Figure 2 - uploaded by Janet Ranganathan
Content may be subject to copyright.
| The world needs to close a land gap of 593 million hectares to avoid further agricultural expansion
Source publication
By 2050, nearly 10 billion people will live on the planet. Can we produce enough food sustainably? The synthesis report of the World Resources Report: Creating a Sustainable Food Future shows that it is possible – but there is no silver bullet. This report offers a five-course menu of solutions to ensure we can feed everyone without increasing emis...
Contexts in source publication
Context 1
... and pasture productivity gains are from the GlobAgri-WRR model. These gains hold down the expansion of agricultural areas to 593 Mha (Figure 2). However, if future crop yields grow at the somewhat slower rates experienced more recently (1989)(1990)(1991)(1992)(1993)(1994)(1995)(1996)(1997)(1998)(1999)(2000)(2001)(2002)(2003)(2004)(2005)(2006)(2007)(2008), and pasture and livestock productivity also grow more slowly than in our baseline scenario, agricultural areas could instead expand by 855 Mha by 2050. ...
Context 2
... soil carbon also generally requires large quantities of nitrogen, which is needed by the micro- organisms that convert decaying organic matter to soil organic carbon. Low nitrogen surely limits soil carbon buildup in Africa (Figure 20), where nitrogen additions are insufficient even for crop needs, and probably limits soil carbon buildup elsewhere. 96 ...
Context 3
... hardest gap to close is the GHG mitigation gap because it is difficult to reduce annual agricultural production emissions to the 4 Gt CO 2 e target while feeding everyone in 2050. Annual production emis- sions remain at 4.4 Gt even in our Breakthrough Technologies scenario ( Figure 23). Reaching the 4 Gt goal would require major technological advances as well as full reforestation on at least 80 Mha of liberated agricultural land. ...
Context 4
... public funding is still important. In 2014-16, public support for agriculture averaged $600 billion per year in countries assessed by the OECD (Fig- ure 24). Half of this total takes the form of market interventions that raise prices to consumers, such as import barriers, tariffs, or systems that limit production by farmers to increase prices. ...
Context 5
... Other analyses assume yield gains could be used to free up land for bioenergy without clearing more forests and savannas-even as those same yield gains are needed just to meet rising food demand. In claiming GHG savings from bioenergy, analyses often attribute the carbon absorbed by plant growth as an offset for burning biomass even when this plant growth would otherwise have occurred and removed carbon from the atmosphere anyway ( Figure 25). ...
Context 6
... and pasture productivity gains are from the GlobAgri-WRR model. These gains hold down the expansion of agricultural areas to 593 Mha (Figure 2). However, if future crop yields grow at the somewhat slower rates experienced more recently (1989)(1990)(1991)(1992)(1993)(1994)(1995)(1996)(1997)(1998)(1999)(2000)(2001)(2002)(2003)(2004)(2005)(2006)(2007)(2008), and pasture and livestock productivity also grow more slowly than in our baseline scenario, agricultural areas could instead expand by 855 Mha by 2050. ...
Context 7
... soil carbon also generally requires large quantities of nitrogen, which is needed by the micro- organisms that convert decaying organic matter to soil organic carbon. Low nitrogen surely limits soil carbon buildup in Africa (Figure 20), where nitrogen additions are insufficient even for crop needs, and probably limits soil carbon buildup elsewhere. 96 ...
Context 8
... hardest gap to close is the GHG mitigation gap because it is difficult to reduce annual agricultural production emissions to the 4 Gt CO 2 e target while feeding everyone in 2050. Annual production emis- sions remain at 4.4 Gt even in our Breakthrough Technologies scenario ( Figure 23). Reaching the 4 Gt goal would require major technological advances as well as full reforestation on at least 80 Mha of liberated agricultural land. ...
Context 9
... public funding is still important. In 2014-16, public support for agriculture averaged $600 billion per year in countries assessed by the OECD (Fig- ure 24). Half of this total takes the form of market interventions that raise prices to consumers, such as import barriers, tariffs, or systems that limit production by farmers to increase prices. ...
