Question
Asked 27 August 2024

Is the Conflict in the North Central Nigeria (Middle Belt) as a result of adverse climatic change or is it entirely expansionist agenda?

Understanding the Question:
The question is asking whether the ongoing conflict in North Central Nigeria (also known as the Middle Belt) is primarily caused by adverse climatic changes or if it is driven by an expansionist agenda. Let's break down the key elements of the question:
North Central Nigeria (Middle Belt) Conflict:
This refers to the violent clashes and unrest that have been occurring in the Middle Belt region of Nigeria, an area known for its ethnic and religious diversity. The conflicts often involve farmers and herders, but other groups are also affected.
Adverse Climatic Change:
Adverse Climatic Change in this context refers to negative environmental changes such as desertification, drought, and changes in rainfall patterns. The question is probing whether these environmental challenges are the primary drivers of the conflict. For example, if herders are moving southward due to desertification in the north, leading to competition over land and resources with farmers, this would be a conflict driven by climatic change.
Expansionist Agenda:
An Expansionist Agenda suggests that the conflict might be driven by a deliberate attempt by one group to expand its territory, influence, or control over another group’s land. This could involve religious, ethnic, or political motivations, where the conflict is seen as a means of domination rather than just a reaction to environmental changes.
Purpose of the Question:
The question is designed to encourage critical thinking about the root causes of the conflict in the Middle Belt. It asks the responder to consider whether the violence is primarily a consequence of environmental factors or if it is driven by more strategic and possibly ideological goals. The question also invites exploration of the possibility that both factors might be at play, either separately or intertwined.
Contextual Consideration:
To answer the question thoroughly, one would need to consider historical, environmental, socio-political, and economic contexts. It’s important to evaluate how climate change might be exacerbating existing tensions or whether claims of an expansionist agenda are supported by evidence.

All Answers (1)

Anton Imeson
Foundation 3D EC and FSD Wageningen
Neither concept is ready. The climate change is real. The Dutch KNM! explain what is happening as a rresult of higher water amounts in the atmosphere so that there are drougts and flood more than before. Northern Nigeria has experienced a changr in climate b deecause of the loss of the ladang system, deforaationn and change in albedo. There is no longerforest induced rainfall as there is no tropical equatorial forest. Look at the population change during the last 20 to 100 years. Foresta were cut for charcoal, coal, iron, gold and slav.es So moslems are expanding with the help of Putin. The best advice from Confucious is to avoid princes and potentates Live undeground, create banded vegetation and like the bushnan eat the Tsumana mellon

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How do the geopolitical tactics and economic effects of the conflict between Israel and Hamas differ from those of the Russia-Ukraine war?
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  • Callistus Francis AzubuikeCallistus Francis Azubuike
To better understand the question, consider the following:
Geopolitical Strategies:
Israel-Hamas Conflict: This ongoing conflict involves territorial disputes, security concerns, and regional influence. Israel and Hamas have distinct political objectives, with Israel focusing on security and regional stability, while Hamas seeks to assert Palestinian sovereignty and resistance against Israeli policies.
Russia-Ukraine War: This war, which escalated with Russia's 2014 annexation of Crimea and further intensified in 2022, revolves around territorial control, national sovereignty, and geopolitical influence. Russia's strategy involves asserting its power over Ukraine and countering Western influence, while Ukraine aims to maintain its sovereignty and resist Russian aggression.
Economic Impacts:
Energy Resources:
Israel-Hamas Conflict: Energy resources are less central to this conflict. However, disruptions in the region can affect oil and gas transport routes in the broader Middle East.
Russia-Ukraine War: Energy resources are crucial, as Russia is a major energy supplier to Europe. The war has led to significant disruptions in energy supplies, affecting global gas and oil markets and prompting Europe to seek alternative energy sources.
Trade Disruptions:
Israel-Hamas Conflict: The impact on global trade is limited, but regional instability can affect local economies and trade within the Middle East.
Russia-Ukraine War: This war has caused substantial disruptions in global trade, particularly in grain exports, as both countries are major producers. Sanctions on Russia and disruptions in trade routes have affected global supply chains.
International Sanctions:
Israel-Hamas Conflict: International sanctions are less prominent in this context. Some countries and organizations criticize Israel's policies but often do not impose formal sanctions.
Russia-Ukraine War: There are significant international sanctions against Russia, targeting its economy, financial systems, and individuals. These sanctions aim to pressure Russia to cease its aggressive actions and impact its economic stability.
By comparing these aspects, you can gain insights into how different geopolitical and economic factors shape and influence these conflicts.

Related Publications

Conference Paper
Full-text available
The Conference is conflict and climate change.
Article
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This study examined the unending, expanding, and ever-growing conflicts between herdsmen and farmers in North Central Nigeria occasioned by climate change and desertification and its overall impact on the region. The paper used secondary sources or means of data collection. Data were sourced from articles in journals, seminar papers, symposiums, an...
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