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... The effects of the independent variables are not lagged, because declines in external debt servicing are often short-term, acute crises, often occurring within the same year. The results are presented in Table 1. ...Context 2
... percentage of USD in a country's PPG debt profile, however, is statistically significant at the 1% level. Model 5 in Table 1 shows that a 1% rise in the independent variable increases the likelihood of electoral authoritarian collapse by 1.4%, which is a significant increase. For instance, prior to electoral authoritarian collapse in Ghana in 2000, the percentage of USD-denominated debt rose by 3.5% to 64.0%. ...Context 3
... This excessive dependence is exacerbated by the high volatility in 84 Rabah Arezki, Amadou N R Sy, and Thorvaldur Gylfason, Beyond the Curse: Policies to commodity price fluctuations, and the subsequent financial and macroeconomic volatility. 85 The vulnerability that this entails for electoral authoritarian countries in particular is demonstrated by the findings of Table 1. ...Context 4
... conclude, the model as shown in Table 1 indicates that an increase in the percentage of debt denominated in USD, an increase in the percentage of GDP composed of commodity rents, and an increase in the percentage of GDP composed of government expenditure will all make electoral authoritarian collapse more likely. Heterogeneous effects can be observed: military coups, which are an elite-driven affair and feature little violence, are best predicted by an increase in the percentage of GDP composed of government expenditure. ...Context 5
... also illustrate the myriad of unpredictable variables that affect agents' actions, such as Jammeh's nationality-based resentment of his Nigerian superiors in 1994, and his seemingly nonsensical attempt at politicizing ethnicity and religion in 2016. Despite this variation, the model and its findings, as presented in Table 1, are confirmed by the case study. ...Similar publications
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The 2023 Western Australian Falls Report provides insight into the incidence of falls-related fatalities, hospitalisations and emergency department attendances in WA.
The full report is available at www.injurymatters.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/StayOnYourFeet_WAFallsReport2023.pdf