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5: Modifying the start point. 6: ℜ 0 and ℜ S

5: Modifying the start point. 6: ℜ 0 and ℜ S

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Our recent works discuss the meaning of an arbitrary-order SIR model. We claim that arbitrary-order derivatives can be obtained through special power-laws in the infectivity and removal functions. This work intends to summarize previous ideas and show new results on a meaningful model constructed with Mittag-Leffler functions. We emphasize the tric...

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... Figure 4.1 illustrates the change of the solution, where the dashed line corresponds to the solution from the time t = 90. In Figure 4.2, we have the equivalent trajectories for a maximum time T = 3000. ...
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... Figure 4.1 illustrates the change of the solution, where the dashed line corresponds to the solution from the time t = 90. In Figure 4.2, we have the equivalent trajectories for a maximum time T = 3000. ...
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... consider the example below, in Figure 4.3, where the value of ℜ(t ′ ) given by Eq. (4.3) for the peak point t ′ is ℜ peak ≈ 0.9078 < 1. ...
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... will be discussed later. Also, is also possible to have no more peaks if we start in a previous point, as we can see in Figure 4.4. In both examples, we consider N = 10 6 and the initial condition is (N − 1, 1, 0). ...
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... also can observe ℜ peak > 1. In some of these cases, we can take an earlier day, where ℜ(t) > ℜ peak > 1, and the disease starts decreasing even faster, as illustrated in Figure 4.5. In other words, "the point where the epidemic must start to decrease" is really not the peak point anymore! ...
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... In this same Figure 4.5, we consider different starting points along the originally constructed I curve with initial condition (N − 1, 1, 0). So, it illustrates the evolution of the I compartment if we start modeling at different starting points along the same curve. ...
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... the Figure table 4.6, we display the ℜ 0 S(0)/N and the ℜ S 0 S(0)/N for each curve. ...
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... we exhibit an unusual feature observed in the initial instants of the model simulations. One can easily see in the Figure 4.5 that the blue and purple curves have a small depression before a rise. This type of behavior does not appear in the integer-order model. ...
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... in the model (3.10)-(3.12), if β > α, we have dI/dt < 0 for t small enough, as illustrated in the Figures 4.8-4.9. When α = β, this behavior is not observed. ...
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... α = β, this behavior is not observed. For instance, we can see in the pink curve of the Figure 4.3 that the behavior in the lower terminal is the traditional movement of rising to a peak and decreasing after that. ...

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