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ABSTRACT: The objective of this study was to estimate local at-risk populations of men who have sex with men (MSM) in London primary care trusts (PCTs) to inform the commissioning of targeted health interventions. Estimated population size and prevalence of diagnosed HIV in MSM in all of London were calculated using data from the British National Survey of Sexual Attitudes and Lifestyles (NATSAL), Greater London Authority population estimates and the annual survey of diagnosed MSM (Survey of Prevalent HIV Infections Diagnosed [SOPHID]). Estimated MSM population sizes at the PCT level were calculated using un-weighted and SOPHID-weighted methods and methods discussed. Four-fifths of MSM with diagnosed HIV infection in Greater London lived in inner London. Estimated population size of MSM 16-44 years in inner London was 66,000; estimated overall prevalence of diagnosed HIV infection among MSM was 9.5%. Our models show substantial variation at the PCT level between the two methods. Using the SOPHID-weighted method MSM account for up to 16% of the male population in some London PCTs, compared with as low as 3% in others. We provide a novel method of estimating at-risk MSM populations living in inner London PCTs indicating that proportions of MSM vary widely between PCTs. Significant proportions of MSM among the resident populations in several PCTs warrant inclusion of MSM health needs in core PCT prevention and service programming. In light of data source limitations further validation studies are needed.
International Journal of STD & AIDS 01/2011; 22(1):25-9. · 1.09 Impact Factor
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ABSTRACT: The aims of the study were (1) to measure the distance required to travel, and the distance actually travelled, to HIV services by HIV-infected adults, and (2) to calculate the proportion of patients who travelled beyond local services and identify socio-demographic and clinical predictors of use of non-local services.
The straight-line distance between a patient's residence and HIV services was determined for HIV-infected patients in England in 2007. 'Local services' were defined as the closest HIV service to a patient's residence and other services within an additional 5 km radius. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify socio-demographic and clinical predictors of accessing non-local services.
In 2007, nearly 57 000 adults with diagnosed HIV infection accessed HIV services in England; 42% lived in the most deprived areas. Overall, 81% of patients lived within 5 km of a service, and 8.7% used their closest HIV service. The median distance to the closest HIV service was 2.5 km [interquartile range (IQR) 1.5-4.2 km] and the median actual distance travelled was 4.8 km (IQR 2.5-9.7 km). A quarter of patients used a 'non-local' service. Patients living in the least deprived areas were twice as likely to use non-local services as those living in the most deprived areas [adjusted odds ratio (AOR) 2.16; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.98-2.37]. Other predictors for accessing non-local services included living in an urban area (AOR 0.77; 95% CI 0.69-0.85) and being diagnosed more than 12 months (AOR 1.48; 95% CI 1.38-1.59).
In England, 81% of HIV-infected patients live within 5 km of HIV services and a quarter of HIV-infected adults travel to non-local HIV services. Those living in deprived areas are less likely to travel to non-local services.
HIV Medicine 11/2010; 12(6):361-6. · 3.01 Impact Factor
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L Bansi,
C Sabin,
V Delpech,
T Hill,
M Fisher,
J Walsh, T Chadborn,
P Easterbrook,
R Gilson,
M Johnson,
K Porter,
J Anderson,
M Gompels,
C Leen,
J Ainsworth,
C Orkin,
M Nelson,
B Rice,
A Phillips
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ABSTRACT: Effective antiretroviral therapy (ART) has transformed the care of people with HIV, but it is important to monitor time trends in indicators of treatment success and antic future changes.
We assessed time trends from 2000 to 2007 in several indicators of treatment success in the UK Collaborative HIV Cohort (CHIC) Study, and using national HIV data from the Health Protection Agency (HPA) we developed a model to project future trends.
The proportion of patients on ART with a viral load <50 HIV-1 RNA copies/mL increased from 62% in 2000 to 84% in 2007, and the proportion of all patients with a CD4 count <200 cells/microL decreased from 21% to 10%. During this period, the number of patients who experienced extensive triple class failure (ETCF) rose from 147 (0.9%) to 1771 (3.9%). The number who experienced such ETCF and had a current viral load >50 copies/mL rose fromz 118 (0.7%) to 857 (1.9%). Projections to 2012 suggest sustained high levels of success, with a continued increase in the number of patients who have failed multiple drugs but a relatively stable number of such patients experiencing viral loads >50 copies/mL. Numbers of deaths are projected to remain low.
There have been continued improvements in key indicators of success in patients with HIV from 2000 to 2007. Although the number of patients who have ETCF is projected to rise in the future, the number of such patients with viral loads >50 copies/mL is not projected to increase up to 2012. New drugs may be needed in future to sustain these positive trends.
HIV Medicine 02/2010; 11(7):432-8. · 3.01 Impact Factor
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ABSTRACT: The aim of the study was to describe the prevalence of and examine the factors associated with immunosuppression (CD4 < 200 cells/microL) among HIV-infected patients attending two large inner London treatment centres.
Patients attending for care who had a CD4 count < 200 cells/microL during a 6-month period (1 January to 30 June 2007) were identified from the UK national CD4 surveillance database. Corresponding case notes were reviewed and factors associated with the most recent immunosuppressive episode examined. Patients either previously had a CD4 count > 200 cells/microL at any time under follow-up which had decreased (group A) or never had a CD4 count > 200 cells/microL (group B; late presenters).
Of 4589 patients, 10.2% (467) had at least one CD4 count < 200 cells/microL. In group A (60.1% of patients), 70.4% were not receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART) at the time at which the CD4 count fell to < 200 cells/microL. Reasons included: treatment interruption (TI; 32.6%), patient declined ART (20.2%), infrequent attendance (19.1%), physician delay in offer (23.1%) and transient CD4 cell count decrease (3.9%). Among those receiving ART, one in three had poor adherence. In group B, 92.3% had started ART after presentation: most had recently started and were responding virologically. AIDS-defining diagnoses occurred in the year preceding the decrease in CD4 cell count in 12.6% of patients in group A and 33.3% of those in group B.
The majority of patients became immunosuppressed while under care. Our findings suggest that, in addition to strategies aimed at earlier diagnosis, there are further opportunities to reduce severe immunosuppression in patients already attending for HIV care.
HIV Medicine 08/2009; 11(2):114-20. · 3.01 Impact Factor
