Karen Onel

University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH, USA

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Publications (9)22.37 Total impact

  • Article: Validation of the systemic lupus erythematosus responder index for use in juvenile-onset systemic lupus erythematosus.
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    ABSTRACT: OBJECTIVES: This study tested the concurrent validity of the systemic lupus erythematosus responder index (SRI) in assessing improvement in juvenile-onset systemic lupus erythematosus (jSLE). METHODS: The SRI considers changes in the SELENA-SLEDAI, BILAG and a 3-cm visual analogue scale of physician-rated disease activity (PGA) to determine patient improvement. Using prospectively collected data from 760 unique follow-up visit intervals of 274 jSLE patients, we assessed the sensitivity and specificity of the SRI using these external standards: physician-rated improvement (MD-change), patient/parent-rated major improvement of wellbeing (patient-change) and decrease in prescribed systemic corticosteroids (steroid-change). Modifications of the SRI that considered different thresholds for the SELENA-SLEDAI, BILAG and 10-cm PGA were explored and agreement with the American College of Rheumatology/PRINTO provisional criteria for improvement of jSLE (PCI) was examined. RESULTS: The sensitivity/specificity in capturing major improvement by the MD-change were 78%/76% for the SRI and 83%/78% for the PCI, respectively. There was fair agreement between the SRI and PCI (kappa=0.35, 95% CI 0.02 to 0.73) in capturing major improvement by the MD-change. Select modified versions of the SRI had improved accuracy overall. All improvement criteria tested had lower sensitivity when considering patient-change and steroid-change as external standards compared to MD-change. CONCLUSIONS: The SRI and its modified versions based on meaningful changes in jSLE have high specificity but at most modest sensitivity for capturing jSLE improvement. When used as an endpoint of clinical trials in jSLE, the SRI will provide a conservative estimate regarding the efficacy of the therapeutic agent under investigation.
    Annals of the rheumatic diseases 01/2013; · 8.11 Impact Factor
  • Article: Inactive disease and remission in childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus.
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    ABSTRACT: To define inactive disease (ID) and clinical remission (CR) and to delineate variables that can be used to measure ID/CR in childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus (cSLE). Delphi questionnaires were sent to an international group of pediatric rheumatologists. Respondents provided information about variables to be used in future algorithms to measure ID/CR. The usefulness of these variables was assessed in 35 children with ID and 31 children with minimally active lupus (MAL). While ID reflects cSLE status at a specific point in time, CR requires the presence of ID for >6 months and considers treatment. There was consensus that patients in ID/CR can have <2 mild nonlimiting symptoms (i.e., fatigue, arthralgia, headaches, or myalgia) but not Raynaud's phenomenon, chest pain, or objective physical signs of cSLE; antinuclear antibody positivity and erythrocyte sedimentation rate elevation can be present. Complete blood count, renal function testing, and complement C3 all must be within the normal range. Based on consensus, only damage-related laboratory or clinical findings of cSLE are permissible with ID. The above parameters were suitable to differentiate children with ID/CR from those with MAL (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve >0.85). Disease activity scores with or without the physician global assessment of disease activity and patient symptoms were well suited to differentiate children with ID from those with MAL. Consensus has been reached on common definitions of ID/CR with cSLE and relevant patient characteristics with ID/CR. Further studies must assess the usefulness of the data-driven candidate criteria for ID in cSLE.
    Arthritis care & research. 01/2012; 64(5):683-93.
  • Article: Preliminary criteria for global flares in childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus.
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    ABSTRACT: To develop widely acceptable preliminary criteria of global flare for childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus (cSLE). Pediatric rheumatologists (n = 138) rated a total of 358 unique patient profiles with information about the cSLE flare descriptors from 2 consecutive visits: patient global assessment of well-being, physician global assessment of disease activity (MD-global), health-related quality of life, anti-double-stranded DNA antibodies, disease activity index scores, protein:creatinine (P:C) ratio, complement levels, and erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR). Based on 2,996 rater responses about the course of cSLE (baseline versus followup), the accuracy (sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve) of candidate flare criteria was assessed. An international consensus conference was held to rank these candidate flare criteria as per the American College of Rheumatology recommendations for the development and validation of criteria sets. The highest-ranked candidate criteria considered absolute changes (Δ) of the Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index (SLEDAI) or British Isles Lupus Assessment Group (BILAG), MD-global, P:C ratio, and ESR; flare scores can be calculated (0.5 × ΔSLEDAI + 0.45 × ΔP:C ratio + 0.5 × ΔMD-global + 0.02 × ΔESR), where values of ≥1.04 are reflective of a flare. Similarly, BILAG-based flare scores (0.4 × ΔBILAG + 0.65 × ΔP:C ratio + 0.5 × ΔMD-global + 0.02 × ΔESR) of ≥1.15 were diagnostic of a flare. Flare scores increased with flare severity. Consensus has been reached on preliminary criteria for global flares in cSLE. Further validation studies are needed to confirm the usefulness of the cSLE flare criteria in research and for clinical care.