Context 10
... Other analyses assume yield gains could be used to free up land for bioenergy without clearing more forests and savannas-even as those same yield gains are needed just to meet rising food demand. In claiming GHG savings from bioenergy, analyses often attribute the carbon absorbed by plant growth as an offset for burning biomass even when this plant growth would otherwise have occurred and removed carbon from the atmosphere anyway ( Figure 25). ...
Similar publications
The Cold Weather Plan (CWP) in England was introduced to prevent the adverse health effects of cold weather; however, its impact is currently unknown. This study characterizes cold-related mortality and fuel poverty at STP (Sustainability and Transformation Partnership) level, and assesses changes in cold risk since the introduction of the CWP. Tim...
Citations
... As global food demands rise, the agricultural sector faces urgent pressure to adopt more sustainable practices that balance productivity with environmental responsibility (Velten et al. 2015;Searchinger et al. 2018; Khan et al. 2021). Biostimulants are emerging as promising tools in this context, enabling farmers to enhance plant growth, optimize nutrient use, and improve resilience to stress (Bulgari et al. 2015a;du Jardin 2015). ...
... rise by more than 50% in tandem with rising salaries in developing nations. Despite this, there are still hundreds of millions of hungry people on the planet, and 25% of yearly grenhouse gas emissions worldwide are caused by changes in land use connected to agriculture. Nowadays, almost half of all vegetated land is used for agricultural purposes (Searchinger et. al., 2019). ...
Tomato fruit diseases are a significant problem for agriculture, causing substantial crop losses globally and impacting productivity. This research explores how YOLOv7 can be utilized to identify and categorize tomato fruit diseases, using a dataset of 2044 labeled images. Advanced image processing techniques such as contrast enhancement and noise reduction were used to train the model and improve detection accuracy. The findings showed an mAP of 89.5%, alongside an 86.2% precision rate and an 82.2% recall rate, indicating the model's strong capability in detecting diseased fruit accurately and reducing false positives. Significantly, the model successfully reached a 97% accuracy rate in identifying Spotted Wilt Virus, a common disease in tomatoes. These results highlight the model’s great capability for practical use in farming settings, where accuracy and timely identification are essential. The research suggests that incorporating machine learning methods like YOLOv7 into disease detection systems can greatly enhance early recognition, decrease crop damage, and lessen the need for chemical treatments. Future efforts will focus on improving the model's ability to identify instances and expanding its use in real-time detection systems in the field.
... As the global population is expected to reach 9.8 billion by 2050, there is an increased need to ensure food security to sustain this growth [1]. Urbanization is changing the way people buy and consume food, resulting in an increase in large-scale animal production [2]. ...
... A major class of litter amendments include acidifying agents, like sodium bisulfate, aluminum sulfate or alum, and clay treated with sulfuric acid. These acidifying agents work to lower the pH of the litter into an acidic range to (1) store N as NH 4 + within the litter and (2) inhibit uricase activity that converts uric acid to urea [23,24]. Alum has been shown to reduce NH 3 emissions from poultry litter by 70% for three weeks after application, while sodium bisulfate reduces NH 3 by 90% for 2 weeks after application [25]. ...
This study investigates Miscanthus biochar’s potential to reduce ammonia (NH3) emissions in poultry production. Biochar from lignocellulosic biomass has proven a versatile tool in environmental remediation for water, soil, and air quality applications with ample opportunity for inclusion in agricultural systems. Ammonia emissions present a concern for animal/human health and the environment. The impacts of biochar production temperature (400 and 700 °C), organic acid activation (acetic acid, citric acid), and application rate (0.24 and 0.49 kg m⁻²) on broiler litter NH3 emissions were evaluated. Biochar production parameters, i.e., temperature, and acid type were found to significantly impact its performance as an NH3 control measure. The following factors, ranked by magnitude of impact, were found to statistically impact the NH3 emission rate: biochar application rate (p < 0.001), biochar production temperature (p = 0.003), and lastly acid type (p = 0.007). The best performing biochar was produced at 400 °C, activated with acetic acid, and applied at a high addition rate (0.49 kg m⁻²). This treatment reduced cumulative NH3 volatilization after 2 weeks by 19.7%.
