Started 7th Jan, 2019
  • Atlantic Technological University

Does Amara's Law apply to blockchain?

Amara’s law – that we overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate its effect in the long run.
Wiill Amara's law be proven right for blockchain as it turns out we are many years away from enterprise level blockchains

All replies (2)

11th Mar, 2019
Horst Treiblmaier
MODUL University Vienna
Trevor Clohessy I would say: YES. Of course, we have to specify what "short run" and "long run" mean in this day and age. I guess it also has to do with the previous Blockchain hype. During hype times everything is "good" and in the wake of the hype suddenly it becomes "bad". I have seen the same phenomenon during the Internet hype.
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