D L Gillen

University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA

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Publications (7)39.44 Total impact

  • Source
    Article: Using clinical risk factors and bone mineral density to determine who among patients undergoing bone densitometry should have vertebral fracture assessment.
    T J Vokes, D L Gillen
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    ABSTRACT: Vertebral fracture assessment (VFA) is a new method for imaging thoracolumbar spine on bone densitometer. Among patients referred for bone densitometry, the selection of patients for VFA testing can be optimized using an index derived from clinical risk factors and bone density measurement. VFA, a method for imaging thoracolumbar spine on bone densitometer, was developed because vertebral fractures, although common and predictive of future fractures, are often not clinically diagnosed. The study objective was to develop a strategy for selecting patients for VFA. A convenience sample from a university hospital bone densitometry center included 892 subjects (795 women) referred for bone mineral density (BMD) testing. We used questionnaires to capture clinical risk factors and dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry to obtain BMD and VFA. Prevalence of vertebral fractures was 18% in women and 31% in men (p = 0.003 for gender difference). In women, age, height loss, glucocorticoid use, history of vertebral and other fractures, and BMD T-score were significantly and independently associated with vertebral fractures. A multivariate model which included above predictors had an area under the receiver operating curve of 0.85 with 95% confidence interval (CI) of 0.81 to 0.89. A risk factor index was derived from the above multivariate model. Using a level of 2 as a cut-off yielded 93% sensitivity (95% CI 87, 96) and 48% specificity (95% CI 69, 83). Assuming a 15% prevalence of vertebral fractures, this cut-off value had a 24% positive and 97% negative predictive value and required VFA scanning of three women at a cost of $60 (assuming a $20 cost/VFA scan) to detect one with vertebral fracture(s). Selecting patients for VFA can be optimized using an index derived from BMD measurement and easily obtained clinical risk factors.
    Osteoporosis International 03/2010; 21(12):2083-91. · 4.58 Impact Factor
  • Article: Survival advantage of pediatric recipients of a first kidney transplant among children awaiting kidney transplantation.
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    ABSTRACT: The mortality rate in children with ESRD is substantially lower than the rate experienced by adults. However, the risk of death while awaiting kidney transplantation and the impact of transplantation on long-term survival has not been well characterized in the pediatric population. We performed a longitudinal study of 5961 patients under age 19 who were placed on the kidney transplant waiting list in the United States. Of these, 5270 received their first kidney transplant between 1990 and 2003. Survival was assessed via a time-varying nonproportional hazards model adjusted for potential confounders. Transplanted children had a lower mortality rate (13.1 deaths/1000 patient-years) compared to patients on the waiting list (17.6 deaths/1000 patient-years). Within the first 6 months of transplant, there was no significant excess in mortality compared to patients remaining on the waiting list (adjusted Relative Risk (aRR) = 1.01; p = 0.93). After 6 months, the risk of death was significantly lower: at 6-12 months (aRR = 0.37; p < 0.001) and at 30 months (aRR 0.26; p < 0.001). Compared to children who remain on the kidney transplant waiting list, those who receive a transplant have a long-term survival advantage. With the potential for unmeasured bias in this observational data, the results of the analysis should be interpreted conservatively.
    American Journal of Transplantation 09/2008; 8(12):2600-6. · 6.39 Impact Factor
  • Article: Vascular access survival and incidence of revisions: a comparison of prosthetic grafts, simple autogenous fistulas, and venous transposition fistulas from the United States Renal Data System Dialysis Morbidity and Mortality Study.