... A significant focus within sustainability research has been the environmental impact of the current agri-food system. With respect to global warming, the agri-food sector is responsible for approximately one-third of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions (GGE) ((FAO, 2022)), and emissions are projected to grow significantly under current production practises due to population growth Searchinger et al., 2019;Springmann et al., 2018). In addition to its significant contribution to the climate crisis, the agri-food industry also contributes to excessive water and land use, pollution from pesticides, soil degradation, and biodiversity loss (Erdogan, 2022;Qu et al., 2024;Reisch et al., 2013). ...
... Tantangan ketahanan pangan global semakin meningkat seiring dengan pertumbuhan jumlah penduduk yang menghadapi kelaparan dan dampak perubahan iklim, seperti penurunan produktivitas lahan dan cuaca ekstrem. Pertanian presisi menawarkan solusi strategis dengan mengoptimalkan penggunaan sumber daya seperti air dan pupuk sambil meminimalkan dampak lingkungan (Searchinger et al., 2019). ...
Integrasi data satelit multispektral dan sensor terestrial memiliki potensi besar untuk mentransformasi sektor pertanian menjadi lebih efisien, inklusif, dan berkelanjutan dengan meningkatkan akurasi manajemen tanaman hingga 85%, efisiensi penggunaan input hingga 30%, serta mengurangi dampak lingkungan sebesar 40% dibandingkan metode tradisional. Namun, pemanfaatan teknologi ini secara maksimal memerlukan dukungan kebijakan strategis, termasuk peningkatan akses terhadap data satelit gratis dari program seperti Copernicus atau LANDSAT, alokasi sumber daya untuk pengembangan teknologi yang lebih terjangkau, serta pelaksanaan pendidikan dan pendampingan teknis berbasis pelatihan praktis. Selain itu, kolaborasi antara pemerintah, institusi riset, sektor swasta, dan komunitas petani menjadi kunci dalam mempercepat adopsi teknologi di lapangan. Dengan pendekatan kolaboratif dan kebijakan yang tepat, transformasi ini tidak hanya meningkatkan produktivitas dan efisiensi, tetapi juga memperkuat ketahanan pangan global di tengah tantangan perubahan iklim dan meningkatnya kebutuhan pangan dunia.
... One critical aspect of this challenge lies in the increasing demand for protein to provide food for a rapidly growing human population. Traditional high-input, resource-intensive farming systems confront great challenges, for example due to its substantial contribution to greenhouse gas emissions and environmental footprints (Olesen et al., 2021;Searchinger et al., 2018). Therefore, there is an imperative need for innovative approaches that can augment food production with less negative impacts on climate and the environment (Mannaa et al., 2024). ...
Insect production for food and feed presents a promising supplement to ensure food safety and address the adverse impacts of agriculture on climate and environment in the future. However, optimisation is required for insect production to realise its full potential. This can be by targeted improvement of traits of interest through selective breeding, an approach which has so far been underexplored and underutilised in insect farming. Here, we present a comprehensive review of the selective breeding framework in the context of insect production. We systematically evaluate adjustments of selective breeding techniques to the realm of insects and highlight the essential components integral to the breeding process. The discussion covers every step of a conventional breeding scheme, such as formulation of breeding objectives, phenotyping, estimation of genetic parameters and breeding values, selection of appropriate breeding strategies, and mitigation of issues associated with genetic diversity depletion and inbreeding. This review combines knowledge from diverse disciplines, bridging the gap between animal breeding, quantitative genetics, evolutionary biology and entomology, offering an integrated view of the insect breeding research area and uniting knowledge which has previously remained scattered across diverse fields of expertise.
