Heat map showing percentage of adult population at high risk of diabetes using a statistical smoothing technique. 

Heat map showing percentage of adult population at high risk of diabetes using a statistical smoothing technique. 

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To explore the feasibility of producing small-area geospatial maps of chronic disease risk for use by clinical commissioning groups and public health teams. Cross-sectional geospatial analysis using routinely collected general practitioner electronic record data. Tower Hamlets, an inner-city district of London, UK, characterised by high socioeconom...

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... distribution of a variable but allows additional mapping of factors that might influence this variable in each locality. Had the map focused on prevalence of diabetes rather than a risk score we could have included known risk factors. We avoided this, however, to avoid any overlap or collinearity between the variables of the QDScore. This exploratory study was made possible by a number of key partnerships. The work was led by DN, a public health registrar who had previously worked at Tower Hamlets Primary Care Trust and was on an academic attachment with the Centre for Primary Care and Public Health within the medical school, with input from the Department of Geography. An initiative to improve and maintain data quality of general practice records across the Primary Care Trust had been in place for several years, led by the Clinical Effectiveness Group within the Centre for Primary Care and Public Health. Key relationships and infrastructure including data sharing and governance arrangements were thus already in place to enable Clinical Effectiveness Group staff to securely download and audit data from the electronic medical records of 35 of 36 practices in the district which used the same electronic record system, the Egton Medical Information System (EMIS), and had recently moved to a web-based version of this system enabling remote access. 17 The study was classed as service ‘audit’ and deemed outwith its remit by the local National Health Service Research Ethics Committee in January 2011. The local information governance group representing the general practices at the Primary Care Trust agreed to the study and advice on data handling, and mapping was also sought from the National Information Governance Board. The tasks of identifying, extracting, manipulating, sharing, summarising and presenting our data, especially those derived from the electronic medical records of a large cohort of general practice patients, presented complex practical, technical and information governance challenges. To capture these, we prospectively collected a data set comprising documents (protocols, service-level agreements, agendas and minutes of meetings) and corre- spondence (letters, emails, notes of telephone calls). Those represented in this data set included the NHS Research and Ethics Board, University Departments, Tower Hamlets Primary Care Trust, local general practitioners and public health specialists, and the National Information Governance Board. We analysed this data set by applying a theoretical framework developed previously to study the complex organisational, social and political issues involved in introducing a nationally shared electronic medical record. 42 Specifically, we considered: (1) information governance challenges; (2) practical challenges, such as the ease with which procedures could actually be carried out and (3) technical challenges including issues of data security, downloading and interoperability. Completeness of general practice records in our selected cohort aged 25 e 79 years without diabetes (data set 1, n 1⁄4 163 275) was as follows: age (100%), gender (100%), ethnicity (92.1%), Townsend deprivation score (99.7%), body mass index (76.4%), smoking status (96.3%) and family history of diabetes (21.5%). Of the data that were used in the mapping (n 1⁄4 157 045) 9.48% of people (n 1⁄4 14 885) were at high risk of developing type 2 diabetes within 10 years. This is in addition to the 7% of the adult population of Tower Hamlets already known to have type 2 diabetes. 43 Records could not be generated or were removed if (1) the general practice was not able to share the data for technical reasons (n 1⁄4 3922) or patient permission was withheld (n 1⁄4 187), (2) the individual record contained no postcode (n 1⁄4 29) or lower super output area was not calculable from the available postcode (n 1⁄4 275), (3) the geographic location was outside Tower Hamlets (n 1⁄4 1813) or (4) there was a mismatch between records in set 1 and set 2 (n 1⁄4 4). This left 157 045 records for analysis (96.2%) representing 33 of 36 general practices. Reducing the list of restaurants to those with a major business purpose of takeaway food resulted in a total sample of 371 outlets. The basic map (figure 1A) illustrates the variation in prevalence of high diabetes risk across lower super output areas in Tower Hamlets, with a maximum of 17.3% of the non-diabetic population being at high risk (not including the 7% already diabetic). General practices and hospitals are also shown in figure 1A. The areas of highest prevalence for diabetes risk were distributed on either side of the main east-west highway which transects the district and corresponds with well-known deprived housing estates and high-rise blocks of flats on either side of this road. A basic map of Index of Multiple Deprivation scores by lower super output area (figure 1B) showed a near- identical geographical distribution with high diabetes risk. The heat map (figure 2) shows the same information as figure 1A but displayed as a globally smoothed surface over the entire geographic area. The prevalence of high diabetes risk in this smoothed version of the data varied from 5.1% to 13.8%. This way of visualising the data depicts d somewhat more dramatically d a high-risk ‘hot’ band running west to east through the deprived housing estates and much lower risk ‘cool’ areas in the more affluent riverside in the south and parkside in the north of the district. The heat map is free from the visual lower super output area administrative boundaries that are commonly used in maps of the ‘basic’ type. The resulting map is likely more intuitive for users to interpret due to the colour scheme, and there are no boundaries to disrupt the visualisation of diabetes risk. The ring map (figure 3) shows prevalence of high diabetes risk by middle super output area. In this depiction of the data, prevalence of diabetes risk ranges from 3.8% to 13.7%. Each middle super output area is shown linked to a band of three social and environmental indicators, which are often suggested to influence poorer health. 