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Experiment 3. a Percentage answering affirmatively in the four conditions (“must have” for modal probes; “did” for indicative probes). b Mean agreement that the proposition’s being false is a relevant possibility; the scale ran 1 (SD)–7 (SA). Error bars represent 95% confidence intervals
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Indicative judgments pertain to what is true. Epistemic modal judgments pertain to what must or might be true relative to a body of information. A standard view is that epistemic modals implicitly quantify over alternative possibilities, or ways things could turn out. On this view, a proposition must be true just in case it is true in all the possi...
