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Fitting SIR (top left), SEI3RD (bottom right) and SEIR models to data from Italy

Fitting SIR (top left), SEI3RD (bottom right) and SEIR models to data from Italy

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Fig. 4. Predicting Future Infections for a Simulated Dataset in a...
Fig. 5. Fitting SIR (top left), SEI3RD (bottom right) and SEIR models...
Fig. 7. Fitting SIR (top left), SEIR (top right) and SEI3RD models to...
Fig. 9. The SEI3RD Model from [Wood et al. 2020] along with our policy...
Fig. 12. Adaptively Changing the Policy Intervention
Compartmental Models for COVID-19 and Control via Policy Interventions
Preprint
Full-text available
  • Mar 2022
We demonstrate an approach to replicate and forecast the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) pandemic using the toolkit of probabilistic programming languages (PPLs). Our goal is to study the impact of various modeling assumptions and motivate policy interventions enacted to limit the spread of infectious diseases. Using existing compartmental mode...

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