44 These are (from the inside out) fast food outlets per head of population, percentage of non-green space and population density per square kilometre. Overall, the ring map provided a striking visual display of type 2 diabetes risk in the areas that corresponded to known deprivation, and the ring provided a relatively new way of displaying social and environmental determinants of health at a small area level. The ring provides a dashboard of indicators of wider determinants of health that appeared most useful when locally applied to specific population groups of 5000 e 7200 persons. It demonstrates the sort of putative environmental determinants that public health specialists may want to map as part of routine health needs assessment to inform interventions at small area level. As we had anticipated, the information governance challenges were substantial and were as time consuming as the technical ones. In order to access the data from general practice records, permission had to be obtained from both the local information governance committee of the Primary Care Trust and the National Information Governance Board. In addition, because we considered that this project had a research element, we were also required to seek advice from the local National Health Service Research Ethics Committee and from the university’s Research and Development Office (who both deemed the project ‘audit’). Potentially identifiable data from patient records had to be handled securely under a protocol advised by the National Information Governance Board. This kept postcode information separate from clinical variables with pseudonymised conversion to lower super output area. Information governance issues were thus time consuming and required specialised knowledge and formal permissions, but they were not ...

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... In our study, we found that individual-level and census tract-level socioeconomic status, obesity prevalence and race and ethnicity categories of patients living in pre-diabetes hotspots differed from those not identified as a hotspot. Prior geospatial mapping research was limited in that they focused on identifying clusters of patients at high diabetes risk in places outside of the USA, [17][18][19] identified clusters in a different state with national surveillance data 20 21 and/or were focused on small subpopulations at the city level. 17 18 Our study demonstrates that geospatial mapping techniques, using health system and census data, can be used to discover hotspots of pre-diabetes that can be adapted to other health systems, states and US regions. ...
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Objectives The US Preventive Services Task Force recommends screening of adults aged 35–70 with a body mass index ≥25 kg/m ² for type 2 diabetes and referral of individuals who screen positive for pre-diabetes to evidence-based prevention strategies. The diabetes burden in the USA is predicted to triple by 2060 necessitating strategic diabetes prevention efforts, particularly in areas of highest need. This study aimed to identify pre-diabetes hotspots using geospatial mapping to inform targeted diabetes prevention strategies. A ‘hotspot’ is defined as a cluster of 3 or more neighbouring census tracts with elevated pre-diabetes prevalence. Design A cross-sectional study using ArcGIS software to geospatially map pre-diabetes prevalence hotspots. We used health system and census data to identify pre-diabetes hotspots using a systematic five-step geoprocessing approach that made use of incremental spatial autocorrelation and Getis-Ord Gi*. Setting This study was set in Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC), an integrated health delivery system with over four million members. Participants KPNC adults ages 35–70 who underwent a haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) or fasting plasma glucose (FPG) screening test in 2019 were mapped to census tracts in Northern California. People were considered to have pre-diabetes with an HbA1c of 5.7%–6.4% (39–46 mmol/mol) or FPG 100–125 mg/dL. Primary and secondary outcome measures Individual and census-level characteristics were compared between hotspots and non-hotspots using χ ² and Wilcoxon rank sum tests, as well as risk differences (RDs) and Hodges-Lehmann (HL) estimates of location shift. Individual-level characteristics were derived from electronic health records and administrative data, while census-level characteristics were derived from the 2019 American Community Survey. Results A total of 760 044 adults met the study inclusion criteria and 40% had pre-diabetes. Individuals in pre-diabetes hotspots were less likely to be non-Hispanic white (33.6% vs 50.6%, RD: −17.04%, 95% CI –17.26% to –16.81%, p<0.0001) and more likely to have overweight or obesity (72.2% vs 69.2%, RD: 2.95%, 95% CI 2.73% to 3.16%, p<0.0001). Census tracts within hotspots had lower levels of household income (HL estimate: −3651.00, 95% CI –7256.00 to –25.00), per cent of adults with bachelor’s degrees or higher (HL estimate: −9.08, 95% CI –10.94 to –7.24) and median home values (HL estimate: −113 200.00, 95% CI –140 600.00 to –85 700.00) and higher rates of household poverty (HL estimate: 0.96, 95% CI 0.55 to 1.37), unemployment (HL estimate: 0.39, 95% CI 0.24 to 0.54), household public assistance (HL estimate: 0.97, 95% CI 0.76 to 1.18) and per cent receiving Medicaid (HL estimate: 4.56, 95% CI 3.40 to 5.76) (p<0.05 for all). Conclusions We found that individual-level and census tract-level socioeconomic status, obesity prevalence and race and ethnicity categories of patients living in pre-diabetes hotspots differed from those not identified as a hotspot. Policy-makers and care providers can use this information to target diabetes prevention resources and outreach by enacting policies that provide insurance coverage for low-income populations and placing diabetes prevention programmes in communities with highest need.
