approaches to business that we formed while sitting at home?
Business transition to a distributed model
Rental of premises, payment for employees, organization of business processes around the "presence", as current experience shows, are associated with high risks. Not a hardware failure, not problems with contractors, not traditional financial difficulties, but a completely different risk turned out to be the key — the government's decision to stop business processes. And the country can be any, from centralized China to liberal Britain.
There is a high probability that after the release from quarantine, the largest companies and owners of small and medium-sized businesses will begin to prepare strategies for the transition to a distributed business model. To a model in which employees move to home offices as much as possible and communication is conducted not even via email or video chat, but using virtual substitutes for meetings, presentations, and presence. Of course, the workplace at home of such an employee must be significantly retrofitted. It is not for nothing that the sharply increased demand for modems and routers is being recorded now.
The state is the main partner and Advisor
Undoubtedly, the fight against coronavirus is a noble and very expensive task. But by solving it, the state simultaneously changes all the rules of the game in the economy. It turned out that in some situations, you can:
stop the day-to-day operation of business for very noble purposes;
restrict the freedom of movement of goods and people for the same reasons;
change the familiar tax system formed over the years;
leave virtually all economic activity in a state of uncertainty without any forecast of a return to normal life.
Therefore, the model of sustainable business after the crisis will be based on proximity to the state. We can assume that the largest company in Russia, along with Gazprom and Sberbank, will become a universal marketplace (conditional "public Services"), which will be able to concentrate most of the vital services and provide the population with the most urgent things in a timely manner — first services, and then goods.
Traditional budget fillers, energy companies may face serious financial problems due to reduced demand for energy, which may turn from situational and speculative to structural and permanent.
The transformation of the economy towards the long-awaited diversification has not yet gained the necessary speed, and money for budget incentives for structural adjustment may not be enough due to the crisis in the commodity market.
Competition could help improve the efficiency of the economy, but there are fewer and fewer people in the private sector who can compete. And after the epidemic, they will still need investment to move their business to a post-crisis model.
The conclusion is that the state economy will only expand its position, and in these conditions, issues of employment, minimum guaranteed income, and the creation of a unified state it infrastructure will come to the fore. To solve such problems, we need a stable budget and its stable filling at the expense of tax revenues.
The new distributed business model, combined with continued robotization, may lead to increased unemployment. As a result, the demand for social security will increase, and economic relations will become less capitalistic and more socialist.
When the money runs out
In such circumstances, the growth rate of the economy and issues of growth/decline will take a back seat. The focus will remain on stability, primarily in meeting the basic needs of the population. And the main question will be how a particular state can provide an acceptable existence for the majority of the population, and not relying on private business as the main resource.
And here, for many countries, the problem of a very large public debt is not yet relevant for Russia, and filling the budget revenues for the next two or three years may be unsolvable.
If disasters like the COVID-19 outbreak start to recur and the state continues to fight them with similar methods, where can we get so much money? And if you sell government bonds to your own and other Central banks to get them, how long can this continue?
Finally, we must remember that the main government debt is not bonds, but money — dollars, euros, and yen. And if trust is lost in them, it will not be possible to extinguish the next crisis.
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Asian Institute of Technology
In my opinion, world order in terms of economy will be changed. People will more emphasis on climate and medical related issues
1 Recommendation
Graphic Era University
I don't think is requirement of any new sustainable development policy. All those policies which are there, should be followed strictly. Then something fruitful can happen.
1 Recommendation
Technical University of Kenya
To answer the question, the world's sustainable development policy's after Corona should focus on the following:
1. Economically, developed economies should invest in accurate early warning assessment using accurately acquired data. Furthermore, they should empower developing nations towards better preparedness to handle disasters through adequate funding, reducing existent poverty gap and building knowledge and infrastructural capacity.
2. Environmentally, our food consumption habits should be reviewed to verify the safety of food prior to consumption and based on its source. Habits that enhance human-animal or human-human contact unless mandatory should be avoided. Environmental friendly production habits such as reduced motor vehicle use, virtualization of some office activities and reduced human aggregation should be adopted to prevent pollution.