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    ABSTRACT: The study's aim was to evaluate access patency and incidence of revisions in patients initiating hemodialysis and to determine differences in access performance by type of access among patient subgroups. The study used data from the United States Renal Data System Dialysis Morbidity and Mortality Study Wave 2, which contained a random sample of dialysis patients initiating dialysis in 1996 and early 1997. Failures and revisions were evaluated among 2247 newly placed hemodialysis accesses by using Cox proportional hazards regression model and Poisson regression. Primary and secondary patency rates were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Fifteen hundred seventy-four prosthetic grafts, 492 simple autogenous fistulas, and 181 venous transposition fistulas were available for evaluation. Prosthetic grafts had a 41% greater risk of primary failure compared with simple fistulas (relative risk, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.22-1.64; P < .001) and a 91% higher incidence of revision (relative risk, 1.91; 95% CI, 1.60-2.28; P <.001). At 2 years, autogenous fistulas demonstrated superior primary patency (39.8% versus 24.6%, P < .001) and equivalent secondary patency (64.3% versus 59.5%, P = .24) compared with prosthetic grafts. When compared with simple fistulas, vein transpositions demonstrated equivalent secondary patency at 2 years (61.5% versus 64.3%, P = .43) but inferior primary patency (27.7% versus 39.8%, P = .008) and had a 32% increased incidence of revision (P = .04). Autogenous fistulas had superior primary patency compared with prosthetic grafts in all patient subgroups except for patients with previously failed access. Vein transpositions showed the greatest benefit in terms of patency and incidence of revision in women and in patients with previously failed access. The preferential placement of autogenous fistulas may increase primary patency and decrease the incidence of revisions. Vein transpositions had similar secondary patency compared with simple fistulas, but required more revisions. The greatest benefit of a vein transposition fistula was seen in women and in patients with a history of access failure.
    Journal of Vascular Surgery 11/2001; 34(4):694-700. · 3.21 Impact Factor
  • Article: Assessment of a policy to reduce placement of prosthetic hemodialysis access.
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    ABSTRACT: The aim of this study was to evaluate the determinants of access patency and revision, including the effects of reducing the placement of prosthetic hemodialysis access. A retrospective cohort study of all hemodialysis accesses placed at the Veteran's Administration Puget Sound Health Care System between 1992 and 1999 was conducted. A policy was instituted in 1996 that maximized the use of autogenous hemodialysis access. The impacts of the policy change, demographics, and comorbid factors on access type and patency, were examined. Primary and secondary patency rates were examined using the Kaplan--Meier method, and factors associated with failure and revision were examined using Cox proportional hazard models and Poisson regression. During the study, 104 accesses (61 prosthetic grafts and 43 autogenous fistulas) were placed prior to 1996, and 118 (31 prosthetic grafts and 87 autogenous fistulas) were placed after 1996. There was a significant increase in autogenous fistulas placed after 1996 (87 out of 118) compared with before 1996 (43 out of 104, P < 0.001). At one year, autogenous fistulas demonstrated superior primary patency (56 vs. 36%, P = 0.001) and secondary patency (72 vs. 58%, P = 0.003) compared with prosthetic grafts. After adjustment for age, race, side of access placement, and history of prior access placement, patients with a prosthetic graft were estimated to experience a 78% increase in the risk of primary access failure when compared with similar patients having an autogenous access [adjusted relative risk (aRR) = 1.78, 95% CI 1.21--2.62, P = 0.003)]. Similarly, the adjusted relative risk of secondary access failure for comparing prosthetic grafts with autogenous fistulas was estimated to be 2.21 (95% CI 1.38--3.54, P = 0.001). The adjusted risk of access revision was 2.89-fold higher for prosthetic grafts than for autogenous fistulas (95% CI 1.88--4.44, P < 0.001). Autogenous conduits demonstrated superior performance when compared with prosthetic grafts in terms of primary and secondary patency and number of revisions. A policy emphasizing the preferential placement of autogenous fistulas over prosthetic grafts may result in improved patency and a reduction in the number of procedures required to maintain dialysis access patency.
    Kidney International 06/2001; 59(6):2335-45. · 6.61 Impact Factor
  • Article: Risk factors for hip fracture among patients with end-stage renal disease.
