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Jonas Bjerring Olesen, Gregory Y H Lip,
Morten Lock Hansen,
Peter Riis Hansen,
Janne Schurmann Tolstrup,
Jesper Lindhardsen,
Christian Selmer,
Ole Ahlehoff,
Anne-Marie Schjerning Olsen,
Gunnar Hilmar Gislason,
Christian Torp-Pedersen
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ABSTRACT: To evaluate the individual risk factors composing the CHADS(2) (Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age ≥ 75 years, Diabetes, previous Stroke) score and the CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc (CHA(2)DS(2)-Vascular disease, Age 65-74 years, Sex category) score and to calculate the capability of the schemes to predict thromboembolism.
Registry based cohort study.
Nationwide data on patients admitted to hospital with atrial fibrillation. Population All patients with atrial fibrillation not treated with vitamin K antagonists in Denmark in the period 1997-2006.
Stroke and thromboembolism.
Of 121,280 patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation, 73,538 (60.6%) fulfilled the study inclusion criteria. In patients at "low risk" (score = 0), the rate of thromboembolism per 100 person years was 1.67 (95% confidence interval 1.47 to 1.89) with CHADS(2) and 0.78 (0.58 to 1.04) with CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc at one year's follow-up. In patients at "intermediate risk" (score = 1), this rate was 4.75 (4.45 to 5.07) with CHADS(2) and 2.01 (1.70 to 2.36) with CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc. The rate of thromboembolism depended on the individual risk factors composing the scores, and both schemes underestimated the risk associated with previous thromboembolic events. When patients were categorised into low, intermediate, and high risk groups, C statistics at 10 years' follow-up were 0.812 (0.796 to 0.827) with CHADS(2) and 0.888 (0.875 to 0.900) with CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc.
The risk associated with a specific risk stratification score depended on the risk factors composing the score. CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc performed better than CHADS(2) in predicting patients at high risk, and those categorised as low risk by CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc were truly at low risk for thromboembolism.
BMJ 02/2013; 342:d124. · 14.09 Impact Factor
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Rikke Sørensen,
Gunnar Gislason,
Christian Torp-Pedersen,
Jonas Bjerring Olesen,
Emil L Fosbøl,
Morten W Hvidtfeldt,
Deniz Karasoy,
Morten Lamberts,
Mette Charlot,
Lars Køber,
Peter Weeke, Gregory Y H Lip,
Morten Lock Hansen
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ABSTRACT: Dabigatran was recently approved for anticoagulation in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF); data regarding real-world use, comparative effectiveness and safety are sparse.
Pharmacoepidemiological cohort study. METHODS/SETTINGS: From nationwide registers, we identified patients with an in-hospital or outpatient-clinic AF diagnosis who claimed a prescription of dabigatran 110 or 150 mg, or vitamin K antagonist (VKA), between 22 August and 31 December 2011. HRs of thromboembolic events (ischaemic stroke, transitory ischaemic attack and peripheral artery embolism) and bleedings were estimated using Cox regression analyses in all patients and stratified by previous VKA use.
Overall, 1612 (3.1%) and 1114 (2.1%) patients claimed a prescription of dabigatran 110 and 150 mg, and 49640 (94.8%) of VKA. Patients treated with dabigatran 150 mg were younger with less comorbidity than those treated with dabigatran 110 mg and VKA, as were VKA naïve patients compared with previous VKA users. Recommendations set by the European Medicine Agency (EMA) for dabigatran were met in 90.3% and 55.5% of patients treated with 110 and 150 mg. Patients treated with 150 mg dabigatran, who did not fulfil the recommendations by EMA, were >80 years, patients with liver or kidney disease, patients with previous bleeding. Compared with VKA, the thromboembolic risk associated with dabigatran 110 and 150 mg was HR 3.52 (1.40 to 8.84) and 5.79 (1.81 to 18.56) in previous VKA users, and HR 0.95(0.47 to 1.91) and 1.14(0.60 to 2.16) in VKA naïve patients. Bleeding risk was increased in previous VKA users receiving dabigatran 110 mg, but not in patients with 150 mg dabigatran, nor in the VKA naïve users.
Deviations from the recommended use of dabigatran were frequent among patients treated with 150 mg. With cautious interpretation, dabigatran use in VKA naïve patients seems safe. Increased risk of thromboembolism and bleeding with dabigatran among previous VKA users was unexpected and may reflect patient selection and 'drug switching' practices.
BMJ open. 01/2013; 3(5).
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ABSTRACT: Both atrial fibrillation and chronic kidney disease increase the risk of stroke and systemic thromboembolism. However, these risks, and the effects of antithrombotic treatment, have not been thoroughly investigated in patients with both conditions.