3. Socially, we need to educate communities to be disciplined enough to follow WASH practices.
1 Recommendation
Instituto Federal Fluminense
Human History are the answer that question, why? When occur tne Colera epidemic in 1820 in Europe. Many engeneering change de way to look de Development, and think the growing the city in other way. The beginning sustanaybility. All the times in the history whem occur a Crises, the Humanity change the way. The air accidenties have a very inteligenty thinking, when occur a different or a new type, is necessary to think whats a new prevent solution. The history of humanity passing in theis moment for change many positions.
1 Recommendation
University of Birmingham
First, look at the tension between issues and organisations. Covid is striking the organisational layout of the world. The reassembling of the organisations will determine which issues come top. After the health challenge, the states will be bearing enormous debt. And fiscal stress will influence the networking of the leading economies. Therefore, it maybe early to assess individual sustainability issues post-Covid. That said, Covid is reminding the world we are one dynamical system. So, ultimately we should expect sustainability as a whole to receive more attention.
2 Recommendations
Dear Abhijit Mitra , Nice to see your abstract and findings. It is good for the world. But, main question is how to make it sustainable. I think we cannot forget economy and human life. The balance between economy, and environment is a crucial question in the wake of sustainable development.
Al-Furat Al-Awsat Technical University
Good Q Dear Deepak Chaudhary
I don't want to have a negative opinion. But I think nothing will change because major countries consider fossil fuels is cheaper than other sources of fuel. Therefore, whenever the oil is implemented, the sustainable policy will be directed towards clean sources, including renewable energy.
1 Recommendation
Cardinal Stefan Wyszyński University in Warsaw
If the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus pandemic causing Covid-19 disease causes a change in people's thinking of recognizing the high level of importance of sustainable development, pro-ecological reforms and a return to balance in nature, it may be that national environmental policies and World Sustainable Development Policy can also increase its importance and scale of future development.
Regards,
Dariusz Prokopowicz
1 Recommendation
In my opinion the policy of quarantine moved the world to more sustainable, bet future WSDP again moved it to other direction and try to compensate the losses during the quarantine as still all governments are thinking about GDP growth.
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Ministry of Electricity/Training and Energy Research Office
Treatment the current economical crises.
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I agree with pro-ecological reforms to balance the nature as a national environmental policy as sustainable development policy with Dariusz and Engr.
Dagestan State Pedagogical University
Like the first human spaceflight, the collapse of the Soviet Union, and the fall of the Berlin wall, the COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic is a major event whose consequences we cannot imagine even today. There are a number of possible futures, all of which depend on how governments and society respond to the coronavirus. There are four possible futures:
1. Creating a strong national capitalism,
2. Falling into barbarism and anarchy
3. Radical state socialism
4. Transformation into a society based on mutual assistance.
Zagir Ataev , Thans for your insights. This historical perspective may suggest such political or geopolitical changes. The chances of barbarism and anarchy may have fewer chances due to information technology. Others may be debatable.
Chukwuemeka Odumegwu Ojukwu University, Igbariam, Anambra State, Nigeria
After the COVID-19 (Chinese virus) pandemic, Psychology will be the invisible paradigm or influencer of the world diplomatic relations. Many families and nations will be drastically and negatively affected. Many nations, particularly serious-minded nations of the developed and emerging economies will distrust China, and try to recoup what they have lost from China. A ground plan, based on conspiracy theory, will be made never to trust China again, prevent China from surprising the world again with their maximum wickedness, as well as finally tame China. China will try to anchor and hold tenaciously on African nations with the enslaving loans they are giving to Africa. This will be an added great burdens on Africa, which will ground any remaining (if any at all) Africa's development aspirations. This will impoverish Africa further into poverty den. Basically, BIAFRA INDEPENDENCE will be one of the very few development options open to African.