... The agricultural industry is currently using 37% of Earth's land mass for food production. This causes deforestation and, as a result, it inflicts a loss of biodiversity and increased greenhouse gas emissions [3]. Alone, livestock production is responsible for 14% (excluding land use) of the world's greenhouse gas emissions. ...
... Alone, livestock production is responsible for 14% (excluding land use) of the world's greenhouse gas emissions. These emissions originate from manure management, ruminant waste on pastures, ruminant emissions, and fertiliser production [3]. Moreover, food loss and waste account for 8% of the global greenhouse gas emissions [3]. ...
... These emissions originate from manure management, ruminant waste on pastures, ruminant emissions, and fertiliser production [3]. Moreover, food loss and waste account for 8% of the global greenhouse gas emissions [3]. In addition, results suggest that the agricultural industry is responsible for 92% of global water consumption [3]. ...
Increasing human population size and income growth are causing an increasing demand for food and feed. Insects are a more sustainable alternative to conventional animal source proteins, as they can convert waste and by-products from the agricultural industry into biomass for commercial feed for livestock and, potentially, serve as a food source for human consumption. Moreover, insects together with their microorganisms have been shown to play a pivotal role in the development of insects and in the breakdown of complex growth substrates, and are, therefore, closely tied to insect production. This study aims to determine if the removal of egg- and substrate-associated microorganisms impacts larval performance (growth, final biomass, and the survival rate) of M. domestica Linnaeus. Four treatments are tested: disinfected eggs and non-autoclaved substrate, non-disinfected eggs and autoclaved substrate, disinfected eggs and autoclaved substrate, and a control without any removal of microbiota. The results show a significant decrease in the final biomass of larvae subjected to the treatments with only disinfected eggs, only autoclaved substrate, and both compared to the control, and a significant decrease in survival rate for non-disinfected eggs and autoclaved substrate and disinfected eggs and autoclaved substrate compared to the control group. Moreover, larval growth shows a significant difference across days within all treatments. Together, this suggests that the microorganisms of housefly eggs and the growth substrate play an important role in biomass, which is critical in commercial insect production. Together this suggest, that more studies are needed to examine these parameters with respect to more commercially relevant substrates.
... Over the past two decades, this sector has experienced substantial growth in global food output. As the world's population approaches 9.7 billion by 2050, there is a rising demand for protein-rich food, making aquaculture crucial in meeting this challenge (Cottrell et al., 2018;Searchinger et al., 2018;Wang et al., 2023). The per capita consumption of fish has doubled from 9.0 kg in 1961 to 20.2 kg in 2020, contributing to almost 20% of animal protein intake in human diets (FAO, 2022). ...
Cyprinid species are the most cultured aquatic species around the world in terms of quantity and total value. They account for 25% of global aquaculture production and significantly contribute to fulfilling the demand for fish food. The aquaculture of these species is facing severe concerns in terms of seed quality, rising feed costs, disease outbreaks, introgression of exotic species, environmental impacts, and anthropogenic activities. Numerous researchers have explored biological issues and potential methods to enhance cyprinid aquaculture. Selective breeding is extensively employed in cyprinid species to enhance specific traits like growth and disease resistance. In this context, we have discussed the efforts made to improve important cyprinid aquaculture practices through genetic and genomic approaches. The recent advances in DNA sequencing technologies and genomic tools have revolutionized the understanding of biological research. The generation of a complete genome and other genomic resources in cyprinid species has significantly strengthened molecular-level investigations into disease resistance, growth, reproduction, and adaptation to changing environments. We conducted a comprehensive review of genomic research in important cyprinid species, encompassing genome, transcriptome, proteome, metagenome, epigenome, etc. This review reveals that considerable data has been generated for cyprinid species. However, the seamless integration of this valuable data into genetic selection programs has yet to be achieved. In the upcoming years, genomic techniques, gene transfer, genome editing tools are expected to bring a paradigm shift in sustainable cyprinid aquaculture production. The comprehensive information presented here will offer insights for the cyprinid aquaculture research community.
