Residues of the ACF and PACF correlograms -5th and 95th percentiles (White noise).

Residues of the ACF and PACF correlograms -5th and 95th percentiles (White noise).

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Global warming has divided the scientific community worldwide with predominance for anthropogenic alarmism. This article aims to project a climate change scenario using a stochastic model of paleotemperature time series and compare it with the dominant thesis. The ARIMA model, an integrated autoregressive process of moving averages, popularly known...

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... the uncertainty results 5th and 95th percentiles, the process follows the same model as the median, whose configuration is described in a supplementary file. The following parameters were generated, according to figure 6: Figure 6. Parameters of the 5th and 95th percentile temperatures (model uncertainty). ...

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This paper projects a climate change scenario using a stochastic paleotemperature time series model and compares it to the prevailing consensus using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Process Model (ARIMA). The parameter estimates of the model were below that established by the anthropogenic experts and governmental organs, such as the IPCC...