How can I calculate the solar power output using irradiance ?
I'm working on predicting solar power output using machine learning, but I can't find a public dabases of solar power output with 1 minute step.
I only find databases with 1 hour step, and an other databases of irradiance with 1 minute step. So I decided to use this databases to calculate the power solar output for each 1 minute, and then use the results to train my machine learning model...
I've seen that there's a linear model that we can use to calculate the power solar output using irradiance.
Does anyone know how to find it ? or another solution ?
In order to get the output power given the input irradiance you need to multiply the input by the conversion efficiency. You can find data for the conversion efficiency
for different commertial solar cells as a function of T and the irradiance G.
It is assumed that Eta is more less independent on G and its dependence on temperature is known.
The output power of a PV array depends on the available solar radiation (G) and the ambient temperature (T). The output power of a PV array increases linearly as the solar radiation increases, and decreases as the ambient temperature increases. Thus, the instantaneous output power of a PV array can be given by,
PPV(t) = Ppeak(G/Gstandard) – αT (Tc – Tstandard)
where Gstandardand Tstandardare the standard test conditions for solar radiation and cell temperature, respectively and αT is the temperature coefficient of the PV module power which can be obtained from the datasheet.
For more information on prediction PV power in term of solar radiation using dataset, check the following papers:
Jabar Yousif, Hussein A. Kazem, John Boland, “Predictive Models for Photovoltaic Electricity Production in Hot Weather Conditions”, MDPI- Energies, Vol.10, Issue 7, September 2017, page. 971.
Hussein A. Kazem, Jabar Yousif, “Comparison of prediction methods of photovoltaic power system production using a measured dataset”, Elsevier-Energy Conversion and Management (ECM, ISSN: 0196-8904), UK, Vol. 148, September 2017, pp. 1070–1081.
Hussein A. Kazem, Tamer Khatib, and K. Sopian, “Sizing of a standalone photovoltaic/ battery system at minimum cost for remote housing electrification in Sohar, Oman”, Elsevier-Energy and Building, Netherlands, 2013, Vol. 6C, pp. 108-115.
Solar panel watts x average hours of sunlight x 75% = daily watt-hours. As an example, let's say you have 250-watt solar panels and live in a place where you get 5 hours of sunlight per day.
250 watts x 5 hours x .75 = 937.5 daily watt hours.
In order to get the output power given the input irradiance you need to multiply the input by the conversion efficiency. You can find data for the conversion efficiency
for different commertial solar cells as a function of T and the irradiance G.
It is assumed that Eta is more less independent on G and its dependence on temperature is known.
You can model the PV power output at your desired time interval using the PVLIB package in python if you have information about the particular PV panel type that you are interested. You will need to give irradiance, temperature and wind as inputs to obtain the desired power output.