Using Danish national registries, we identified all patients discharged from the hospital with a diagnosis of nonvalvular atrial fibrillation between 1997 and 2008. The risk of stroke or systemic thromboembolism and bleeding associated with non-end-stage chronic kidney disease and with end-stage chronic kidney disease (i.e., disease requiring renal-replacement therapy) was estimated with the use of time-dependent Cox regression analyses. In addition, the effects of treatment with warfarin, aspirin, or both in patients with chronic kidney disease were compared with the effects in patients with no renal disease.
Of 132,372 patients included in the analysis, 3587 (2.7%) had non-end-stage chronic kidney disease and 901 (0.7%) required renal-replacement therapy at the time of inclusion. As compared with patients who did not have renal disease, patients with non-end-stage chronic kidney disease had an increased risk of stroke or systemic thromboembolism (hazard ratio, 1.49; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.38 to 1.59; P<0.001), as did those requiring renal-replacement therapy (hazard ratio, 1.83; 95% CI, 1.57 to 2.14; P<0.001); this risk was significantly decreased for both groups of patients with warfarin but not with aspirin. The risk of bleeding was also increased among patients who had non-end-stage chronic kidney disease or required renal-replacement therapy and was further increased with warfarin, aspirin, or both.
Chronic kidney disease was associated with an increased risk of stroke or systemic thromboembolism and bleeding among patients with atrial fibrillation. Warfarin treatment was associated with a decreased risk of stroke or systemic thromboembolism among patients with chronic kidney disease, whereas warfarin and aspirin were associated with an increased risk of bleeding. (Funded by the Lundbeck Foundation.).
New England Journal of Medicine 08/2012; 367(7):625-35. · 53.30 Impact Factor
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ABSTRACT: Vascular disease (including myocardial infarction and peripheral artery disease) has been proposed as a less well-validated risk factor for stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation. We investigated whether vascular disease is an independent risk factor of stroke/thromboembolism in atrial fibrillation and whether adding vascular disease improves Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age 75 years, Diabetes, previous Stroke (CHADS(2)) risk stratification.
By using nationwide Danish registers, we identified all patients discharged with atrial fibrillation and not treated with vitamin K antagonist or heparin between 1997 and 2008. The rate of stroke/thromboembolism in patients with atrial fibrillation with and without vascular disease was determined, and the risk associated with vascular disease was estimated in Cox regression analyses. The value of adding vascular disease to the CHADS(2) score was evaluated by Net Reclassification Improvement and Integrated Discrimination Improvement.
We included 87,202 patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation; of these, 15,212 (17.4%) had vascular disease, 11,750 (77.2%) had myocardial infarction, 2503 (16.5%) had peripheral artery disease, and 959 (6.3%) had both. In patients with a CHADS(2) score=0, the rate of stroke/thromboembolism at 1-year follow-up was 2.31 (1.63-3.26) and 1.52 (1.34-1.73) per 100 person-years in patients with and without vascular disease, respectively. Vascular disease increased the risk of stroke/thromboembolism in both univariate (hazard ratio [HR] 1.26; confidence interval [CI], 1.18-1.35) and multivariate (HR, 1.12; CI, 1.05-1.21) analyses. The risk of stroke/thromboembolism associated with peripheral artery disease alone (HR, 1.93; CI, 1.70-2.19) was greater than the risk with myocardial infarction alone (HR, 1.12; CI, 1.04-1.21), and vascular disease significantly improved the predictive ability of the CHADS(2) score (Net Reclassification Improvement 0.032, P<.001).
Vascular disease is an independent predictor of stroke/thromboembolism in atrial fibrillation and improves the predictive ability of the CHADS(2) score.
The American journal of medicine 05/2012; 125(8):826.e13-23. · 4.47 Impact Factor
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ABSTRACT: This article provides an overview of (i) the risk of stroke associated with vascular disease (acute coronary syndromes and peripheral artery disease) in patients with atrial fibrillation, (ii) the frequent coexistence of vascular disease in patients with atrial fibrillation and, (iii) the cardiovascular risk associated with the coexisting of the two diseases. The literature on this topic is relatively sparse, and we discuss results from both clinical trials and observational studies. There is a clear indication of an increased stroke risk associated with vascular disease in patients with atrial fibrillation. Indeed, patients with atrial fibrillation often had coexisting vascular disease (around 18%), and the combination of the two diseases substantially increases the risk of future cardiovascular events. The increased risk associated with peripheral artery disease in atrial fibrillation is even more pronounced. Patients with atrial fibrillation and stable vascular disease should be treated with oral anticoagulation only, although when these patients present with acute coronary syndrome and/or undergo coronary stenting, concomitant treatment with antiplatelet drugs is indicated. To guide antithrombotic management in patients with atrial fibrillation, several stroke and bleeding risk prediction schemes have been developed.
Clinical Cardiology 01/2012; 35 Suppl 1:15-20. · 2.15 Impact Factor