... Consequently, concerted actions are vital for formulating and executing sustainable development and conservation plans [45,46]. Moreover, the research highlights a significant increase in agricultural land attributed to local and global food demand, economic incentives, and policies promoting agricultural intensification [47][48][49]. This expansion frequently comes at the cost of native vegetation, resulting in habitat fragmentation, heightened strain on natural areas, and potential impacts on biodiversity. ...
Dryland regions around the world are facing intricate challenges due to climate change and human activities. The Caatinga biome in Brazil, an exceptional dryland ecosystem covering approximately 86.3 million hectares, is particularly impacted by human influence. We conducted an extensive study analyzing changes in land use and land cover within the Caatinga region over a span of 35 years, from 1985 to 2019. This study leverages collective knowledge and collaborative effort with the MapBiomas project to provide valuable insights into the biome’s landscape. It maps eight principal land cover classes using Landsat Collection 1 Tier 1 data normalized to top-of-atmosphere reflectance. All data processing was carried out within the Google Earth Engine platform, and the graphics were generate using R version 3.6.2. This study achieved an impressive 80% global accuracy in the time series of Caatinga land use and land cover (LULC) changes, with allocation and area discrepancies of 11.6% and 8.5%, respectively. The extensive 35-year LULC dataset reveals a substantial 11% reduction in natural vegetation in the Caatinga biome, translating to a loss of 6.57 million hectares. This decline is primarily attributed to the expansion of cattle ranching and agriculture; all types of natural vegetation have experienced decreases, with Savanna Formation (SF) areas declining by 11% and Forest Formation (FF) areas declining by 8%. In contrast, pasturelands expanded by 62% and agricultural land expanded by 284% during this period. With their urgent and significant real-world for informing social, economic, and environmental policy decisions within the Caatinga and other dryland regions globally, these findings underscore the importance and immediacy of our research.
... The agricultural industry is currently using 37% of Earth's land mass for food production. This causes deforestation and as a result it inflicts a loss of biodiversity and increased greenhouse gas emissions [3]. Alone livestock production is responsible for 14% (excluding land-use) of the world's greenhouse gas emissions. ...
... Alone livestock production is responsible for 14% (excluding land-use) of the world's greenhouse gas emissions. These emissions originate from manure management, ruminant waste on pastures, ruminant emissions, and fertiliser production [3]. In addition, results suggest that the agricultural industry is responsible for 92% of the global water consumption [3]. ...
... These emissions originate from manure management, ruminant waste on pastures, ruminant emissions, and fertiliser production [3]. In addition, results suggest that the agricultural industry is responsible for 92% of the global water consumption [3]. ...
Increasing population size and income growth are causing and increasing demand for food and protein of animal origin. Insects are an interesting alternative to conventional animal source proteins as they can convert by-products from the agricultural industry to biomass for commercial feed for livestock and potentially as a food source for human consumption. Microorganisms have been found to affect insects and can be accumulated via horizontal and vertical transmission. This study aimed to identify if the removal of egg- and substrate-associated microorganisms impact larval performance through the following parameters: development of biomass, final biomass, and the survival rate of house fly (Musca domestica) larvae. Four treatments were tested on substrate consisting of 10.81% alfalfa (Medicago sativa), 21.62% wheat bran (Triticum aestivum), and 67.57% water: (A) disinfected eggs and non-autoclaved substrate, (B) non-disinfected eggs and autoclaved substrate, (C) disinfected eggs and autoclaved substrate, and (D) a control without any removal of microbiota. The results showed a significant decrease in final biomass for the treatments with only disinfected eggs, only autoclaved substrate and both when comparing to the control, and a significant decrease in survival rate for B and D. Moreover, the development of biomass showed a significant difference between days within all treatments. Together this suggest that microorganisms of housefly eggs and the growth substrate plays an important role for growth, which is critical in commercial insect production. Further studies must be performed to examine these parameters in more commercially relevant substrates.