Tau Consultants (Pty) Ltd
Question
Asked 25 May 2014
Is it possible to estimate population density from line transect encounter data with no distance metric, simply frequency of encounter data?
I have several years of encounter data for spoor on a network of transects in an isolated National Park. The data do not include a distance metric (therefore the programme Distance doesn't work), but are simply record the frequency and location of encounters along a network of transects. The study species has a home range of approximately 1km2, is it possible to estimate population density from these data? Thank you!
Most recent answer
It is possible to get density estimates form tracks if you have day ranges or can estimate day ranges . See attached
All Answers (12)
Cardiff University
Hi Thomas,
I have good spatial data: transect lengths, distance along transects where spoor were encountered, GPS locations for spoor encounters etc.
The study species is a tapir, so a wide-ranging large mammal with a home range of approximately 1km2. Home ranges are typically undefended, and previous studies have identified an average of +/-30% overlap of home ranges. My analyses to date have focussed on occupancy, but i'd be interested in generating density estimates and extrapolating potential population estimates from those. I have calculated frequency of encounter per km etc., but would be very interested to hear if there is a formal method for estimating population density from these data, based upon estimated home range size etc.
Thank you in advance!
Niall
Louisiana State University
If you could quantify your transect width you could then calculate an area (width x length) and find the densities. You might need to correct for some biases as well, so I would suggest reading the literature on those methods.
Mississippi State University
The only reasonable way that comes to my mind is to fix a width for detection (e.g. 100 m away form the transect line for both sides) and asume that detectability is perfect. Then , with that you get the area covered and the number of individuals detected and get an estimate (nº ind / area). It's not the best way but have been classically used in the past for estimating songbirds density (it is frecuently called "Finnish line-transect").
Still you can compare "densities" between transects or habitats in your study area whitout the need for explictly estimate density but detectability tipically varies between habitats so you must think about it carefully...
Center for applied Ecology (CECOAL - National Council for Scientific and Technical Research )
Hi, Niall!
I like Fernando´s comment , you have to be very careful in estimating animal density with low density ( they are widely dispersed ) , You 're wondering about the possibility of using a line- transect to measure density. This estimate is conceptually wrong, because the line obviously has no surface . However, some approximation of the density of the objects touching the line may be approximated , if these objects are very dense ( many records on the line frequency ) . But in widely scattered objects ( tapir ) this is unreliable. Keep in mind also that this transect assumes that the objects are static (as with plants).
From what I understand , the question refers to a belt transect .
You need to really know how many there tapir ? Possibly enough to know if there are many , few, or ... according to a scale of abundance, or frequency . Transect line , used to obtain frequency , not density. The latter is conceptually invalid inference.
Cardiff University
Hi All,
Thanks everyone for your comments. What seems clear is that it would be conceptually and statistically problematic to estimate absolute density from these data. I have already analysed the data with respect to occupancy and relative abundance, and given the problems expressed above I believe it is wisest to stick with those analyses rather than attempting to make any more from the data.
Thank you to all!
Niall
Mississippi State University
Also, Thinking a bit, you can use occupancy modelling but still you will have to split the transect in several sub-units but still need to define thewith of the belt. If your tapir is rare or have low density or detectability it could perform. Search for some papers about tigers and some references about using occupancy as a surrogate for rare or elusive species. You can get some feedback about it suitability for your project in: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/26410981_Occupancy_as_a_surrogate_for_abundance_estimation
Or in:
Conn, P. B., L. L. Bailey, and J. R. Sauer. 2004. Indexes as surrogates to abundance for low abundance species. Pages 59–74 in W. L. Thompson, editor. Sampling rare and elusive species: concepts, designs, and techniques for estimating population parameters. Island Press, Washington, D.C., USA
Spanish National Research Council
I'm afraid you can't do it. As Fernando suggest, you can use a site-occupancy model to evaluate jointly the probability detection and occupancy, because is very difficult to assume the detection probability is equal to 1. I attached some interesting article & workshop material:
Cardiff University
Thanks Jose, this is what i've already done, I just wanted to rule out the possibility of also estimating density, and the hugely helpful comments here have ruled that out for me! Thanks, Niall
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Tau Consultants (Pty) Ltd
Hi Niall
Spoor frequency has been used to estimate large carnivore densities in areas with suitable substrate (sandy soils) to detect spoor. I attached two articles regarding the technique. In one study they had good correlation between spoor density and animal density for a variety of herbivores as well. I have been busy analyzing spoor data for surveys we have done. You need 30+ observations to get a reasonable estimate. There is a recent article by Guy Balme that combined spoor with occupancy in Kafue NP, Zambia.
You are welcome to contact me for more info.
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