... Hot spot analysis is known to be an effective tool for understanding how health outcomes and social determinants of health concentrate and cluster together [37][38][39]. We explored the impact of indiscriminate point obfuscation on a hot spot analysis of deaths by suicide from our CCMEO data; suicides were identified by the manner of death field in the CCMEO data and span the time period August 2014 to April 2022. ...
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Background Location and environmental social determinants of health are increasingly important factors in both an individual’s health and the monitoring of community-level public health issues. Objective We aimed to measure the extent to which location obfuscation techniques, designed to protect an individual’s privacy, can unintentionally shift geographical coordinates into neighborhoods with significantly different socioeconomic demographics, which limits the precision of findings for public health stakeholders. Methods Point obfuscation techniques intentionally blur geographic coordinates to conceal the original location. The pinwheel obfuscation method is an existing technique in which a point is moved along a pinwheel-like path given a randomly chosen angle and a maximum radius; we evaluate the impact of this technique using 2 data sets by comparing the demographics of the original point and the resulting shifted point by cross-referencing data from the United States Census Bureau. Results Using poverty measures showed that points from regions of low poverty may be shifted to regions of high poverty; similarly, points in regions with high poverty may be shifted into regions of low poverty. We varied the maximum allowable obfuscation radius; the mean difference in poverty rate before and after obfuscation ranged from 6.5% to 11.7%. Additionally, obfuscation inadvertently caused false hot spots for deaths by suicide in Cook County, Illinois. Conclusions Privacy concerns require patient locations to be imprecise to protect against risk of identification; precision public health requires accuracy. We propose a modified obfuscation technique that is constrained to generate a new point within a specified census-designated region to preserve both privacy and analytical accuracy by avoiding demographic shifts.
... The majority of RD risk factors are intimately related to the quality of the ambient air, necessitating that the health authorities not only diagnose the disease but also understand the problems with ambient air quality that helps in developing the disease over space and time [19,20]. Using GIS tools for mapping spatial linkages of disease is not new [21][22][23]. The earliest known effort for visualizing the connection between disease and space was to map the plague in Italy in 1694 [24]. ...
... Though the researchers have experienced a number of challenges to map diseases' spatio-temporal patterns in the beginning [12,25], currently available GIS tools are efficient in visualizing, analyzing, and clustering of disease related data, which have spatial and temporal linkages [25][26][27]. Therefore, geospatial techniques have been used to analyze and visualize geographical distribution of diseases (spatial clusters) as well as diseases' association with the quality of the surrounding environment [22,28]. These analytical and visualization capabilities have made GIS a suitable tool to deal with spatio-temporal patterns of RDs in this study. ...
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In Bangladesh respiratory illnesses are one of the leading risk factors for death and disability. Limited access to healthcare services, indoor and outdoor air pollution, large-scale use of smoking materials, allergens, and lack of awareness are among the known leading factors contributing to respiratory illness in Bangladesh. Key initiatives taken by the government to handle respiratory illnesses include, changing of respiratory health policy, building awareness, enhancing healthcare facility, and promoting prevention measures. Despite all these efforts, the number of individuals suffering from respiratory diseases has increased steadily during the recent years. This study aims at examining the distribution pattern of respiratory diseases over space and time using Geographic Information System, which is expected to contribute to the better understand of the factors contributing to respiratory illness development. To achieve the aims of the study two interviews were conducted among patients with respiratory sickness in the medicine and respiratory medicine units of Rajshahi Medical College Hospital between January and April of 2019 and 2020 following the guidelines provided by the Ethics Committee, Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, University of Rajshahi, Bangladesh (ethical approval reference number: 2018/08). Principal component extraction and spatial statistical analyses were performed to identify the key respiratory illnesses and their geographical distribution pattern respectively. The results indicate, during January–February the number of patients was a lot higher compared to March–April. The patients were hospitalized mainly due to four respiratory diseases (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, pneumonia, and pulmonary hypertension). Geographical distribution pattern of respiratory disease cases also varied considerably between the years as well as months of the years. This information seems reasonable to elucidate the spatio-temporal distribution of respiratory disease and thus improve the existing prevention, control, and cure practices of respiratory illness of the study area. Approach used in this study to elicit spatio-temporal distribution of repertory disease can easily be implemented in other areas with similar geographical settings and patients’ illness information from hospital.