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    ABSTRACT: Although bone disease is well described among end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients, little attention has been paid to the occurrence of fracture. We sought to identify factors that are associated with hip fracture among ESRD patients. Data from patients who participated in the United States Renal Data System Dialysis Morbidity and Mortality Study Wave 1 were used for this study. Hip fractures occurring among these patients between 1993 and 1996 were identified from Medicare claims data available from the United States Renal Data System. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the risk of hip fracture associated with demographic and medical variables. Of the 4952 patients included in this analysis, 103 sustained a hip fracture. In the multivariate analysis, age (per increasing decade, RR = 1.40, 95% CI 1.20, 1.64), female gender (RR = 2.26, 95% CI 1.48, 3.44), race (blacks compared with whites, RR = 0.58, 95% CI 0.37, 0.91), body mass index (per 1 unit increase, RR 0.89, 95% CI 0.86, 0.93), and the presence of peripheral vascular disease (RR 1.94, 95% CI 1.29, 2.92) were independently associated with hip fracture. Serum intact parathyroid hormone (iPTH), aluminum, diabetes, and bicarbonate levels did not appreciably influence the risk of hip fracture. Demographic and other characteristics that predict risk of hip fracture in the population at large also do so in ESRD patients. However, we could identify no characteristics of ESRD or its treatment that were independently related to hip fracture incidence.
    Kidney International 12/2000; 58(5):2200-5. · 6.61 Impact Factor
  • Article: Anthropometric measures and risk of death in children with end-stage renal disease.
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    ABSTRACT: We evaluated the association between anthropometric measurements and death among pediatric patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) using data from the Pediatric Growth and Development Special Study (PGDSS) from the US Renal Data System. Height, growth velocity, and body mass index (BMI) were used for the analysis of 1,949 patients in the PGDSS. To standardize these measurements, SD scores (SDSs) were calculated using population data from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Using Cox proportional hazards models, we assessed the association between anthropometric measures and death, controlling for demographic factors and stratifying by age. Multivariate analysis showed that each decrease by 1 SDS in height was associated with a 14% increase in risk for death (adjusted relative risk [aRR], 1.14; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02 to 1.27; P = 0.017). For each 1 SDS decrease in growth velocity among patients in our sample, the risk for death increased by 12% (aRR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.00 to 1.25; P = 0.043). There was a statistically significant U-shaped association between BMI and death (P = 0.001), with relatively low and high BMIs associated with an increased risk for death. In children with ESRD, growth delay and extremes in BMI are associated with an increased risk for mortality.
    American Journal of Kidney Diseases 11/2000; 36(4):811-9. · 5.43 Impact Factor
  • Article: Increased risk of hip fracture among patients with end-stage renal disease.
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    ABSTRACT: Although patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) are at increased risk for bone loss, the risk of hip fracture in this population is not known. We compared the risk of hip fracture among dialysis patients with the general population. We used data from the United States Renal Data System (USRDS) to identify all new Caucasian dialysis patients who began dialysis between January 1, 1989, and December 31, 1996. All hip fractures occurring during this time period were ascertained. The observed number of hip fractures was compared with the expected number based on the experience of residents of Olmstead County (MN, USA). Standardized incidence ratios were calculated as the ratio between observed and expected. The risk attributable to ESRD was calculated as the difference between the observed and expected rate of hip fracture per 1000 person-years. The number of dialysis patients was 326,464 (55.9% male and 44.1% female). There were 6542 hip fractures observed during the follow-up period of 643, 831 patient years. The overall incidence of hip fracture was 7.45 per 1000 person years for males and 13.63 per 1000 person years for females. The overall relative risk for hip fracture was 4.44 (95% CI, 4.16 to 4.75) for male dialysis patients and 4.40 (95% CI, 4.17 to 4.64) for female dialysis patients compared with people of the same sex in the general population. While the age-specific relative risk of hip fracture was highest in the youngest age groups, the added risks of fracture associated with dialysis rose steadily with increasing age. The relative risk of hip fracture increased as time since first dialysis increased. The overall risk of hip fracture among Caucasian patients with ESRD is considerably higher than in the general population, independent of age and gender.
    Kidney International 08/2000; 58(1):396-9. · 6.61 Impact Factor