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Publications (10)0 Total impact

  • Article: Incremental Learning with Accuracy Prediction of Social and Individual Properties from Mobile-Phone Data
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    ABSTRACT: Mobile phones are quickly becoming the primary source for social, behavioral, and environmental sensing and data collection. Today's smartphones are equipped with increasingly more sensors and accessible data types that enable the collection of literally dozens of signals related to the phone, its user, and its environment. A great deal of research effort in academia and industry is put into mining this raw data for higher level sense-making, such as understanding user context, inferring social networks, learning individual features, predicting outcomes, and so on. In this work we investigate the properties of learning and inference of real world data collected via mobile phones over time. In particular, we look at the dynamic learning process over time, and how the ability to predict individual parameters and social links is incrementally enhanced with the accumulation of additional data. To do this, we use the Friends and Family dataset, which contains rich data signals gathered from the smartphones of 140 adult members of a young-family residential community for over a year, and is one of the most comprehensive mobile phone datasets gathered in academia to date. We develop several models that predict social and individual properties from sensed mobile phone data, including detection of life-partners, ethnicity, and whether a person is a student or not. Then, for this set of diverse learning tasks, we investigate how the prediction accuracy evolves over time, as new data is collected. Finally, based on gained insights, we propose a method for advance prediction of the maximal learning accuracy possible for the learning task at hand, based on an initial set of measurements. This has practical implications, like informing the design of mobile data collection campaigns, or evaluating analysis strategies.
    11/2011;
  • Article: Sleep, mood and sociability in a healthy population.
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    ABSTRACT: Sleep and mood problems have a considerable public health impact with serious societal and significant financial effects. In this work, we study the relationship between these factors in the everyday life of healthy young adults. More importantly, we look at these factors from a social perspective, studying the impact that couples have on each other and the role that face-to-face interactions play. We find that there is a significant bi-directional relationship between mood and sleep. More interestingly, we find that the spouse's sleep and mood may have an effect on the subject's mood and sleep. Further, we find that subjects whose sleep is significantly correlated with mood tend to be more sociable. Finally, we observe that less sociable subjects show poor mood more often than their more sociable contemporaries. These novel insights, especially those involving sociability, measured from quantified face-to-face interaction data gathered through smartphones, open up several avenues to enhance public health research through the use of latest wireless sensing technologies.
    Conference proceedings: ... Annual International Conference of the IEEE Engineering in Medicine and Biology Society. IEEE Engineering in Medicine and Biology Society. Conference 08/2011; 2011:5267-70.
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    Article: Composite Social Network for Predicting Mobile Apps Installation
    Wei Pan, Nadav Aharony, Alex Pentland
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    ABSTRACT: We have carefully instrumented a large portion of the population living in a university graduate dormitory by giving participants Android smart phones running our sensing software. In this paper, we propose the novel problem of predicting mobile application (known as "apps") installation using social networks and explain its challenge. Modern smart phones, like the ones used in our study, are able to collect different social networks using built-in sensors. (e.g. Bluetooth proximity network, call log network, etc) While this information is accessible to app market makers such as the iPhone AppStore, it has not yet been studied how app market makers can use these information for marketing research and strategy development. We develop a simple computational model to better predict app installation by using a composite network computed from the different networks sensed by phones. Our model also captures individual variance and exogenous factors in app adoption. We show the importance of considering all these factors in predicting app installations, and we observe the surprising result that app installation is indeed predictable. We also show that our model achieves the best results compared with generic approaches: our results are four times better than random guess, and predict almost 45% of all apps users install with almost 45% precision (F1 score= 0.43).
    06/2011;
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    Conference Proceeding: Fortune Monitor or Fortune Teller: Understanding the Connection between Interaction Patterns and Financial Status.
    Wei Pan, Nadav Aharony, Alex Pentland
    PASSAT/SocialCom 2011, Privacy, Security, Risk and Trust (PASSAT), 2011 IEEE Third International Conference on and 2011 IEEE Third International Confernece on Social Computing (SocialCom), Boston, MA, USA, 9-11 Oct., 2011; 01/2011
  • Conference Proceeding: Using Social Sensing to Understand the Links between Sleep, Mood, and Sociability.
    PASSAT/SocialCom 2011, Privacy, Security, Risk and Trust (PASSAT), 2011 IEEE Third International Conference on and 2011 IEEE Third International Confernece on Social Computing (SocialCom), Boston, MA, USA, 9-11 Oct., 2011; 01/2011
  • Conference Proceeding: The social fMRI: measuring, understanding, and designing social mechanisms in the real world.
    UbiComp 2011: Ubiquitous Computing, 13th International Conference, UbiComp 2011, Beijing, China, September 17-21, 2011, Proceedings; 01/2011
  • Article: Stealing Reality: When Criminals Become Data Scientists (or Vice Versa).
    IEEE Intelligent Systems. 01/2011; 26:22-30.
  • Article: Social fMRI: Investigating and shaping social mechanisms in the real world.
    Pervasive and Mobile Computing. 01/2011; 7:643-659.
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    Article: Stealing Reality
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    ABSTRACT: In this paper we discuss the threat of malware targeted at extracting information about the relationships in a real-world social network as well as characteristic information about the individuals in the network, which we dub Stealing Reality. We present Stealing Reality, explain why it differs from traditional types of network attacks, and discuss why its impact is significantly more dangerous than that of other attacks. We also present our initial analysis and results regarding the form that an SR attack might take, with the goal of promoting the discussion of defending against such an attack, or even just detecting the fact that one has already occurred.
    10/2010;
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    Article: Using Social Sensing to Understand the Links Between Sleep, Mood, and Sociability
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    ABSTRACT: In recent years, reality mining experiments have provided several novel insights into human social behavior that would not have been possible without the novel use of smartphone sensing. In this work, we leverage the latest reality mining experiment to study social behavior from a public health perspective. In particular, we focus on sleep and mood as they have a considerable public health impact with serious societal and significant financial effects. We endeavor to explore and uncover the associations between sleep, mood and sociability by studying a population of healthy young adults going about their everyday life. We find significant associations between sleep and mood, reiterating observations in the literature. More importantly, we find that individuals with lower overall sociability tend to report poor mood more often, a statistically significant observation. In addition, we also uncover associations between daily sociability and sleep, a previously unreported observation. These results demonstrate the potential of reality mining studies for studying the sociological aspects of significant public health problems. Further, we hope that our work will provide the impetus for larger studies validating some of these observations and ultimately result in behavioral interventions that can improve public health through better social interaction.