... 7 Geospatial mapping is a technique used to display and describe the distribution and variation of information within a specified geography. Modern mapping technologies have been increasingly used to assist in developing public health initiatives, 12 and visualize social determinants of health in association with rates of health conditions and behaviours, for example in studying the prevalence of non-communicable chronic disease, 13 and links between alcohol outlet density and violent crime. 14 Mapping has been used to explore gambling at local levels, including in the UK; 15,16 however, previous studies have focused on urban and city locations, and mapping has been at a broad geographical level. ...
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... The lowest level of granularity is at local authority level, which has been found to mask significant variation within their large and diverse populations (median population of 140,000; Asaria et al., 2016;Sheringham et al., 2017; e.g. neighbourhoodlevel estimates for diabetes (Noble et al., 2012), cardiovascular disease (Asthana & Gibson, 2021), and other chronic diseases show two-to three-fold variations in prevalence between neighbourhoods within the same local authority). Inequalities may widen over time within some local authorities whilst simultaneously narrowing in others (Sheringham et al., 2017). ...
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Background Chronic pain affects up to half of UK adults, impacting quality of life and demand on local health services. Whilst local health planning is currently based on subnational prevalence estimates, associations between pain and sociodemographic characteristics suggest that inequalities in the prevalence of chronic and high-impact chronic pain between neighbourhoods within local authorities are likely. We aimed to derive lower super output area (LSOA) estimates of the prevalence of chronic and high-impact chronic pain. Methods Presence of self-reported chronic and high-impact chronic pain were measured in adults aged 35+ in North Staffordshire and modelled using multilevel regression as a function of demographic and geographic predictors. Multilevel model predictions were post-stratified using the North Staffordshire age-sex population structure and LSOA demographic characteristics to estimate the prevalence of chronic and high-impact chronic pain in 298 LSOAs, corrected for ethnic diversity underrepresented in the data. Confidence intervals were generated for high-impact chronic pain using bootstrapping. Results Data were analysed from 4162 survey respondents (2358 women, 1804 men). The estimated prevalence of chronic and high-impact chronic pain in North Staffordshire LSOAs ranged from 18.6% to 50.1% and 6.18 [1.71, 16.0]% to 33.09 [13.3, 44.7]%, respectively. Conclusions Prevalence of chronic and high-impact chronic pain in adults aged 35+ varies substantially between neighbourhoods within local authorities. Further insight into small-area level variation will help target resources to improve the management and prevention of chronic and high-impact chronic pain to reduce the impact on individuals, communities, workplaces, services and the economy.
... Even in Singapore, CRDs ranks as the seventh or eight most common cause of hospitalization due to missed diagnosis (Tee, 2013). Geographic information systems (GIS) and computer-aided graphical methods have been used to visualize spatiotemporal occurrences of various diseases, which assists health service planning and public health interventions (Fradelos et al., 2014;Noble et al., 2012;Ramírez-Aldana et al., 2020). Causal disease factors and intervention options have been spatially defined (Anselin et al., 2006;Rankantha et al., 2018). ...
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... In future research conducted to inform public health decision-makers in Saudi Arabia, using a different geospatial mapping technique with Global Positioning System (GPS) data and a mobile application could yield more granular data about the exact location (i.e., within 1 km) of participants [33]. If applied appropriately, then the approach may be used to study interesting patterns within a city, including associations between the presence of health facilities, served and underserved populations, zip codes, green spaces, parks, and other important variables [34,35]. ...
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... Similar indices exist for Scotland (Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation) and Wales (Welsh Index of Deprivation) for small areas [43,44]. Often these indices of deprivation are used as shorthand for poverty or (inaccurately) as proxy indicators of individual socioeconomic status for residents [45]. They provide a useful tool for local government organisations who are tasked with planning and distribution of resources for their local populations. ...
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... In addition, research on food environments has occurred differently in developed countries than in middle and low-income countries (such as Latin America) [3], [14]. For decades, efforts related to the study of food environments in high-income countries have covered not only a variety of aspects related to the environments but also different methodologies, including the use of Geographic Information Systems (GIS) [15]- [18]. In contrast, research in Latin America directed the most to the study of food supply stores and their relationship with health outcomes or dietary intake, generally at small scales such as institutions, neighborhoods, or specific communities [14], [19]- [22]. ...
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... In turn, through GIS analysis and data visualization, educational and outreach efforts can be further targeted throughout the state. The application of contextualizing maps and integrating with statistical methods to enhance public health activities has been described in chronic diseases [51]. However, the value and use of GIS to inform public health education activities on CD has not been previously studied. ...
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