    Arthritis care & research. 05/2011; 63(9):1213-23.
  • Article: Minimal clinically important differences of disease activity indices in childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus.
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    ABSTRACT: To determine the minimal clinically important differences (MCIDs) of validated measures of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) disease activity in childhood-onset SLE. Childhood-onset SLE patients (n = 98) were followed every 3 months for up to 7 visits (n = 623 total visits). Disease activity measures (European Consensus Lupus Activity Measure, Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index, Systemic Lupus Activity Measure, British Isles Lupus Assessment Group, and Responder Index for Lupus Erythematosus [RIFLE]) were completed at the time of each visit. Physician-rated changes in the disease course (clinically relevant improvement, no change, clinically relevant worsening) between visits served as the criterion standard. MCIDs defined by mean change scores with improvement and worsening, or those based on the standard error of measurement with stable disease, were both small and did not discriminate well between disease courses (detection rates for improvement or worsening were all <55%). MCIDs based on discriminant and classification analyses yielded similar results. Alternative MCIDs, defined by a 70% predicted probability of improvement or worsening as per the discrimination analysis, were larger but underestimated the proportion of patients with change. The RIFLE only correctly identified 26% and 8% of episodes of clinically important worsening and improvement of childhood-onset SLE, respectively. The MCIDs of childhood-onset SLE disease activity measures are often small but similar to those reported for adults with SLE. Therefore, even small changes in disease activity scores can be clinically relevant. Low correct detection rates of these MCID thresholds for changes in disease course support the notion that worsening and improvement with childhood-onset SLE, or its response to therapy, is unlikely to be captured adequately by validated measures of disease activity alone.
    Arthritis care & research. 07/2010; 62(7):950-9.
  • Article: Toward the development of criteria for global flares in juvenile systemic lupus erythematosus.
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    ABSTRACT: To develop a definition of global flare in juvenile systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and derive candidate criteria for measuring juvenile SLE flares. Pediatric rheumatologists answered 2 Delphi questionnaires to achieve consensus on a common definition of juvenile SLE flare and identify variables for use in candidate flare criteria. The diagnostic accuracy of these candidate flare criteria was tested with data from juvenile SLE patients (n = 98; 623 visits total). Physician-rated change in the juvenile SLE course (worsening, yes/no) between visits served as the criterion standard. There was 96% consensus that a "a flare is a measurable worsening of juvenile SLE disease activity in at least one organ system, involving new or worse signs of disease that may be accompanied by new or worse SLE symptoms. Depending on the severity of the flare, more intensive therapy may be required." Variables suggested for use in flare criteria were: physician-rated disease activity (V1), patient well-being, protein:creatinine ratio, a validated disease activity index (V2), the Child Health Questionnaire physical summary score (V3), anti-double-stranded DNA antibodies, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, and complement levels. Using multiple logistic regression, several candidate flare criteria were derived with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) as high as 0.92 (sensitivity >or=85%, specificity >or=85%); classification and regression tree analysis suggested that V1, V2, and V3 suffice to identify juvenile SLE flares (AUC 0.81; sensitivity = 64%, specificity = 86%). Consensus about a definition of global disease flare for juvenile SLE has been obtained and promising candidate flare criteria have been developed. These will need further assessment of their ease of use and accuracy in prospective study.
    Arthritis care & research. 06/2010; 62(6):811-20.
  • Article: Prospective validation of the provisional criteria for the evaluation of response to therapy in childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus.
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    ABSTRACT: To prospectively validate the provisional criteria for the evaluation of response to therapy in children with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). In this multicenter study, childhood-onset SLE patients (n = 98; 81 girls, 17 boys, 50% white, 88% non-Hispanic) were followed every 3 months for up to 7 visits (total number of visits 623). The 5 childhood-onset SLE core response variables were obtained at the time of each visit: 1) physician assessment of overall disease activity, 2) parent assessment of patient well-being, 3) Child Health Questionnaire, 4) proteinuria, and 5) global disease activity measure score, as measured by the European Consensus Lupus Activity Measure (ECLAM), the Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index (SLEDAI), or the Systemic Lupus Activity Measure (SLAM). Physician-rated relevant changes in the disease course (clinically relevant improvement, no change in disease, or worsening) between visits served as the criterion standard. Mixed models were used to assess the diagnostic accuracy of the 4 highest-ranked provisional definitions of response to therapy. There were 89 episodes of clinically relevant improvement between 2 consecutive visits, and 448 episodes without improvement. Irrespective of the choice of the global disease activity measure (ECLAM, SLAM, SLEDAI), sensitivities of all 4 highest-ranked definitions were low (all < or =31%), whereas their specificities were excellent (all >88%). Using logistic models, alternative definitions can be developed with both 80% sensitivity and specificity. The provisional criteria of response to therapy in childhood-onset SLE may have considerably lower sensitivity than previously reported. Additional validation in clinical trials is necessary to further evaluate the measurement properties of the provisional Paediatric Rheumatology International Trials Organisation/American College of Rheumatology criteria for response to therapy in children with SLE.