1 Recommendation
Dear Okechukwu Dominic Nwankwo ,
You are focusing on Psychology or mental matters that is important as a part of sustainable development. Directly or indirectly, this refers to the public health and ultimately human. Nice insights, Thank you.
Cardinal Stefan Wyszyński University in Warsaw
In my opinion, the development of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic (causing Covid-19) disease will affect the change in human thinking about the importance of ecology, sustainable development of civilization, including the need to develop civilization according to the concept of circular economy and green economy. Therefore, the significance of World Sustainable Development Policy may increase.
Greetings,
Dariusz Prokopowicz
4 Recommendations
Graphic Era University
There should be only one policy. Be good human being. Live to fulfill your need , not your greed. All the problems will be solved then.
2 Recommendations
Greetings, Respected Dariusz Prokopowicz,
But SARS-CoV-2 did spread less than COVID-19. COVID-19 covered the entire world.
1 Recommendation
Ministry of Electricity/Training and Energy Research Office
Mitigation of the environmental impact firstly
2 Recommendations
Independent Academician
I don't know where we have learnt a lession from Covid19 for maintaining Ecological harmony -https://www.researchgate.net/post/Do_We_belive_that_spreading_death_of_people_by_Covid_19_is_due_to_severe_damage_of_Environmental_Sustainibility
7 Recommendations
Graphic Era University
Sustainable policies which are there may remain same. We just need to follow that. We do not do that. That causes harm to us. We should abide by the existing sustainable development policies. Otherwise a time will come when no development will be permitted by the environment which is being done by the same at this moment of pandemic. Let's become good human beings.
1 Recommendation
Foundation for Ecological Security
First of all the goal of zero hunger will become impossible after this. Then the high mortality. So the medical research part should be taken into account. After that sustainable village models should be promoted. Every country should be self-sufficient for basic need.
1 Recommendation
Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development Nepal
The five pillars of SDG focusing on people (Goals 1-6), planet (Goals 12, 13, 14, 15), prosperity (Goals 7-11), peace (Goal 16) and partnerships (Goal 17) all will be seriously hampered. SDG will be affected to its core. It already had difficulty with implications mostly focusing on marginalized people and area. In a broad sense, attainment of SDG will be delayed.
Hence the policy should be to focus on marginalised ones and attainment of stipulated goals at correct time.
Further points can be found in:
3 Recommendations
Graphic Era University
In my view at this point, socio and economic are the terms which should be treated separately although they are very much interdependent. Degradation of economic condition is taking place now but the social value has started depleting long back. Our greed is the backbone of that. Let us try to be better human beings. Everything else will be resolved with time.
2 Recommendations
Dear Rachan Karmakar, I would appreciate your contribution, it is useful and Thank you.
1 Recommendation
Having already a global public policy for sustainable development - the SDGs, the United Nations Agenda 2030, it is necessary to assess the impact of Covid-19 in each of the 17 objectives and in each of its 169 goals. This work has to be done at a domestic and local level so that you can then get a sense of the global impact of this pandemic crisis. In the socio-economic dimension, it seems peaceful to me to say that Covid-19 has aggravated the problems of structural social inequalities and, therefore, of social justice. But it seems to me that the big problem, until then semi-hidden, is how we leave the older generations to their fate. In fact, I think that this is a civilizing moment in which we reveal very little maturity by the way we forget our old people. Since sustainable development emphasizes an intergenerational concern linked to the future, it may be necessary to reformulate the concept, as young people, but also governments, have shown little solidarity with older generations.
