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Dependent variables Source: Own elaboration in Excel with data from INEGI.

Dependent variables Source: Own elaboration in Excel with data from INEGI.

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This research aims to analyze the short-term causal relationships between the oil sector and economic growth, using two methodologies, the ARDL model and the proposal based on fuzzy logic, the FG-ARDL, Fuzzy Gaussian Autoregressive Distributed Lag. For this purpose, 59 variables of the oil sector and their relationship with the Global Economic Acti...

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... above result is one of the main conditions that the ARDL model. Figure 3 shows the behavior of the four economic activity indicators used to study the growth rate of economic activity in the short term for the Mexican economy. The IGAE indicates a growth trend with a strong impact on the seasonal component and a structural break in 2009; a high variability in behavior can be observed in the case of PA-IGAE, note that primary activities are highly volatile, with a trend that is increasing but less marked than in the Global Economic Activity Indicator. ...

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