    Arthritis care & research. 03/2010; 62(3):335-44.
  • Article: Neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin is a predictor of the course of global and renal childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus disease activity.
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    ABSTRACT: To determine whether neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) can predict worsening of global and renal disease activity in childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). One hundred eleven patients with childhood-onset SLE were enrolled in a longitudinal, prospective study with quarterly study visits and had at least 3 study visits. At each visit, global disease activity was measured using 3 external standards: the numerically converted British Isles Lupus Assessment Group (BILAG) index, the SLE Disease Activity Index 2000 update score, and the physician's assessment of global disease activity. Renal and extrarenal disease activity were measured by the respective domain scores. The disease course over time was categorized at the most recent visit (persistently active, persistently inactive, improved, or worsening). Plasma and urinary NGAL levels were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay, and urinary NGAL levels were standardized to the urinary creatinine concentration. The longitudinal changes in NGAL levels were compared with the changes in SLE disease activity using mixed-effect models. Significant increases in standardized urinary NGAL levels of up to 104% were detected up to 3 months before worsening of lupus nephritis (as measured by all 3 external standards). Plasma NGAL levels increased significantly by as much as 26% up to 3 months before worsening of global SLE disease activity as measured by all 3 external standards. Plasma NGAL levels increased significantly by 26% as early as 3 months prior to worsening of lupus nephritis as measured by the BILAG renal score. Serial measurement of urinary and plasma NGAL levels may be valuable in predicting impending worsening of global and renal childhood-onset SLE disease activity.
    Arthritis & Rheumatism 09/2009; 60(9):2772-81. · 7.87 Impact Factor
  • Article: Health-related quality of life and its relationship to patient disease course in childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus.
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    ABSTRACT: To (1) estimate the health-related quality of life (HRQOL) of children with childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus (cSLE) and compare it to that of normative cohorts; (2) assess the relationship of HRQOL with cSLE disease activity and damage; and (3) determine the effects of changes of disease activity on HRQOL. Patients with cSLE (n = 98) followed every 3 months completed HRQOL measures, the Pediatric Quality of Life Inventory Generic Core scale (PedsQL-GC), the Rheumatology Module (PedsQL-RM), and the Child Health Questionnaire (CHQ). The British Isles Lupus Activity Group Index (BILAG) was used to measure organ-system-specific disease activity. Physicians rated the course of cSLE between visits. At baseline, mean (standard deviation, SD) score [parent report] of the PedsQL-GC and the PedsQL-RM was 75 (17) and 79 (14), respectively; the mean (SD) of the CHQ physical summary score (CHQ-PHS) was 49 (7) and that of the CHQ psychological summary score was 42 (12). Higher BILAG scores, especially in the general, musculoskeletal, neurological, and vascular, but not the mucocutaneous, renal, cardiovascular, or hematological BILAG domains, were associated with a significantly lower HRQOL. Patients with damage had lower HRQOL than those without damage. All HRQOL measures included were at most modestly responsive to clinically important changes with cSLE. HRQOL with cSLE is significantly lower than that reported in healthy populations. Organ-specific involvement with cSLE has a differential effect on HRQOL. Higher disease activity and damage are associated with significantly lower HRQOL as measured by the PedsQL-RM and the CHQ-PHS, and worsening of cSLE leads to a further decline.
    The Journal of Rheumatology 07/2009; 36(7):1536-45. · 3.69 Impact Factor
  • Article: Initial validation of a novel protein biomarker panel for active pediatric lupus nephritis.
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    ABSTRACT: Lupus nephritis (LN) is among the main determinants of poor prognosis in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). The objective of this study was to 1) isolate and identify proteins contained in the LN urinary protein signature (PS) of children with SLE; 2) assess the usefulness of the PS proteins for detecting activity of LN over time. Using surface-enhanced or matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization time of flight mass spectrometry, the proteins contained in the LN urinary PS were identified. They were transferrin (Tf), ceruloplasmin (Cp), alpha1-acid-glycoprotein (AGP), lipocalin-type prostaglandin-D synthetase (L-PGDS), albumin, and albumin-related fragments. Serial plasma and urine samples were analyzed using immunonephelometry or ELISA in 98 children with SLE (78% African American) and 30 controls with juvenile idiopathic arthritis. All urinary PS proteins were significantly higher with active vs. inactive LN or in patients without LN (all p < 0.005), and their combined area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.85. As early as 3 mo before a clinical diagnosis of worsening LN, significant increases of urinary Tf, AGP (both p < 0.0001), and L-PGDS (p < 0.01) occurred, indicating that these PS proteins are biomarkers of LN activity and may help anticipate the future course of LN.
    Pediatric Research 02/2009; 65(5):530-6. · 2.70 Impact Factor