2 Recommendations
Asian Institute of Technology
Yes , its true but there should be synergy between air pollution and Economy
1 Recommendation
Cardinal Stefan Wyszyński University in Warsaw
After the global financial crisis of 2008, many researchers and scientists forecasted an increase in the importance and scale of the pro-ecological transformation of the traditional economy of surplus to a sustainable economy of moderation based on the concept of green economy and circular economy. However, as part of the anti-crisis, interventionist programs supporting the activities of economic entities from the funds of the state finance system in order to reduce the scale of the economic downturn and reduce the scale of unemployment growth during the economic crisis in 2020 caused by the development of the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus pandemic (causing the Covid-19 disease), the decision makers considered it a priority developing state intervention in the conditions of classic solutions known from socio-economic policy programs implemented during previous global and regional financial, economic and debt crises of state finances. The suggestions of researchers and scientists pointing to the need to increase the scale and expenditures on the processes of systemic pro-ecological transformation of the economy in order to reduce the scale of greenhouse gas emissions, slow down the global warming process and reduce non-recyclable waste generated, etc., and protect the biodiversity of natural ecosystems have been forgotten. Therefore, the interventionist, anti-crisis programs supporting the economic activity of economic entities applied in individual countries, referred to as the so-called Unfortunately, the Anti-Crisis Shields to a small extent implement the principles set out in the World Sustainable Development Policy.
Best regards,
Dariusz Prokopowicz
4 Recommendations
Asian Institute of Technology
We should give SDG and emphasis on circular economy and more on
1 Recommendation
'Sustainability and Development after COVID-19' is a really good insight. Thank you Dear Harasit Kumar Paul for you valuable sharing.
Gujarat University
Emotional Well being and agnotology should be part of new policy
2 Recommendations
S B GARDA COLLEGE NAVSARI VNSGU SURAT
Covid has alarmed us to take utmost care in medical research bcs one lapse can affect the whole world. Environmental Precarity is the utmost urgency we all must address at priority.
1 Recommendation
Graphic Era University
Yes, we need better medical facilities and that is why more effective research should take place. At the same time we must become good human beings and follow all the normal protocols set for humanity.
2 Recommendations
Arizona State University
I think it will interesting to couple the existing climate models with the current epidemiological models that help us understand the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic and try to find a correlation between climate change and the next possible pandemic emergence. Maybe like this, we can actually measure the potential danger of climate change with something more palpable in our daily lives.
2 Recommendations
Cardinal Stefan Wyszyński University in Warsaw
Much data indicates that the SARS-CoV-2 (Covid-19) coronavirus pandemic may cause an increase in the general social awareness of the pro-environmental society and an increase in systemic pressure from public institutions activating economic entities to increase the scale of implementation of the sustainable development goals.
Regards,
Dariusz Prokopowicz
4 Recommendations
Cardinal Stefan Wyszyński University in Warsaw
Dear Deepak Chaudhary,
Yes, my view of this issue is optimistic. I hope that the SARS-CoV-2 (Covid-19) coronavirus pandemic will result in a significant increase in the general social awareness of the pro-environmental. And the increase in this awareness should increase the scale of implementation of the sustainable development goals in companies, enterprises and public institutions. It is necessary to develop a pro-environmental policy by central public institutions, which set specific standards and calendars for a gradual increase in the scale of the implementation of sustainable development goals and thus also the progressive process of ecological transformation of the economy towards a sustainable, green circular economy. Yes, I am optimistic about this. I hope it will happen that the Coronavirus pandemic will accelerate the processes of ecological transformation of the economy.
Best regards, Have a nice day, Stay healthy!
Dariusz Prokopowicz
4 Recommendations
Instituto Federal Fluminense
I make my words the answer of Darlusz Prokopowicz. But exist Biggest problem. The Financial Capitalism in this moment passing a transformation in the growing Capitalist Funds. We pass in the Production Mode. Stiglitz , Nobel Econmist, and worked in FMI. The Neoliberalism in this moment stay in crisis, in this moment, are a New Teory Morden Coin. All the observation of Prokopowicz are correct, but are necessery to channel the Speculative Money to sustainable development goals. The case of Ambiental tragedy of Haiti are de biggst Problem, in this momento for Humanitarian soluctions. A Think for Real Change, are to Operate a International Program for a Sustainable Reconstion of Haiti. The foccus are the Regions in the world are in the deep crisis, and Make what the Marshall Plan make in the Europe and Japan after IIWW.
1 Recommendation
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